Handicappers' Racing Form

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Arapahoe Park
Friday - September 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-2   Win (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ARP-3   Win (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
ARP-5   Win (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ARP-6   Win (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ARP-7   Win (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
ARP-2   09/27/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
D'WILD MUFFIN Sep22 Aug05 May07 Apr21 Apr06 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 8.00 14% 6.00    
UNPLUCKED GEM Aug31 Aug01 Jun30 Apr12 Mar10 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.00    
MAGIC IN A HAT Sep07 Aug24 Aug18 Jul20 Jul13 (schindler jeff)RAMOS B 124 4.00 53% 0.90    
TOTHEMOONANDBACK Aug24 Aug04 Jul13 Jun22 May12 (lavanway dayson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00    
NEW YEARS LOVE Sep15 Sep11 Sep03 Aug13 Jul23 (jenkins ree)IRONEYES R 119 6.00 10% 8.90    
 
ARP-3   09/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HAUGHTY KITTY Sep21 Aug11 Jul21 Jul07 Jun23 (ortega joe)IRONEYES R 119 6.00    
MAYA D Aug04 Jun23 Apr23 Apr10 Mar13 (martinez a)CARDOSO DAVID 122 2.50 50% 1.00    
SCR  DANGERELLA Aug31 Aug24 Aug16 Aug04 Jun29 (leon alexis)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 10.00    
LOTTA PRADA Sep06 Sep17 Sep09 Aug14 Aug05 (kemper kerry)HAAR NATHAN 121 2.00    
KONA KINLEY Sep13 Jun23 Jun15 May27 Apr26 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 122 4.00    
MOBILEAGILEHOSTILE Sep01 Aug11 Jul21 Jun29 Jun23 (lavanway dayson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 8.00 5% 17.60    
 
ARP-5   09/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIL MISS DE BUY Sep07 Sep01 Aug17 Jun30 Jun23 (rushton temp)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 3.50 24% 3.20    
T R'S FIRST Sep07 Jun25 Jun05 May20 Apr26 (hibdon n)RAMOS B 124 6.00 7% 14.20    
COLD AS YOU Sep01 Aug04 Jun29 Jun01 May27 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.00    
FLIPLIT Aug04 Jun23 Apr24 Mar18 Feb07 (whitehouse )IRONEYES R 119 10.00    
DIVA DE KELA Sep01 Aug18 Aug03 Jul20 Jun30 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 35% 1.90    
 
ARP-6   09/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOR FOXY Sep13 Aug26 Aug18 Jul29 Jul14 (ramaekers eric)RAMOS B 122 3.50    
SPECIAL TWIST Sep09 Aug27 Aug14 Aug06   (vicchrilli )IRONEYES R 116 8.00 24% 3.20    
CREAM PUFF REAPER Sep14 Aug13 Jul06 Jun09 May12 (hibdon n)HAAR NATHAN 122 2.50    
ARIZONA REINA Sep07 Jul27 Jul20 May02 Apr17 (ortega joe)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 2.00 53% 0.90    
TIFFANY'S FERRARI Sep14 Aug14 Jul23 Jun30 Mar29 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
ARP-7   09/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY BUDDY MEL Sep06 Aug25 Jul21 Jun28 Jun21 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 122 1.40    
MOON SHINE TIME Sep06 Aug10 Jul27 Jun30 Jun22 (long vaughn)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 3.00 57% 0.80    
SCR  TOOMANYNAMES Sep06 Aug24 Jul28 Jul03 Jun13 (rushton stacy)RAMOS B 122 12.00    
BIG JACK Sep13 Aug10 Jul21 Jun30 May02 (martinez a)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.50    
SCR  DANCIN ROCKET Sep13 Aug02 Jul12 Jun10 May25 (lemburg mar)IRONEYES R 119 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.