Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Arapahoe Park
Saturday - September 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-2   EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1-4 $11.60 $7.60 190%
ARP-4   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00  3 $7.80 $3.80 95%
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00  3-1 $22.00 $18.00 450%
ARP-5   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $10.60 $4.60 77%
Simulator Race results
 
ARP-2   09/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:234 :472 :594     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEET JOE 1 2 1nk 1nk   12 15 (kenney ryan)VERGARA P 124 5.00 38% 1.60 0.70 W
4  SUEZ 3 1 2nk 2nk   32 25 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.00 22% 3.60 3.90 P
3  WIN FOR FUN 2 3 3½ 31½   22 37¼ (rushton te)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 10.00 1.60  
5  T R'S FIRST 4 4 42 44½   47 417½ (hibdon n)RAMOS B 121 8.00 9.00  
SCR  MONGOLIAN MOON               (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 124 12.00    
 
ARP-3   09/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:23 :461 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CREDIT RATING 1 1 2½ 2nk   2nk 12½ (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.00 3.50  
5  MY LITTLE PRINCE 4 3 1½ 1nk   1nk 22½ (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 8.00 5% 19.00 3.10 P
3  WEBCAM 2 5 51¾ 31½   37 319¼ (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 4.00 15% 5.60 2.80 S
4  OREGON COUNTY 3 2 41½ 43½   49 419¾ (hibdon mar)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 6.00 60% 0.70 6.50  
6  REVENIR 5 4 31½ 53¾   59½ 520¾ (ibanez al)IRONEYES R 119 20.00 1.60  
SCR  PRINCE OF LUCK               (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00    
 
ARP-4   09/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:224 :462 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ARIZONA REINA 3 2 12 11   11 12¾ (ortega joe)CARDOSO DAVID 122 6.00 58% 0.70 2.90 W
1  SILVER LIGHTENING 1 1 22 21   21 22¾ (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 6% 14.50 1.40 P
4  SMOOCHING 4 3 33½ 31   36 310 (kenney ryan)VERGARA P 122 10.00 3.10  
2  MASTER JANE 2 4 48½ 47   411 426 (rushton st)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 2.00 2.00  
SCR  MIRAGE CODE               (childs russell)MCNEIL BRYAN 122 15.00    
SCR  MISS CHARGE IT               (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 12.00    
 
ARP-5   09/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Arapahoe County Commissioner's Purse ($50K) 3UP C/G PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:222 :45 :57     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  QUICKTRIP VAN 3 3 2½ 1nk   21 1nk (vicchrilli)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.50 20% 4.00 4.30 W
  (by ZIP QUIK out of BLISSFUL TRIP by TRIPPI)
1  WHEELER DEALER 1 1 1½ 2nk   11 2nk (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 124 20.00 4.00  
  (by ZIP QUIK out of SHEETS by SCATMANDU)
2  MAIUS 2 2 33 32   34 35¼ (martinez a)CARDOSO DAVID 124 5.00 5% 18.30 16.00 S
  (by ROCKY BAR out of HARBOR SUNRISE by PULPIT)
6  MR. THUNDERSTRUCK 6 5 54½ 52¼   46 45½ (stivers j)VERGARA P 124 4.00 2.20  
  (by DOMINUS out of KISSINLEAF by KISSIN KRIS)
4  COLLUSIONIST 4 4 66 66¼   67½ 58 (martinez a)RAMOS B 124 2.00 41% 1.50 1.30  
  (by EZ EFFORT out of PRETTY AMAZING by BENCHMARK)
5  TULSA TIME 5 6 43 42¼   57½ 612¼ (vicchrilli rus)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 8.00 15.30  
  (by TULSA TE out of MISS CASTELLI by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.