Handicappers' Racing Form

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Arapahoe Park
Saturday - September 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-2   Win (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
ARP-3   Win (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ARP-4   Win (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
ARP-5   Win (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
ARP-2   09/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEET JOE Aug25 Aug11 Jul28 Jul04 Jun01 (kenney ryan)VERGARA P 124 5.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  MONGOLIAN MOON Aug16 Aug04 Jul28 Apr15 Mar25 (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 124 12.00    
WIN FOR FUN Jun30 Jun16 Jun09 Jun02 Apr22 (rushton temp)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 10.00    
SUEZ Aug07 Jul10 May25 Apr14 Mar29 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.00 22% 3.60    
T R'S FIRST Jun25 Jun05 May20 Apr26 Apr07 (hibdon n)LULL E 121 8.00    
 
ARP-3   09/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PRINCE OF LUCK Aug23 Aug16 Aug04 Jul20 Jul12 (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00    
CREDIT RATING Aug25 Jul21 Jul13 Jun23 Jun01 (rushton stetson)LULL E 124 2.00    
WEBCAM Jun29 Jun23 May27 May04 Apr21 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 4.00 15% 5.60    
OREGON COUNTY Jul21 Jun30 Jun16 May27 Apr19 (hibdon mark )FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 6.00 60% 0.70    
MY LITTLE PRINCE Aug11 Jul20 Jul13 Jun01 May04 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
REVENIR Aug25 Aug10 Jul28 Jul13 Jun30 (ibanez albe)IRONEYES R 119 20.00    
 
ARP-4   09/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVER LIGHTENING Aug18 Jul28 Aug27 Aug17 Jul23 (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 6% 14.50    
MASTER JANE Aug04 Jul27 Jul14 Jun22 May25 (rushton stet)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 2.00    
ARIZONA REINA Jul27 Jul20 May02 Apr17 Apr08 (ortega joe)LULL E 122 6.00 58% 0.70    
SMOOCHING Aug04 Jun25 May31     (kenney ryan)VERGARA P 122 10.00    
SCR  MISS CHARGE IT Aug12 Jul31 Jun18 May13 Mar15 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 12.00    
SCR  MIRAGE CODE Aug04 Jul14 Jun15 May10 Apr21 (childs g)MCNEIL BRYAN 122 15.00    
 
ARP-5   09/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Arapahoe County Commissioner's Purse ($50K) 3UP C/G PT- 4:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHEELER DEALER Aug19 Aug09 Jul13 Jun15 Jun01 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 124 20.00    
MAIUS Aug10 Jul13 Jun08 Apr11 Sep02 (martinez a)CARDOSO DAVID 124 5.00 5% 18.30    
QUICKTRIP VAN Aug11 Aug03 Jul20 Jun30 Jun08 (vicchrilli russell)LULL E 124 4.50 20% 4.00    
COLLUSIONIST Aug11 Jul27 Jun08 Apr06 Feb27 (martinez a)RAMOS B 124 2.00 41% 1.50    
TULSA TIME Jul21 Jun30 Jun15 Sep24 Sep02 (vicchrilli russe)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 8.00    
MR. THUNDERSTRUCK Aug26 Aug10 Aug02 Jul19 Jun13 (stivers j)VERGARA P 124 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.