Handicappers' Race Results

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Arapahoe Park
Friday - September 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-3   Win (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $4.40  
ARP-4   Win (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $4.20  
ARP-5   Win (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $9.40  
ARP-6   Win (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $10.60  
ARP-7   Win (3/8/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  

Simulator Race results

 
ARP-3   09/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:23 :482 1:013     1:082   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS YOU NO MORE 2 2 2 11   13 1 (rushton stet)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 2.50 1.20  
I'M A TRUMPER 4 3 1 21   23 2 (kemper kerry)CARDOSO DAVID 122 4.50 45% 1.20 2.60 P
DIXIE CUP MARTINI 3 4 44 3   3 313¼ (kemper kerry)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00 2.60 S
FLY FREE 1 1 3 4   4 414½ (kemper kerry)RAMOS B 122 3.50 3.00  
SCR  MY CALLIE GIRL               (rushton ste)IRONEYES R 119 8.00    
 
ARP-4   09/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:223 :464 :594     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAKINTHEMONARCHY 1 1 1½ 11   11 1 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 122 2.50 1.10  
BIGPARTY NOWHISKEY 5 5 5 21   21 2 (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 121 4.50 23% 3.40 2.00 P
TIZKANDOIT 3 4 3½ 4   33 3 (rushton tem)IRONEYES R 119 3.50 53% 0.90 12.00 S
UNUSUAL WIN 2 2 41 5   44 4 (martinez a)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 6.00 4.50  
ENDALE ARCH 4 3 2½ 31   58 520½ (lavanway dayson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 12.00 5% 19.00 4.80  
SCR  SASSY B KEEN               (ramaekers eric)RAMOS B 124 5.00    
 
ARP-5   09/20/2024 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:13     1:271   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLO TIME 2 3 4 5   4 1 (martinez a)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 4.50 3.70  
JAZZ BRUNCH 5 1 11 1   12 2 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50 2.90  
DONNA LIRICA 1 5 5 33   3 3 (ibanez alberto)RAMOS B 124 10.00 5% 19.00 5.50 S
AMY D 3 2 21 2   22 4 (lavanway da)IRONEYES R 119 6.00 56% 0.80 1.60  
MRS. KRINKLES 4 4 3 43   5 5 (mckinney kyndr)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 3.50 12% 7.00 3.10  
 
ARP-6   09/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:221 :46 :583     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUBSIDIZE 1 4 31 4   2 1¼ (williams de)IRONEYES R 119 3.50 4.30  
MY LITTLE PRINCE 3 1 11 11   1 2¼ (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50 26% 2.90 0.90 P
TIMEHASCOME 4 3 4 3   32 32 (ramaekers eric)RAMOS B 124 6.00 16% 5.10 4.30 S
JUST PLAIN ORNERY 2 5 5 5   45 4 (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00 7.60  
MINOSO 5 2 21 21   5 5 (piantes john)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.50 21% 3.80 3.40  
 
ARP-7   09/20/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:234 :464 1:123     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRIVEHAPPY 7 2 53 4   2½ 11 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50 33% 2.00 1.30 W
LIGHTNING STRUCK 3 3 1nk 1nk   1½ 21 (kemper kerr)IRONEYES R 119 4.50 34% 2.00 2.30 P
CREDIT RATING 1 5 3 31   3½ 3 (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 9.50  
BRANNIGAN 6 1 2nk 2nk   4 44 (lavanway dayso)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 12.00 8% 10.90 4.30  
TUFF WILLY TE 4 7 7 5   52 56 (parsons rile)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 6.00 14.10  
SCOOTER'S BOY 2 6 64 6   7 6 (ramaekers eric)RAMOS B 124 10.00 5% 19.00 11.80  
THREE FOR THREE 5 4 4 7   6 78 (parsons riley)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 10.00 10.80  
SCR  ROMAN GIANT               (mcdonald j)RAMOS B 124 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.