Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Arapahoe Park
Friday - September 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
ARP-3   09/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:23 :482 1:013     1:082   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MISS YOU NO MORE 2 2 21½ 11   13 17¾ (rushton st)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 2.50 1.20  
  (by ELMAZEED out of MISS YOU HOME by FIVE STAR DAY)
5  I'M A TRUMPER 4 3 11½ 21   23 27¾ (kemper kerry)CARDOSO DAVID 122 4.50 45% 1.20 2.60 P
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of SWEETPRINCESSCHARM by SWEETSOUTHERNSAINT)
4  DIXIE CUP MARTINI 3 4 44 32½   34½ 313¼ (kemper kerry)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00 2.60 S
  (by TAPITURE out of KIND TURN by STREET CRY (IRE))
1  FLY FREE 1 1 33½ 42½   45½ 414½ (kemper kerry)RAMOS B 122 3.50 3.00  
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of R S JOY by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  MY CALLIE GIRL               (rushton s)IRONEYES R 119 8.00    
  (by APACHE PARK out of MISSY WILDCAT by FOREST WILDCAT)
 
ARP-4   09/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:223 :464 :594     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAKINTHEMONARCHY 1 1 1½ 11   11 11½ (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 122 2.50 1.10  
6  BIGPARTY NOWHISKEY 5 5 51½ 21   21 21½ (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 121 4.50 23% 3.40 2.00 P
3  TIZKANDOIT 3 4 3½ 41¼   33 32½ (rushton t)IRONEYES R 119 3.50 53% 0.90 12.00 S
2  UNUSUAL WIN 2 2 41 51¾   44 43¾ (martinez o)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 6.00 4.50  
4  ENDALE ARCH 4 3 2½ 31   58 520½ (lavanway dayso)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 12.00 5% 19.00 4.80  
SCR  SASSY B KEEN               (ramaekers eric)RAMOS B 124 5.00    
 
ARP-5   09/20/2024 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:13     1:271   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  FLO TIME 2 3 42½ 54½   42½ 11¾ (martinez o)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 4.50 3.70  
5  JAZZ BRUNCH 5 1 11 11½   12 21¾ (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50 2.90  
1  DONNA LIRICA 1 5 52½ 33   32½ 32¼ (ibanez alberto)RAMOS B 124 10.00 5% 19.00 5.50 S
3  AMY D 3 2 21 21½   22 44½ (lavanway )IRONEYES R 119 6.00 56% 0.80 1.60  
4  MRS. KRINKLES 4 4 31½ 43   54½ 57¼ (mckinney kyn)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 3.50 12% 7.00 3.10  
 
ARP-6   09/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:221 :46 :583     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUBSIDIZE 1 4 31 41½   21½ 1¼ (williams )IRONEYES R 119 3.50 4.30  
3  MY LITTLE PRINCE 3 1 11 11   11½ 2¼ (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50 26% 2.90 0.90 P
4  TIMEHASCOME 4 3 42½ 31½   32 32 (ramaekers eric)RAMOS B 124 6.00 16% 5.10 4.30 S
2  JUST PLAIN ORNERY 2 5 53½ 54½   45 43½ (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00 7.60  
5  MINOSO 5 2 21 21   55½ 59½ (piantes jo)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.50 21% 3.80 3.40  
 
ARP-7   09/20/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:234 :464 1:123     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  DRIVEHAPPY 7 2 53 41¼   2½ 11 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50 33% 2.00 1.30 W
3  LIGHTNING STRUCK 3 3 1nk 1nk   1½ 21 (kemper ke)IRONEYES R 119 4.50 34% 2.00 2.30 P
1  CREDIT RATING 1 5 31½ 31   3½ 32¼ (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 9.50  
7  BRANNIGAN 6 1 2nk 2nk   41½ 44 (lavanway day)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 12.00 8% 10.90 4.30  
4  TUFF WILLY TE 4 7 74½ 51¾   52 56 (parsons ri)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 6.00 14.10  
2  SCOOTER'S BOY 2 6 64 62¾   73¾ 67½ (ramaekers eric)RAMOS B 124 10.00 5% 19.00 11.80  
6  THREE FOR THREE 5 4 42½ 73¼   63½ 78 (parsons riley)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 10.00 10.80  
SCR  ROMAN GIANT               (mcdonald william )RAMOS B 124 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.