Handicappers' Race Results

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Arapahoe Park
Sunday - September 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-1   Win (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
ARP-2   Win (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $15.20  
ARP-3   Win (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $3.80  
ARP-4   Win (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
ARP-5   Win (5/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $6.80  
ARP-7   Win (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $6.20  

Simulator Race results

 
ARP-1   09/29/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($17K) 2 ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:59         :59   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KOSARI 5 5 1nk 1nk   12 1 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 117 2.50 32% 2.20 1.30 W
BOTTLE CAPS 4 1 2nk 2nk   22 2 (williams dewey)RAMOS B 120 5.00 25% 2.90 2.20 P
KING OF SWING 1 3 3 34   37 315 (parsons rile)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 117 3.50 3.50  
TIPSY TIGER 2 4 54 512   410 421¼ (rushton stacy)CARDOSO DAVID 120 6.00 5% 19.00 7.40  
NAUGHTY WORDS 3 6 68 614   512 531 (rushton ste)IRONEYES R 115 5.00 12.80  
JBA DADDY'S ANCHOR 6 2 42 47   613 638 (alire randy)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 8.00 10.10  
 
ARP-2   09/29/2024 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:121     1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIGHT OF REFUSAL 1 2 11 1   14 1 (thompson gr)IRONEYES R 119 6.00 6.60  
NORA'S LEGACY 4 4 4 4   35 2 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50 1.30  
STOLEN HALO 2 3 31 3   24 312¼ (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 17% 4.80 2.70 S
DOLLY DIMPLE 3 1 21 2   47 420¾ (thompson grady)RAMOS B 124 4.00 53% 0.90 1.40  
SCR  CRIMSON LADY               (scudder rick)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 3.50    
 
ARP-3   09/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:222 :463 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY ATHENA 6 4 1nk 1½   12 12 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 122 4.50 0.90  
UNKNOWN CALLER 3 6 6 5   32 22 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 122 5.00 15% 5.50 4.40 P
HAUGHTY KITTY 4 1 45 4   4 32 (ortega joe)IRONEYES R 119 6.00 4.00  
WINZE 2 3 32 31   22 4 (rushton stac)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 3.50 35% 1.90 4.20  
MIRAGE CODE 5 5 5 6   5 514½ (childs russell)GONZALEZ PEDRO 122 10.00 7% 13.40 8.50  
SMILING RENEGADE 1 2 2nk 2½   612½ 638¾ (ibanez a)ARRIOLA-SERRANO JOSE 124 8.00 18.40  
SCR  BETH'SWICKEDSMACK               (dieter dalton)RAMOS B 124 2.50    
 
ARP-4   09/29/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:111     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVER LIGHTENING 1 5 1nk 1½   17 119¼ (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 41% 1.50 0.90 W
SMOOCHING 2 1 2nk 2½   27 219¼ (kenney ryan)CARDOSO DAVID 122 3.50 3.70  
SNUGGLE BUNNY 3 4 42 32   410 320¾ (parsons rile)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 119 6.00 5% 19.00 2.10 S
DONNA LIRICA 5 3 3 42   39 422½ (ibanez alberto)RAMOS B 124 8.00 28% 2.50 5.50  
FLATTER ME ZEN 4 2 5 57   516 547¾ (childs russ)IRONEYES R 119 4.50 18.30  
 
ARP-5   09/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:222 :451 :58     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRESSONS LIL CHARM 5 1 2½ 23   2½ 1 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 122 5.00 2.40  
GRACIE'S A TIGER 6 4 1½ 13   1½ 2 (martinez a)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 6.00 14% 6.30 1.60 P
LAYAWAY 4 5 3 38   3 310¾ (thompson grady)RAMOS B 124 3.00 36% 1.70 2.90 S
GUARDING ELK CAMP 2 6 612 614   5 412¼ (leon alexis)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 4.50 10.70  
MELODY ROSE 3 3 57 511   4 515 (scudder ric)IRONEYES R 119 12.00 5% 19.00 5.10  
OUR CLOVER GAL 1 2 4 411   6 619 (ibanez albert)VORRATH VALENTE 124 3.50 12.50  
SCR  INTO CLASSIC               (kemper kerry)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.00    
 
ARP-7   09/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:223 :454 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED FROST 4 2 1½ 11   12 1 (long vaughn)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 1.00 2.10  
KAE GAE 5 1 2½ 21   22 2 (long vaughn)CARDOSO DAVID 122 3.00 25% 3.00 2.00 P
FREEDOM FLASH 2 5 5 5   48 36 (schindler jeff)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 6.00 5% 19.00 4.80 S
ATHENS MOON 1 4 32 3   34 46 (kemper kerry)RAMOS B 124 2.50 40% 1.50 2.70  
LETS ROCK N STROLL 3 3 4 4   513 517¾ (dieter dalt)IRONEYES R 119 8.00 5.90  
SCR  SIR ANGUS               (dieter dalton)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.