Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Arapahoe Park
Sunday - September 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-1   EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  5-4 $23.00 $11.00 92%
Simulator Race results
 
ARP-1   09/29/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($17K) 2 ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:59         :59   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  KOSARI 5 5 1nk 1nk   12 14¾ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 117 2.50 32% 2.20 1.30 W
  (by AUDIBLE out of CONJURESS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
4  BOTTLE CAPS 4 1 2nk 2nk   22 24¾ (williams dewey)RAMOS B 120 5.00 25% 2.90 2.20 P
  (by DADS CAPS out of AWESOME FOREVER by AWESOME AGAIN)
1  KING OF SWING 1 3 31½ 34   37 315 (parsons ri)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 117 3.50 3.50  
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of SHE'S GIFTED by FLATTER)
2  TIPSY TIGER 2 4 54 512   410 421¼ (rushton stacy)CARDOSO DAVID 120 6.00 5% 19.00 7.40  
  (by MITOLE out of SMILING KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
3  NAUGHTY WORDS 3 6 68 614   512 531 (rushton s)IRONEYES R 115 5.00 12.80  
  (by EAGLE out of CHERRY PICKER by CAPE BLANCO)
6  JBA DADDY'S ANCHOR 6 2 42 47   613 638 (alire ran)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 8.00 10.10  
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of MAUI MOON by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
 
ARP-2   09/29/2024 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:121     1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  RIGHT OF REFUSAL 1 2 11 11½   14 19¾ (thompson )IRONEYES R 119 6.00 6.60  
5  NORA'S LEGACY 4 4 42½ 43½   35 29¾ (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50 1.30  
3  STOLEN HALO 2 3 31 31½   24 312¼ (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 17% 4.80 2.70 S
4  DOLLY DIMPLE 3 1 21 21½   47 420¾ (thompson grady)RAMOS B 124 4.00 53% 0.90 1.40  
SCR  CRIMSON LADY               (scudder ri)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 3.50    
 
ARP-3   09/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:222 :463 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  LADY ATHENA 6 4 1nk 1½   12 12 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 122 4.50 0.90  
3  UNKNOWN CALLER 3 6 67¾ 52½   32 22 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 122 5.00 15% 5.50 4.40 P
5  HAUGHTY KITTY 4 1 45 42½   42½ 32 (ortega jo)IRONEYES R 119 6.00 4.00  
2  WINZE 2 3 32 31   22 42½ (rushton st)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 3.50 35% 1.90 4.20  
6  MIRAGE CODE 5 5 57½ 64½   57½ 514½ (childs russe)GONZALEZ PEDRO 122 10.00 7% 13.40 8.50  
1  SMILING RENEGADE 1 2 2nk 2½   612½ 638¾ (ibanez)ARRIOLA-SERRANO JOSE 124 8.00 18.40  
SCR  BETH'SWICKEDSMACK               (dieter dalton)RAMOS B 124 2.50    
 
ARP-4   09/29/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:111     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVER LIGHTENING 1 5 1nk 1½   17 119¼ (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 41% 1.50 0.90 W
2  SMOOCHING 2 1 2nk 2½   27 219¼ (kenney ryan)CARDOSO DAVID 122 3.50 3.70  
3  SNUGGLE BUNNY 3 4 42 32   410 320¾ (parsons ri)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 119 6.00 5% 19.00 2.10 S
5  DONNA LIRICA 5 3 31½ 42   39 422½ (ibanez alberto)RAMOS B 124 8.00 28% 2.50 5.50  
4  FLATTER ME ZEN 4 2 52½ 57   516 547¾ (childs ru)IRONEYES R 119 4.50 18.30  
 
ARP-5   09/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:222 :451 :58     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CRESSONS LIL CHARM 5 1 2½ 23   2½ 11¼ (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 122 5.00 2.40  
7  GRACIE'S A TIGER 6 4 1½ 13   1½ 21¼ (martinez o)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 6.00 14% 6.30 1.60 P
5  LAYAWAY 4 5 33½ 38   35½ 310¾ (thompson grady)RAMOS B 124 3.00 36% 1.70 2.90 S
2  GUARDING ELK CAMP 2 6 612 614   57½ 412¼ (leon alexis)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 4.50 10.70  
3  MELODY ROSE 3 3 57 511   46½ 515 (scudder r)IRONEYES R 119 12.00 5% 19.00 5.10  
1  OUR CLOVER GAL 1 2 45½ 411   69½ 619 (ibanez albe)VORRATH VALENTE 124 3.50 12.50  
SCR  INTO CLASSIC               (kemper kerry)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.00    
 
ARP-7   09/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:223 :454 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  RED FROST 4 2 1½ 11   12 12¼ (long vaugh)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 1.00 2.10  
5  KAE GAE 5 1 2½ 21   22 22¼ (long vaughn)CARDOSO DAVID 122 3.00 25% 3.00 2.00 P
2  FREEDOM FLASH 2 5 56½ 58½   48 36 (schindler je)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 6.00 5% 19.00 4.80 S
1  ATHENS MOON 1 4 32 32½   34 46 (kemper kerry)RAMOS B 124 2.50 40% 1.50 2.70  
3  LETS ROCK N STROLL 3 3 43½ 47½   513 517¾ (dieter da)IRONEYES R 119 8.00 5.90  
SCR  SIR ANGUS               (dieter dalton)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.