Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Arapahoe Park
Sunday - October 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-1   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $7.60 $1.60 27%
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  5-6 $14.80 $2.80 23%
ARP-2   WIN (6/4/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $22.20 $14.20 178%
    EXA (6/4/1/5)-(6/4/1/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-6 $46.80 $22.80 95%
    TRI (6/4/1/5)-(6/4/1/5)-(6/4/1/5) 24 $2.00 $48.00  5-6-ALL $256.00 $208.00 433%
    DD (4/6/5)-(6/4/1/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-5 $76.00 $52.00 217%
ARP-3   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  3 $5.40 $1.40 35%
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  3-5 $24.60 $20.60 515%
Simulator Race results
 
ARP-1   10/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($17K) 2 ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:224 :47 :594     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LADY ADMIRAL 4 3 11 1nk   2½ 1¾ (vicchrilli)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 114 8.00 5% 19.00 2.80 W
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of CELEE by CONGAREE)
6  BOTTLE CAPS 5 1 21 2nk   1½ 2¾ (williams dewey)RAMOS B 120 3.50 23% 3.40 0.90 P
  (by DADS CAPS out of AWESOME FOREVER by AWESOME AGAIN)
4  STANFORD HOLIDAY 3 2 32½ 32   33½ 31½ (ortega jo)IRONEYES R 112 2.50 41% 1.40 14.70 S
  (by STANFORD out of STARFIRE MIST by CURLIN)
3  STOLEN FUNDS 2 4 54½ 46   47½ 49 (rushton stet)AGUILAR DANIEL 114 5.00 3.40  
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of LADY POSSE by POSSE)
2  SLEW CITY TIZ 1 5 44½ 57½   58 513¾ (mitchell chris )ARANA MINOR 117 4.50 4.30  
  (by HONOR A. P. out of TIZ WILLY by TIZNOW)
SCR  KISSA ROMAN               (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 117 10.00    
  (by ROMAN GLADIATOR out of KISSA SUNFLOWER by FAVORITE TRICK)
 
ARP-2   10/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:222 :461 :591     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MRS. KRINKLES 5 5 35 37   34 1¼ (mckinney kyn)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 12.00 5% 18.60 10.10 W
6  TRIBAL SPIRIT 6 6 67¼ 610½   45½ 2¼ (arceo sal)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.00 37% 1.70 1.90 P
7  COLD AS YOU 7 1 2nk 22   22 3¼ (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 6.00 9.00  
2  TAP THE HEART 2 2 1nk 12   12 42¼ (haar j)RAMOS B 124 4.50 18.40  
4  STOLEN HALO 4 3 45¼ 47½   55½ 53¼ (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 23% 3.30 4.50  
1  NORA'S LEGACY 1 8 78¼ 711½   67½ 64¼ (hibdon mar)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 3.50 8% 11.10 3.90  
8  MAGIC IN A HAT 8 4 55¾ 59   711½ 715 (schindler)IRONEYES R 119 8.00 16.70  
3  FOXY TWIST 3 7 810¼ 816½   818½ 836 (chavez jose)VORRATH VALENTE 121 15.00 3.60  
 
ARP-3   10/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:251 :494 1:153 1:284   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  RIGHT OF REFUSAL 2 1 22 2½ 2½ 32 1½ (thompson )IRONEYES R 119 2.50 38% 1.60 1.70 W
5  AKASI 4 3 32½ 31½ 3½ 21 2½ (thompson grady)RAMOS B 124 8.00 26% 2.90 3.00 P
4  FLO TIME 3 2 43 42 41½ 42 3½ (martinez o)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 4.50 1.30  
1  GUARDING ELK CAMP 1 4 12 1½ 1½ 11 41½ (leon alexis)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 6.00 4.10  
SCR  ATHENAS SONG               (ramaekers)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50    
 
ARP-4   10/13/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:223 :461       :524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY ATHENA 1 1 13     15 14¼ (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 122 2.50 1.90  
4  FESSY 4 3 43½     25 24¼ (schindler je)AGUILAR DANIEL 122 3.00 19% 4.40 12.20 P
7  MELODY ROSE 7 8 88¾     510 38 (scudder jr)ARANA MINOR 124 8.00 5% 19.00 12.90 S
6  ZACANGO PRIDE 6 2 33½     37 49¼ (guadarrama o)CARILLO DANIEL 122 6.00 4.30  
5  EARLY APRIL 5 5 55½     611 510 (mckinney )IRONEYES R 119 10.00 7% 14.40 3.60  
3  RETRO RITA 3 4 23     47½ 613½ (hibdon ma)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.00 9.00  
8  GAME TO PLAY 8 6 77¾     714 715½ (ibanez alberto)ARANA JOSE 124 12.00 8.60  
2  CAJUN TRINITY 2 7 65¾     817 823¾ (vargas jose)BACHICHA ELIJAH 124 4.50 46% 1.20 5.60  
 
ARP-5   10/13/2024 5490ft DIRT RC11 FAST CTBA Derby Purse ($45K) 3 ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:244 :49 1:14 1:401   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  EZ FITZ 4 3 41¾ 3½ 2½ 11 13½ (parsons riley)CARDOSO DAVID 122 2.00 1.20  
  (by EZ EFFORT out of SNICKEL FITZ by SEATTLE FITZ (ARG))
2  ALL ABOUT MISCHIEF 2 2 11½ 1½ 1½ 21 23½ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 122 2.50 2.10  
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of MISS CASTELLI by INDIAN CHARLIE)
1  SNUGGLE BUNNY 1 1 21½ 4¾ 44 38 327 (parsons r)IRONEYES R 122 4.50 5% 17.50 4.00 S
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of SHEETS by SCATMANDU)
4  FERRARI RED 3 4 31½ 2½ 32½ 410 435¼ (martinez o)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 8.00 53% 0.90 2.50  
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of COOPER'S KEEPER by TEMPLE CITY)
SCR  PALACE PATCH               (rushton stetson)RAMOS B 122 6.00    
  (by PALACE out of HOLY TRICK by HOLY BULL)
 
ARP-6   10/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:23 :47 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SHAKINTHEMONARCHY 6 4 52 2½   1nk 1hd (hibdon ma)MEDINA ANGEL 122 4.50 4.60  
3  TAPIT DOWN 3 2 2nk 1½   2nk 2hd (rushton stetso)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 8.00 7.00  
2  ICE STORM 2 6 41½ 42½   34 32½ (moreno car)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 2.00 40% 1.50 0.90 S
1  CAN DANZER 1 1 66 67   47 44¾ (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 121 6.00 20% 4.10 6.70  
4  UNCLE JUJU 4 3 1nk 31½   512 518¼ (rushton s)IRONEYES R 117 10.00 6% 16.20 8.10  
5  MAKE IT BURN 5 5 31 54   615 622¾ (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 122 4.00 4.20  
 
ARP-7   10/13/2024 5490ft DIRT RC11 FAST CTBA Oaks Purse ($45.5K) 3 F PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:241 :493 1:152 1:431   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LONG MAY SHE RUN 3 2 2nk 2½ 2nk 14 19 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 122 3.50 41% 1.40 1.20 W
  (by KLIMT out of RATE OF EXCHANGE by EXCHANGE RATE)
4  MISS YOU NO MORE 4 1 1nk 1½ 1nk 24 29 (rushton st)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 2.50 4.70  
  (by ELMAZEED out of MISS YOU HOME by FIVE STAR DAY)
2  I'M A TRUMPER 2 3 44 46 47 38 313¼ (kemper ke)MEDINA ANGEL 122 6.00 6.50  
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of SWEETPRINCESSCHARM by SWEETSOUTHERNSAINT)
6  FLY FREE 6 5 69 611 510 410 413¼ (kemper kerry)RAMOS B 122 4.50 5.90  
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of R S JOY by KITTEN'S JOY)
5  DANCING GLADIATOR 5 6 32 31 34 619 530¼ (rushton stetso)MCNEIL BRYAN 122 8.00 14% 6.10 4.30  
  (by ROMAN GLADIATOR out of DANCING FOR MORGAN by REAL QUIET)
1  EYES ON GLADIATOR 1 4 56 58 612 515 635¼ (rushton s)IRONEYES R 122 10.00 14% 6.10 5.50  
  (by ROMAN GLADIATOR out of CLOSE YOUR EYES by NOT FOR LOVE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.