Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Arapahoe Park
Sunday - October 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-1   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/5)-(6/4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ARP-2   WIN (6/4/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/1/5)-(6/4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/1/5)-(6/4/1/5)-(6/4/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
ARP-3   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(2/4/5/7)-(4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
ARP-4   WIN (2/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/5/7)-(2/4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/5/7)-(2/4/5/7)-(2/4/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5/7)-(4/1)-(2/1/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
ARP-5   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
ARP-6   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
ARP-7   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ARP-1   10/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($17K) 2 ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KISSA ROMAN         (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 117 10.00    
  (by ROMAN GLADIATOR out of KISSA SUNFLOWER by FAVORITE TRICK)
2  SLEW CITY TIZ Sep22 Aug25 Aug11 Jul21 Jul07 (mitchell chris )ARANA MINOR 117 4.50    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of TIZ WILLY by TIZNOW)
3  STOLEN FUNDS Sep28 Sep08       (rushton stet)AGUILAR DANIEL 114 5.00    
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of LADY POSSE by POSSE)
4  STANFORD HOLIDAY Aug25         (ortega jo)IRONEYES R 112 2.50 41% 1.40    
  (by STANFORD out of STARFIRE MIST by CURLIN)
5  LADY ADMIRAL         (vicchrilli)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of CELEE by CONGAREE)
6  BOTTLE CAPS Sep29 Sep13 Aug25 Jul21 Jul07 (williams dewey)RAMOS B 120 3.50 23% 3.40    
  (by DADS CAPS out of AWESOME FOREVER by AWESOME AGAIN)
 
ARP-2   10/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORA'S LEGACY Sep29 Sep11 May14 Apr12 Mar29 (hibdon mar)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 3.50 8% 11.10    
2  TAP THE HEART Sep15 Sep01 Jul27 Jul13 Jun09 (haar j)RAMOS B 124 4.50    
3  FOXY TWIST         (chavez jose)VORRATH VALENTE 121 15.00    
4  STOLEN HALO Sep29 Sep07 Aug24 Jul14 Jun16 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 23% 3.30    
5  MRS. KRINKLES Sep20 Aug17 Aug04 Jul21 Jun30 (mckinney kyn)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 12.00 5% 18.60    
6  TRIBAL SPIRIT Sep27 Sep15 Sep07 Aug24 Aug16 (arceo sal)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.00 37% 1.70    
7  COLD AS YOU Sep27 Sep01 Aug04 Jun29 Jun01 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 6.00    
8  MAGIC IN A HAT Sep27 Sep07 Aug24 Aug18 Jul20 (schindler)IRONEYES R 119 8.00    
 
ARP-3   10/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUARDING ELK CAMP Sep29 Sep07 Aug31 Aug17 Aug03 (leon alexis)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 6.00    
SCR  ATHENAS SONG Sep22 Aug23 Aug05 Jul21 Dec10 (ramaekers)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50    
3  RIGHT OF REFUSAL Sep29 Aug24 Aug04 Jul20 Jun29 (thompson )IRONEYES R 119 2.50 38% 1.60    
4  FLO TIME Sep20 Jul21 Jun23 Apr11 Oct11 (martinez o)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 4.50    
5  AKASI Sep06 Aug17 Aug04 Jul20 Jun23 (thompson grady)RAMOS B 124 8.00 26% 2.90    
 
ARP-4   10/13/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY ATHENA Sep29 Sep06 Aug19 Jul16 Jul06 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 122 2.50    
2  CAJUN TRINITY Jul08 Jun24 Jun18 May13 Apr16 (vargas jose)BACHICHA ELIJAH 124 4.50 46% 1.20    
3  RETRO RITA May27 Apr27 Apr12 Mar22 Mar15 (hibdon ma)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.00    
4  FESSY Sep08 Aug23 Aug16 Jul28 Jul20 (schindler je)AGUILAR DANIEL 122 3.00 19% 4.40    
5  EARLY APRIL Aug31 Aug17 Aug04 Jul14 Jun30 (mckinney )IRONEYES R 119 10.00 7% 14.40    
6  ZACANGO PRIDE Sep21 Aug30 Aug18 Jul27 Jul06 (guadarrama o)CARILLO DANIEL 122 6.00    
7  MELODY ROSE Sep29 Aug11 Aug04 Jun23 Jun08 (scudder jr)ARANA MINOR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  GAME TO PLAY Oct04 Sep22 Sep13 Aug31 Aug18 (ibanez alber)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 12.00    
 
ARP-5   10/13/2024 5490ft DIRT RC11 FAST CTBA Derby Purse ($45K) 3 ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SNUGGLE BUNNY Sep29 Aug30 Jul08 Jun24 Jun02 (parsons r)IRONEYES R 122 4.50 5% 17.50    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of SHEETS by SCATMANDU)
2  ALL ABOUT MISCHIEF Sep21 Sep01 Jun07     (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 122 2.50    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of MISS CASTELLI by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR  PALACE PATCH Oct05 Sep21 Sep06 Aug17 Aug04 (rushton stetson)RAMOS B 122 6.00    
  (by PALACE out of HOLY TRICK by HOLY BULL)
4  FERRARI RED Oct04 Sep22 Sep06 Aug10 Jul27 (martinez o)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 8.00 53% 0.90    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of COOPER'S KEEPER by TEMPLE CITY)
5  EZ FITZ Sep28 Sep07 Aug11 Jul19 Jul08 (parsons riley)CARDOSO DAVID 122 2.00    
  (by EZ EFFORT out of SNICKEL FITZ by SEATTLE FITZ (ARG))
 
ARP-6   10/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAN DANZER Oct04 Sep21 Sep06 Aug10 Aug03 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 121 6.00 20% 4.10    
2  ICE STORM Sep24 Aug26 Aug05 Jul23 Jul10 (moreno car)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 2.00 40% 1.50    
3  TAPIT DOWN Sep28 Sep06 Jun13 May17 Apr19 (rushton stetso)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 8.00    
4  UNCLE JUJU Sep13 Aug18 Jul28 Jul19 Jul07 (rushton s)IRONEYES R 117 10.00 6% 16.20    
5  MAKE IT BURN Sep22 Aug22 Aug03 Jun29 Jun15 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 122 4.00    
6  SHAKINTHEMONARCHY Oct06 Sep20 Sep06 Aug24 Aug10 (hibdon ma)MEDINA ANGEL 122 4.50    
 
ARP-7   10/13/2024 5490ft DIRT RC11 FAST CTBA Oaks Purse ($45.5K) 3 F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EYES ON GLADIATOR         (rushton s)IRONEYES R 122 10.00 14% 6.10    
  (by ROMAN GLADIATOR out of CLOSE YOUR EYES by NOT FOR LOVE)
2  I'M A TRUMPER Oct05 Sep20 Sep09 Aug12 Jul29 (kemper kerry)CARDOSO DAVID 122 6.00    
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of SWEETPRINCESSCHARM by SWEETSOUTHERNSAINT)
3  LONG MAY SHE RUN Sep21 Aug18 Aug03 Jun02 Sep09 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 122 3.50 41% 1.40    
  (by KLIMT out of RATE OF EXCHANGE by EXCHANGE RATE)
4  MISS YOU NO MORE Sep20 Aug25 Jul24 Jul14 Jun23 (rushton st)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 2.50    
  (by ELMAZEED out of MISS YOU HOME by FIVE STAR DAY)
5  DANCING GLADIATOR         (rushton stetso)MCNEIL BRYAN 122 8.00 14% 6.10    
  (by ROMAN GLADIATOR out of DANCING FOR MORGAN by REAL QUIET)
6  FLY FREE Oct05 Sep20 Sep09 Aug12 Jul29 (kemper kerry)RAMOS B 122 4.50    
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of R S JOY by KITTEN'S JOY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.