Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Arapahoe Park
Sunday - October 06, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-1   WIN (7/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $11.20 $5.20 87%
ARP-4   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $7.00 $1.00 17%
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  5-2 $15.80 $3.80 32%
Simulator Race results
 
ARP-1   10/06/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:223 :463 :59     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SEA BREEZE BOY 2 1 1½ 1½   1½ 13 (lavanway days)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.50 26% 2.80 4.60 W
  (by JERANIMO out of HEAT SENSITIVE by SEA MINISTER)
5  TAPITBOY 5 3 42 31½   2½ 23 (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 122 2.50 3.60  
  (by TAPITURE out of SPECIAL GAL by TAYLOR'S SPECIAL)
4  JET STREAM 4 6 64½ 55½   43½ 39 (rushton s)MEDINA ANGEL 122 3.50 3.80  
  (by CONGRATS out of AVIATING by SHANGHAI BOBBY)
7  GRACEFULLYBROKE 7 7 76½ 67½   55 49¾ (rushton s)IRONEYES R 116 2.00 50% 1.00 3.80  
  (by APACHE PARK out of BROKEANLOVINGIT by BLUEGRASS CAT)
6  RAIDER NATION 6 2 2½ 2½   32½ 512¼ (ortega joe)RAMOS B 122 4.50 ★ 3.20  
  (by NATIONHOOD out of MISS SANDRA SUE by BERTRANDO)
3  NAPO 3 4 32 44½   610 623¾ (ibanez albe)VORRATH VALENTE 124 6.00 22.30  
  (by TOO DISCREET out of FOREST MAGIC by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
1  A WALK ON THE MOON 1 5 54 79½   720 770 (kemper kerry)MCNEIL BRYAN 122 12.00 5% 19.00 5.70  
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of A WALK IN THE PARK by UNUSUAL HEAT)
 
ARP-2   10/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:221 :46 :591     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TAP TAP HUSTO 6 5 22 1nk   12 12½ (martinez o)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 4.50 2.00  
1  RUNNIN BUFFALO 1 3 69½ 66¾   43 22½ (rushton temple)HAAR NATHAN 121 2.50 7.30  
5  SHAKINTHEMONARCHY 5 4 45½ 44½   22 33¼ (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 122 6.00 5% 19.00 4.40 S
2  NIGHT TERROR 2 2 33½ 31½   32 47 (dieter da)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50 34% 1.90 2.50  
3  PRINCE OTTO 3 6 56½ 56½   67¼ 513 (esquibel mar)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 10.00 30% 2.30 6.10  
4  KICKIN' CHARLIE 4 1 12 2nk   57 620 (tsosie terri)CARDENAS JACOB 122 4.00 4.40  
 
ARP-3   10/06/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:22 :462       :522   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  KAELY'S BROTHER 2 5 42½     2nk 12¼ (schindler je)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 5.00 7.80  
6  POPS AWESOME 6 4 64¼     51¾ 22¼ (williams dewey)RAMOS B 124 3.00 1.70  
1  PRINCE OF LUCK 1 1 11     1nk 32¼ (rushton st)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.50 1.80  
3  UNBOWED 3 6 54     41½ 43½ (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50 15% 5.50 3.10  
5  HERMISTON 5 3 31     3½ 54 (lavanway )IRONEYES R 119 3.50 49% 1.00 9.00  
4  SOUTHERN MOJO 4 2 21     63¼ 68¼ (quezada zach)CARDENAS JACOB 124 10.00 5% 19.00 12.80  
 
ARP-4   10/06/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:123     1:254   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  IMPASSIONED CLAIM 5 2 21½ 21   11½ 11 (whitehouse wi)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50 18% 4.50 2.50 W
2  BRANNIGAN 2 4 53½ 31   21½ 21 (lavanway )IRONEYES R 119 6.00 30% 2.40 2.20 P
3  EMPEROR'S CHOICE 3 1 11½ 11   33 38¾ (leon alexis)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 4.00 4.90  
1  MONGOLIAN MOON 1 6 66½ 65   55½ 48¾ (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 4.00  
6  VITALE 6 3 33 41½   45 512¼ (ramaekers)MEDINA ANGEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00 10.40  
4  FLOOR IT 4 5 43 54½   611½ 624½ (arceo salv)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 2.50 4.10  
SCR  MO DANDY               (nolazco jesu)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 4.50    
SCR  TULSA TIME               (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 121 2.00    
 
ARP-5   10/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:221 :451 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BUGLER 4 4 1nk 1nk   2nk 1¾ (kenney ryan)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 11.70  
5  MISTER CHAIRMAN 5 1 41 3½   1nk 2¾ (ramaekers)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.00 46% 1.20 2.20 P
6  MAIUS 6 2 63 41½   42 34 (martinez a)RAMOS B 121 2.50 3.90  
1  INCREDIBE MO 1 6 52½ 52½   55 47 (whitehous)IRONEYES R 119 3.00 17% 4.80 3.10  
3  CREATIVE MIRACLE 3 3 3½ 64   66 57 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 6.00 6.60  
2  MR. STANG 2 5 2nk 2nk   31 68¼ (moreno car)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 3.50 13% 6.60 5.40  
7  OVERTAXED 7 7 78 74¼   79 714 (ibanez alber)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00 7.20  
 
ARP-8   10/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:223 :47 :60     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  KEBA LUCKY DAY 7 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 12¼ (kenney ryan)CARDOSO DAVID 124 10.00 37% 1.70 1.70 W
3  UNPLUCKED GEM 2 4 2nk 2nk   2nk 22¼ (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 3.50  
6  T R'S FIRST 5 7 68 55½   55¼ 34½ (hibdon mark )AGUILAR DANIEL 124 8.00 11.30  
2  BEHOLD THAT WORD 1 5 710 68½   67¼ 45¼ (rushton s)IRONEYES R 116 2.50 ★ 3.60  
4  RICHIE'S GAL 3 6 43 41½   33 55¾ (ramaekers)MEDINA ANGEL 122 4.50 39% 1.50 4.00  
5  EXPLOSIVE SKIES 4 3 31½ 31   43¼ 67¾ (mitchell chris )ARANA MINOR 124 10.00 13.00  
7  MY MEADOW 6 2 56 711½   717¼ 746¼ (hall monk)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 12.00 5% 19.00 9.80  
SCR  NEW YEARS LOVE               (jenkins re)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 6.00    
SCR  OUR CLOVER GAL               (ibanez albe)VORRATH VALENTE 124 6.00    
SCR  RAY AREWETHEREYET               (rushton stetson)RAMOS B 124 15.00    
 
ARP-9   10/06/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:224 :462       :524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  JONO 6 2 2nk     1½ 1¾ (rushton temple)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.00 ★ 3.30  
5  ELIOT NESS 5 5 1nk     2½ 2¾ (ramaekers)MEDINA ANGEL 124 4.50 4.20  
4  MY LITTLE PRINCE 4 3 3.2     32½ 32½ (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50 11% 8.10 1.10 S
7  YATAHEY 7 1 51¾     42½ 42¾ (guadarrama )VORRATH VALENTE 121 5.00 7.80  
3  LEAP DAY 3 7 41¾     53 54½ (tsosie terri)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 2.50 62% 0.60 10.40  
1  TOOTHLESS WONDER 1 6 63¼     65 66½ (scudder jr)ARANA MINOR 124 6.00 10.00  
2  ROUGE SUNSET 2 4 75¼     710 718½ (barriga diaz)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 6.00 ★ 16.10  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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