Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Arapahoe Park
Sunday - October 06, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-1   WIN (7/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/1)-(7/2/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/2/1)-(7/2/6/1)-(7/2/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/2/1)-(2/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
ARP-2   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
ARP-3   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(2/5/6)-(5/1/2/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
ARP-4   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
ARP-5   WIN (5/1/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/7)-(5/1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/7)-(5/1/2/7)-(5/1/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
ARP-8   WIN (4/10/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/10/7)-(4/10/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/10/7)-(4/10/2/7)-(4/10/2/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/10/7)-(3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
ARP-9   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4)-(3/4/2/6)-(3/4/2/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ARP-1   10/06/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A WALK ON THE MOON Feb23 Jan13       (kemper kerry)MCNEIL BRYAN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of A WALK IN THE PARK by UNUSUAL HEAT)
2  SEA BREEZE BOY Aug30 Aug04 Jul13 Jul06 Jun09 (lavanway days)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.50 26% 2.80    
  (by JERANIMO out of HEAT SENSITIVE by SEA MINISTER)
3  NAPO Sep06 Mar02 Oct27 Oct21 Oct01 (ibanez albe)VORRATH VALENTE 124 6.00    
  (by TOO DISCREET out of FOREST MAGIC by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
4  JET STREAM Aug17 Jul14 Jul06 May26   (rushton s)MEDINA ANGEL 122 3.50    
  (by CONGRATS out of AVIATING by SHANGHAI BOBBY)
5  TAPITBOY Sep15 Aug16 Jun23 May26 May03 (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 122 2.50    
  (by TAPITURE out of SPECIAL GAL by TAYLOR'S SPECIAL)
6  RAIDER NATION Sep15 Aug03 Jul20 Mar28   (ortega joe)RAMOS B 122 4.50 ★    
  (by NATIONHOOD out of MISS SANDRA SUE by BERTRANDO)
7  GRACEFULLYBROKE Sep21         (rushton s)IRONEYES R 116 2.00 50% 1.00    
  (by APACHE PARK out of BROKEANLOVINGIT by BLUEGRASS CAT)
 
ARP-2   10/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNNIN BUFFALO Sep08 Jun08 Nov24 Nov10 Oct27 (rushton temple)HAAR NATHAN 121 2.50    
2  NIGHT TERROR Sep02 Aug03 Jun22 Jun02 May18 (dieter da)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50 34% 1.90    
3  PRINCE OTTO Apr16 Apr02 Mar04 Feb20 Oct22 (esquibel mar)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 10.00 30% 2.30    
4  KICKIN' CHARLIE Sep07 Aug30 Aug18 Aug11 Aug04 (tsosie terri)CARDENAS JACOB 122 4.00    
5  SHAKINTHEMONARCHY Sep20 Sep06 Aug24 Aug10 Jul20 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  TAP TAP HUSTO Sep22 Jun30 Sep09 Aug19 Jul29 (martinez o)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 4.50    
 
ARP-3   10/06/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCE OF LUCK Sep22 Sep13 Aug23 Aug16 Aug04 (rushton st)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.50    
2  KAELY'S BROTHER Sep01 Aug17 Jul21 Jul14 May18 (schindler je)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 5.00    
3  UNBOWED Aug21 Jul16 Jun28 Jun23 May04 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50 15% 5.50    
4  SOUTHERN MOJO Sep07 Jun29 Jun14 Jun02 May12 (quezada zach)CARDENAS JACOB 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  HERMISTON Aug31 Aug18 Aug03 Jul20 Jun30 (lavanway )IRONEYES R 119 3.50 49% 1.00    
6  POPS AWESOME Aug25 Aug03 Apr16 Sep15 Aug19 (williams dewey)RAMOS B 124 3.00    
 
ARP-4   10/06/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONGOLIAN MOON Sep22 Aug16 Aug04 Jul28 Apr15 (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00    
2  BRANNIGAN Sep28 Sep20 Sep05 Aug25 Aug11 (lavanway )IRONEYES R 119 6.00 30% 2.40    
3  EMPEROR'S CHOICE Sep07 Sep01 Aug24 Aug18 Aug03 (leon alexis)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 4.00    
4  FLOOR IT Sep13 Sep08 Aug18 Jul19 Jun02 (arceo salv)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 2.50    
5  IMPASSIONED CLAIM Sep22 Aug10 Jul13 Jun22 Apr16 (whitehouse wi)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50 18% 4.50    
6  VITALE Sep28 Sep14 Sep02 Jul28 Jun06 (ramaekers)MEDINA ANGEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TULSA TIME Sep21 Sep07 Jul21 Jun30 Jun15 (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 121 2.00    
SCR  MO DANDY Sep06 Aug30 Aug18 Aug11 Jul20 (nolazco jesu)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 4.50    
 
ARP-5   10/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INCREDIBE MO Aug10 Jul13 Apr29 Apr03 Mar19 (whitehous)IRONEYES R 119 3.00 17% 4.80    
2  MR. STANG Aug20 Jul16 Jun26 Jun05 Apr30 (moreno car)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 3.50 13% 6.60    
3  CREATIVE MIRACLE Sep22 Aug28 Jul30 Jul07 Jun22 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 6.00    
4  BUGLER Sep02 Aug24 Aug10 Jul03 Jun16 (kenney ryan)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50    
5  MISTER CHAIRMAN Sep21 Sep02 Aug17 Aug01 Jun20 (ramaekers)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.00 46% 1.20    
6  MAIUS Sep07 Aug10 Jul13 Jun08 Apr11 (martinez a)RAMOS B 121 2.50    
7  OVERTAXED Sep20 Sep08 Sep02 Aug03 Jul19 (ibanez alber)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
ARP-8   10/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NEW YEARS LOVE Sep27 Sep15 Sep11 Sep03 Aug13 (jenkins re)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 6.00    
2  BEHOLD THAT WORD Sep21 Jul18 Oct03 Sep19 Sep04 (rushton s)IRONEYES R 116 2.50 ★    
3  UNPLUCKED GEM Sep27 Aug31 Aug01 Jun30 Apr12 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50    
4  RICHIE'S GAL Sep14 Sep01 Aug16 Aug03 Jul28 (ramaekers)MEDINA ANGEL 122 4.50 39% 1.50    
5  EXPLOSIVE SKIES Sep20 Sep05 Jun29 Apr24 Dec16 (mitchell chris )ARANA MINOR 124 10.00    
6  T R'S FIRST Sep27 Sep07 Jun25 Jun05 May20 (hibdon mark )AGUILAR DANIEL 124 8.00    
7  MY MEADOW Sep03 Aug21 Jul30 Jul08 Sep25 (hall monk)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  OUR CLOVER GAL Sep29 Sep15 Sep08 May17 Apr27 (ibanez albe)VORRATH VALENTE 124 6.00    
SCR  RAY AREWETHEREYET Jun23 Jun09 Apr13 Mar30 Mar17 (rushton stetson)RAMOS B 124 15.00    
10  KEBA LUCKY DAY Sep28 Aug25 Jul25 Jul07 Jun13 (kenney ryan)CARDOSO DAVID 124 10.00 37% 1.70    
 
ARP-9   10/06/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOOTHLESS WONDER Sep01 Aug18 Jul14 Jun29 Jun09 (scudder jr)ARANA MINOR 124 6.00    
2  ROUGE SUNSET Sep22 Sep06 Aug25 Aug18 Aug03 (barriga diaz)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 6.00 ★    
3  LEAP DAY Sep22 Sep08 Sep01 Aug18 Aug03 (tsosie terri)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 2.50 62% 0.60    
4  MY LITTLE PRINCE Sep20 Sep07 Aug11 Jul20 Jul13 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50 11% 8.10    
5  ELIOT NESS Sep23 Aug25 Aug12 Jul14 Jun22 (ramaekers)MEDINA ANGEL 124 4.50    
6  JONO Sep08 Jun28 Jun14 May25 Mar23 (rushton temple)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.00 ★    
7  YATAHEY Aug31 Aug17 Jul20 Jun15 Aug18 (guadarrama )VORRATH VALENTE 121 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.