Handicappers' Race Results
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Arapahoe Park
Saturday - September 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ARP-1   Win (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $20.20 $20.20 14.20
ARP-2   Win (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $5.80  
ARP-3   Win (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $13.40  
ARP-4   Win (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $6.00  
ARP-5   Win (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
ARP-6   Win (1/7/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $11.20  
Simulator Race results
 
ARP-1   09/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($17K) 2 F PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:222 :463 :594     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SPORTING STAR 4 2 2nk 1½   15 112½ (williams de)IRONEYES R 117 10.00 24% 3.20 9.10 W
7  ADETERMINEDMOM 6 5 44 34½   37 212½ (kemper kerry)HAAR NATHAN 122 4.50 1.50  
1  STOLEN FUNDS 1 6 610½ 613½   410 312¾ (rushton stetso)AGUILAR DANIEL 122 10.00 9.10  
6  GOLDEN BEAUTY 5 3 1nk 2½   25 416½ (martinez a)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 119 2.50 39% 1.60 1.60  
2  ALLIYAS CREATION 2 4 55½ 58½   510 519¼ (martinez a)CARDOSO DAVID 119 3.50 4.50  
4  ZIP IT KAREN 3 1 32 47½   618 668¾ (scudder jr)MCNEIL BRYAN 122 6.00 5% 19.00 9.90  
SCR  BEAUTIFUL BREEZE               (kenney ryan)RAMOS B 122 8.00    
 
ARP-2   09/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:222 :47 1:002     1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TIZ A STRATEGY 3 4 65 66½   23 1½ (lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 1.90  
4  RAINBOWS ON ICE 4 3 53 42½   13 2½ (rust terri)IRONEYES R 117 6.00 37% 1.70 2.90 P
6  PRINCESS VANELLOPE 6 1 2½ 32½   33 37¾ (ramaekers eric)RAMOS B 122 3.50 26% 2.80 3.80 S
1  AFLEET DIVINE 1 5 3½ 22   43½ 413¼ (rushton stetso)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 4.50 33.20  
5  KARMA DE VILLE 5 2 1½ 12   54 518¾ (martinez a)MCNEIL BRYAN 122 10.00 5% 19.00 8.30  
2  BIG MARY 2 6 42 54½   69 643¼ (martinez a)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 8.00 2.30  
 
ARP-3   09/28/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:114     1:253   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TAPIT DOWN 6 4 33 32½   1½ 1½ (rushton stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 4.50 5.70  
2  NORTHWIND 2 1 12 2½   31½ 2½ (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50 0.90  
3  NON TOXIC 3 2 22 1½   2½ 31¼ (rust terri)RAMOS B 124 2.50 58% 0.70 5.00 S
1  ETHAN 1 5 44½ 47½   46½ 411¼ (lavanway da)IRONEYES R 119 6.00 5.90  
4  MEET GEORGE JETSON 4 3 54½ 58   56½ 518¼ (rushton temple)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 10% 8.80 8.30  
5  CHICKEN N BISCUIT 5 6 66½ 611   611½ 629 (esquibel mark)VORRATH VALENTE 124 10.00 5% 19.00 5.00  
 
ARP-4   09/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:221 :453 :583     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  HAIL STATE 4 1 1nk 1nk   11½ 12½ (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.00 2.00  
6  BLUE SKYE JADE 5 2 3½ 32   32 22½ (williams dewey)RAMOS B 124 2.50 45% 1.20 1.20 P
4  DANCE FOR RANSOM 3 5 55½ 56   54 33 (schindler jeff)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 6.00 5% 19.00 6.10 S
1  OAKES CROSSING 1 3 2nk 2nk   21½ 43½ (long vaughn)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.50 4.70  
3  OPTIMAL 2 4 42½ 43   43 55¼ (rushton temple)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 25% 3.00 5.50  
SCR  REVENIR               (ibanez alberto)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 10.00    
 
ARP-5   09/28/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:111     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CAT GAMER 2 2 1nk 1nk   1½ 13 (rust terri)IRONEYES R 119 4.50 50% 1.00 0.90 W
5  EZ FITZ 4 1 2nk 2nk   2½ 23 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 119 4.00 15% 5.70 2.50 P
4  ARMAVIR 3 3 35 35   35½ 314¾ (thompson grady)RAMOS B 124 3.50 2.60  
1  POND 1 4 48 412   414½ 443½ (thompson grady)MCNEIL BRYAN 122 6.00 4.90  
SCR  CHERRY RIVER               (oliver kim)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 2.00    
 
ARP-6   09/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:221 :453 :582     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  EURO TRACKING 2 1 2nk 11   12 12¼ (vicchrilli r)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 3.50 4.60  
7  BRANNIGAN 6 4 42½ 42½   22 22¼ (lavanway dayso)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 4.00 29% 2.50 1.90 P
3  HAPPY HOUR BOBBY 3 2 1nk 32   34 38½ (kenney ryan)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.00 2.20  
1  DOCS CARO CAT 1 5 31 21   44 413 (rushton stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 6.00 38% 1.60 11.40  
8  SHARP AZ NAILS 7 3 77 79½   711½ 522 (thompson grady)RAMOS B 124 8.00 5% 19.00 6.80  
5  RIVERSPORT 5 7 66 57½   59 623¼ (ibanez a)ARRIOLA-SERRANO JOSE 124 12.00 12.40  
4  FUNNY ACTOR 4 6 55½ 67½   611 726¼ (esquibel mark)VORRATH VALENTE 124 10.00 6% 14.70 6.80  
SCR  PRINCE OF LUCK               (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.