Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Zia Park
Tuesday - November 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ZIA-5   WIN (4/2/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $9.40 $1.40 18%
    EXA (4/2/1/9)-(4/2/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-2 $17.80 $5.80 48%
ZIA-7   SFT (3/7/1/9/8)-(3/7/1/9/8)-(3/7/1/9/8)-(3/7/1/9/8) 120 $0.10 $12.00  3-7-9-8 $16.63 $4.63 39%
ZIA-9   WIN (11/8/7/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00  8 $11.40 $1.40 14%
    EXA (11/8/7/9/2)-(11/8/7/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00  8-11 $33.00 $13.00 65%
ZIA-10   TRI (12/1/2/3/8)-(12/1/2/3/8)-(12/1/2/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00  12-1-3 $55.60 $25.60 85%
Simulator Race results
 
ZIA-1   11/12/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 35 ALL PT- 2:05
See original race card.
:222 :45       :512   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MARKED CASH 6 6 1nk     13 13 (zamora chris)VALDEZ S 121 10.00 1.10  
  (by MARKING out of PAY BACK TIME by MONTREAL RED)
2  THE BLACK 2 3 53¼     33½ 23 (armstrong)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 8.00 6.80  
  (by STELLAR RAIN out of REAPPEAR by HADIF)
4  JMARK 4 1 31½     23 33½ (quiroz )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 1.20 33% 2.00 3.60 S
  (by MARKING out of SHE'S PLAIN JANE by INTO MISCHIEF)
5  CHEROKEE CHERRY 5 4 41¾     55½ 410 (green greg)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 6.00 30% 2.30 4.10  
  (by SPORTING CHANCE out of CHERRY ONE by SIR CHEROKEE)
1  BELIEVE IN MARKING 1 2 2nk     44 510¼ (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 1.40 4.20  
  (by MARKING out of CANDY'S SISTER by STREET BOSS)
3  HANDMEDOWN D'ORO 3 5 68¼     68½ 616¾ (aldavaz j)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 121 20.00 5% 19.00 29.70  
  (by PLUM DANDY out of BLOSS by DIABOLICAL)
 
ZIA-2   11/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:33
See original race card.
:222 :444 :564     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ANTONIOS MARK 7 6 51¼ 3.2   1nk 1hd (barton dallas)JUAREZ J 123 1.60 28% 2.60 0.50 W
4  FLAGS FINALE 4 2 3.2 2nk   2nk 2hd (aldavaz hermengi)MEDELLIN A 123 3.50 15% 5.80 3.70 P
1  DIABOLICAL STORM 1 3 2nk 4¾   43 34 (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 2.00 34% 1.90 3.70 S
3  WARRIORS MARK 3 1 1nk 1nk   32 44 (fincher w)ROSENDO J 123 6.00 9.60  
6  ALL CHROME 6 7 75¼ 74¾   65½ 57 (baldwin lynette)HEBERT J 123 12.00 5% 19.00 24.30  
2  NO PASA NADA 2 5 61¾ 52¼   55 610¼ (singh joh)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 15.00 60.30  
5  HENNESSY'S SQUIRT 5 4 4¾ 63¾   77 710¾ (chadborn kenn)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 20.00 56.40  
 
ZIA-3   11/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 2 F PT- 3:01
See original race card.
1:05         1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SAPELLO SAMBA 8 3 2nk 3½   1½ 1½ (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 4.00 2.50  
  (by BERNSTER out of DATTTS DA BOSS by STREET BOSS)
6  PUNKIN PUDDIN 6 1 1nk 2nk   2½ 2½ (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 120 2.00 46% 1.20 0.50 P
  (by PROCEED out of LESSTALKMOREACTION by ROLL HENNESSY ROLL)
1  THATSATERRIBLIDEA 1 4 3.2 1nk   32½ 39¼ (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 2.50 28% 2.60 7.30 S
  (by PROCEED out of BEKAT BEKAT by LAWYER RON)
4  STRIKE THE SENSES 4 7 66¼ 44½   45 410¼ (hone)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 6.00 11.50 DQ↓7
  (by HOLY LUTE out of LETTHESENSEIN by STREET SENSE)
5  GO WATER 5 5 56¼ 67   57 512¼ (hudson jeff)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 8.00 60.70  
  (by KENTUCKY WILDCAT out of CREEKWATER PUNCH by RIGHT RIGGER)
3  FOR THE GRAM 3 6 77¾ 77½   78½ 615¼ (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 12.00 5% 19.00 16.40  
  (by ARTFUL RUN out of LITTLE MANDATE by FULL MANDATE)
2  LA JOLLA BEACH 2 8 88¾ 56½   67½ 717¾ (vaughn lonnie)CARRENO J 120 20.00 5% 19.00 56.00  
  (by PROCEED out of KARISSA BALLERINA by HOLMES)
7  STORMY RYTHM 7 2 43¾ 88½   812 822¾ (w)DE CRUZ 120 10.00 41.00  
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of CATCHY RYTHM by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
 
ZIA-4   11/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:29
See original race card.
:221 :444       1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BART SIP SOME 7 1 2½ 2nk   1nk 1¼ (cappellucci dick)MEDELLIN A 119 4.00 2.40  
9  FLEET OF FLAGS 8 2 31½ 3½   2nk 2¼ (hone bart)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 15.00 11% 8.00 2.30 P
4  STACKERS 3 3 63½ 74½   54 35 (barrios)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 20.00 34.70  
7  HAM SANDWICH 6 5 53 53   33 45¼ (cappellucci)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 3.00 40% 1.50 3.50  
6  RUNDOFT 5 7 75 64   64¼ 56¼ (fincher w)VALDEZ S 119 1.60 3.10  
5  WALKIN TALKIN BOB 4 6 42½ 42   43½ 66¾ (huds)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 15.00 26.10  
2  SMOKE STACK 2 8 87 86   85¾ 712¾ (martinez a)CARRENO J 121 30.00 5% 19.00 62.40  
1  FAST TIMES 1 4 1½ 1nk   74¾ 820 (fincher w)HEBERT J 119 6.00 17% 5.00 8.30  
SCR  RAPID EXPANSION               (armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 10.00    
 
ZIA-5   11/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 2 F PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:221 :452       1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE SMOOCH 1 1 1½ 1nk   2nk 1¼ (chavez larr)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 4.00 10% 9.10 3.70 W
  (by COMFORT out of A KISS FOR MOM by ROLL HENNESSY ROLL)
2  SIRRAH 2 2 2½ 2nk   1nk 2¼ (buechler sim)FUENTES A 120 3.00 29% 2.50 2.50 P
  (by HARRIS out of PASSION TO WIN by EXCESSIVE PASSION)
4  INEEDAMARKER 4 3 32 31   3½ 36¼ (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 1.40 41% 1.50 0.70 S
  (by MARKING out of DOMESDAY GAL by DOME)
5  BONIFIED WILDCAT 5 5 42 41½   42½ 48 (lambert casey)JUAREZ J 120 12.00 17.50  
  (by KENTUCKY WILDCAT out of DUST ALERT by RIGHT RIGGER)
7  MS TRES MORENA 6 7 62¾ 52½   55 514¾ (gonzalez a)CARRENO J 120 30.00 85.10  
  (by MR. TRIESTE out of MUSADAQA by BERNARDINI)
9  NETTLEINFRONT 8 6 86¾ 85½   67 615 (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 8.00 5% 19.00 10.90  
  (by COMFORT out of NETTLE by STROLL)
8  POP'S PARTY 7 8 76¾ 75   77½ 720 (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 10.00 40.40  
  (by DELHOMME out of CAMPFIRE PARTY by FOREST DANGER)
3  SPOONIN SHUGA 3 4 52¼ 64   88 823½ (fincher w)ROSENDO J 120 15.00 70.80  
  (by PROCEED out of CARRIESAYSITBEST by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  PRO BUSINESS               (four)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 30.00    
  (by SPORTING CHANCE out of PINK CADILLAC by DIABOLICAL)
 
ZIA-6   11/12/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:22 :45       :573   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SHELL GAME 6 1 51¾ 31   1½ 13½ (more)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 30.00 43.20  
8  INDIAN EXCELLENCE 8 6 2nk 1½   2½ 23½ (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 121 8.00 18.20  
9  MARQUIS LIGHTS 9 5 3.2 2½   31 35 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 1.20 30% 2.40 0.30 S
3  I WIN LIKA GIRL 3 7 74¾ 74½   42 45½ (gomez steve)ROSENDO J 121 10.00 5% 19.00 28.60  
5  DESERTROSE OFTEXAS 5 9 85¾ 85   74½ 57 (quiroz )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 8.00 12.00  
4  RUN LIKE KATE 4 8 63¼ 63½   53 68½ (martinez )BOBROFF JACQUELYN 121 20.00 70.00  
7  BOSSY BABY 7 2 1nk 53   63½ 710¼ (martinez dann)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 6.00 26% 2.90 11.90  
1  LINE CALL 1 3 4¾ 42   85 812¾ (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 4.50 21% 3.80 5.70  
2  STORMY DAME 2 4 97¼ 96½   96½ 913¾ (s)DE CRUZ 121 10.00 5% 19.00 19.50  
 
ZIA-7   11/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 2 F PT- 4:53
See original race card.
:223 :453       1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FORTY FIVE 3 1 1½ 1½   1½ 1½ (cappellucci)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 3.00 39% 1.60 2.00 W
  (by MARKING out of ON STRIDE by GHOSTLY MOVES)
7  MARKSALOT 6 3 2½ 2½   2½ 2½ (fincher w)HEBERT J 120 2.50 26% 2.90 2.30 P
  (by MARKING out of AMERICAN LADY by STARSPANGLEDBANNER)
9  ON MY MARK 8 4 52½ 43   43½ 36 (chavez larr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 12.00 5% 19.00 5.80 S
  (by MARKING out of PLENTY OF JOY by DIABOLICAL)
8  GHOSTLY THUNDER 7 2 31½ 31½   32½ 48½ (pierce )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00 31.80  
  (by RUNAWAY GHOST out of MIGHTY NICE by FLATTER)
1  BYE BYE HOLLEY 1 7 64 65½   56½ 516¼ (fincher w)ROSENDO J 120 4.00 11% 8.20 2.80  
  (by MARKING out of ANNIS by TEXAS GLITTER)
6  SAPELLO STREAKER 5 5 42 53½   68 624 (vald)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 5.00 8.20  
  (by METABOSS out of SCARLET STREAK by ROMAN EMPEROR)
5  REGAL'S CHARM 4 8 89 810½   817 730¾ (m)DE CRUZ 120 20.00 35.00  
  (by OH SO REGAL out of MARTI'S CHARM by COLONEL JOHN)
2  BACK PAY 2 6 76½ 78½   715 830¾ (de cruz)MEDINA ANTHONY 120 30.00 36.30  
  (by MARKING out of PAY BACK TIME by MONTREAL RED)
SCR  MO MONEY TIME               (hone bart)JUAREZ J 120 8.00    
  (by CONQUEST MO MONEY out of MY BIKINI FELL OFF by ELUSIVE JAZZ)
 
ZIA-8   11/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($24.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
See original race card.
:23 :453 1:102     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  WE NEED MARKETING 9 2 41½ 31½   11 12¾ (quiroz )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 10.00 9.30  
5  IOWA HAWKEYE 5 7 51¾ 52   21 22¾ (cappellucci)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 1.60 51% 1.00 0.60 P
8  KAE GAE 7 6 1½ 11   31½ 36 (long vaughn)MEDELLIN A 119 10.00 5% 19.00 5.10 S
3  ABETEMARCO 3 5 73¼ 73   45½ 411½ (trujillo jeff)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 20.00 46.50  
6  DA RINGO 6 9 108¾ 94½   56 512 (gonz)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 6.00 6.40  
9  PINEY BLUFF 8 8 95¾ 105   66 613¾ (martinez a)CARRENO J 121 30.00 89.80  
11  RAINBOW CREST 10 1 61¾ 62½   77 714¾ (barrios ber)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 10.00 5% 19.00 38.80  
2  ICE STORM 2 10 83¾ 84   87½ 815¼ (long vaughn)ROSENDO J 121 12.00 16% 5.20 7.00  
1  M G M'S LUCKY 1 4 31½ 42   98 916¼ (hudson jeff)JUAREZ J 121 12.00 50.70  
4  LAUGH OF THE PARTY 4 3 2½ 21   108¼ 1016¼ (martinez )BOBROFF JACQUELYN 123 15.00 6% 17.00 31.40  
SCR  PRAIRIE WARRIOR               (q)DE CRUZ 121 5.00    
 
ZIA-9   11/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:49
See original race card.
:22 :45 1:101     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  EFFORT N RESULTS 8 8 82 92½   41 11¾ (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 8.00 17% 4.90 4.70 W
11  STORM BAYOU 11 9 92½ 82   3½ 21¾ (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 8.00 36% 1.80 4.90 P
10  HOT CHARLIE 10 5 61 51¼   2½ 32¼ (aldavaz hermeng)ROSENDO J 123 10.00 61.70  
7  MONIKER 7 2 1nk 1nk   1½ 42¾ (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 4.50 10% 8.90 7.70  
9  AMERICAN SOLO 9 4 71½ 71½   51½ 53 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 121 4.00 8% 11.00 4.80  
2  SUNSCREEN 2 10 107½ 107½   104¼ 64 (wool)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 10.00 5% 19.00 15.70  
5  TEE ROY 5 1 2nk 2nk   72¼ 76 (gomez steve)JUAREZ J 121 20.00 27.80  
3  MR. BIG RIG 3 11 118½ 117½   83¼ 86¾ (marlin i)HEBERT J 121 15.00 27.80  
1  WHERES BRAYDEN 1 6 4¾ 4¾   62 97 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 10.00 6.10  
4  CLUE 4 3 3½ 3½   93¾ 1011 (cappellucci)HERNANDEZ HARRY 123 3.50 2.20  
12  ABSTRACT KAT 12 12 129½ 128½   115¾ 1111¼ (gonzales j)CARRENO J 121 30.00 ######  
6  BESITOS CRIMINALES 6 7 5¾ 61¼   1210¾ 1225 (martinez )BOBROFF JACQUELYN 121 20.00 ######  
 
ZIA-10   11/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($26K) 35 ALL PT- 6:17
See original race card.
1:062         1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  TAZ MARKING 11 5 3½ 3½   1nk 1¼ (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 121 1.50 47% 1.10 0.60 W
1  GRAND MARKING 1 1 2nk 1nk   2nk 2¼ (cappellucci)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 5.00 26% 2.90 6.10 P
3  GEEBEESBIGBOY 3 2 1nk 2nk   3½ 32 (soto)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 15.00 5% 19.00 28.80 S
6  DESERT PUNK 6 6 73¼ 63   41½ 42 (marr jo)FUENTES T 123 8.00 19.50  
5  HARDY BOY 5 8 83¾ 73¼   63 53¾ (marr h)FUENTES A 123 4.00 2.70  
7  LIKA DAGGER 7 7 52¾ 52½   52½ 64½ (g)DE CRUZ 121 20.00 57.80  
9  AWESOME ACCOUNT 9 4 4¾ 41½   74 77 (lambert casey)PURCELL KELSI 121 20.00 36.50  
2  WORKFORIT 2 3 62¾ 83¾   86½ 89¾ (quiroz )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 10.00 5% 19.00 13.40  
8  BRAVE TOEWS 8 9 94¼ 94¾   97 910 (muniz jr)ZAVALA JULIAN 123 20.00 5% 19.00 73.80  
4  HES HIGH OH SILVER 4 10 109¼ 109¾   1015 1019½ (archuleta adam)CARRENO J 121 30.00 55.50  
11  FEARLESS YODA 10 11 1113¼ 1114¾   1115½ 1120 (vurgun za)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 118 50.00 ######  
SCR  ON THE RAPS               (barrios ber)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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