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The Longshot Specialist!
Zia Park
Tuesday - November 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ZIA-1   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(1/7/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ZIA-2   WIN (1/7/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/4/6)-(1/7/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/4/6)-(1/7/4/6)-(1/7/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/4/6)-(6/1/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
ZIA-3   WIN (6/1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/2/3)-(6/1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/2/3)-(6/1/2/3)-(6/1/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2/3)-(7/1/9/2)-(4/2/1/9) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
ZIA-4   WIN (7/1/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/9/2)-(7/1/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/9/2)-(7/1/9/2)-(7/1/9/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/9/2)-(4/2/1/9)-(9/7/1/2/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
ZIA-5   WIN (4/2/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/1/9)-(4/2/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/1/9)-(4/2/1/9)-(4/2/1/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1/9)-(9/7/1/2/3)-(3/7/1/9/8) 100 $1.00 $100 
ZIA-6   WIN (9/7/1/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/7/1/2/3)-(9/7/1/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/7/1/2/3)-(9/7/1/2/3)-(9/7/1/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
ZIA-7   WIN (3/7/1/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/7/1/9/8)-(3/7/1/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/7/1/9/8)-(3/7/1/9/8)-(3/7/1/9/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
ZIA-8   WIN (5/2/4/11/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/4/11/8)-(5/2/4/11/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/4/11/8)-(5/2/4/11/8)-(5/2/4/11/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4/11/8)-(11/8/7/9/2)-(12/1/2/3/8) 125 $1.00 $125 
ZIA-9   WIN (11/8/7/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/8/7/9/2)-(11/8/7/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/8/7/9/2)-(11/8/7/9/2)-(11/8/7/9/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/8/7/9/2)-(12/1/2/3/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
ZIA-10   WIN (12/1/2/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (12/1/2/3/8)-(12/1/2/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (12/1/2/3/8)-(12/1/2/3/8)-(12/1/2/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ZIA-1   11/12/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 35 ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELIEVE IN MARKING Oct06         (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 1.40    
  (by MARKING out of CANDY'S SISTER by STREET BOSS)
2  THE BLACK         (armstrong)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 8.00    
  (by STELLAR RAIN out of REAPPEAR by HADIF)
3  HANDMEDOWN D'ORO Dec12         (aldavaz jaim)MEDINA ANTHONY 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PLUM DANDY out of BLOSS by DIABOLICAL)
4  JMARK Oct06 Jul20 Jun14 May12   (quiroz )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 1.20 33% 2.00    
  (by MARKING out of SHE'S PLAIN JANE by INTO MISCHIEF)
5  CHEROKEE CHERRY Mar01 Feb09       (green greg)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 6.00 30% 2.30    
  (by SPORTING CHANCE out of CHERRY ONE by SIR CHEROKEE)
6  MARKED CASH Dec04         (zamora chris)VALDEZ S 121 10.00    
  (by MARKING out of PAY BACK TIME by MONTREAL RED)
 
ZIA-2   11/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIABOLICAL STORM Oct11 Sep19 Jun09 Apr07 Mar21 (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 2.00 34% 1.90    
2  NO PASA NADA Apr07 Mar08 Feb09 Jan25 Jan18 (singh joh)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 15.00    
3  WARRIORS MARK Mar01 Feb02 Oct06 Sep03 Jul16 (fincher w)ROSENDO J 123 6.00    
4  FLAGS FINALE Nov04 Oct11 Sep19 Sep02 Jul27 (aldavaz hermengi)MEDELLIN A 123 3.50 15% 5.80    
5  HENNESSY'S SQUIRT Oct16 Oct02 Jan05 Sep08 Jun11 (chadborn k)TORRES J 123 20.00    
6  ALL CHROME Oct16 Apr07 Mar08 Feb18 Feb02 (baldwin lynette)HEBERT J 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  ANTONIOS MARK Oct27 Oct12 Apr07 Mar22 Feb23 (barton dallas)JUAREZ J 123 1.60 28% 2.60    
 
ZIA-3   11/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 2 F PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THATSATERRIBLIDEA Oct09         (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 2.50 28% 2.60    
  (by PROCEED out of BEKAT BEKAT by LAWYER RON)
2  LA JOLLA BEACH         (vaughn lonnie)CARRENO J 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PROCEED out of KARISSA BALLERINA by HOLMES)
3  FOR THE GRAM         (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ARTFUL RUN out of LITTLE MANDATE by FULL MANDATE)
4  STRIKE THE SENSES         (hone)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 6.00    
  (by HOLY LUTE out of LETTHESENSEIN by STREET SENSE)
5  GO WATER         (hudson jeff)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 8.00    
  (by KENTUCKY WILDCAT out of CREEKWATER PUNCH by RIGHT RIGGER)
6  PUNKIN PUDDIN Oct09         (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 120 2.00 46% 1.20    
  (by PROCEED out of LESSTALKMOREACTION by ROLL HENNESSY ROLL)
7  STORMY RYTHM Oct19 Oct02 Aug31 Aug02   (w)DE CRUZ 120 10.00    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of CATCHY RYTHM by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
8  SAPELLO SAMBA Sep22         (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 4.00    
  (by BERNSTER out of DATTTS DA BOSS by STREET BOSS)
 
ZIA-4   11/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAST TIMES Jun08 May04       (fincher w)HEBERT J 119 6.00 17% 5.00    
2  SMOKE STACK Oct23 Aug10 Jun14 Mar22 Mar08 (martinez a)CARRENO J 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RAPID EXPANSION Oct16 Aug24 Dec13 Nov24 Nov02 (armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 10.00    
4  STACKERS Oct20 Sep12 Sep01 May27 May12 (barrios bernadette)TORRES J 121 20.00    
5  WALKIN TALKIN BOB Oct16 Sep18 Aug16 Jun14 Jul23 (huds)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 15.00    
6  RUNDOFT Jul28 Jun16 Mar15     (fincher w)VALDEZ S 119 1.60    
7  HAM SANDWICH Oct14 Sep30 Aug31 Aug13 Jul15 (cappellucci)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 3.00 40% 1.50    
8  BART SIP SOME Oct02 Sep13 Sep01 Aug08 Jun30 (cappellucci dick)MEDELLIN A 119 4.00    
9  FLEET OF FLAGS Nov04 Aug24 Apr29 Apr15 Mar19 (hone bart)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 15.00 11% 8.00    
 
ZIA-5   11/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 2 F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE SMOOCH Oct13 Sep22 Aug18 Aug02   (chavez larr)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 4.00 10% 9.10    
  (by COMFORT out of A KISS FOR MOM by ROLL HENNESSY ROLL)
2  SIRRAH Oct13 Sep22 May26     (buechler sim)FUENTES A 120 3.00 29% 2.50    
  (by HARRIS out of PASSION TO WIN by EXCESSIVE PASSION)
3  SPOONIN SHUGA Oct09         (fincher w)ROSENDO J 120 15.00    
  (by PROCEED out of CARRIESAYSITBEST by MALIBU MOON)
4  INEEDAMARKER Sep25 Aug18 Aug02 Jun07   (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 1.40 41% 1.50    
  (by MARKING out of DOMESDAY GAL by DOME)
5  BONIFIED WILDCAT Sep25 Aug31 Jun15     (lambert casey)JUAREZ J 120 12.00    
  (by KENTUCKY WILDCAT out of DUST ALERT by RIGHT RIGGER)
SCR  PRO BUSINESS Oct09 Sep05 Aug18 Aug02   (four)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 30.00    
  (by SPORTING CHANCE out of PINK CADILLAC by DIABOLICAL)
7  MS TRES MORENA Oct09         (gonzalez a)CARRENO J 120 30.00    
  (by MR. TRIESTE out of MUSADAQA by BERNARDINI)
8  POP'S PARTY Sep05 Aug02       (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 10.00    
  (by DELHOMME out of CAMPFIRE PARTY by FOREST DANGER)
9  NETTLEINFRONT         (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COMFORT out of NETTLE by STROLL)
 
ZIA-6   11/12/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LINE CALL Jan26 Dec19 Nov07 Sep14 Mar21 (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 4.50 21% 3.80    
2  STORMY DAME Oct11 Sep18 Aug25 Aug16 Apr27 (s)DE CRUZ 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  I WIN LIKA GIRL Oct04 Sep18 Sep13 Aug23 May05 (gomez steve)ROSENDO J 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  RUN LIKE KATE Nov04 Oct18 Sep18 Aug16 May12 (martinez )BOBROFF JACQUELYN 121 20.00    
5  DESERTROSE OFTEXAS Sep08 Jul28 May18 Mar28 Feb22 (quiroz )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 8.00    
6  SHELL GAME Oct23 Sep22 Aug24 Jul27 Jul19 (more)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 30.00    
7  BOSSY BABY Oct18 Sep18 May18 May04 Apr20 (martinez dann)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 6.00 26% 2.90    
8  INDIAN EXCELLENCE Sep18 Apr04 Feb08 Jan18 Dec05 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 121 8.00    
9  MARQUIS LIGHTS Nov04 Oct18 Sep19 Jul28 Apr14 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 1.20 30% 2.40    
 
ZIA-7   11/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 2 F PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BYE BYE HOLLEY         (fincher w)ROSENDO J 120 4.00 11% 8.20    
  (by MARKING out of ANNIS by TEXAS GLITTER)
2  BACK PAY         (de cruz)MEDINA ANTHONY 120 30.00    
  (by MARKING out of PAY BACK TIME by MONTREAL RED)
3  FORTY FIVE Sep25         (cappellucci)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 3.00 39% 1.60    
  (by MARKING out of ON STRIDE by GHOSTLY MOVES)
SCR  MO MONEY TIME         (hone bart)JUAREZ J 120 8.00    
  (by CONQUEST MO MONEY out of MY BIKINI FELL OFF by ELUSIVE JAZZ)
5  REGAL'S CHARM         (m)DE CRUZ 120 20.00    
  (by OH SO REGAL out of MARTI'S CHARM by COLONEL JOHN)
6  SAPELLO STREAKER         (vald)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 5.00    
  (by METABOSS out of SCARLET STREAK by ROMAN EMPEROR)
7  MARKSALOT Sep22         (fincher w)HEBERT J 120 2.50 26% 2.90    
  (by MARKING out of AMERICAN LADY by STARSPANGLEDBANNER)
8  GHOSTLY THUNDER Oct19 Jun15       (pierce )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RUNAWAY GHOST out of MIGHTY NICE by FLATTER)
9  ON MY MARK Oct13 Sep22 Aug24 Aug02   (chavez la)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MARKING out of PLENTY OF JOY by DIABOLICAL)
 
ZIA-8   11/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($24.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  M G M'S LUCKY Oct18 Sep15 Aug24 May12 Apr13 (hudson jeff)JUAREZ J 121 12.00    
2  ICE STORM Oct13 Sep24 Aug26 Aug05 Jul23 (long vaughn)ROSENDO J 121 12.00 16% 5.20    
3  ABETEMARCO Oct18 Sep26 Sep15 Sep07 May11 (trujillo j)TORRES J 121 20.00    
4  LAUGH OF THE PARTY Oct20 Oct06 Mar12 Jan29 Jan08 (martinez )BOBROFF JACQUELYN 123 15.00 6% 17.00    
5  IOWA HAWKEYE Oct05 Aug29 Jun28 Jun14 Jun02 (cappellucci)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 1.60 51% 1.00    
6  DA RINGO Oct13 Sep21 Sep07 Jun29 Jun09 (gonz)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 6.00    
SCR  PRAIRIE WARRIOR Aug23 Oct06 Sep09 Jul23 Jun25 (q)DE CRUZ 121 5.00    
8  KAE GAE Oct18 Sep29 Sep06 Aug10 Jul27 (long vaughn)MEDELLIN A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  PINEY BLUFF Sep15 Sep07 Jun09 May19 May05 (martinez a)CARRENO J 121 30.00    
10  WE NEED MARKETING Oct18 Sep26 Sep08 Feb23 Oct07 (quiroz )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 10.00    
11  RAINBOW CREST Oct11 Sep19 Sep07 Aug02 Jul19 (barrios ber)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
ZIA-9   11/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHERES BRAYDEN Sep29 Sep22 Sep14 Sep07 Aug24 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 10.00    
2  SUNSCREEN Sep14 Aug17 Apr28 Apr07 Mar21 (wool)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  MR. BIG RIG Oct20 Sep25 Sep06 Jul27 Apr07 (marlin i)HEBERT J 121 15.00    
4  CLUE Sep12 Aug25 Jul14 Jun23 Dec04 (cappellucci)HERNANDEZ HARRY 123 3.50    
5  TEE ROY Jul28 May12 Mar07 Feb22 Jan11 (gomez steve)JUAREZ J 121 20.00    
6  BESITOS CRIMINALES Oct04 Sep19 Nov14 Oct25 Oct11 (martinez )BOBROFF JACQUELYN 121 20.00    
7  MONIKER Sep26 Sep12 Aug31 Aug16 Jul20 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 4.50 10% 8.90    
8  EFFORT N RESULTS Sep14 Aug17 Jul26 May18 May11 (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 8.00 17% 4.90    
9  AMERICAN SOLO Oct20 Sep26 Sep12 Aug17 Mar07 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 121 4.00 8% 11.00    
10  HOT CHARLIE Oct12 Sep19 Aug31 Jun16 Apr21 (aldavaz hermeng)ROSENDO J 123 10.00    
11  STORM BAYOU Apr04 Feb23 Feb02 Jan18 Aug26 (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 8.00 36% 1.80    
12  ABSTRACT KAT Oct25 Jun07 May19 Apr28 Apr20 (gonzales j)CARRENO J 121 30.00    
 
ZIA-10   11/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($26K) 35 ALL PT- 6:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAND MARKING Oct25 Sep26       (cappellucci)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 5.00 26% 2.90    
2  WORKFORIT Oct25 May04 Apr27     (quiroz )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  GEEBEESBIGBOY Sep08 Jun15 May11 Mar21 Feb23 (soto)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  HES HIGH OH SILVER Oct06 Jun09       (archuleta adam)CARRENO J 121 30.00    
5  HARDY BOY Mar28 Mar08 Feb15 Jan05 Dec11 (marr h)FUENTES A 123 4.00    
6  DESERT PUNK Mar15 Feb22 Jan11 Dec19 Nov07 (marr jo)FUENTES T 123 8.00    
7  LIKA DAGGER Oct25 Oct05 Sep08 May18 Nov13 (gonzalez francisco)TORRES J 121 20.00    
8  BRAVE TOEWS Nov04 Oct25 Sep22 Sep05 Aug16 (muniz jr)ZAVALA JULIAN 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  AWESOME ACCOUNT Jul19 Oct11 Sep20 Aug19 Jul30 (lambert casey)PURCELL KELSI 121 20.00    
SCR  ON THE RAPS Oct05 Sep11       (barrios ber)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 30.00    
11  FEARLESS YODA Oct23 Oct06 Nov13 Sep04   (vurgun za)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 118 50.00    
12  TAZ MARKING Sep08 Aug23 Aug02 May19 May11 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 121 1.50 47% 1.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.