Handicappers' Race Results
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Arapahoe Park
Friday - October 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ARP-1   Win (2/11/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 0 $36.40  
ARP-2   Win (6/4/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $11.80 $11.80 3.80
ARP-3   Win (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $6.20  
ARP-4   Win (8/9/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $8.40 $8.40 0.40
ARP-5   Win (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $9.00  
ARP-6   Win (6/2/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $16.00 $16.00 8.00
ARP-8   Win (8/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $12.00 $12.00 4.00
Simulator Race results
 
ARP-1   10/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:223 :463 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SCOOTER'S BOY 6 4 64¼ 3½   15 18¾ (ramaekers e)MEDINA ANGEL 124 10.00 17.20  
5  JAMES'S MOONSHINE 4 7 75¼ 62¾   35½ 28¾ (schindler jeff)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 8.00 6% 17.10 4.40 P
4  PREACHER 3 1 52¼ 51¼   25 310¼ (rushton tem)IRONEYES R 119 5.00 7% 14.20 1.40 S
7  WILD FIREMAKER 5 3 3½ 4¾   48½ 416 (ibanez alberto)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 12.00 27.60  
11  IMPASSIONED CLAIM 7 2 42 73¾   59½ 517¼ (whitehouse wilt)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.50 13% 6.70 1.80  
2  HERMISTON 2 6 2nk 2nk   612½ 625¼ (lavanway dayson)ARANA MINOR 124 8.00 52% 0.90 21.30  
1  PRINCE OF LUCK 1 5 1nk 1nk   717½ 740¼ (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 5.40  
SCR  BUMPER POOL               (bethke a)FACKLER CHRIS 124 15.00    
SCR  CHUCK NAZTY               (martinez a)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 2.50    
SCR  OREGON COUNTY               (hibdon n)RAMOS B 124 10.00    
SCR  SCHMOOZE               (bethke a)BETHKE A 124 6.00    
 
ARP-2   10/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:23 :462 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TIMEHASCOME 2 1 32 3½   1nk 11 (ramaekers e)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50 9% 10.80 4.90 W
6  KAELY'S BROTHER 5 5 43 41   2nk 21 (schindler jeff)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 5.00 40% 1.50 3.80 P
7  CREATIVE MIRACLE 6 3 2nk 1nk   3½ 32¼ (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 6.00 4.90  
1  JON L 1 2 65½ 66½   54¾ 45¼ (tsosie terrill)CARDENAS JACOB 124 10.00 5% 19.00 16.80  
5  BRANNIGAN 4 6 54½ 52½   64¾ 57½ (lavanway dayson)RAMOS B 124 3.00 3.90  
8  TAP TAP HUSTO 7 4 1nk 2nk   44½ 69½ (chavez jose)VORRATH VALENTE 122 8.00 2.10  
4  FURLONGIN FOR LUV 3 7 79½ 79½   77¾ 715 (kemper kerry)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.00 20% 4.10 11.80  
10  APOLLO BAY 8 8 814½ 815½   815¾ 830½ (ibanez alberto)ARANA JOSE 124 15.00 28.20  
SCR  CREDIT RATING               (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00    
SCR  JUST PLAIN ORNERY               (rushton stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 6.00    
 
ARP-3   10/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :464 :591     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  OLD FASHION TIME 3 1 1½ 12   12 13¾ (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.00 ★ 2.10  
5  ALL MY VICES 4 3 2½ 22   22 23¾ (martinez a)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50 36% 1.80 1.90 P
2  QUEEN COIN 2 4 412½ 416   413 319 (rushton stet)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 12.00 29% 2.40 2.30 S
1  SILENCE'S NATION 1 2 32½ 36   312 427½ (chavez l)ARRIOLA-SERRANO JOSE 124 3.50 2.60  
SCR  GRACEFULLYBROKE               (rushton ste)IRONEYES R 119 4.50    
 
ARP-4   10/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:224 :464 :591     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CASPER JUSTICE 2 6 41¼ 51¼   1½ 11 (arceo salva)MEDINA ANGEL 124 10.00 5% 19.00 3.20 W
7  DANCE FOR RANSOM 5 2 2nk 1½   2½ 21 (schindler jeff)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 4.50 8% 11.40 8.30 P
8  OPTIMAL 6 3 3.2 2½   42 32 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 2.00 40% 1.50 4.00 S
9  DOCS CARO CAT 7 7 51¼ 31   31½ 46¼ (rushton stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 2.50 27% 2.80 6.40  
3  GREY POINT 1 4 1nk 41   54 57 (vicchrilli r)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 5.00 3.50  
6  EL CAPRICHO 4 1 73¼ 63¼   68 610 (stubblefiel)IRONEYES R 119 3.50 2.80  
5  WEALTH N HEALTH 3 5 62¾ 73¼   711 712¾ (lavanway dayson)ARANA MINOR 124 12.00 11.80  
SCR  DIVE DEEP               (bethke a)BETHKE A 124 8.00    
SCR  MONGOLIAN MOON               (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00    
 
ARP-5   10/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:003     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  RUNNIN BUFFALO 3 3 32½ 21   2nk 14 (rushton temple)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 3.50  
4  GUTFIELD 4 2 12 11   1nk 24 (kemper kerry)RAMOS B 124 3.50 6.10  
1  BIGPARTY NOWHISKEY 1 5 57½ 43½   42½ 36½ (rushton stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 6.00 23% 3.40 2.50 S
2  HOLY MISSION 2 4 22 32   32 46½ (hall monk)IRONEYES R 119 10.00 20% 4.10 1.70  
5  TIME TO SKIP TOWN 5 1 44½ 54   54½ 57¼ (rushton stet)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 2.50 25% 3.00 3.30  
 
ARP-6   10/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:22 :454 :583     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ARIZONA REINA 6 1 13 11   11 1¾ (ortega joe)CARDOSO DAVID 122 4.00 38% 1.60 7.00 W
2  RASPBERRY WINE 2 4 36 33½   21 2¾ (rust terri)RAMOS B 122 2.50 25% 2.90 2.10 P
7  GRACIE'S A TIGER 7 2 23 21   32½ 35½ (martinez a)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 2.00 7.00  
1  FESSY 1 3 610 47½   44½ 46½ (schindler jeff)AGUILAR DANIEL 122 10.00 13.90  
4  LAYAWAY 4 5 49 510½   69½ 510¼ (thompson gr)IRONEYES R 119 3.50 13% 6.80 9.00  
3  RICHIE'S GAL 3 7 711 611½   58½ 610¾ (chavez vero)MEDINA ANGEL 122 4.00 1.60  
5  BEE A BALI 5 6 59 712½   715½ 723 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00 7.20  
 
ARP-8   10/18/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:121     1:262   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BIG JACK 8 1 44 54½   2nk 11¼ (martinez a)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.00 28% 2.60 5.00 W
4  CAT GAMER 4 2 2½ 1½   1nk 21¼ (rust terri)IRONEYES R 119 2.50 3.30  
7  SHARMA'D 7 6 65½ 44½   32 35 (rushton ste)MEDINA ANGEL 122 10.00 3.50  
5  ATHENS MOON 5 3 54½ 65½   43 45½ (kemper kerry)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 16% 5.30 5.40  
2  FREEDOM FLASH 2 7 76½ 77½   54½ 56½ (schindler jeff)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 8.00 25.20  
1  KAE GAE 1 5 32½ 33½   66½ 614¼ (long vaughn)CARDOSO DAVID 122 3.50 14% 6.00 9.80  
3  MOON SHINE TIME 3 4 1½ 2½   79½ 723 (long vaughn)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 9.00 13% 6.60 7.40  
6  SILENT REASON 6 8 87½ 89½   814½ 829½ (ortega joe)RAMOS B 122 8.00 3.60  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.