Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Zia Park
Tuesday - December 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ZIA-1   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $9.80 $3.80 63%
ZIA-2   TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00  6-5-2 $3.60 $0.60 20%
    DD (5/3/4)-(6/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00  3-6 $11.10 $2.10 23%
ZIA-3   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00  6 $20.20 $16.20 405%
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00  6-3 $25.50 $23.50 1175%
ZIA-4   TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00  1-3-5 $6.05 $3.05 102%

Simulator Race results

 
ZIA-1   12/10/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($25K) 2 F PT- 2:05
See original race card.
:224 :572         :572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HURRICANE SAYLOR 3 2 2½ 2½   1 1 (lambert casey)PURCELL KELSI 120 5.00 13% 6.70 3.90 W
BONNIE MAE'S MARK 1 1 1½ 1½   2 2 (armstrong she)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 2.00 2.50  
POWER NAP 2 4 4 3   3 3 (lambert cas)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 1.60 2.50  
MYSTERIOUS MOVES 5 5 52 54   5 416¼ (gree)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 4.50 21% 3.80 3.10  
LINCOLN COUNTY WAR 4 3 3 4   47 516¾ (lambert casey)JUAREZ J 120 10.00 13% 6.70 17.50  
ON THE TOE ROAD 6 6 610 68   611 622¼ (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 8.00 4.60  
 
ZIA-2   12/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($29.5K) 2 ALL PT- 2:33
See original race card.
:221 :461       1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIS SPENDER 6 1 3 31   11 1 (fincher w)ROSENDO J 117 0.60 30% 2.30 0.60 W
RUNAWAY HEAT 5 5 46 4   4 2 (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 120 2.50 24% 3.20 2.20 P
W F AMERICAN CAT 2 4 1½ 1nk   21 312 (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 6.00 17% 5.00 4.40 S
TRACK RUNNER 4 3 2½ 2nk   3 416½ (sedillo e)CARRENO J 120 10.00 19.70  
STORMY RYTHM 1 2 5 5   5 521 (wheeler travi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 117 12.00 12.40  
HEATED RUSH 3 6 612½ 610½   6 629¾ (young don)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 120 20.00 31.10  
 
ZIA-3   12/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:131 1:26   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILD FIREWATER 4 3 31 2½ 3 3 1nk (meridyth david)ROSENDO J 121 8.00 10% 9.10 9.10 W
EVERYROSEHASATHORN 3 1 2½ 1½ 12 12 2nk (green greg)MEDELLIN A 119 0.80 41% 1.40 0.90 P
MICKEYS TRAIL 2 4 4 32 22 22 3½ (pierce w)VALDEZ S 121 2.50 0.70  
HES HIGH OH SILVER 1 2 1½ 43 4 414½ 429¼ (archuleta adam)CARRENO J 119 30.00 20.40  
SCR  CANDY TRACK               (eliott ro)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 118 5.00    
SCR  EL PATO               (pierce thomas)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 8.00    
 
ZIA-4   12/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:29
See original race card.
:22 :45       1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAT GAMER 1 5 1½ 1nk   12 1 (rust terri)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 3.50 24% 3.20 1.70 W
FINALLY AN EDDIE 2 2 5 5   3 2 (sedillo car)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 1.40 42% 1.40 1.70 P
MONARCHOS DREAM 4 1 3½ 3.2   4 3 (arms)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 12.00 5% 19.00 4.40 S
RAINBOW CREST 5 3 4¾ 2nk   22 4 (barrios bernade)ROSENDO J 123 20.00 17.60  
SIR RUCKUS 3 4 2½ 4¾   55 5 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 2.00 2.50  
SCR  DISTORTED GUY               (chavez la)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 123 15.00    
SCR  KAE GAE               (long vaughn)JUAREZ J 121 8.00    
 
ZIA-5   12/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($29.5K) 2 ALL PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:214 :453       1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNNING BEAR 3 2 3 3   11 1 (p)DE CRUZ 120 2.50 2.10  
CHAMPS MONEY 4 5 511½ 59   45 2 (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 6.00 28% 2.60 4.80 P
SAPELLO SICARIO 5 1 2½ 2nk   21 38 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 120 12.00 5% 19.00 6.20 S
FOR THE GRAM 1 3 1½ 1nk   31 4 (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 117 6.00 7.60  
SALSA AMERICANA 2 4 4 4   5 510 (fincher w)ROSENDO J 117 10.00 6.10  
TIZ A GHOST 6 6 621½ 619   620½ 632¼ (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 4.00 43% 1.30 1.80  
SCR  CAT TRICK               (huds)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 2.00    
 
ZIA-6   12/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:223 :453       1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. BIG RIG 2 3 11 2½   2½ 1¼ (marlin i)HEBERT J 121 4.00 2.10  
DECK HUMOR 1 6 21 1½   1½ 2¼ (l)DE CRUZ 121 4.50 7.70  
RIG RIDER 3 4 4 3   3 3 (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 1.60 38% 1.60 1.60 S
MICKEYS GOLD 7 2 6 63   4 4 (lamb)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 10.00 18.40  
RYDERS UP 4 5 5 42   5 5 (singh johnny)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 12.00 5% 19.00 9.20  
TATAS JOE MARK 5 1 31 5   65 6 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 6.00 15% 5.50 2.60  
LONZO WHO 6 7 7100 7100   7100 7100 (quiroz )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 5.00 20% 3.90    
 
ZIA-7   12/10/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($25K) 2 ALL PT- 4:53
See original race card.
:222 :581         :581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOONSHINE MISCHIEF 1 1 1½ 2nk   1½ 1 (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 1.50 0.80  
A P RULY 2 6 52 4   2½ 2 (marr gerald )GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 20.00 5% 19.00 46.50 P
GOLDEN GATO 3 2 31 31   4 32 (henr)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 15.00 13.80  
WHAT DO YOU MEAN 7 4 4 5   52 4 (lambert casey)PURCELL KELSI 120 6.00 20% 4.10 11.70  
CLEVER IT 4 3 6 7   7 5 (gonzalez jo)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 8.00 18% 4.60 8.40  
MR FORKYS 6 5 2½ 1nk   3 67 (sedillo e)CARRENO J 120 10.00 16.10  
AWSOME CHARLIE 5 7 7 6   63 77 (lambert c)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 3.50 36% 1.80 1.80  
SCR  ATTILA'S LAST CALL               (sedillo t)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 120 4.50    
 
ZIA-8   12/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:21
See original race card.
:24 :463 :583     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MADDIE POPPE 1 2 12 11   11 1nk (armstrong)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 15.00 37.60  
LUCKY VEGAS 4 3 4 3   21 2nk (valdez-cabral)JUAREZ J 123 1.80 35% 1.80 1.10 P
RANEEM 8 4 5 4   32 3 (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 2.00 33% 2.00 1.70 S
IT'S SAUL RIGHT 6 5 8 5   5 4 (armstrong sherr)ROSENDO J 123 8.00 5% 17.80 9.00  
BLUE COWGIRL 2 6 22 21   43 5 (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 12.00 5% 19.00 43.80  
SIERRA SUMMER 7 7 7 6   6 6 (oron)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 10.00 17.10  
BIRDIE CURDY 5 8 6 7   7 714½ (cappellucci dick)MEDELLIN A 121 4.50 4.00  
ALLERGIC TO LOGIC 3 1 32 87   810 816¾ (gonzalez r)HEBERT J 121 20.00 53.90  
 
ZIA-9   12/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($46.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:49
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:102 1:232   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAROSSA 5 5 4 4 1nk 1 1 (armstrong she)JUAREZ J 123 6.00 2.70  
GREY STORM 8 4 69 6 5 33 2 (gonzalez jos)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 15.00 29.90  
SHOTSHELL 9 3 3 32 4 2 33 (gonzalez jo)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 1.60 30% 2.30 1.20 S
ANOTHERFORBROOKS 2 2 2nk 2nk 3.2 4 4 (benavides myria)ROSENDO J 121 8.00 16% 5.40 15.00  
PRAY FOR ME RAY 4 6 810½ 8 8 6 5 (truj)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 6.00 14.60  
SEAHAWK CODY 7 9 710 7 7 55 6 (r)DE CRUZ 121 10.00 5% 19.00 16.70  
KIRBY DERBY 3 7 56 5 6 7 7 (gonzalez carlos )MEDELLIN A 123 12.00 16% 5.40 31.50  
I WILL STAND 1 1 1nk 1nk 2nk 87 814½ (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 3.50 16% 5.30 3.10  
CAPITAL JOKE 6 8 911½ 910¾ 910¾ 9 915¼ (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 20.00 32.50  
 
ZIA-10   12/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:17
See original race card.
:233 :462 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAPID EXPANSION 6 8 6 5   2nk 1 (armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 3.00 40% 1.50 0.60 W
LEWIS BERE (FR) 1 7 8 7   4 2 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 119 1.60 6.50  
CASH FOLLOWS ME 3 6 4 2nk   3½ 3 (marr joel)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 4.90 S
BAJA BOOGIE 9 5 7 6   1nk 4 (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 5.00 23% 3.40 4.20  
SPEND AGAIN 2 9 9 8   6 5 (quiroz )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 10.00 5% 19.00 40.70  
FAST TIMES 5 3 1nk 1nk   53 610¼ (fincher w)ROSENDO J 119 10.00 17% 5.10 20.40  
HARRYS CHANCE 8 1 3½ 4¾   7 711¼ (huds)GOMEZ PORTILLO 119 20.00 56.60  
LET EM RIP 7 2 52 9   8 813¼ (martinez e)CARRENO J 121 20.00 87.60  
SPOT D' ORO 4 4 2nk 3.2   910¾ 922¾ (q)DE CRUZ 121 8.00 19.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.