Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Zia Park
Tuesday - December 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ZIA-1   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(6/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
ZIA-2   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
ZIA-3   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (3/6)-(3/1/5)-(7/4/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
ZIA-4   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(7/4/6)-(3/6/5/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
ZIA-5   WIN (7/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/6)-(7/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/6)-(7/4/6)-(7/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (7/4/6)-(3/6/5/4)-(6/8/5/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
ZIA-6   WIN (3/6/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/5/4)-(3/6/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/5/4)-(3/6/5/4)-(3/6/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
ZIA-7   WIN (6/8/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/5/2)-(6/8/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/5/2)-(6/8/5/2)-(6/8/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
ZIA-8   WIN (4/8/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/6/2)-(4/8/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/6/2)-(4/8/6/2)-(4/8/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/8/6/2)-(9/1/2/3/7)-(6/9/5/3/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
ZIA-9   WIN (9/1/2/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/2/3/7)-(9/1/2/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/1/2/3/7)-(9/1/2/3/7)-(9/1/2/3/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/1/2/3/7)-(6/9/5/3/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
ZIA-10   WIN (6/9/5/3/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/9/5/3/2)-(6/9/5/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/9/5/3/2)-(6/9/5/3/2)-(6/9/5/3/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ZIA-1   12/10/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($25K) 2 F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BONNIE MAE'S MARK Oct19 Sep25 Aug18 Aug02 Jun07 (armstrong she)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 2.00    
2  POWER NAP Dec02 Sep25 Sep10 Aug14   (lambert cas)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 1.60    
3  HURRICANE SAYLOR         (lambert casey)PURCELL KELSI 120 5.00 13% 6.70    
4  LINCOLN COUNTY WAR         (lambert casey)JUAREZ J 120 10.00 13% 6.70    
5  MYSTERIOUS MOVES         (gree)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 4.50 21% 3.80    
6  ON THE TOE ROAD         (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 8.00    
 
ZIA-2   12/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($29.5K) 2 ALL PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORMY RYTHM Nov12 Oct19 Oct02 Aug31 Aug02 (wheeler travi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 117 12.00    
2  W F AMERICAN CAT Oct23         (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 6.00 17% 5.00    
3  HEATED RUSH         (young don)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 120 20.00    
4  TRACK RUNNER Dec02 Nov11 Aug02     (sedillo e)VALDEZ S 120 10.00    
5  RUNAWAY HEAT         (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 120 2.50 24% 3.20    
6  SIS SPENDER Oct13 Sep22 Aug18 Aug02   (fincher w)ROSENDO J 117 0.60 30% 2.30    
 
ZIA-3   12/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HES HIGH OH SILVER Nov12 Oct06 Jun09     (archuleta adam)CARRENO J 119 30.00    
2  MICKEYS TRAIL Dec02 Nov05 Sep26 Aug17 Jan25 (pierce w)VALDEZ S 121 2.50    
3  EVERYROSEHASATHORN Nov25 Nov05 Aug23 Apr07 Mar29 (green greg)MEDELLIN A 119 0.80 41% 1.40    
SCR  CANDY TRACK Nov25 Nov11 Oct06 Sep15 Sep07 (eliott ro)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 118 5.00    
SCR  EL PATO Oct13 Sep22 Aug02 Jul19 Jun15 (pierce thomas)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 8.00    
6  WILD FIREWATER Nov25 Oct13 Sep25 Aug23 Mar29 (meridyth david)ROSENDO J 121 8.00 10% 9.10    
 
ZIA-4   12/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAT GAMER Oct18 Sep28 Sep06 Aug11 Jul20 (rust terri)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 3.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  DISTORTED GUY Dec02 Sep26 Sep08 May05 Apr20 (chavez la)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 123 15.00    
3  FINALLY AN EDDIE Oct11 Sep26 Aug31 Aug17 Jun15 (sedillo car)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 1.40 42% 1.40    
4  SIR RUCKUS Dec04 Nov19 Sep06     (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 2.00    
5  MONARCHOS DREAM Nov19 Oct09 Mar22 Nov14 Sep02 (arms)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KAE GAE Dec04 Nov12 Oct18 Sep29 Sep06 (long vaughn)JUAREZ J 121 8.00    
7  RAINBOW CREST Nov12 Oct11 Sep19 Sep07 Aug02 (barrios bernade)ROSENDO J 123 20.00    
 
ZIA-5   12/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($29.5K) 2 ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOR THE GRAM Nov12         (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 117 6.00    
2  SALSA AMERICANA Sep22 Aug31       (fincher w)ROSENDO J 117 10.00    
3  RUNNING BEAR Dec02 Nov11 Oct23 Sep06 Aug24 (p)DE CRUZ 120 2.50    
4  CHAMPS MONEY         (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 6.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  CAT TRICK         (huds)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 2.00    
6  SAPELLO SICARIO Nov11 Sep22       (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  TIZ A GHOST         (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 4.00 43% 1.30    
 
ZIA-6   12/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DECK HUMOR Oct20 Oct12 Jul27 Jul19 Feb29 (l)DE CRUZ 121 4.50    
2  MR. BIG RIG Nov12 Oct20 Sep25 Sep06 Jul27 (marlin i)HEBERT J 121 4.00    
3  RIG RIDER Oct18 Oct04 Sep19 Aug17 Jun09 (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 1.60 38% 1.60    
4  RYDERS UP Oct27 Oct16 Oct05 Sep05 Aug16 (singh johnny)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  TATAS JOE MARK Dec03 Oct09 Jul20 Apr21 Apr04 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 6.00 15% 5.50    
6  LONZO WHO Apr07 Mar08 Feb23 Feb08 Jan25 (quiroz )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 5.00 20% 3.90    
7  MICKEYS GOLD Jul26 Mar29 Mar22 Feb29 Feb01 (lamb)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 10.00    
 
ZIA-7   12/10/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($25K) 2 ALL PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOONSHINE MISCHIEF Nov19 Oct20 Sep14     (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 1.50    
2  A P RULY         (marr ge)FUENTES T 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  GOLDEN GATO Nov11 Oct23 Sep14 Sep06   (henr)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 15.00    
SCR  ATTILA'S LAST CALL Aug02         (sedillo e)VALDEZ S 120 4.50    
5  CLEVER IT Dec02 Nov11 Oct20 Sep14 Jun28 (gonzalez jo)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 8.00 18% 4.60    
6  AWSOME CHARLIE         (lambert c)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 3.50 36% 1.80    
7  MR FORKYS Dec02 Nov11       (sedillo e)CARRENO J 120 10.00    
8  WHAT DO YOU MEAN         (lambert casey)PURCELL KELSI 120 6.00 20% 4.10    
 
ZIA-8   12/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MADDIE POPPE Mar07 Feb18 Feb08 Jan25 Jan12 (armstrong)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 15.00    
2  BLUE COWGIRL Oct18 Sep02 Aug23 May18 May05 (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  ALLERGIC TO LOGIC Oct20 Oct06 Sep13 Aug04 Jul12 (gonzalez r)HEBERT J 121 20.00    
4  LUCKY VEGAS Nov19 Oct23 Sep18 Apr04 Mar20 (valdez-cabral)JUAREZ J 123 1.80 35% 1.80    
5  BIRDIE CURDY Nov19 Nov05 Oct04 Sep08 Aug04 (cappellucci dick)MEDELLIN A 121 4.50    
6  IT'S SAUL RIGHT Dec02 Oct06 Sep13 Aug04 Jun15 (armstrong sherr)ROSENDO J 123 8.00 5% 17.80    
7  SIERRA SUMMER Oct20 Sep13 Aug16 Mar14 Feb29 (oron)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 10.00    
8  RANEEM Nov19 Oct04 Sep08 Aug29 Jun23 (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 2.00 33% 2.00    
 
ZIA-9   12/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($46.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I WILL STAND Dec02 Sep26 Sep05 Aug24 Jul28 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 3.50 16% 5.30    
2  ANOTHERFORBROOKS Dec02 Nov11 Oct25 Oct06 Sep05 (benavides )BENAVIDES MANUEL 121 8.00 16% 5.40    
3  KIRBY DERBY Oct27 Sep26 Sep07 Aug04 Apr24 (gonzalez carlos )MEDELLIN A 123 12.00 16% 5.40    
4  PRAY FOR ME RAY Oct06 Sep15 Sep07 Jun16 May18 (truj)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 6.00    
5  BAROSSA Nov19 Oct13 Sep13 Aug25 May05 (armstrong she)JUAREZ J 123 6.00    
6  CAPITAL JOKE Sep11 Mar21 Feb22 Jan11 Dec19 (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 20.00    
7  SEAHAWK CODY Oct12 Sep08 Aug10 Jul27 Jul07 (r)DE CRUZ 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  GREY STORM Nov04 Oct16 Sep27 Sep15 Aug17 (gonzalez jos)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 15.00    
9  SHOTSHELL Nov11 Oct27 Sep29 Aug12 Jul26 (gonzalez jo)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 1.60 30% 2.30    
 
ZIA-10   12/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEWIS BERE (FR) Nov19 Sep26 Aug22 Jun02   (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 119 1.60    
2  SPEND AGAIN Nov19 Oct23 Oct13 Sep25 Jun15 (quiroz )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  CASH FOLLOWS ME Jun14 Mar29 Jan18 Dec11   (marr jo)FUENTES T 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  SPOT D' ORO Nov18 Oct16 Sep06 Aug15 Jul05 (q)DE CRUZ 121 8.00    
5  FAST TIMES Dec02 Nov12 Jun08 May04   (fincher w)ROSENDO J 119 10.00 17% 5.10    
6  RAPID EXPANSION Oct16 Aug24 Dec13 Nov24 Nov02 (armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 3.00 40% 1.50    
7  LET EM RIP Nov05 Oct13 Sep19 May18 May04 (martinez e)CARRENO J 121 20.00    
8  HARRYS CHANCE Nov05 Sep26 Oct11 Sep01 Jul21 (huds)GOMEZ PORTILLO 119 20.00    
9  BAJA BOOGIE Nov19 Jun15 Apr27 Apr13 Mar21 (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 5.00 23% 3.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.