Handicappers' Race Results

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Arapahoe Park
Saturday - October 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-1   Win (8/2/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $12.40 $12.40 4.40
ARP-2   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $10.80  
ARP-3   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $15.80  
ARP-4   Win (6/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $8.00  
ARP-5   Win (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $9.60 $9.60 3.60
ARP-7   Win (2/8/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $12.80 $12.80 4.80
ARP-8   Win (2/1/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $9.60  

Simulator Race results

 
ARP-1   10/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:231 :471 :594     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINZE 7 1 5 31   2nk 12 (rushton stac)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.50 10% 8.80 5.20 W
DONNA LIRICA 2 5 3 42   31 22 (ibanez alberto)ARANA MINOR 124 8.00 14% 6.30 9.80 P
HAUGHTY KITTY 8 4 6 5   4 3 (ortega joe)IRONEYES R 119 3.50 37% 1.70 2.70 S
SWEET SLEW 3 2 21 2nk   1nk 44 (arceo salva)MEDINA ANGEL 124 6.00 7.30  
UNKNOWN CALLER 6 7 7 63   6 5 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 122 2.50 2.20  
LITTLE MORE LOVE 4 3 11 1nk   5 6 (schindler jeff)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 3.00 6.80  
KID BIZ 1 8 8 8   7 710½ (arceo salvador)RAMOS B 124 4.00 10.30  
MIRAGE CODE 5 6 4 74   8 816 (childs russell)GONZALEZ PEDRO 122 15.00 5% 19.00 12.10  
 
ARP-2   10/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:224 :464 :591     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOUNGDUMBANDBROKE 1 5 3 31   2nk 1¾ (lemburg mar)IRONEYES R 119 3.50 4.40  
NON TOXIC 2 3 11 11   1nk 2¾ (rust terri)RAMOS B 124 4.00 69% 0.50 2.70 P
MORE THAN EASY 3 4 6 68   54 3 (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50 7.40  
ORO 6 2 4 4   4 4 (jenkins reed)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.50 1.70  
MEET GEORGE JETSON 5 6 7 5   65 55 (rushton templ)VORRATH VALENTE 124 8.00 5% 19.00 10.50  
PURE CRYSTAL 7 1 21 21   31 6 (arceo salva)MEDINA ANGEL 124 6.00 6.30  
CHICKEN N BISCUIT 4 7 5 7   711 722 (esquibel mark)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 12.00 5% 19.00 11.20  
 
ARP-3   10/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:131     1:262   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOMBI 3 4 4 32   1nk 1 (rushton ste)IRONEYES R 116 4.50 6.90  
TAG ME 6 1 3 21   2nk 2 (scudder rick)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 2.50 1.90  
BIG BIZ 2 3 11 11   3½ 37 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 28% 2.60 1.80 S
BARBIERE 4 5 5 6   4 48 (scudder jr)ARANA MINOR 124 5.00 26% 2.90 2.10  
DOGE OF VENICE 1 2 21 44   5 5 (thompson grady)CARDENAS JACOB 124 6.00 18.50  
LEVEL 5 6 6 56   611½ 634¾ (thompson grady)RAMOS B 124 8.00 5% 19.00 19.40  
 
ARP-4   10/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:222 :462 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WIN FOR FUN 1 1 5 4   11 1¾ (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 121 10.00 3.00  
ROSIE'S BOY 3 6 3 33   3 2¾ (schindler j)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50 1.80  
DOCS CARO CAT 6 4 2½ 2nk   21 3 (rushton stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 5.00 17% 4.90 3.50 S
NOTACRY 5 5 1½ 1nk   43 49 (vicchrilli r)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 2.50 58% 0.70 3.00  
SHARP AZ NAILS 4 3 4 5   58 511¾ (thompson grady)CARDENAS JACOB 124 8.00 8.20  
FUNNY ACTOR 2 2 67 6   69 616¾ (esquibel mark)RAMOS B 124 12.00 5% 19.00 15.20  
SCR  GUNSLINGERS LEGACY               (rushton tem)IRONEYES R 116 4.50    
 
ARP-5   10/12/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:231 :471       :594   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS VANELLOPE 3 1 1 1   13 15 (ramaekers e)MEDINA ANGEL 122 4.50 25% 3.00 3.80 W
RAINBOWS ON ICE 2 4 4 3   23 25 (rust terri)IRONEYES R 117 2.50 51% 1.00 0.70 P
HAZARDTOYOURHEALTH 4 2 2 2   3 38 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 122 3.00 1.80  
AFLEET DIVINE 1 3 3 4   4 415 (rushton stetso)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 6.00 7.50  
SCR  BIG MARY               (martinez a)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BLISSFUL PARK               (rushton stetso)GONZALEZ PEDRO 121 10.00    
SCR  DEVIL'S JUSTICE               (burns dale)RAMOS B 124 8.00    
SCR  TALL TALE               (arceo salvador)CARDOSO DAVID 122 6.00    
 
ARP-7   10/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Front Range Purse ($37.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:234 :464 1:113     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUICKTRIP VAN 7 3 11 1nk   1½ 1¾ (vicchrilli r)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 3.00 28% 2.60 5.40 W
SUBSIDIZE 4 7 7 31   2½ 2¾ (rushton temple)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00 11.40 P
SEAHAWK CODY 5 1 21 2nk   3 3 (rust terri)IRONEYES R 124 6.00 9.50  
MR. THUNDERSTRUCK 3 6 42 4   42 4 (stivers j)RAMOS B 124 3.50 4.50  
DRIVEHAPPY 1 5 6 7   54 5 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50 4.60  
KONA SKYE 6 2 5 6   75 6 (hadley tori)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 5.00 11% 8.50 4.80  
COLLUSIONIST 2 4 32 5   6 712¾ (martinez o )MEDINA ANGEL 124 1.00 29% 2.50 1.60  
SCR  MR. STANG               (moreno carlos)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00    
 
ARP-8   10/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:222 :454 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TULSA TIME 3 2 11 12   12 1 (vicchrilli russell)RAMOS B 121 3.50 3.80  
LIGHTNING STRUCK 6 3 4 32   22 2 (kemper kerr)IRONEYES R 119 5.00 8.20  
HARD TO COME BY 1 1 6 6   33 3 (hibdon mark)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50 22% 3.50 4.90 S
BLUEGRASS BREEZE 7 8 8 74   5 4 (curran randy)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 7.10  
MY BUDDY MEL 5 6 31 4   43 5 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 122 3.00 5.10  
CUCINA 8 4 5 22   6 6 (scudder jr)ARANA MINOR 124 15.00 11% 7.90 9.30  
RED FROST 2 5 21 5   7 710¾ (long vaughn)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 2.00 40% 1.50 2.70  
OBVIOUSLY TOO 4 7 7 87   8 815¾ (schindler jeff)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 8.00 8.50  
SCR  HOYA PARANOYA               (oliver kim)HAAR NATHAN 121 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.