Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Arapahoe Park
Saturday - October 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-1   WIN (8/2/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $12.40 $4.40 55%
    EXA (8/2/7/5)-(8/2/7/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00  7-2 $380.00 $356.00 1483%
    TRI (8/2/7/5)-(8/2/7/5)-(8/2/7/5) 24 $2.00 $48.00  7-2-8 $276.60 $228.60 476%
ARP-2   DD (8/2/7/5)-(2/4/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00  7-ALL $45.60 $21.60 90%
ARP-5   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $9.60 $3.60 60%
ARP-7   WIN (2/8/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $12.80 $4.80 60%
    EXA (2/8/7/5)-(2/8/7/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00  8-5 $345.00 $321.00 1338%
Simulator Race results
 
ARP-1   10/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:231 :471 :594     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  WINZE 7 1 51¾ 31   2nk 12 (rushton st)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.50 10% 8.80 5.20 W
2  DONNA LIRICA 2 5 31½ 42   31 22 (ibanez alberto)ARANA MINOR 124 8.00 14% 6.30 9.80 P
8  HAUGHTY KITTY 8 4 63¼ 52½   41¼ 32¼ (ortega jo)IRONEYES R 119 3.50 37% 1.70 2.70 S
3  SWEET SLEW 3 2 21 2nk   1nk 44 (arceo sal)MEDINA ANGEL 124 6.00 7.30  
6  UNKNOWN CALLER 6 7 73¾ 63   63¾ 57½ (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 122 2.50 2.20  
4  LITTLE MORE LOVE 4 3 11 1nk   51¾ 69¾ (schindler je)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 3.00 6.80  
1  KID BIZ 1 8 87¾ 87½   76¾ 710½ (arceo salvador)RAMOS B 124 4.00 10.30  
5  MIRAGE CODE 5 6 41½ 74   88¼ 816 (childs russe)GONZALEZ PEDRO 122 15.00 5% 19.00 12.10  
 
ARP-2   10/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:224 :464 :591     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOUNGDUMBANDBROKE 1 5 32½ 31   2nk 1¾ (lemburg m)IRONEYES R 119 3.50 ★ 4.40  
2  NON TOXIC 2 3 11 11   1nk 2¾ (rust terri)RAMOS B 124 4.00 69% 0.50 2.70 P
3  MORE THAN EASY 3 4 67½ 68   54 33¼ (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50 7.40  
6  ORO 6 2 43½ 42½   42½ 43½ (jenkins re)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.50 1.70  
5  MEET GEORGE JETSON 5 6 78½ 57½   65 55 (rushton tem)VORRATH VALENTE 124 8.00 5% 19.00 10.50  
7  PURE CRYSTAL 7 1 21 21   31 65¼ (arceo sal)MEDINA ANGEL 124 6.00 6.30  
4  CHICKEN N BISCUIT 4 7 57½ 79½   711 722 (esquibel mark)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 12.00 5% 19.00 11.20  
 
ARP-3   10/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:131     1:262   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TOMBI 3 4 46½ 32   1nk 14¼ (rushton s)IRONEYES R 116 4.50 6.90  
6  TAG ME 6 1 31½ 21   2nk 24¼ (scudder ri)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 2.50 1.90  
2  BIG BIZ 2 3 11 11   3½ 37 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 28% 2.60 1.80 S
4  BARBIERE 4 5 58½ 66½   44½ 48 (scudder jr)ARANA MINOR 124 5.00 26% 2.90 2.10  
1  DOGE OF VENICE 1 2 21 44   56½ 58¾ (thompson gra)CARDENAS JACOB 124 6.00 18.50  
5  LEVEL 5 6 68½ 56   611½ 634¾ (thompson grady)RAMOS B 124 8.00 5% 19.00 19.40  
 
ARP-4   10/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:222 :462 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WIN FOR FUN 1 1 55½ 43¼   11 1¾ (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 121 10.00 3.00  
4  ROSIE'S BOY 3 6 34½ 33   31½ 2¾ (schindler)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50 1.80  
7  DOCS CARO CAT 6 4 2½ 2nk   21 35½ (rushton stetso)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 5.00 17% 4.90 3.50 S
6  NOTACRY 5 5 1½ 1nk   43 49 (vicchrilli)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 2.50 58% 0.70 3.00  
5  SHARP AZ NAILS 4 3 44½ 58¼   58 511¾ (thompson gra)CARDENAS JACOB 124 8.00 8.20  
2  FUNNY ACTOR 2 2 67 68¼   69 616¾ (esquibel mark)RAMOS B 124 12.00 5% 19.00 15.20  
SCR  GUNSLINGERS LEGACY               (rushton t)IRONEYES R 116 4.50    
 
ARP-5   10/12/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:231 :471       :594   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PRINCESS VANELLOPE 3 1 11½ 11½   13 15 (ramaekers)MEDINA ANGEL 122 4.50 25% 3.00 3.80 W
2  RAINBOWS ON ICE 2 4 44½ 32½   23 25 (rust terr)IRONEYES R 117 2.50 51% 1.00 0.70 P
6  HAZARDTOYOURHEALTH 4 2 21½ 21½   33½ 38 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 122 3.00 1.80  
1  AFLEET DIVINE 1 3 33½ 44½   47½ 415 (rushton stet)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 6.00 7.50  
SCR  BIG MARY               (martinez o)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BLISSFUL PARK               (rushton stet)GONZALEZ PEDRO 121 10.00    
SCR  DEVIL'S JUSTICE               (burns dale)RAMOS B 124 8.00    
SCR  TALL TALE               (arceo salvado)CARDOSO DAVID 122 6.00    
 
ARP-7   10/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Front Range Purse ($37.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:234 :464 1:113     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  QUICKTRIP VAN 7 3 11 1nk   1½ 1¾ (vicchrilli)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 3.00 28% 2.60 5.40 W
  (by ZIP QUIK out of BLISSFUL TRIP by TRIPPI)
5  SUBSIDIZE 4 7 74¼ 31   2½ 2¾ (rushton temp)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00 11.40 P
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of DIVA STAR by AMERICAN CHAMP)
6  SEAHAWK CODY 5 1 21 2nk   31½ 32½ (rust terr)IRONEYES R 124 6.00 9.50  
  (by CHAMP PEGASUS out of DIVA'S TRIBUTE by HENNY HUGHES)
4  MR. THUNDERSTRUCK 3 6 42 41¼   42 42½ (stivers j)RAMOS B 124 3.50 4.50  
  (by DOMINUS out of KISSINLEAF by KISSIN KRIS)
1  DRIVEHAPPY 1 5 63¼ 75¼   54 56¼ (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50 4.60  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of ENTRUSTMENT by FORESTRY)
7  KONA SKYE 6 2 52¼ 65¼   75 68¾ (hadley to)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 5.00 11% 8.50 4.80  
  (by U S RANGER out of SQUEEZE ME TIGHT by GOLDEN MISSILE)
2  COLLUSIONIST 2 4 32 53¼   64½ 712¾ (martinez )MEDINA ANGEL 124 1.00 29% 2.50 1.60  
  (by EZ EFFORT out of PRETTY AMAZING by BENCHMARK)
SCR  MR. STANG               (moreno carlos)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00    
  (by ATTA BOY ROY out of SPECIAL HOLIDAY by PRIVATE GOLD)
 
ARP-8   10/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:222 :454 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TULSA TIME 3 2 11 12   12 11½ (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 121 3.50 3.80  
7  LIGHTNING STRUCK 6 3 41¼ 32   22 21½ (kemper ke)IRONEYES R 119 5.00 8.20  
1  HARD TO COME BY 1 1 63¼ 63¾   33 31½ (hibdon ma)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50 22% 3.50 4.90 S
8  BLUEGRASS BREEZE 7 8 85½ 74   53½ 44¼ (curran randy)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 7.10  
5  MY BUDDY MEL 5 6 31 42¼   43 55¼ (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 122 3.00 5.10  
9  CUCINA 8 4 51¼ 22   65½ 68½ (scudder jr)ARANA MINOR 124 15.00 11% 7.90 9.30  
2  RED FROST 2 5 21 52¼   76½ 710¾ (long vaugh)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 2.00 40% 1.50 2.70  
4  OBVIOUSLY TOO 4 7 75¼ 87   88½ 815¾ (schindler je)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 8.00 8.50  
SCR  HOYA PARANOYA               (oliver kim)HAAR NATHAN 121 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.