Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Arapahoe Park
Saturday - October 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-1   WIN (8/2/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/7/5)-(8/2/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/7/5)-(8/2/7/5)-(8/2/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/7/5)-(2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ARP-2   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/1/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/1/4/5)-(2/1/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
ARP-3   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(6/7/2)-(2/3/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
ARP-4   WIN (6/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/2)-(6/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/2)-(6/7/2)-(6/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
ARP-5   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
ARP-7   WIN (2/8/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/7/5)-(2/8/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/7/5)-(2/8/7/5)-(2/8/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/7/5)-(2/1/9/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
ARP-8   WIN (2/1/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/9/8)-(2/1/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/9/8)-(2/1/9/8)-(2/1/9/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ARP-1   10/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KID BIZ Sep20 Sep09 Aug19 Aug11 Jul29 (arceo salvador)RAMOS B 124 4.00    
2  DONNA LIRICA Sep29 Sep20 Sep08 Sep01 Aug17 (ibanez alberto)ARANA MINOR 124 8.00 14% 6.30    
3  SWEET SLEW Sep01 Aug23 Jun19 May22 Apr26 (arceo sal)MEDINA ANGEL 124 6.00    
4  LITTLE MORE LOVE Sep01 Aug18 Jul20 Apr12 Mar30 (schindler je)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 3.00    
5  MIRAGE CODE Sep29 Aug04 Jul14 Jun15 May10 (childs russe)GONZALEZ PEDRO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  UNKNOWN CALLER Sep29 Sep15 Sep01 Aug23 Aug04 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 122 2.50    
7  WINZE Sep29 Aug03 Jul07 Jun13 May25 (rushton st)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.50 10% 8.80    
8  HAUGHTY KITTY Sep29 Sep21 Aug11 Jul21 Jul07 (ortega jo)IRONEYES R 119 3.50 37% 1.70    
 
ARP-2   10/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOUNGDUMBANDBROKE Sep21 Sep02 Aug11 Aug03 Jul21 (lemburg m)IRONEYES R 119 3.50 ★    
2  NON TOXIC Sep28 Sep13 Aug04 Jun22 May11 (rust terri)RAMOS B 124 4.00 69% 0.50    
3  MORE THAN EASY Sep22 Jun22 Jun16 Jun09 Apr07 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50    
4  CHICKEN N BISCUIT Sep28 Oct22 Oct07 Sep30 Sep11 (esquibel mark)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  MEET GEORGE JETSON Sep28 Jun08 May27 Apr27 Apr19 (rushton tem)VORRATH VALENTE 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  ORO Oct04 Sep22 Sep13 Jul24 Jul10 (jenkins re)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.50    
7  PURE CRYSTAL Oct05 Sep21 Jul13 Jun03 May18 (arceo sal)MEDINA ANGEL 124 6.00    
 
ARP-3   10/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOGE OF VENICE Sep15 Sep06 Aug23 Aug04 Jul14 (thompson gra)CARDENAS JACOB 124 6.00    
2  BIG BIZ Sep13 Jul21 Jun16 May17 Apr21 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 28% 2.60    
3  TOMBI Oct04 Sep21 Sep01 Aug04 Jun30 (rushton s)IRONEYES R 116 4.50    
4  BARBIERE Sep29 Sep01 Aug18 Aug11 Jun30 (scudder jr)ARANA MINOR 124 5.00 26% 2.90    
5  LEVEL Sep15 Sep01 Jul28 Jul13 Jun30 (thompson grady)RAMOS B 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  TAG ME Sep01 Aug24 Aug18 Aug11 Aug03 (scudder ri)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 2.50    
 
ARP-4   10/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WIN FOR FUN Sep22 Sep07 Jun30 Jun16 Jun09 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 121 10.00    
2  FUNNY ACTOR Sep28 Oct27 Oct22 Oct08 Jul21 (esquibel mark)RAMOS B 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GUNSLINGERS LEGACY Sep15 Jun29 Jul22 Jul02 Jun18 (rushton t)IRONEYES R 116 4.50    
4  ROSIE'S BOY Sep21 Sep15 Sep06 Aug18 Aug03 (schindler je)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 3.50    
5  SHARP AZ NAILS Sep28 Sep02 Aug17 Jul28 Jul13 (thompson gra)CARDENAS JACOB 124 8.00    
6  NOTACRY Sep28 Sep15 Sep01 Aug25 Aug03 (vicchrilli)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 2.50 58% 0.70    
7  DOCS CARO CAT Sep28 Sep21 Jul03 Jun19 Oct27 (rushton stetso)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 5.00 17% 4.90    
 
ARP-5   10/12/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AFLEET DIVINE Sep28 Apr19 Mar22 Mar01 Nov29 (rushton stet)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 6.00    
2  RAINBOWS ON ICE Sep28 Jul27 Jun16 May19 Apr20 (rust terr)IRONEYES R 117 2.50 51% 1.00    
3  PRINCESS VANELLOPE Sep28 Sep15 Aug31 Aug25 Jul28 (ramaekers)MEDINA ANGEL 122 4.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  BIG MARY Sep28 Aug03       (martinez o)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DEVIL'S JUSTICE Sep21 Sep13       (burns dale)RAMOS B 124 8.00    
6  HAZARDTOYOURHEALTH Sep26 Sep01 Aug15 Jul27 Jun16 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 122 3.00    
SCR  BLISSFUL PARK         (rushton stet)GONZALEZ PEDRO 121 10.00    
SCR  TALL TALE Jun22 Jun02 May24 Mar24 Feb25 (arceo salvado)CARDOSO DAVID 122 6.00    
 
ARP-7   10/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Front Range Purse ($37.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRIVEHAPPY Sep20 Sep08 Aug07 Jul14 Jul03 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of ENTRUSTMENT by FORESTRY)
2  COLLUSIONIST Sep21 Sep07 Aug11 Jul27 Jun08 (martinez )MEDINA ANGEL 124 1.00 29% 2.50    
  (by EZ EFFORT out of PRETTY AMAZING by BENCHMARK)
SCR  MR. STANG Oct06 Aug20 Jul16 Jun26 Jun05 (moreno carlos)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00    
  (by ATTA BOY ROY out of SPECIAL HOLIDAY by PRIVATE GOLD)
4  MR. THUNDERSTRUCK Sep07 Aug26 Aug10 Aug02 Jul19 (stivers j)RAMOS B 124 3.50    
  (by DOMINUS out of KISSINLEAF by KISSIN KRIS)
5  SUBSIDIZE Oct04 Sep20 Sep02 Aug24 Aug11 (rushton temp)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of DIVA STAR by AMERICAN CHAMP)
6  SEAHAWK CODY Sep08 Aug10 Jul27 Jul07 Jun08 (rust terr)IRONEYES R 124 6.00    
  (by CHAMP PEGASUS out of DIVA'S TRIBUTE by HENNY HUGHES)
7  KONA SKYE Sep29 Sep21 Sep08 Aug11 Jul21 (hadley to)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 5.00 11% 8.50    
  (by U S RANGER out of SQUEEZE ME TIGHT by GOLDEN MISSILE)
8  QUICKTRIP VAN Sep21 Sep07 Aug11 Aug03 Jul20 (vicchrilli)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 3.00 28% 2.60    
  (by ZIP QUIK out of BLISSFUL TRIP by TRIPPI)
 
ARP-8   10/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARD TO COME BY Sep13 Aug28 Aug14 Jul16 Jul06 (hibdon ma)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50 22% 3.50    
2  RED FROST Sep29 Sep08 Aug11 Aug03 Jun09 (long vaugh)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 2.00 40% 1.50    
3  TULSA TIME Sep21 Sep07 Jul21 Jun30 Jun15 (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 121 3.50    
4  OBVIOUSLY TOO Sep16 Sep08 Aug18 Aug03 Jul08 (schindler je)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 8.00    
5  MY BUDDY MEL Sep27 Sep06 Aug25 Jul21 Jun28 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 122 3.00    
SCR  HOYA PARANOYA Mar15 Feb18 Jan05 Dec12 Nov07 (oliver kim)HAAR NATHAN 121 4.50    
7  LIGHTNING STRUCK Sep20 Sep08 Aug10 Jul10 Jun24 (kemper ke)IRONEYES R 119 5.00    
8  BLUEGRASS BREEZE Sep27 Apr26 Apr14 Mar23 Feb25 (curran randy)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  CUCINA Sep28 Aug30 Aug23 Aug18 Aug10 (scudder jr)ARANA MINOR 124 15.00 11% 7.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.