Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Saturday - April 19, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(1/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(1/5/4)-(1/2/3/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-2   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(1/2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(1/2/3/7)-(1/7/4/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-3   WIN (1/2/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/3/7)-(1/2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/3/7)-(1/2/3/7)-(1/2/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/3/7)-(1/7/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3/7)-(1/7/4/2)-(5/3/6/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-4   WIN (1/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/4/2)-(1/7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/4/2)-(1/7/4/2)-(1/7/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/4/2)-(5/3/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/7/4/2)-(5/3/6/2)-(2/1/4/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-5   WIN (5/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/6/2)-(5/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/6/2)-(5/3/6/2)-(5/3/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/6/2)-(2/1/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6/2)-(2/1/4/3)-(2/7/3/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-6   WIN (2/1/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/4/3)-(2/1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/4/3)-(2/1/4/3)-(2/1/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/4/3)-(2/7/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4/3)-(2/7/3/8)-(4/1/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-7   WIN (2/7/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/3/8)-(2/7/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/3/8)-(2/7/3/8)-(2/7/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/3/8)-(4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/3/8)-(4/1/5)-(8/1/4/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-8   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(8/1/4/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-9   WIN (8/1/4/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/4/10)-(8/1/4/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/4/10)-(8/1/4/10)-(8/1/4/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   04/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GHOSTLY GIRL Mar28 Mar07 Jan12 Oct20 Oct10 (charlerie g)GONZALEZ MELVIS 114 2.00 24% 3.20    
2  GOLDCREST Apr10 Mar28 Feb21 Feb07 Aug29 (kantarm)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 1.60 40% 1.50    
3  SHEZANARCTICQUEEN Apr10 Mar28 Mar07 Feb15 Jan19 (jones eduardo )CEDENO CAROL 123 4.00    
4  LIKA ROLLING STONE Mar19 Feb22 Jan31 Nov19 Oct29 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 3.00    
5  EVERLYS GIRL Apr04 Mar28 Mar14 Feb22 Jan31 (chatte)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-2   04/19/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($76K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SENEGAL Mar08 Feb15 Jan11 Dec15 Oct31 (englehart jer)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.00 27% 2.80    
2  SHARED SUCCESS Mar08 Nov27 Nov13 Jan11 Dec17 (bond harold )CASTELLANO J 121 2.50    
3  LANDAUER Apr04 Feb15 Jan17 Dec15 Nov30 (sciacca gary)DAVIS KATIE 121 4.50    
4  A LISTER Apr04 Jan31 Jan17 Jan01 Dec15 (pringle)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  CUMBERLAND BLUES Apr05 Feb15 Jan19 Jan03 Dec13 (quick)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 5.00 25% 3.10    
 
AQU-3   04/19/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRAIRIE DUNES Apr05 Feb15 Feb06 Jan19 Jan05 (sciacca gary)LEZCANO JOSE 126 5.00 48% 1.10    
2  HER SUGAR BABY Mar28 Feb22       (giddings melani)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00 17% 4.80    
3  NILRUC Mar16 Feb06 Jan19 Jan05 Nov21 (brown )MARAGH RAMSAY 126 2.50 7% 12.60    
4  LIMITS OF POWER Mar02 Feb06 Jan05 Nov24 Oct01 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 121 3.50    
5  GONE BOY Mar11 Feb01 Dec28 Nov04 Oct10 (sanchez-pin)ZAMBRANA JADIEL 113 12.00    
6  MANO E MANO Apr03 Mar16 Jan26 Jan19 Dec14 (potts wayne)GONZALEZ MELVIS 119 5.00    
7  BELMONT UNION Apr05 Mar16 Mar02 Feb02   (chatterp)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-4   04/19/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DURATION Feb27 Dec29 Oct18 Sep01   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 126 1.20 ★    
  (by MITOLE out of SMILE MORE by TIZNOW)
1A  STRATEGIC FOCUS         (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 1.20 43% 1.30    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of CURLIN'S MISTRESS by CURLIN)
2  WESTERN RUN (IRE) Mar07 Jan08 Oct18 Jun30   (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of RUN OF THE RIVER by TAPIT)
3  KING LEE         (antonucci jena )DAVIS KATIE 118 20.00    
  (by BALANCE THE BOOKS out of SKY WILLOW by EMPIRE MAKER)
4  CUANDO Feb27 Oct05 Sep01 Aug15 Jul06 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of FOX HUNT by SAINT LIAM)
5  STURDY Feb27 Mar09 Feb24 Oct27 Sep01 (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 126 4.50    
  (by MITOLE out of HOLIDAYS SARATOGA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
6  BARB Mar29         (ribaud)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 6.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of CLASSIC POINT by FLATTER)
7  HOP SING Feb27 Oct31 Dec02     (d'angelo jose )CEDENO CAROL 126 3.00 31% 2.20    
  (by CURLIN out of SWEET ASSASSIN by TAPIT)
 
AQU-5   04/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DETAIL ORIENTED Mar29         (sciacca gary)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of DETAIL by CITY ZIP)
2  CARLIN CONTENTION         (ryerson)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of JESSAMY LANE by HENNESSY)
3  ROADIE         (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50 17% 5.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of TO A FRIEND by SCAT DADDY)
4  SANZIO Mar29 Mar01       (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 118 8.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of AUNT BABE by DESERT PARTY)
5  FOTO         (duggan)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 3.00 30% 2.40    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of BET ON A CHICK by ALPHABET SOUP)
6  PANDEMIC HERO Apr10 Sep14 Jul24     (jimenez jose)CASTELLANO J 118 4.00 12% 7.30    
  (by MUNNINGS out of MY DIXIE DOODLE by DIXIE UNION)
7  INONIT Mar16 Apr13 Mar24 Jan13 Dec17 (lugovich lisa )LUZZI J 125 4.50    
  (by INCLUDE out of GREGORIAN JEST by PHONE TRICK)
8  DUCKY MEDWICK         (summers chad)DAVIS KATIE 118 10.00    
  (by MR. MONOMOY out of COYOTE PRETTY by UNION RAGS)
 
AQU-6   04/19/2025 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($82K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MURSAL Mar28 Feb16 Jan14 Dec14 Oct26 (giangiulio mic)PENNINGTON F 121 3.50    
1A  LADY MINE Mar22 Jan25 Dec27 Nov29 Feb29 (engleha)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 3.50 8% 11.00    
2  ALL CLASS Mar22 Jan25 Dec27 Oct26 Sep07 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 121 2.50 ★    
2B  SARIR Mar22 Jan25 Nov29 Oct10 Jul29 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 2.50 66% 0.50    
3  MAGGY'S PALACE Feb09 Jan10 Dec12 Nov07 Oct20 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  SPEIGHTFUL LILY Feb23 Dec12 Jul11 Jun09 Mar28 (bond jam)CARMOUCHE K 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  JACKSON'S DIXIE Mar29 Mar14 Feb27 Jan10 Jan01 (figueroa carlo)LUZZI J 121 12.00    
6  BEST IMPRESSION Nov16 Aug31 Mar10 Jan27   (serpe philip)CASTELLANO J 121 20.00    
7  THE BIG CALHOUNA Mar23 Feb15 Nov29 Nov06 Oct26 (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50    
8  GRAMMY GIRL Mar15 Feb15 Jan23 Dec15 Aug07 (de hor)RIVERA R 123 4.50    
 
AQU-7   04/19/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARKET TIMING         (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of HOUSE RULES by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  RADAUTI Mar22 Jan25 Dec07 Nov10   (clement christo)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00 43% 1.30    
  (by TONALIST out of RAUCOUS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
3  GOOD AS HE GETS Feb27 Jan26 Nov29 Nov01 Oct12 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of BROWN EYED WOMAN by DE NIRO)
4  TURN AND COUNT Mar22 Feb07       (martin car)RIVERA R 118 2.50    
  (by CURLIN out of TIZAHIT by TIZNOW)
5  HOT SPUN Mar29 Jan25 Dec27     (bhigroo)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 30.00    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of RUBY ROAN by JIMMY CREED)
6  COMMANDER OF TRUTH Jun07 May10 Sep16     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 126 3.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of JUNGLE TALE by LION HEART)
7  SCOTTISH STORM Feb27 Jan16 Oct20     (dutrow richard)LUZZI J 126 6.00 29% 2.40    
  (by MITOLE out of WARM BREEZE by WILLIAMSTOWN)
8  RED MILLER Mar30         (terranova john )CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of SCRIPTED by MISSION IMPAZIBLE)
 
AQU-8   04/19/2025 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Bay Shore Purse ($150K) 3 ALL PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PASCALINE Sep28 Aug24       (delacour arnaud)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.00 13% 6.50    
  (by UPSTART out of TRES CHIC by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
2  SHARE THE LUDT Mar29 Mar01 Dec28 Dec01 Oct21 (gidding)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 6.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of RIGHT PREVAILS by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
3  FASTER GATOR Mar07 Jun23       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 2.50    
  (by VEKOMA out of COMFORTER by SUNSHINE TODAY)
4  MO PLEX Mar08 Oct27 Oct05 Aug25 Jul13 (englehart jer)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.80 54% 0.80    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of MO JOY by UNCLE MO)
5  MCKELLEN Jan04 Nov30 Oct19     (d'angelo jos)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of DON'T BLAME ME by OPEN FORUM)
 
AQU-9   04/19/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FUNNY JOKE Mar21 Feb23 Jul12 Jun09 Mar12 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 124 6.00 30% 2.30    
1A  BEACHWALKER Apr05 Mar07 Feb07 Jan19 Dec15 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 6.00    
SCR  ZEEBEAR Apr12 Feb21 Aug01 Feb16 Dec30 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00    
3  STEADY PROGRESS Mar14 Feb14 Jan26 Jan18 Jan01 (chatt)HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 30.00    
4  CONNIVING Mar21 Feb07 Jan11 Dec28 Nov30 (figueroa carlo)LUZZI J 124 4.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  HOT ROD RUMBLE Apr12 Mar21 Aug04 Jun29 May04 (arriaga anton)OLVER MADISON 124 15.00    
6  SIN NOMBRE Apr11 Mar21 Feb09 Jan31 Jan17 (romero jes)RIVERA R 124 12.00    
SCR  BEZOS Sep27 Mar29 Jan01 Dec16 Nov04 (persaud)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 10.00    
8  DILLINGER Nov24 Nov01 Oct12 Aug30 Aug07 (russell britt)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.00 34% 2.00    
9  RETURN THE RING Mar09 Feb02 Mar01 Feb04 Jan04 (kantarmaci i)HARKIE K 124 6.00    
10  MASTERWORK Apr05 Mar21 Mar07 Feb14 Jan26 (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.