Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Aqueduct
Saturday - April 12, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-5   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $22.40 $16.40 273%
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-2 $49.25 $43.25 721%
    DD (4/6/3/2)-(2/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-6 $61.75 $49.75 415%
AQU-6   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $7.20 $1.20 20%
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-6 $58.75 $52.75 879%
    DD (2/1/6)-(5/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00  6-2 $56.50 $47.50 528%
    PK3 (4/6/3/2)-(2/1/6)-(5/2/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00  4-6-2 $181.50 $145.50 404%
AQU-7   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00  4 $4.90 $0.90 23%
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00  4-1 $3.25 $1.25 63%
    DD (5/2/6)-(1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-4 $14.60 $8.60 143%
    PK3 (2/1/6)-(5/2/6)-(1/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00  6-2-4 $97.25 $79.25 440%
AQU-8   WIN (1/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $6.50 $0.50 8%
    DD (1/4)-(1/2/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-2 $9.20 $3.20 53%
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(1/4)-(1/2/8) 18 $1.00 $18.00  2-4-2 $45.25 $27.25 151%
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   04/12/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:224 :463 1:11     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PERSISTENT DANGER 4 1 2nk 1nk   13½ 11½ (arriaga anton)OLVER MADISON 121 4.50 5.00  
1  GUN MAESTRO 1 4 33 43¼   44½ 21½ (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 15.00 5% 19.00 16.70 P
3  BRONX BOMBER 3 3 43½ 2nk   23½ 34 (barrera )GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 5.00 7.40  
6  THANK YOU JON 6 2 1nk 3.2   34 44¼ (potts wayne)GEROUX FLORENT 123 2.00 53% 0.90 1.55  
2  BOSS THREE O TWO 2 5 53¾ 58¾   510½ 59 (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 2.50 2.20  
5  LORD CAPTAIN 5 6 610¼ 613¾   613½ 611½ (rice linda)SILVERA RUBEN 121 3.00 11% 8.20 5.60  
 
AQU-2   04/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($86K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:42
See original race card.
:23 :454 :572     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SURVEILLANCE 5 2 11 11½   11 1¼ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 121 2.00 2.70  
4  JUST BEAT THE ODDS 4 1 31 32   21 2¼ (sacco gregor)GEROUX FLORENT 123 1.40 46% 1.20 0.90 P
2  ROTKNEE 2 4 21 21½   32 35½ (maker michae)CASTELLANO J 121 4.00 4.60  
1  BOLD JOURNEY 1 5 53½ 45   44 46¾ (mott i)CANCEL ERIC 121 3.50 26% 2.90 4.60  
3  RIDGEWOOD RUNNER 3 3 42½ 55½   55½ 56¾ (martin car)RIVERA R 123 10.00 5% 19.00 20.70  
 
AQU-3   04/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:16
See original race card.
:224 :463 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  WHENLOVETAKESOVER 6 3 13½ 13½   13½ 1¾ (quick patr)RIVERA R 124 2.50 2.70  
1  CO CONSPIRATOR 1 4 45½ 57   35 2¾ (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 15.00 13.00  
4  ZEEBEAR 4 1 33½ 35½   45 32 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 1.80 54% 0.90 1.10 S
2  BIG RICH 2 6 611¾ 69½   55½ 43 (ferraro)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 6.00 5% 19.00 9.00  
5  HOT ROD RUMBLE 5 2 23½ 23½   23½ 54 (arriaga anton)OLVER MADISON 124 3.50 6.50  
3  PERFECT FLIGHT 3 5 55¾ 46   66½ 67½ (shivmangal loli)DAVIS KATIE 124 4.00 19% 4.30 5.90  
 
AQU-4   04/12/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:48
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:12     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SHE'S COMPLICATED 4 4 31 1½   14 16¾ (mott i)CARMOUCHE K 118 1.00 56% 0.80 2.30 W
5  WAKE UP LAUREN 5 5 43½ 33½   24 26¾ (reynold)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00 10.90  
1  CHOCOLATECHOCOLATE 1 1 1½ 2½   38 321¼ (green j)DAVIS DYLAN 125 3.50 2.80  
6  PARADE RING (IRE) 6 6 54 58   417 430¼ (dutrow antho)CASTELLANO J 125 4.00 20% 4.00 1.65  
7  CONTRACT LAW 7 7 75½ 612   627 534½ (serpe ph)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00 21.00  
3  MY LADY BAE 3 3 2½ 46½   520 636 (atras rob)OLVER MADISON 118 10.00 5% 19.00 19.90  
2  PERSUASIVE 2 2 64 717½   737 743¾ (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 118 15.00 5% 19.00 11.90  
 
AQU-5   04/12/2025 4620ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($78K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:19
See original race card.
:222 :453 1:102     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ROCK THE WEEKEND 6 2 46 46½   35 11 (shivmangal loli)DAVIS KATIE 123 12.00 5% 19.00 10.20 W
2  TEN CENT TOWN 2 3 2½ 2½   11 21 (dutrow richard )DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.00 53% 0.90 2.15 P
4  ELYSIAN MEADOWS 4 4 610 512½   46½ 32 (mott william)CASTELLANO J 121 3.00 2.55  
1  CALDO CANDY 1 5 1½ 1½   21 42 (bond jam)CARMOUCHE K 121 1.80 19% 4.30 2.45  
5  CLANCY FANCY 5 1 31½ 33   59½ 510¼ (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 123 5.00 5.50  
3  CONCORDE SPIRIT 3 6 510 622½   629½ 646 (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 5.00 13.50  
 
AQU-6   04/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:122 1:252   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BADGE OF WAR 4 3 1nk 1½ 11½ 12½ 1¾ (dutrow richard )CANCEL ERIC 123 3.00 33% 2.00 2.60 W
6  RAGAZZO DIABOLICO 6 4 3½ 31 21½ 22½ 2¾ (lugovi)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 12.00 5% 19.00 26.25 P
4  SCAT TU TAP 2 5 53¼ 52 33 33½ 3¾ (arriaga an)RIVERA R 123 4.00 4.20  
5  DEVIL'S CAY 5 6 63¾ 64 65 45½ 47¾ (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 5.00 36% 1.80 2.85  
3  FLAT ON 1 1 4¾ 41½ 53½ 68 512 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 121 2.50 2.90  
1  TIMAEUS 3 2 2nk 2½ 43½ 57 612¼ (rodriguez r)GONZALEZ MELVIS 116 3.50 4.70  
SCR  ALWAYS BE SMART               (rodriguez rudy)CEDENO CAROL 123 3.50    
SCR  MR. PAPAGIORGIO               (dutrow richard )DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.00    
SCR  SIX KINGS               (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 123 15.00    
 
AQU-7   04/12/2025 5940ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Top Flight Purse ($150K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:122 1:374   1:511   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HEADLINE NUMBERS 3 1 11 11½ 1½ 14½ 14½ (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00 15% 5.50 1.45 W
  (by GUN RUNNER out of CURLIN'S MISTRESS by CURLIN)
1  ALPINE PRINCESS 1 4 32 21½ 2½ 24½ 24½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 0.80 55% 0.80 0.60 P
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of LE MOINE by CURLIN)
3  ELLIPTIC (IRE) 2 2 42½ 41¾ 34½ 37 39¼ (green a)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 15.00 7.40  
  (by ARROGATE out of REDHEADS RULE by BIG BROWN)
6  MISS SPITFIRE 4 3 21 31½ 416½ 437 455½ (abreu )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 30.00 19.50  
  (by THE FACTOR out of MORNING RUSH by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  CATHERINE WHEEL               (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SUCCEEDING by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  FADE TO GREY               (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.50    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of TAPITINSILVER by TAPIT)
 
AQU-8   04/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:122 1:243   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  QUICK HAMMER 2 1 1½ 11 11 14 13½ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 14% 6.10 2.25 W
6  BROOKLYN STRONG 4 4 52¾ 53 34½ 36 23½ (velazquez da)CASTELLANO J 121 12.00 8.70  
7  HIGH TIDE 5 3 3½ 21 21 24 34 (abreu )MARAGH RAMSAY 123 5.00 4.20  
1  FLAT OUT FLYING 1 6 66¼ 66½ 67½ 56½ 44 (atras r)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 1.40 42% 1.40 1.55  
8  ICE ROAD 6 5 42½ 43 45 46½ 58¼ (rice linda)SILVERA RUBEN 123 6.00 9% 9.90 7.10  
4  ALLURE OF MONEY 3 2 2½ 31½ 56 611½ 624¼ (goberdhan chan)LUZZI J 121 15.00 11.70  
SCR  FUNNY JOKE               (rodriguez r)GONZALEZ MELVIS 114 15.00    
SCR  VALENZAN DAY               (chatterp)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 10.00    
 
AQU-9   04/12/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:103     1:23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ELIMINATE 2 7 74½ 52½   31½ 11¼ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 121 8.00 9.40  
1  MASTER OF ARMS 1 4 11 11   11 21¼ (maker michae)CASTELLANO J 123 4.00 31% 2.20 2.15 P
5  QUICK TO ACCUSE 4 6 42 31   21 32¼ (giangiulio mich)DAVIS DYLAN 123 1.40 33% 2.00 1.30 S
4  SHIPSATIONAL 3 1 21 21   46 47¼ (barker r)CANCEL ERIC 121 8.00 13% 6.70 6.20  
8  AIR OF DEFIANCE 7 2 31½ 41½   56 511¼ (summers ch)RIVERA R 121 15.00 5% 19.00 9.90  
7  PRESIDENT Z 6 3 53 63   68 611¾ (dutrow richard)LUZZI J 121 8.00 11.30  
6  GO IRISH 5 5 63½ 73½   78½ 712 (antonucci jena )DAVIS KATIE 121 30.00 24.75  
SCR  ANTONIO OF VENICE               (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.