Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Aqueduct
Saturday - April 12, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-5   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $22.40 $16.40 273%
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-2 $49.25 $43.25 721%
    DD (4/6/3/2)-(2/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-6 $61.75 $49.75 415%
AQU-6   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $7.20 $1.20 20%
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-6 $58.75 $52.75 879%
    DD (2/1/6)-(5/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00  6-2 $56.50 $47.50 528%
    PK3 (4/6/3/2)-(2/1/6)-(5/2/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00  4-6-2 $181.50 $145.50 404%
AQU-7   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00  4 $4.90 $0.90 23%
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00  4-1 $3.25 $1.25 63%
    DD (5/2/6)-(1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-4 $14.60 $8.60 143%
    PK3 (2/1/6)-(5/2/6)-(1/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00  6-2-4 $97.25 $79.25 440%
AQU-8   WIN (1/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $6.50 $0.50 8%
    DD (1/4)-(1/2/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-2 $9.20 $3.20 53%
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(1/4)-(1/2/8) 18 $1.00 $18.00  2-4-2 $45.25 $27.25 151%
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   04/12/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PERSISTENT DANGER   (arriaga anton)OLVER MADISON 121 4.50 5.00  
1  GUN MAESTRO   (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 15.00 5% 19.00 16.70 P
3  BRONX BOMBER   (barrera )GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 5.00 7.40  
6  THANK YOU JON   (potts wayne)GEROUX FLORENT 123 2.00 53% 0.90 1.55  
2  BOSS THREE O TWO   (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 2.50 2.20  
5  LORD CAPTAIN   (rice linda)SILVERA RUBEN 121 3.00 11% 8.20 5.60  
 
AQU-2   04/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($86K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:42
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SURVEILLANCE   (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 121 2.00 2.70  
4  JUST BEAT THE ODDS   (sacco gregor)GEROUX FLORENT 123 1.40 46% 1.20 0.90 P
2  ROTKNEE   (maker michae)CASTELLANO J 121 4.00 4.60  
1  BOLD JOURNEY   (mott i)CANCEL ERIC 121 3.50 26% 2.90 4.60  
3  RIDGEWOOD RUNNER   (martin car)RIVERA R 123 10.00 5% 19.00 20.70  
 
AQU-3   04/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:16
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  WHENLOVETAKESOVER   (quick patr)RIVERA R 124 2.50 2.70  
1  CO CONSPIRATOR   (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 15.00 13.00  
4  ZEEBEAR   (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 1.80 54% 0.90 1.10 S
2  BIG RICH   (ferraro)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 6.00 5% 19.00 9.00  
5  HOT ROD RUMBLE   (arriaga anton)OLVER MADISON 124 3.50 6.50  
3  PERFECT FLIGHT   (shivmangal loli)DAVIS KATIE 124 4.00 19% 4.30 5.90  
 
AQU-4   04/12/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:48
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SHE'S COMPLICATED   (mott i)CARMOUCHE K 118 1.00 56% 0.80 2.30 W
5  WAKE UP LAUREN   (reynold)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00 10.90  
1  CHOCOLATECHOCOLATE   (green j)DAVIS DYLAN 125 3.50 2.80  
6  PARADE RING (IRE)   (dutrow antho)CASTELLANO J 125 4.00 20% 4.00 1.65  
7  CONTRACT LAW   (serpe ph)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00 21.00  
3  MY LADY BAE   (atras rob)OLVER MADISON 118 10.00 5% 19.00 19.90  
2  PERSUASIVE   (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 118 15.00 5% 19.00 11.90  
 
AQU-5   04/12/2025 4620ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($78K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:19
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ROCK THE WEEKEND   (shivmangal loli)DAVIS KATIE 123 12.00 5% 19.00 10.20 W
2  TEN CENT TOWN   (dutrow richard )DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.00 53% 0.90 2.15 P
4  ELYSIAN MEADOWS   (mott william)CASTELLANO J 121 3.00 2.55  
1  CALDO CANDY   (bond jam)CARMOUCHE K 121 1.80 19% 4.30 2.45  
5  CLANCY FANCY   (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 123 5.00 5.50  
3  CONCORDE SPIRIT   (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 5.00 13.50  
 
AQU-6   04/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BADGE OF WAR   (dutrow richard )CANCEL ERIC 123 3.00 33% 2.00 2.60 W
6  RAGAZZO DIABOLICO   (lugovi)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 12.00 5% 19.00 26.25 P
4  SCAT TU TAP   (arriaga an)RIVERA R 123 4.00 4.20  
5  DEVIL'S CAY   (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 5.00 36% 1.80 2.85  
3  FLAT ON   (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 121 2.50 2.90  
1  TIMAEUS   (rodriguez r)GONZALEZ MELVIS 116 3.50 4.70  
SCR  ALWAYS BE SMART   (rodriguez rudy)CEDENO CAROL 123 3.50    
SCR  MR. PAPAGIORGIO   (dutrow richard )DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.00    
SCR  SIX KINGS   (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 123 15.00    
 
AQU-7   04/12/2025 5940ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Top Flight Purse ($150K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:22
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HEADLINE NUMBERS   (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00 15% 5.50 1.45 W
  (by GUN RUNNER out of CURLIN'S MISTRESS by CURLIN)
1  ALPINE PRINCESS   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 0.80 55% 0.80 0.60 P
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of LE MOINE by CURLIN)
3  ELLIPTIC (IRE)   (green a)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 15.00 7.40  
  (by ARROGATE out of REDHEADS RULE by BIG BROWN)
6  MISS SPITFIRE   (abreu )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 30.00 19.50  
  (by THE FACTOR out of MORNING RUSH by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  CATHERINE WHEEL   (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SUCCEEDING by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  FADE TO GREY   (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.50    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of TAPITINSILVER by TAPIT)
 
AQU-8   04/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:54
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  QUICK HAMMER   (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 14% 6.10 2.25 W
6  BROOKLYN STRONG   (velazquez da)CASTELLANO J 121 12.00 8.70  
7  HIGH TIDE   (abreu )MARAGH RAMSAY 123 5.00 4.20  
1  FLAT OUT FLYING   (atras r)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 1.40 42% 1.40 1.55  
8  ICE ROAD   (rice linda)SILVERA RUBEN 123 6.00 9% 9.90 7.10  
4  ALLURE OF MONEY   (goberdhan chan)LUZZI J 121 15.00 11.70  
SCR  FUNNY JOKE   (rodriguez r)GONZALEZ MELVIS 114 15.00    
SCR  VALENZAN DAY   (chatterp)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 10.00    
 
AQU-9   04/12/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:26
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ELIMINATE   (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 121 8.00 9.40  
1  MASTER OF ARMS   (maker michae)CASTELLANO J 123 4.00 31% 2.20 2.15 P
5  QUICK TO ACCUSE   (giangiulio mich)DAVIS DYLAN 123 1.40 33% 2.00 1.30 S
4  SHIPSATIONAL   (barker r)CANCEL ERIC 121 8.00 13% 6.70 6.20  
8  AIR OF DEFIANCE   (summers ch)RIVERA R 121 15.00 5% 19.00 9.90  
7  PRESIDENT Z   (dutrow richard)LUZZI J 121 8.00 11.30  
6  GO IRISH   (antonucci jena )DAVIS KATIE 121 30.00 24.75  
SCR  ANTONIO OF VENICE   (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.