Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - February 23, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(1/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-2   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(1/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(1/5/3)-(1/7/4/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-3   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(1/7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(1/7/4/2)-(5/2/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-4   WIN (1/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/4/2)-(1/7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/4/2)-(1/7/4/2)-(1/7/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/4/2)-(5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/4/2)-(5/2/6)-(4/5/6/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-5   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(4/5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(4/5/6/2)-(7/4/1/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-6   WIN (4/5/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/6/2)-(4/5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/6/2)-(4/5/6/2)-(4/5/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/6/2)-(7/4/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6/2)-(7/4/1/5)-(7/9/1/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-7   WIN (7/4/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/1/5)-(7/4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/1/5)-(7/4/1/5)-(7/4/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/1/5)-(7/9/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1/5)-(7/9/1/6)-(3/11/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-8   WIN (7/9/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/9/1/6)-(7/9/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/9/1/6)-(7/9/1/6)-(7/9/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/9/1/6)-(3/11/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/9/1/6)-(3/11/4)-(3/6/4/7/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-9   WIN (3/11/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/11/4)-(3/11/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/11/4)-(3/11/4)-(3/11/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/11/4)-(3/6/4/7/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
AQU-10   WIN (3/6/4/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/4/7/1)-(3/6/4/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/6/4/7/1)-(3/6/4/7/1)-(3/6/4/7/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   02/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($76K) 3 ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER SWIFT Jan12 Nov16 Nov01 Sep29   (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.80 34% 1.90    
2  JUST CLARITY Jan31 Nov23 Oct19 Sep22   (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  KENNY BE Jan12 Nov16 Oct26 Sep21   (duggan)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 2.00    
4  BUTTAH Jan02 Dec14 Oct21 Sep22 Sep02 (sciacca gary)LUZZI J 122 12.00    
5  PRINCE VALIANT Jan11 Dec08       (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.00 26% 2.80    
6  THREE B'S Nov16 Oct06 Sep02 Jul19   (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00    
 
AQU-2   02/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEVIL'S CAY Feb02 Jan26 Jan04 Dec13 Nov08 (potts wayne)ROBLES O 118 2.50 24% 3.10    
2  QUICK HAMMER Feb02 Jan12 Jan02 Oct10 Jul28 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.40    
3  J D FACTOR Feb13 Jan16 Dec28 Nov29 Oct10 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00    
4  MASTER FREUD Jan17 Dec15 Nov03 Oct04 Sep13 (klesaris rober)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  HATCH (GB) Feb02 Jan04 Dec27 Dec06 Nov24 (jones eduardo )CEDENO CAROL 123 8.00 20% 3.90    
6  OMEY ISLAND Jan24 Dec29 Jun01 May05 Apr04 (duggan)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 8.00    
 
AQU-3   02/23/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 1:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONOMOY BEACH Jan18 Dec28 Nov29     (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.00 35% 1.90    
1A  MONOMOYS PARTNER Feb08 Jan26 Jan05 Sep28   (chichakly amir)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00    
SCR  ROMEO VOID Jan26 Dec28 Nov15 Nov03 Sep22 (green j)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00    
3  DAYTONA MOONSHINE Jan26 Jan10 Nov15 Sep22   (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 120 15.00 11% 7.70    
4  REVIVALISM Jan26 Jan05 Dec15 Nov15 Sep21 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.80    
5  SOLAR GLARE Feb08 Jan05 Dec07 Nov01 Oct18 (synnefias d)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 5.00 25% 3.00    
6  FINES CREEK Jan26 Jan04 Nov23     (ryerson t)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00    
7  PREMIER CRU Dec27 Nov30 Nov22 Nov04   (sanchez-piner)SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00    
 
AQU-4   02/23/2025 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($58K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOLD ENDEAVOR Jan23 Jan03 Nov08 Jan27 Dec29 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  BOLD VICTORY Feb13 Feb01 Jan03 Nov24 Oct19 (kantarmaci ilka)CANCEL ERIC 121 2.00    
2B  JUST CALL RAY Jan29 Jan13 Dec06 Oct13 Sep23 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 8.00 9% 9.80    
SCR  CELESTIAL MOON Jan13 Dec16 Nov23 Nov05 Oct19 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 8.00    
3  COSTA TERRA Jan04 Nov24 Nov07 Oct19 Sep15 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.80    
4  LOST IN ROME Jan24 Oct13 Sep15 Aug21 Aug08 (levine)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 5.00 9% 9.60    
5  SAGAMORE MISCHIEF Jan18 Dec14 Nov15 Oct05 Jun29 (rodriguez gust)CEDENO CAROL 121 15.00    
6  JACKSON HEIGHTS Jan23 Dec07 Nov10 Oct12 Sep20 (atras rob)LUZZI J 121 10.00    
7  CHELONIAN Jan29 Jan13 Dec16 Nov20 Oct22 (pino v)CARMOUCHE K 123 6.00 18% 4.50    
 
AQU-5   02/23/2025 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EASY DIAL         (pletch)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of ARISIA by DECLARATION OF WAR)
2  ADVENTURIST Jan26         (pletcher)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.50 10% 9.50    
  (by CURLIN out of TOUCHING BEAUTY by TAPIT)
3  INTERCEPTOR (GB) Nov03         (brown c)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of SWEET ASSASSIN by TAPIT)
4  QUIET MOON Feb07         (mott i)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of SMOOTH QUALITY by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
5  TRACKING ERROR Jan25 Jan03 Sep21     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.80 57% 0.80    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of GUIDONIA by SCAT DADDY)
6  KULAPAT Jan25         (mott william )SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of SUCAT by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
7  GRIFFIN'S WHARF Dec28 Nov29 Oct26     (morley thomas)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of AUTONOMOUS by QUALITY ROAD)
 
AQU-6   02/23/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($82K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALL HER BLUFF Dec27 Dec07 Oct27 Oct10 Aug25 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.50    
1A  LUNA MOTH Jan25 Jan01 Nov10 Sep01 Jun30 (rodriguez rudy)CEDENO CAROL 121 4.50    
2  ON COMMAND Dec27 Dec01 Oct25 Aug31 Jul05 (green j)DAVIS KATIE 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  TIPPLE Jan31 Aug14 Jul27     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00    
4  BELLS BEACH Jan11 Nov16 Jul12 Jun01 Apr05 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50 41% 1.40    
5  RISING INFLATION Jun21 May18 Aug31     (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 121 3.50 21% 3.70    
6  MALU Jan17 Jan02 Dec07 Oct24 Jul24 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.50 5% 19.00    
7  NEXT ON STAGE Jan11 Dec01 Nov01 Oct04 Sep02 (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 6.00    
 
AQU-7   02/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CADA DIA MEJOR Jan26 Jan18 Dec28     (kantarmaci ilk)LUZZI J 120 12.00 20% 3.90    
2  MARVELOUS RICHARD Dec28         (sciacca gar)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 12.00    
SCR  MAN FROM MALTA Jan24 Jan17 Dec07 Jul07 Jun20 (chichakly amir)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00    
4  MONTE AVI Jan18 Dec07 Nov02 Oct05 Aug31 (hennig)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 6.00 27% 2.70    
5  GOODBYE Jan18 Dec07       (handal r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RUN WITH HONOR Feb14 Dec27 Nov23     (englehart jerem)CANCEL ERIC 120 1.00    
7  KING PHOENIX Jan17 Nov23       (dutrow richard )DAVIS KATIE 120 4.00 28% 2.60    
8  FRONTAL VISION Nov18         (dixon k)OLVER MADISON 120 20.00    
 
AQU-8   02/23/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLOWING RIVER Nov20 Jul09 Jun05 Apr29 Jan27 (barrow paul)OLVER MADISON 121 5.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  CAN'T BEAT ME Feb02 Jan12 Nov27 Nov05 May20 (barrow paul)OLVER MADISON 121 5.00    
2  UNION LIGHTS Jan23 Jan02 Dec13 Nov14 Oct16 (toscano t)CANCEL ERIC 121 10.00    
3  CENTAVO Feb15 Feb07 May18 May04 Apr26 (chatt)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 15.00    
SCR  DADS GOOD RUNNER Feb14 Jan12 Dec13 Nov24 Nov08 (bhigroog che)HARKIE K 121 15.00    
5  BLAKE B. Jan23 Dec15 Nov16 Oct19 Sep23 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 121 4.00    
6  PERSISTENT DANGER Feb09 Jan12 May07 Apr29 Apr06 (keithan rachae)CEDENO CAROL 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CHALKY CAT Feb02 Dec14 Nov08 Oct10 Sep21 (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 123 3.00 30% 2.30    
8  INDIANQUEST Feb14 Jan18 Jan01 Dec12 Nov24 (ibrahim emron)CHANDRA PREM 111 15.00    
9  FUNNY JOKE Jul12 Jun09 Mar12 Feb05 Dec16 (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50 23% 3.40    
 
AQU-9   02/23/2025 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Broadway Purse ($125K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BON ADIEU Feb22 Dec27 Oct27 Oct19 Sep20 (rodriguez rudy )DAVIS KATIE 118 20.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of VIVA SHEILA by TIZNOW)
SCR  CATCHPHRASE Jan31 Dec13 Nov22     (green am)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 30.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of GRACE'S TREASURE by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
3  LANDED Oct23 Aug25 Jun09 Apr07 Feb18 (ward a)MACHADO LUAN 124 3.50 42% 1.40    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of GLORY GOLD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
4  SPEIGHTFUL LILY Dec12 Jul11 Jun09 Mar28 Jan27 (bond jam)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of SPEIGHTFUL LADY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  BERNIETAKESCHARGE Feb22 Jan11 Dec06 Oct10 Aug28 (schett)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of BERNING ROSE by FREUD)
6  MY MAGIC WAND Jan10 Nov22 Sep27 Aug02   (sacco gregory)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of GUN CLUB by TRAPPE SHOT)
7  SWEET BROWN SUGAR Feb06 Oct21 Oct09 Aug25 Jul15 (barrow paul)LUZZI J 124 8.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of RACHEL'S BLUE MOON by BODEMEISTER)
SCR  CARA'S TIME Jan25 Dec08 Oct27 Oct04 Aug31 (friedman mitc)SILVERA RUBEN 124 15.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of ZINDRA by MACHO UNO)
9  CALDWELL LUVS GOLD Jan25 Dec13 Oct27 Sep14 Aug25 (cox h)LEZCANO JOSE 124 6.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SNOW by QUALITY ROAD)
SCR  SNAPPIN BUTTONS Feb09 Jan24 Dec07 Nov30 May09 (arriaga antoni)CEDENO CAROL 118 30.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of CANARYINACAGE by MINESHAFT)
11  TOUGH STREET Dec29 Oct13 Jul26 Jun09 Apr14 (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.50 20% 4.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of LA CONDESA by FREUD)
 
AQU-10   02/23/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($44K) 3 F PT- 5:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KATERINA RISTOVA Oct13 Sep27 Aug22 Jul31 Jul13 (chich)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  RASTA GIRL Feb09 Jan23 Dec29 Oct24   (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 120 30.00    
3  LAST MANGO         (englehart jerem)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.50 26% 2.80    
4  MELANCIA Jan24 Dec29 Nov29 Nov08   (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 18% 4.60    
5  GRAND CROSSING Nov24         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00    
6  MAXALUNA         (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 19% 4.30    
7  PERSUASIVE         (donk d)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 10.00 12% 7.20    
8  GAME LIKE REYANA Feb08 Dec12       (bhigroog chet)SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00    
9  IMPROBABLE FRIEND Jan17         (maker michael )LUZZI J 120 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.