Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Friday - January 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (4/5/1/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/1/6/9)-(4/5/1/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/1/6/9)-(4/5/1/6/9)-(4/5/1/6/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/5/1/6/9)-(5/8/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1/6/9)-(5/8/7/1)-(8/6/1/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-2   WIN (5/8/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/7/1)-(5/8/4/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/8/7/1)-(5/8/4/7/1)-(5/8/4/7/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/8/7/1)-(8/6/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/8/7/1)-(8/6/1/4)-(1/2/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-3   WIN (8/6/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/1/4)-(8/6/16/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/6/1/4)-(8/6/16/1/4)-(8/6/16/1/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/6/1/4)-(1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/6/1/4)-(1/2/7)-(2/6/9/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-4   WIN (1/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/7)-(1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/7)-(2/6/9/8/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/2/7)-(2/6/9/8/1)-(2/7) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
FG-5   WIN (2/6/9/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/6/9/8/1)-(2/6/9/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/6/9/8/1)-(2/6/9/8/1)-(2/6/9/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/6/9/8/1)-(2/7) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (2/6/9/8/1)-(2/7)-(3/12/5/6/2) 50 $0.50 $25.00 
FG-6   WIN (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/7)-(2/7/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/7)-(2/7/6)-(2/7/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/7)-(3/12/5/6/2) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (2/7)-(3/12/5/6/2)-(2/10/4/7/8) 50 $0.50 $25.00 
FG-7   WIN (3/12/5/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/12/5/6/2)-(3/12/5/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/12/5/6/2)-(3/12/5/6/2)-(3/12/5/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/12/5/6/2)-(2/10/4/7/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
FG-8   WIN (2/10/4/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/10/4/7/8)-(2/10/4/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/10/4/7/8)-(2/10/4/7/8)-(2/10/4/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   01/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIKA ELLA PIKA         (ney john)MURRAY M 122 10.00 16% 5.40    
2  SECRET WINE Jan01 Jul12 Jun22 May29   (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 122 6.00    
3  KRAFTY TAFFY Jan01 Dec05 Sep24 Jul26 Jun29 (peterson jess)MORALES EDGAR 122 15.00    
4  GOLDEN CITY Dec20 Oct16 Sep03 Jul16   (gibson jonas)ORTIZ L 122 1.20 29% 2.50    
5  UNA MARGARITA         (grimaldo jose)COHEN DAVID 122 8.00 18% 4.70    
6  AUSTYN JANE         (duhon joseph)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 10.00 16% 5.40    
7  DIAMOND COUNTRY Jan01 Dec05 Nov07 Oct17 Aug09 (thompson kevin)RIQUELME J 122 15.00    
8  STRUMMIN MARY Jan01 Dec05 Jun18 Jan05 Dec29 (zeringue w)ALBERT S 122 5.00    
9  FRANCESNFRIENDS Jan01 Jun08 May01 Mar24 Dec10 (ludwig jame)ASTUDILLO FELIX 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-2   01/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHIEF KIMOSABI Dec27 Nov15 Nov02 Aug17 Jul11 (journet albert)GREEN AUBRIE 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  ITS WILD AGAIN Jan04 Dec07 Aug27 Jul27 Jul29 (peterson j)ALBERT S 121 6.00    
3  STONE ALLIANCE Jan04 Dec12 Nov29 Nov15 Jul18 (zenon charle)MURRAY M 121 20.00    
4  NATIVE STAR Jan09 Dec14 Nov30 Nov06 Aug09 (gelner scot)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 3.50 ★    
5  APRIORITY AVENGER Jan02 Dec20 Dec11 Nov16 Oct25 (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 121 4.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  GO BROTHER GO Nov23 Sep17 Aug27 Aug06 Jul24 (munoz yovani)RIQUELME J 121 10.00    
7  HARPES HILL Jan02 Dec12 Nov20 Aug03 Jun29 (patt r)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  JACKSON D Dec14 Nov23 Sep18 Aug22 Jun14 (ducoing stur)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 3.00 32% 2.10    
9  ITELLYOUTHEFACTS Dec20 Nov13 Aug03 Jul02 Jun07 (govea cesa)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 20.00    
10  PUTTHEHAMMERDOWN Jan04 Nov29 Nov15 Nov02 Sep18 (richard r)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 6.00    
 
FG-3   01/17/2025 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOU'RE ON MUTE Dec20 Dec07 Nov27 Oct12 Sep28 (govea ces)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  SIR PISTOLERO Dec07 Oct10 Sep26 May27 May11 (tracy tanner)CURTIS BEN 122 8.00    
SCR  D DAY REUNION Dec14 Oct30 Oct08 Sep19 Aug22 (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 122 6.00    
4  GOTTA KEEP HIM Jan01 Dec07 Sep04 Jul17 Jun12 (foster jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SOVEREIGNS JOY Dec07 Nov22 Oct09 Aug24 Jul15 (maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.50    
6  BILLY'S GOT ISSUES Oct05 Aug23 Jul14 May26 Mar03 (handal raymo)GEROUX FLORENT 122 5.00 8% 11.00    
7  LAST ATTACK Dec20 Dec08 Oct12 Jul04 May25 (gelner j)MCMAHON J 122 6.00    
8  BETTERA Jan01 Dec14 Sep14 Aug18 Jul15 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 3.50 66% 0.50    
9  COIN MINER Jan01 Dec21 Apr07 Mar15 Oct08 (desormeaux )CONCEPCION AXEL 122 6.00    
SCR  IF I WERE YOU Dec07 Oct26 Sep18 Jul06 Jun15 (rubley kelly)GRAHAM J 122 8.00    
SCR  DAPPER DUDE Dec07 Nov02 Jul21 Jun30 Jun16 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 122 12.00    
12  SKALKAHO Dec20 Dec07 Sep26 Aug30 Jul22 (tracy tann)ALBERT S 122 12.00    
13  HIGH RANSOM Dec20 Sep19 Sep07 Aug24 Aug10 (west henr)HERNANDEZ J 122 20.00    
SCR  MAX IS G MONEY Dec20 Dec07 Oct17 Sep24 Sep04 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 10.00    
15  B WAYNE Jan02 Dec15 Nov29 Sep15 Aug13 (claire alexis)ORTIZ L 125 8.00    
16  GUILE Dec19 Nov22 Nov01 Sep28 Sep01 (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 122 6.00 ★    
 
FG-4   01/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAINT PETER'S BAY Dec08 Jun02 Apr27 Mar15 Jan26 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 2.50 42% 1.40    
2  TRIPLE TREA Dec27 Oct10 Sep21 Jan18 Dec23 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.00 29% 2.40    
3  BEAUTIFUL LIFE Dec27 Jun09 Apr27 Mar22 Feb15 (duke steve)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00    
4  CUPID'S WAR Dec20 Nov29 Oct06 Aug25 Jul21 (lopez eli)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 8.00    
SCR  AMERICAN CITY Jan09 Dec19 Oct31 Sep04 Aug17 (desormeaux )CONCEPCION AXEL 114 3.50    
6  FLYING HOUDINI Jan01 Dec20 Oct04 Aug17 Jul20 (west henr)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00    
7  GREAT RUNNER Dec27 Dec08 Oct25 Aug17 Jul06 (ladner herman)GRAHAM J 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-5   01/17/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PICO D'ORO Dec29 Oct16 Oct07 Sep04 Aug19 (govea ces)HERNANDEZ J 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  LEGITIMATE TARGET (GB) Dec20 Nov24 Oct19 Aug25 Aug03 (wong jonat)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 3.50 33% 2.00    
SCR  MAN ON ATTACK Dec21 Oct13 Aug25 Aug04 Jul06 (childers v)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.00    
4  I'M YOUR MAN Dec27 Nov20 Nov06 Sep22 Jul21 (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00    
5  RED ROAD Dec27 Nov28 Sep30 Aug03 Mar04 (devaux cher)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 6.00    
6  THE PADDOCK PASTOR Dec05 Oct17 Sep07 Aug17 Jul20 (russell brit)GEROUX FLORENT 121 4.50 32% 2.20    
7  CARTHAGE CAJUN Dec27 Nov22 Sep18 Aug14 Jul17 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 15.00    
8  LIL BRO COOP Dec27 Dec13 Nov22 Oct30 Apr05 (sanchez juan)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  SENDERO Dec16 Nov22 Sep29 Aug30 Aug17 (alonzo ho)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 10.00 12% 7.60    
10  MAASAI WARRIOR Dec27 Dec07 Nov22 Jun06 May23 (leonard georg)MORALES EDGAR 121 6.00    
SCR  RIGHTHERE RIGHTNOW Oct16 Sep14 Aug17 Jul20 May23 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 121 3.50    
SCR  EL PERFECTO Nov22 Sep26 Aug14 Jun07 May10 (claire alexi)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 12.00    
SCR  CAROOM Oct06 Aug18 Jun20 May12 Apr17 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 5.00    
 
FG-6   01/17/2025 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($60K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BA DEE YAH Dec22 Jul20 Jun08 Mar30 Mar09 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 3.00    
2  LADY JEOPARDY Sep17 Jul16 Jun17 Jan15 Dec16 (duhon o)GREEN AUBRIE 120 6.00 37% 1.70    
3  GIN GIN May03 Apr06 Mar02 Jan13 Nov25 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.50    
SCR  MADISON RAE Oct30 Sep20 Aug15 May25 Mar14 (wong jonat)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 10.00    
5  AMBER CASCADE Nov08 Sep20 Aug10 Jun26 Nov01 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 120 3.50    
6  SILK Dec19 Nov03 Apr25 Feb28 Jan17 (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 4.00 ★    
7  CORA'S LEGACY Dec19 Oct19 Aug20 Jul09 Jun14 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00 14% 6.00    
 
FG-7   01/17/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($58K) 3 F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EXINGTON Nov29 Oct26 Aug29     (walsh p)CURTIS BEN 120 8.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of WAVE THE FLAG by EMPIRE MAKER)
2  ENGLISH PATIENCE         (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of CLEO'S KREWE by FLATTER)
3  TEMPTING EVE Dec13         (hartman chri)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.50 50% 1.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of TEMPTING OUR FATE by ACCLAMATION (GB))
SCR  MENU PLEASE (IRE)         (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 120 6.00    
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of HINDAAM by ARCH)
5  HEY BERTIE         (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00 10% 9.30    
  (by KANTHAROS out of BELIEVE IN BERTIE by LANGFUHR)
6  BETTY'S DANCE         (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 5.00 10% 9.30    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of LANGERS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
7  NANCY LYNN Nov17 Sep29       (asmussen stev)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of GLAMOURATTI by STREET SENSE)
SCR  ELITE HEAT (GB) Nov23         (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 3.00    
  (by TOO DARN HOT out of FORMIDABLE KITT by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT)
9  LA REYNITA         (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 120 15.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of MY MACH FOUR by MACHIAVELLIAN)
SCR  FUNNY LADY Dec13 Sep05 Aug02 Jul20   (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 120 8.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SHE'S FUNNY by TAPIT)
SCR  CAFE CON LECHE         (russell br)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of JAZAALAH by HARD SPUN)
12  KISSIN RICHES Dec19 Nov23       (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 10% 8.60    
  (by MUNNINGS out of KISS N SCAT by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  DON'T BLINK Dec28         (beckman d )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of EVER ELUSIVE by FORESTRY)
14  BODACIOUS BEAUTY         (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 120 8.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of BODACIOUS BABE by MINESHAFT)
15  CLASSICAL GAS Oct20         (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 120 12.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of SWAYTHISAWAY by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  VELVET DEVIL         (tomlinson m)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 12.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of TIZLEGAL by TIZNOW)
 
FG-8   01/17/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUJU NINETEEN Dec27 Dec06 Sep23 Aug20 Jul15 (brouss)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 20.00    
SCR  HOOSIER Jan04 Dec06 Sep26 Aug05 Jul02 (savoie sherman)SINGH R 121 4.00 27% 2.70    
3  JOEY'S GAME Dec27 Nov23 Jul18 Jun21 Mar06 (munoz yova)ALBERT S 121 4.50    
4  GYPSY'S SOULMATE Dec27 Nov30 Jun13 Mar06 Feb12 (david b)GRAHAM J 124 3.50 16% 5.10    
5  KNOCKALITTLELOUDER Jan04 Dec14 Sep14 Jun07 May13 (ney john)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 8.00    
6  SWIFT N TRAFFIC Dec27 Dec06 Oct30 Oct11 Aug14 (mouton ch)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 12.00    
7  DRILLING REPORT Jan05 Dec15 Nov02 Jun27 May31 (larrosa juan )MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00 6% 15.20    
8  J B GRAY Dec27 Nov30 Oct17 Sep25 Aug20 (balderas alf)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  OAK HILL LG Jan04 Nov24 Jul30 Jul09 May29 (ducoing sturges )CURTIS BEN 121 6.00    
10  GALLANT STAR Dec27 Dec06 Aug09 Jul15 May30 (schwandt e)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.00 20% 3.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.