Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Wednesday - January 01, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/6)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/6)-(2/5/4)-(2/6/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-2   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(2/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(2/6/5)-(5/6/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-3   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(5/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(5/6/1)-(4/6/3/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-4   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(4/6/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(4/6/3/7)-(8/1/3/10/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-5   WIN (4/6/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/3/7)-(4/6/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/3/7)-(4/6/3/7)-(4/6/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/3/7)-(8/1/3/10/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3/7)-(8/1/3/10/6)-(1/3/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-6   WIN (8/1/3/10/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/1/3/10/6)-(8/1/3/10/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/1/3/10/6)-(8/1/3/10/6)-(8/1/3/10/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/1/3/10/6)-(1/3/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/1/3/10/6)-(1/3/5)-(4/7/8/10/3) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
AQU-7   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(4/7/8/10/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
AQU-8   WIN (4/7/8/10/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/7/8/10/3)-(4/7/8/10/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/7/8/10/3)-(4/7/8/10/3)-(4/7/8/10/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   01/01/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($42K) 3 F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  POWERFUL JO         (schettino domi)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00    
2  ROZZYROO         (simoff )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 2.50 34% 1.90    
SCR  PUTTIN IN THE WORK Nov23 Oct28       (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 6.00    
4  LIGHT THOUGHTS Nov06         (dixon )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 3.50    
5  SYL'S PLEASURE         (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00    
6  WILDCAT ANNIE Oct26         (miceli michael)LUZZI J 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-2   01/01/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($29K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ERIC FROM MIAMI Nov11 Sep01 Aug06 Jul24 Jul14 (sells )MARAGH RAMSAY 123 5.00    
2  EARL OF DASSEL Nov25 Oct13 Jul31 Jun08 May25 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 2.00 43% 1.30    
3  PUFF'SMAGICDRAGON Nov30 Nov13 Oct02 Sep16 Sep04 (englehart chris)VIVES SOFIA 123 5.00    
4  A LISTER Dec15 Nov23 Nov03 Oct18 Sep21 (pringle)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  MR. MENDELSSOHN Nov30 Nov09 Sep19 Aug31 Jun07 (toscano t)CANCEL ERIC 123 3.00 14% 6.30    
6  JANSSEN Dec14 Nov30 Oct31 Sep22 Aug28 (lakeman andre)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50    
 
AQU-3   01/01/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONTAUK MYSTIQUE Dec01 Jul05 May26 Apr27 Mar21 (miceli michael)DAVIS KATIE 122 3.00    
2  LUCKY AND GORGEOUS Nov10 Oct13 Sep02 Aug18 Jul24 (giddin)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 2.00 55% 0.80    
3  KHALI'S STORM Dec13 Apr18 Mar03 Feb16 Jan11 (englehart chri)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.50    
4  FREUD'S FANCY Nov17 Oct12       (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 2.50    
5  HOLDER CLOSE Dec15 Nov16 Oct13 Sep14 Jul24 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  THE SPLENDID ONE Nov09 Oct13 Aug11 Jul04 Jun09 (hennig )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 8.00 13% 6.70    
 
AQU-4   01/01/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECURED LENDER Oct10 Sep07 Aug10     (brown c)VIVES SOFIA 122 8.00 14% 6.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of SATISFACTION by AWESOME AGAIN)
SCR  THE TACO LADY Dec01 Oct31 Aug18 Aug08 Jul17 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 117 10.00    
  (by ENTICED out of CANDY CAT CAN by LANGFUHR)
3  PARTY WITH SMARTY Nov08 Oct18 Oct05 Sep19 Sep02 (gutierr)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 20.00    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of GHOST MAGI by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  HAPPY HENRY Nov08         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.20    
  (by STREET SENSE out of RENDA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  IGNITE THE LIGHT Dec13 Aug15 Feb25 Dec02 Nov04 (dutrow richard)LUZZI J 122 3.00 39% 1.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of BY THE LIGHT by MALIBU MOON)
6  BADGE OF WAR Nov13 Nov08 Oct18 Sep08 Aug08 (dutrow richard )CANCEL ERIC 122 4.50 16% 5.40    
  (by WAR FRONT out of BROOCH by HALO)
7  SARDIS Dec13 Nov10 May18 Apr18 Feb25 (maker michael )CIVACI SAHIN 122 6.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ENDLESS CHAT by BERNARDINI)
 
AQU-5   01/01/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($32K) Purse ($54K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHISTLER'S STYLE Dec02 Oct19 Sep13 Aug16 Jul04 (giangiu)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 8.00    
SCR  MON PETIT CHOU Nov07 Sep29 Sep15 Aug29 Aug14 (giangiulio mic)LUZZI J 121 8.00    
2B  OUR LIBERTY BELLE Dec08 Nov02 Oct20 Oct05 Aug02 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.50    
SCR  MOSIENKO Dec12 Nov07 Oct06 Sep26 Jul14 (kantarmaci ilk)CIVACI SAHIN 121 4.50    
SCR  TRADE SECRET Nov22 Oct20 Aug16 Jul05 Jun21 (kantarmaci ilk)CIVACI SAHIN 121 4.50    
3  JACKSON'S DIXIE Dec14 Nov21 Nov07 Oct20 Aug29 (samsundar ro)HARKIE K 121 10.00 18% 4.50    
4  PLAY GOOD PAY GOOD Nov27 Oct26 Sep14 Aug11 Jul06 (dutrow richard)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50 30% 2.40    
SCR  FANCY AZTECA Dec12 Oct06 Sep01 Jul20 Jun16 (dutrow richard )CARMOUCHE K 123 4.50    
6  LUNA MOTH Nov10 Sep01 Jun30 Apr30 Apr05 (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.00 23% 3.40    
7  MAGGIE T Dec14 Nov07 Oct20 Sep13 Aug02 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  JACKSON AVENUE Dec12 Nov19 Nov05 Oct16 Sep02 (dixon k)DAVIS KATIE 121 20.00    
 
AQU-6   01/01/2025 5940ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ICE ROAD Dec12 Nov10 Oct25 Sep21 Aug21 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.50 27% 2.70    
2  SUGAR GRAY LEONARD Dec13 Nov08 Oct10 Sep19 Sep01 (sciacca)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 30.00    
3  PORTOS Dec12 Feb29 Feb04 Jan04 Dec10 (potts wayne)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.50 5% 17.90    
4  STEADY PROGRESS Dec12 Nov24 Nov16 Feb29 Jan28 (chatterpaul n)OLVER MADISON 123 30.00    
5  STREET SWAGG Nov26 Oct19 Sep18 Aug11 Jul14 (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 123 5.00    
6  STRONG LIGHT Dec12 Nov23 Nov16 Oct13 Oct03 (samsun)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  WILD BANKER Dec15 Dec08 Oct19 Sep28 Aug30 (metivier richa)BROWN DALTON 123 12.00    
8  HELIUM Dec17 Feb25 Feb11 Jan01 Dec13 (ness jamie)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50 44% 1.30    
SCR  MORE VINO Dec06 Nov21 Nov03 Oct19 Oct06 (goberdhan chand)DAVIS KATIE 123 20.00    
10  INDIANQUEST Dec12 Nov24 Oct19 Jul04 Jun07 (ibrahim emro)HARKIE K 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-7   01/01/2025 4290ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 F PT- 3:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VEHEMENTE Dec01 Nov09 Aug22 Jul17   (sharp joe)RIVERA R 120 3.00 36% 1.80    
2  BACKWATER Dec13 Nov09       (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00    
3  DELRAY Dec09 Nov03 Oct14     (servis tyler)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  NILO'S ROSE Oct31 Sep28       (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50    
5  TAKE ME TO LONDYN Nov30 Oct31       (cox h)VIVES SOFIA 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FURRY FOX Nov21 Sep20       (dutrow)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00    
SCR  CENTRAL CASTING Nov29 Oct31 Aug30     (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 122 6.00    
8  SHADYSIDE Dec01 Sep28 Aug23     (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.00    
 
AQU-8   01/01/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIFI LA FUME Nov21 Oct05 Sep13     (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00    
1A  EVELYN'S WAR Nov23         (rodriguez r)MARTINEZ R 120 15.00    
2  BLAKELY'S WISH Dec01 Oct26 Aug30 Aug08   (david carlos )FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
3  AH CA IRA Nov23         (abreu r)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  SWEET LILAC         (giddings)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00 44% 1.30    
5  PAWTUCKETSHUFFLE Nov21 Sep28 Jul17     (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00    
6  I HEARD SOMETHINGS Dec12 Nov21 Oct20 Sep28   (sciacc)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 5.00    
7  HONEY IN THE BANK Dec13 Nov22 Oct06     (de hor)RIVERA R 120 3.50 18% 4.70    
8  RODEO STAR Nov23 Nov03 Oct17     (abreu r)COA J 120 4.00 16% 5.10    
9  BOURBON BLANKET Dec06 Nov21 Sep27 Aug30   (begg be)OLVER MADISON 120 20.00    
10  TOXIC GIRL Dec13 Nov21 Nov03     (jimenez)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.