Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - November 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(4/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(4/3/7)-(2/10/6/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-2   WIN (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/7)-(4/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/7)-(4/3/7)-(4/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/7)-(2/10/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7)-(2/10/6/7)-(4/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-3   WIN (2/10/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/10/6/7)-(2/10/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/10/6/7)-(2/10/6/7)-(2/10/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/10/6/7)-(4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/10/6/7)-(4/3/5)-(2/11/10/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-4   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(2/11/10/4/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(2/11/10/4/5)-(9/7/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-5   WIN (2/11/10/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/11/10/4/5)-(2/11/10/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/11/10/4/5)-(2/11/10/4/5)-(2/11/10/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/11/10/4/5)-(9/7/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/11/10/4/5)-(9/7/1/3)-(2/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-6   WIN (9/7/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/1/3)-(9/7/1/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/7/1/3)-(9/7/1/5/3)-(9/7/1/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/7/1/3)-(2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/7/1/3)-(2/1/5)-(9/8/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-7   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(9/8/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-8   WIN (9/8/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/4/1)-(9/8/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/8/4/1)-(9/8/4/1)-(9/8/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   11/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BE AN EDDIE         (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 122 2.50 39% 1.60    
  (by BIONDETTI out of FLUFFY ONTHEINSIDE by NORTHERN AFLEET)
2  WILD DOMAIN Nov13         (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 1.60 28% 2.50    
  (by ONE SIDED out of ENDEARED by BIRDSTONE)
3  NATIONAL PUNCHLINE Nov06 Oct28       (jensen justin )GILBERT KYLE 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of PUNCHLINE STORY by TWO PUNCH)
4  JOHN FITZGERALD Nov13 Oct28 Oct09 Sep25   (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 5.00    
  (by KENNEDY out of SMILE AND A WINK by ARCHARCHARCH)
SCR  FLARING SONG Nov13         (bird danny)NUNEZ Y 122 10.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of FLARING STAR by TAP DAY)
6  DRILL CITY Nov13 Oct28       (meyers shane)BRACHO A 122 3.50    
  (by DRILL out of CITY BEAUTIFUL by STORM CAT)
7  DRILL EM Nov13 Sep25 Sep16     (gorham m)PEREZ A 122 15.00    
  (by DRILL out of EM N EMMY by SKY MESA)
 
MVR-2   11/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REMIX FROM PHOENIX Oct09         (langley j)POTTINGER MICHAEL 117 20.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of HEATHERFROMPHOENIX by SAN PABLO)
SCR  DUSTY BILLY Nov13 Oct28       (bird danny)NUNEZ Y 122 2.50    
  (by BIRDRUN out of DUSTY LILY by DESERT WARRIOR)
3  SILVER IS A GIFT Nov13 Sep19 Aug31     (andrade hu)WEATHERLY BAILEY 122 1.80 13% 6.50    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of SILVER COIN LADY by OLD FASHIONED)
4  SO THAT'S THAT Oct28         (poole m)AVILES YAN 122 1.60 65% 0.50    
  (by EVENT DRIVEN out of FAIRWAY SALLY by STRONG MANDATE)
5  BOBBY ROB Nov13 Oct28       (szczepanski em)DIAZ I 122 20.00    
  (by DRILL out of KAREN'S WILDCAT by WILDCAT HEIR)
6  DUO Nov13 Oct28 Sep25     (winters michelle)STOKES J 122 15.00    
  (by DRILL out of DOTTHEI by HAYNESFIELD)
7  BLUE BLOOD COWBOY Nov13 Oct28 Sep25 Sep16   (dacosta jas)BLANCHE RISHAWN 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ONE SIDED out of COWBOY'S PRINCESS by COWBOY CAL)
 
MVR-3   11/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MIRO MOGO Oct30 Oct05 Sep20 Sep06 Aug23 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 122 15.00    
2  ALTER THE STARS Oct22 Oct07 Sep25 Sep12 Aug14 (tumblin andre)TOLEDO S 124 3.50 31% 2.20    
3  HOLIDAY LIGHTS Nov04 Oct02 Jul09 Jun12 May22 (gorham m)PEREZ A 122 6.00    
4  ELKO Nov12 Oct30 Sep11 Aug14 Jul24 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00    
SCR  WILDWOOD ENCORE Oct31 Oct22 Oct08 Sep21 Aug31 (bahena fernando)REYES FRANK 124 10.00    
6  GHOST PLAZA Nov04 Oct05 Sep11 Aug29 Aug14 (lucas way)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 10.00 12% 7.40    
7  STAY FAITHFUL Nov03 Oct10 Sep25 Aug29 Aug14 (short thomas)SOSA LAUREANO 122 10.00 6% 16.00    
SCR  SHE HAD A SECRET Oct30 Oct23 Oct01 Sep16 Sep04 (roberson do)BARRIOS RICARDO 124 4.00    
9  TORREY STREET Nov12 Jul04 Jun13 May30 May08 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 122 8.00    
10  MALI BALI Oct02 Sep12 Sep03 Aug22 Jul23 (morales saul )BRACHO A 124 5.00 26% 2.90    
 
MVR-4   11/27/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MISS DUTTON Oct31 Oct17 Oct05 Sep17 Aug27 (bahena fe)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 6.00    
2  LADY GIULIANA Nov05 Oct01 Jul04 Jun13 May20 (skerrett je)NUNEZ Y 124 12.00    
3  TEAM MOM NOT BRUH Nov10 Sep18 Aug15 Jul16 Jul03 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 124 4.00 18% 4.70    
4  MARY KATHERINE Nov10 Oct24 Oct04 Aug24 Jul08 (bernardini p)AVILES YAN 124 2.50 42% 1.40    
5  GRACIE DANCE Nov05 Oct21 Sep11 Aug21 Jul18 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  LUBU Nov12 Oct30 Oct05 Sep13 Aug17 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 10.00    
7  MY SUZIE Q Nov05 Sep11 Aug21 Jul29 Jun22 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 1.80    
 
MVR-5   11/27/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR CLINE Nov05 Sep12 Aug22 Jul22 Jul05 (cline robert )CEDILLO MAURO 124 12.00    
2  SUMMERFEST Nov12 Oct23 Oct08 Sep20 Aug31 (urieta johann)ZONETT KEYNER 126 3.50 33% 2.00    
3  GAMBLER Oct29 Sep18 Sep04 Aug14 Jul25 (cline c)HERMAN NOEL 119 20.00    
4  AMERICAN NIGHTMARE Nov05 Oct23 Oct10 Sep30 Sep12 (ortiz-ru)FERNANDEZ R 124 8.00 8% 11.60    
5  KLAATU Oct29 Oct11 Sep12 Aug21 Jul29 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GEH SCHNELL Nov05 Oct10 Sep19 Aug13 Jul29 (ma)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00    
7  LAUTREC Nov11 Oct14 Oct01 Sep09 Aug20 (pappada jul)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 20.00    
8  MAMBA FOREVER Aug08 Jul10 Jun26 Jun12 May30 (haehn ter)POTTINGER MICHAEL 119 15.00    
9  MONSTER HUNTER Nov11 Oct29 Oct11 Sep25 Sep12 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 124 5.00    
10  IT'S FATE Nov06 Oct29 Oct10 Sep19 Aug21 (sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 124 12.00 10% 9.30    
11  MASON A. P. Oct29 Aug02 Jul25 Jul03 Jun19 (hill j)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 27% 2.60    
SCR  VENETIAN DREAM Nov19 Nov11 Oct19 Oct01 Sep16 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00    
 
MVR-6   11/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KHALFANI Nov05 Oct23 Sep28 Sep14 Aug30 (skelton cha)BLANCHE RISHAWN 121 10.00 6% 15.70    
SCR  FEDERAL CASE Nov13 Oct02 Jul19 Jun11 May22 (ortiz-)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 20.00    
3  PINBALLER Nov06 Oct13 Oct03 Sep19 Aug18 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  FIRST CITIZEN Nov12 Oct19 Sep30 Sep16 Aug27 (castillo jabd)ZONETT KEYNER 126 12.00    
5  BOURBON AND ICE Oct25 Sep29 Aug30 Apr21 Aug06 (farrior )MARTINEZ A 126 3.00 ★    
6  THE LAST FACT Nov02 Oct22 Jan06 Dec09 Sep23 (castro is)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 8.00    
7  BAD LITTLE BEAST Nov12 Oct09 Sep24 Aug28 Aug15 (winters mich)HALDAR J 126 6.00 12% 7.10    
8  JACK BE FAST Nov12 Jul18 Jul04 Jun25 Jun11 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 126 20.00    
9  UNCLE B Nov04 Aug18 Jul20 Mar23 Jan04 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 126 3.50 60% 0.70    
10  SHIPSHAPE Nov12 Oct29 Oct07 Sep10 Aug20 (medina toma)NUNEZ Y 126 15.00    
11  FISHING FOR FUN Nov12 Oct29 Sep24 Sep05 Aug13 (urieta j)FERNANDEZ R 126 5.00    
12  FOREIGN Oct29 Oct08 Sep17 Aug27 Aug06 (vlaun manuel)STOKES J 126 20.00    
 
MVR-7   11/27/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR LAST SONG Nov14 Oct28 Sep20 Sep02 Jul31 (hamm timoth)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 2.50 14% 6.00    
2  WORK'N ON A BUZZ Oct21 Sep23 Aug30 Jul22 Jun07 (gorham m)PEREZ A 122 2.00 56% 0.80    
SCR  DANZANITEAWAY Nov13 Oct28 Sep20 Aug17 Aug03 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 122 20.00    
4  DERBY DAY KISS Nov13 Oct28 Sep03 Aug12 Jul08 (cline robert )BRACHO A 122 4.00    
5  EMERSON JONES Oct28 Aug26 Aug01 Jul11 Jun24 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  LA LA ANGEL Oct27 Oct15 Sep21 Sep04 Aug15 (inirio o)TAPARA LUIS 124 20.00    
SCR  IMA MOM Oct28 Sep18 Jul31 Jul10 Jun22 (vazquez ivan)HOUGHTON D 122 6.00    
8  DOLCE MARIE Nov14 Oct26 Aug22 Jul31 Jul10 (urieta j)MARTINEZ A 124 10.00    
 
MVR-8   11/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 2 ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIVE A LITTLE Oct10 Sep20 Sep05 Jul19 Jun14 (hamm timoth)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  PROFESSOR NICK Oct28 Oct09 Sep16 Aug26 Jul22 (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 122 8.00    
3  MERGER Sep19 Aug31 Aug14 Jul27   (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 120 6.00    
4  KOZY K Nov12 Oct28       (smith larry)HOUGHTON D 122 12.00 13% 6.80    
5  RONNIS SECOND WIND Nov12 Sep20 Aug10 Jul19 Jul03 (cline rob)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 3.50    
SCR  JAC'S EMPIRE Nov12 Oct10 Sep25 Aug26 Aug10 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 120 20.00    
7  RIGHT ON THE MUNNY Oct10 Sep16       (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 120 15.00    
8  GONE WILD Nov12 Oct10 Aug30 Jul27 Jul08 (cline robert )BRACHO A 120 4.00 20% 4.10    
9  BOOTS MALONE Oct26 Oct10 Aug10 Jul19 Jul08 (gorham m)PEREZ A 120 2.00 32% 2.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.