Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Wednesday - March 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(6/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(6/7/2)-(6/5/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-4   WIN (6/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/2)-(6/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/2)-(6/7/2)-(6/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/2)-(6/5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/2)-(6/5/2/1)-(2/6/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-5   WIN (6/5/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/2/1)-(6/5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/2/1)-(6/5/2/1)-(6/5/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/2/1)-(2/6/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2/1)-(2/6/4/1)-(6/3/5/4/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-6   WIN (2/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/4/1)-(2/6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/4/1)-(2/6/4/1)-(2/6/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/4/1)-(6/3/5/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4/1)-(6/3/5/4/2)-(6/3/8/2/4) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-7   WIN (6/3/5/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/3/5/4/2)-(6/3/5/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/3/5/4/2)-(6/3/5/4/2)-(6/3/5/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/3/5/4/2)-(6/3/8/2/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5/4/2)-(6/3/8/2/4)-(10/9/1/2/8) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
TUP-8   WIN (6/3/8/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/3/8/2/4)-(6/3/8/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/3/8/2/4)-(6/3/8/2/4)-(6/3/8/2/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/3/8/2/4)-(10/9/1/2/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TUP-9   WIN (10/9/1/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/9/1/2/8)-(10/9/1/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/9/1/2/8)-(10/9/1/2/8)-(10/9/1/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   03/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COASTAL FOG Feb27 Feb06 May02 Apr11 Feb28 (sepich f)CORBETT W 124 3.00    
2  SCOPELLO Feb20 Feb05 Dec18 Dec04 Nov13 (mcfarlane dan)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00 25% 2.90    
3  PASSION OF JOE'S Feb27 Jan05 Dec15 Nov13 Apr29 (hernandez)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50    
SCR  MEMOLOTSAMISCHIEF Jan29 Oct18 Apr11 Mar18   (barrio sergio)CRUZ M 124 2.50    
5  FULL BORE Feb13 Jan31 Jan11 Dec12 Oct28 (woolley ben)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 5.00 28% 2.50    
6  NOTACRY Feb20 Feb05 Jul09 Jun10 Mar27 (kenney ryan)PENA BRYAN 124 4.50 10% 9.00    
 
TUP-4   03/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  START THEM UP Feb09 Jan11 Nov14 Oct22 Sep09 (cappellucci dic)NEGRON LUIS 124 5.00    
2  SHADYFIED Feb21 Aug26 Jul16 Jul02 Apr24 (barrio sergio)CRUZ M 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KATALEYA Feb15 Dec16       (hurtado c)IRONEYES R 108 20.00    
4  TIGER HUNTER Feb21 Nov14 Oct06 Aug26 Aug06 (woolley ben)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 2.50    
5  JOHN GREY Feb28 Jan31 Oct14 Jul22 Jun26 (leon pris)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00    
6  HEARTBREAK KID Feb05 Jan12 Nov05 Oct08 Sep04 (evans justin)REYES R 124 3.00 29% 2.50    
7  PHILBIN ROAD Feb21 Feb13 Jan30 Dec13 Nov29 (silva pa)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.50 28% 2.50    
 
TUP-5   03/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($31.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  O'BANION (IRE) Feb27 Feb03 Jan06 Dec09 Nov17 (rosales jorg)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  FAR BEYOND Feb27 Dec16 Nov17 Oct28 Oct12 (evans justin)REYES R 122 5.00 7% 13.40    
3  SHIP IT RED Feb27 Jan01 Dec02 Nov11 Oct14 (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00    
4  BEDROCK (GB) Feb12 Nov14 Oct21 Oct08 Aug12 (christian)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 6.00    
5  STAY HAPPY Sep19 Aug30 Aug07 Jun28 Jun14 (brown jared)MAWING A 122 8.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  GODSEND (GB) Feb05 Jan13 Aug11 Jul04 Jan30 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 2.50 55% 0.80    
7  SOL DEL SUR Feb18 Jan21 Dec09 Nov19 Sep08 (belvoir van)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 2.00    
 
TUP-6   03/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3 F PT- 6:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GORMLEY GAL         (person a)MAWING A 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  MUSICAL DIVA Feb21 Jan29 Nov09 Oct12 Jul31 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 121 2.50 41% 1.40    
3  MY QUIET PLACE Feb21 Jan29       (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 4.50    
4  MAYA D Jul29 Jul08       (martinez a)CONTRERAS LUIS 121 6.00 16% 5.40    
5  WILD RULER Feb06 Jan14 Dec01     (belvoir vann)AYUSO ARMANDO 121 8.00    
6  ROCKY BAY RAE Feb21         (lucarelli frank)RADKE K 121 3.50 19% 4.20    
7  PRAIRIE MOON Feb21 Jan29       (guerra jacque)CORBETT W 121 15.00    
8  MY BELLA FOR LISA         (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 121 4.00    
 
TUP-7   03/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY STEPPER Feb26 May05 Apr01 Mar19 Feb21 (weaver gordon)RADKE K 124 5.00    
2  THE REIGN SONG Feb29 Jan30 Dec12 Dec06 Nov29 (ybarra rudy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  BIG BELL Mar05 Feb21 Jun09 May27 May07 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 124 3.00 10% 9.20    
4  SHOUT IT OUT Feb26 Feb06 Dec30 Nov18 Oct22 (bainum )BRAVO MISAEL 119 6.00 8% 11.70    
5  JUMPING JILL FLASH Feb19 Jan29 Nov21 Oct22 Oct11 (silva jr)GARCIA F 124 8.00 9% 10.40    
6  DAWN AT LAST Feb29 Feb16 Jan21 Jan01 Dec08 (rosales jorg)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 5.00 35% 1.80    
7  PALACE STAR Feb26 Feb06 Apr29 Apr05 Mar21 (perkins f)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00    
8  LOVEABOVEANDBEYOND Feb26 Feb06 Jan07 Dec10 Oct01 (brown jared)PENA BRYAN 124 6.00    
9  BINALLOVERDRINKEN Feb01 Dec12 Sep10 Jul28 Jul08 (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.00    
 
TUP-8   03/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($19.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEAR THE CROWN Aug26 Aug12 Jul09 Jul01 Jun18 (toye joe)RADKE K 122 12.00    
2  LIE AND DENY Feb19 Sep09 Aug13 Jul09 Jan24 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 6.00 8% 11.80    
3  SPEEDING STYLE Feb28 Jan20 Dec10 Oct30 Oct08 (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 5.00 19% 4.40    
4  TEXAS HEDGE Sep02 Mar09 Feb23 Feb01 Jan25 (ortiz sr)CORBETT W 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  MY CALL Mar04 Feb20 Mar25 Feb22 Feb01 (dominguez)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 20.00    
6  LITTLE CASINO Feb21 Feb12 Jan21 Jan13 Nov03 (martinez es)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 2.50 39% 1.60    
7  MORE HONOR Feb21 Oct25 Sep02 May06 Mar26 (tate mary)CRUZ M 124 8.00    
8  MR. CLUTCH Feb12 Jan06 Dec01 Nov03 Oct07 (rosales jorge)OROZCO IRVING 122 3.50 8% 11.00    
9  HORSE DOCTOR Mar01 Feb17 Jan05 Nov23 Sep04 (perez s)PENA BRYAN 124 4.00    
 
TUP-9   03/13/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLY EMPEROR Feb28 Jan31 Jan11 Nov21 Oct14 (dennison d)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 10.00 19% 4.30    
2  ZUMURUDEE Dec18 Aug16 Jul22 Jun28 Jun07 (woolley ben)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 8.00 10% 9.10    
3  PLAYOFF BOUND Aug25 Jul28 Jul07 Jun17 Apr17 (toye joe)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 12.00    
4  MR NAVIGATOR Sep01 Aug05 Jul16 Jul03 May05 (silva jr)NEGRON LUIS 124 6.00    
5  MACEDONIAN RULER (AUS) Feb22 Jan29 Dec15 Nov29 Nov11 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00    
6  SMOOTH PAPA Feb12 Jan31 Dec04 Nov07 Oct31 (fearon john)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00    
7  KALINE Feb20 Apr12 Mar29 Jan05 Oct07 (mccartney jac)VALDES ALEXIS 124 20.00    
8  MOVE OVER (GB) Feb20 Nov17 Aug09 Jul29 Jul16 (hernandez miguel)PENA BRYAN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  PONTI PRIDE Feb28 Feb07 Jan29 Dec11 Dec05 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 119 3.00 20% 4.10    
10  AVALON KING Feb22 Feb06 Dec20 Dec04 Oct22 (o'brien debbie)CRUZ M 124 4.00 26% 2.90    
11  MAD LUTHER Jan31 Oct28 Oct07 Sep01 Jul29 (matt l)RADKE K 124 15.00    
12  BEAT THE HEAT Feb22 Jan29 Aug24 Aug09 Jul27 (perren a)CORBETT W 124 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.