Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Wednesday - February 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(5/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(5/1/4)-(4/6/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TUP-4   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(4/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(4/6/3)-(4/3/2/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-5   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(4/3/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(4/3/2/7)-(2/5/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-6   WIN (4/3/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/7)-(4/3/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/7)-(4/3/2/7)-(4/3/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/2/7)-(2/5/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2/7)-(2/5/3/1)-(5/7/6/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TUP-7   WIN (2/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/3/1)-(2/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/3/1)-(2/5/3/1)-(2/5/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/3/1)-(5/7/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TUP-8   WIN (5/7/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/6/8)-(5/7/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/6/8)-(5/7/6/8)-(5/7/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   02/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($15K) 3 ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KIKIS LOVE OF LIFE Feb12 Jan14 Dec29 Oct09 Sep23 (brown jare)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 121 4.00    
2  LIGHTED VESSEL         (caraman michael)PENA BRYAN 121 8.00 34% 1.90    
3  GRUMPY BAY Feb12 Jan30       (silva a)LOPEZ KARLO 121 5.00    
4  TWO MORE SHOTS Dec03 Oct11 Oct05 Sep16 Jul29 (soto an)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 6.00 7% 13.50    
5  CRUSHER Feb10 Jan19 Jan07     (bainum kelly)AYUSO ARMANDO 121 3.50    
6  LT. NORM Feb12 Feb02 Jan05 Dec12 Nov20 (cappellucci dic)NEGRON LUIS 121 1.20 36% 1.80    
 
TUP-4   02/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHAOKOON Feb13 Nov23 Oct13 Sep18 Sep03 (chambers mike)CORBETT W 124 5.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  BOSS NINE Feb20 Feb03 Jan12 Dec01 Jul09 (silva jr)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 4.50    
3  TRIBAL IMPACT Dec16 Sep17 Sep09 Jul30 Jul15 (baze robert)PENA BRYAN 124 6.00    
4  KHAIKY'S COMMAND Feb06 Jan13 Dec10 Oct08 Sep09 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  SPEEDING STYLE Jan20 Dec10 Oct30 Oct08 Jul08 (rosales jorge)OROZCO IRVING 124 2.00 41% 1.50    
6  DARNQUICK Jun04 Jan27 Jan07 Nov20 Oct28 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 1.80    
 
TUP-5   02/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRANNIGAN Feb15 Feb03 Jan21 Jan12 Dec29 (perez s)PENA BRYAN 122 3.00    
2  LITTLE RED RIFLE Jan11 Nov14 Oct22 Sep03 Aug27 (woolley ben)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 6.00    
3  ELUSIVE LOVE Jan30 May05 Apr08 Mar01 Feb14 (ortiz sr)LULL E 122 8.00 16% 5.40    
4  RESPOND Feb11 Jan27 Dec31 Dec08 Nov17 (evans justin)REYES R 122 5.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  KURT'S CHOICE Feb14 Nov11 Oct26 Sep03 Aug10 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.50    
6  MOON TIME Feb15 Jan18 Dec16 Dec01 Nov17 (person kenneth )CRUZ M 122 4.00 19% 4.20    
7  HOT MEMORIES Feb14 Feb06 Jan13 Dec30 Oct28 (tubbs scott)RADKE K 122 5.00    
 
TUP-6   02/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUT OF STARS Feb07 Dec01 Nov10 Oct21 Sep16 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 4.50    
2  JESSICA BLAH BLAH Feb15 Jan29 Dec22 Dec01 Jul11 (vitali j)LULL E 124 4.00 20% 4.10    
3  HIGH FASHION LADY Feb07 Dec12 Dec02 Nov16 Oct31 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 119 2.50 23% 3.40    
4  NOSHEWONT Jan20 Jan01 Feb10 Jan13 Nov27 (lucarelli frank)RADKE K 124 3.00 26% 2.80    
5  MEAN ELENITA Feb07 Dec12 Dec06 Nov22 Nov16 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 124 3.50    
6  UPTOWN RHAPSODY Feb15 Apr25 Apr01 Mar12 Feb19 (perkins f)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00    
7  HELLO BABY Feb15 Jan29 Nov13 Oct25 Feb02 (ackerman)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-7   02/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLY EMPEROR Jan31 Jan11 Nov21 Oct14 Sep30 (dennison d)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  SIGNOFTHECROSS Jan31 Dec09 Nov19 Oct21 Sep13 (ferguson curt)VALDES ALEXIS 122 3.50 52% 0.90    
3  KIRBY DERBY Feb20 Feb05 Jan11 Nov28 Nov07 (williams dewey)LULL E 122 8.00 10% 9.20    
4  PONTI PRIDE Feb07 Jan29 Dec11 Dec05 Nov22 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00    
5  BOYFRIEND MATERIAL Jan19 Dec29 Dec07 Nov24 Nov04 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.00 10% 8.60    
6  WILLY THE COBBLER Dec02 Nov07 Aug26 Jul29 Apr05 (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00    
7  PUSH THROUGH Feb07 Jan31 Dec20 Oct25 Aug03 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.50    
8  UPO Oct14 Sep09 Aug19 Aug06 Jul21 (hedge ri)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 12.00    
 
TUP-8   02/28/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PHOENICIAN GHOST May05 Apr22 Mar19 Feb27 Mar11 (campo stacy)LULL E 124 6.00    
2  LITTLE J P Sep16 Sep05 Aug02 Jul07 Jun09 (baze robert)CRUZ M 124 3.50    
3  UNCLE JUJU Feb12 Jan12 Dec16 Nov10 Oct28 (bean a)PENA BRYAN 118 5.00    
4  A BIT MUCH Jun25 Mar19 Mar12 Feb19 Feb05 (silva juan)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 8.00    
5  VICTORY LINE Feb09 Jan07 Mar23 Feb10 Jan12 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.00 37% 1.70    
6  SALLY STANFORD May14 Nov21 Nov04 Oct10 Sep11 (hop mike)RADKE K 119 20.00 7% 13.40    
7  DRISKILL Feb05 Jul02 Jun17 Aug20 May22 (barraza ra)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.00 24% 3.20    
8  JOHN GREY Jan31 Oct14 Jul22 Jun26 Jun08 (leon pris)VALENZUELA A 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.