Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Saturday - September 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (4/11/2/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/11/2/3/1)-(4/11/2/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/11/2/3/1)-(4/11/2/3/1)-(4/11/2/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-2   WIN (7/2/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/4/8)-(7/2/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/4/8)-(7/2/4/8)-(7/2/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-3   WIN (6/2/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/8/1)-(6/2/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/8/1)-(6/2/8/1)-(6/2/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-4   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/9/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/9/5)-(4/6/9/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MTH-5   WIN (4/10/8/7/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/10/8/7/11)-(4/10/8/7/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/10/8/7/11)-(4/10/8/7/11)-(4/10/8/7/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-6   WIN (5/1/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/6/7)-(5/1/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/6/7)-(5/1/6/7)-(5/1/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-7   WIN (2/7/3/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/3/11)-(2/7/3/6/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/7/3/11)-(2/7/3/6/11)-(2/7/3/6/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MTH-8   WIN (7/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/3)-(7/8/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/8/3)-(7/8/3)-(7/8/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-9   WIN (1/3/10/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/10/6)-(1/3/10/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/3/10/6)-(1/3/10/4/6)-(1/3/10/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MTH-10   WIN (6/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/7)-(6/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/7)-(6/1/7)-(6/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   09/09/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGNOLIA ROAD Aug26 Jul04 Jun10 May24 Feb15 (wyner harold)BOWMAN ADAM 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
2  SILVER SPRINTER Aug19 Jul29 Jul08 Mar10 Feb19 (mazza joseph )IORIO MELISSA 114 8.00 12% 7.30    
3  NEVERTOOMUCHELVIS         (skelto)ROJAS EDUARDO 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  NEVER SO LUCKY (IRE) Aug19 Jul08       (delgado h)LUZZI J 118 3.50 45% 1.20    
5  CAPTURE THIS Aug19 Aug04 Jul29 Jun17 Jun10 (ortega le)RODRIGUEZ A 118 5.00    
6  APPLE LOVER May14 Apr23 Mar31 Mar02 Jan26 (carvajal l)RIVERA R 113 12.00    
7  HURRY UP DEAR Aug18 Jul21 Jun25 Jun17 May27 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 123 15.00    
8  GRACE IN MOTION Jul29 Jul21 Jul08 Jun17 May06 (skelton da)MITCHELL RICHARD 123 15.00    
9  DIXIE GROOVE Aug26 Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 May27 (dunham bernard)ADORNO ABNER 118 8.00    
10  HERE WE GO AGAIN Jul13 Nov06 Oct08 Sep15 Aug10 (falcone robert)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00    
11  APEROL SPRITZ Aug19 Apr14 Feb26 Jan12   (breen j)JUAREZ NIK 118 5.00 14% 6.30    
 
MTH-2   09/09/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIT ME I'M LUCKY Aug27 Aug04 Jul23 Jun16 Oct04 (huston k)MARIN SAMUEL 120 12.00    
2  CASH KID Aug27 Jul23 Jul01 May28 Mar11 (sweezey j)RODRIGUEZ A 120 6.00 19% 4.30    
3  FOREVER CHOCOLATE Aug27 Jul23 Jul01 Jun18 Jun03 (huston ro)VARGAS A 120 5.00    
4  COUNTRY MILES Aug27 Aug18 Jul14 Jul01 Jun18 (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 120 3.50 11% 8.10    
5  RUNNING RIGHT BY U Aug27 Jul29 Jul16 Jun24 May28 (spina charles)CAMACHO SAMY 115 2.50    
6  STEEL DRIVIN MAN Aug27 Jul23 Jun24 Sep05 Aug13 (breen kell)RIVERA R 110 10.00    
7  CRAFTY DON Jul23 Jul09 May28 May09 Apr04 (perez rupert)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 4.50 28% 2.60    
8  I'M ON FIRE Aug27 Aug13 Jul08     (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 115 8.00 7% 14.10    
 
MTH-3   09/09/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAILOR'S RETURN Aug26 Aug05 Jul15 Jul08 Jun10 (gomez pompe)MARTINEZ ERASMO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  I RUN Aug26 Aug20 Jul28 Jun29 May26 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 117 3.50 27% 2.80    
3  SALTIN' THE RIM Aug27 Aug06 Jul23 Jun18 Jun04 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 121 6.00    
4  DAD'S ON A ROLL Aug20 Aug04 Jul15 Jun25 Jun16 (farro patrici)IORIO MELISSA 113 12.00    
5  FINANCIAL STRENGTH Aug26 Jul02 Jun16 Jun03 Apr21 (ramirez silvin)MARIN SAMUEL 117 8.00    
6  EL DE CHIMI Aug30 Jul01 Mar06 Jan03 Oct29 (avila car)RENDON JAIRO 117 3.00 37% 1.70    
7  SHOULDHAVEBEENGONE Aug13 Jul21 Jul02 Jun09 May29 (martin ramon )OLVER MADISON 110 15.00    
8  COCO SHELL Aug13 Jul21 Jul02 Jun09 May14 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 120 1.80 11% 7.80    
 
MTH-4   09/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RANDOM LUCK Aug27 Aug11 Jul15 Jul02 May20 (cole-davis tin)MOYA F 120 6.00    
2  ANOTHER SAUCY SIX Sep02 Aug11 Aug05 Jul09 Jun30 (bailey ric)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 20.00    
3  RACHEL CAROLINE Sep02 Aug11 Jul15 Jun23 Jun02 (frangella )RIVERA R 115 6.00    
4  CARATS FOREVER Aug20 Jul23 Jul07 Jun09 Jun24 (owens j)IORIO MELISSA 112 4.50 41% 1.40    
5  CANOOCHEE Aug18 Jul09 Jun09 May27 Apr10 (ramirez silvin)LUZZI J 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  BEATUBYACHUBINOSE Sep02 Jul16 Jul09 May20 Apr07 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 120 3.50 27% 2.80    
7  WICKED JANE Sep02 Aug11 Jul15 Jul01 Jun10 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 6.00    
8  CALIENTE RUM Aug27 Aug06 Jul08 Jun16 May27 (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 120 6.00    
9  VIOLETS SMILE Sep02 Aug11 Jul09 Jun23 Jun09 (ryan s)MARIN SAMUEL 115 3.00 ★    
 
MTH-5   09/09/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWIRLING WIND Aug12 Jul18 Jun20 Jun12 May23 (perez t)TORRES JOMAR 122 8.00    
2  ANNA VOLANTE Aug19 Jul04 Jun07 Jan04 Dec20 (hernandez)VARGAS A 120 12.00    
3  RUVIES IN TIME Aug12 Jul20 Jun16 Mar24 Mar03 (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00    
4  CROWDING OUT Aug06 Jun18 May12 Mar11 Feb09 (walder r)RENDON JAIRO 120 4.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  THREATLEVELMIDNITE (GB) Sep08 Aug06 Jun23 May26 Apr15 (abrams jack)OLVER MADISON 113 3.50    
6  MOVING IN STEREO Sep02 Aug19 Jul23 Jun24 Jun10 (harris ho)RODRIGUEZ A 118 12.00    
7  NINJA ABARRIO Aug25 Jul23 Jan13 Dec26 Dec08 (wilson faith)JUAREZ NIK 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  BAHAMA PEARL Aug06 May20 Feb03 Dec16 Nov11 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 8.00 13% 6.80    
9  LITTLE RED BUTTON Aug12 Jul27 Jun28 Jun09 May20 (gomez pomp)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 8.00    
10  MAGIC MOONSTAR Aug06 Jul09 Jul30 Jul15 Jul03 (ortega leopold)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00 20% 4.00    
11  QUEEN CADENCE Aug05 Jul16 Jun24 Feb12 Jan12 (pantaleo josep)COTTO L 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-6   09/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST BEAT THE ODDS Aug18 Jul22 Jul02 Jun11   (sacco greg)RIVERA R 114 3.00 32% 2.10    
2  NO QUIT Aug25 Jun11       (sweezey kent)LUZZI J 119 12.00    
3  AMITY ROAD Aug13 Jul22 Jun25 May31 May20 (martin ramon)HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 4.00    
4  CRITICAL THREAT Nov21 Oct16 Sep04 Aug07 Jun26 (de horacio)RENDON JAIRO 120 6.00    
5  ALLABOUTTHEMONEY Sep01 Jul22 Jun24 Jun10 May31 (jacobson )VARGAS A 120 4.50 34% 2.00    
6  BUFF HELLO Aug13 Jul21 Aug26 Jul30 Jun27 (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 124 2.50 8% 10.80    
7  TAP FIRST Aug20 Aug13 Jul22 Jul02 Jun25 (ramirez silvin)CAMACHO SAMY 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  ONE WHIRLWIND RIDE Aug13 Jul22 Jun24 Jun17 May14 (wilson)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 15.00    
9  COUNTERFEITCURENCY Aug05 Jul23 Jun16 Jun03 Oct21 (ryan s)MARIN SAMUEL 120 20.00    
 
MTH-7   09/09/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BALLINDINE Aug12 Jun03 Apr16 Mar31 Mar04 (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 113 20.00    
2  TRIPLE START Aug05 Jul08 Jun17 May28 Mar22 (breen j)JUAREZ NIK 117 3.50 51% 0.90    
3  LARGER THAN LIFE Aug20 Aug05 Jul23 Jul08 Jun17 (sweezey kent)RENDON JAIRO 121 4.00 10% 9.00    
4  STAFF SERGEANT Aug12 Jul23 Jul14 Jul01 Feb27 (hogan will)MITCHELL RICHARD 124 15.00    
SCR  PLEASANT VALIANT Aug20 Jul15 Jun17 May28 Apr26 (o'connell kath)LUZZI J 117 12.00    
6  BRAMBLE BLAZE Aug20 Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 May28 (dini mike)MARTIN MATTIE 110 6.00 ★    
7  PROVEN HOPE Aug13 Jul29 May14 Apr15 Mar31 (barrera oscar )ADORNO ABNER 121 6.00 11% 7.80    
8  CANTANKEROUS CAT Aug26 Aug20 Jul08 Jun24 Jun11 (lucas bonnie)TORRES JOMAR 121 20.00    
9  MORETHANICANHANDLE Jul09 Jun04 Apr28 Mar18 Feb22 (breen kell)RIVERA R 116 20.00    
10  GO GREEN Aug17 Jul08 Jun17 May28 Apr30 (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 117 10.00    
11  TAP THE CANDY Aug20 Aug05 Jul08 Jun06 May21 (crowell s)RODRIGUEZ A 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  I LUCKED OUT Aug20 Aug05 Jun18 Nov22 Sep24 (pino mich)VARGAS A 117 5.00    
SCR  EXCESS DEMAND Sep01 Jul29 Jul19 Jun23 May13 (potts wayne)OLVER MADISON 110 8.00    
 
MTH-8   09/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Smoke Glacken Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BINGO'S BOY Jul01         (delgado h)CAMACHO SAMY 117 15.00    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of MEL'S GONE WILD by WILDCAT HEIR)
2  BUCCHERINO Aug22 Aug04       (velazquez al)HADDOCK DEXTER 117 4.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of BELLIMBUSTO by FIRST DUDE)
3  SHIP TO SHORE (IRE) Jul30 Jun03       (owens edd)VARGAS A 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of UPSET CITY by CITY ZIP)
4  GROUP TICKET Aug04 Jul20 Jul02 Jun17   (sweezey kent)LUZZI J 115 6.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of ELUSIVE HOPE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SCR  BEACHFRONT BREEZE Aug05 Jun30       (simoff andrew)NO RIDER 114 5.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of QUICK BREEZE by GHOSTZAPPER)
6  SEA STREAK         (owens jr)JUAREZ NIK 115 10.00    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of HIGH NOON NELLIE by SILVER DEPUTY)
7  SHEA D WORLD Aug24 Jul30 Jul02     (david a)RENDON JAIRO 119 2.50 50% 1.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of SWEET SATURDAY by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
8  BOOK'EM DANNO Aug12         (ryan s)MARIN SAMUEL 117 3.00 22% 3.60    
  (by BUCCHERO out of ADORABELLA by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  MIDNIGHT STORY Sep01 Jul23       (penaloza migue)COTTO L 117 15.00    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of DEVELOPING STORY by SMOKE GLACKEN)
 
MTH-9   09/09/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($57.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREAT KING (FR) Aug19 Jun25 May21 Feb22 Jan07 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 113 5.00 30% 2.40    
2  SHADY MCGEE (IRE) Aug19 Jul30 Jun16 May29 Mar03 (schultz li)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 5.00    
3  A WESTERN YARN Jul24 May20 Mar11 Jan08 Dec03 (delacour )VARGAS A 115 4.00 26% 2.80    
4  THE PENINSULA Aug06 Jul22 Jul07 May29 Apr30 (rodriguez dari)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00 ★    
5  CICCIOBELLO Aug31 Aug12 Jul03 Jun09 May14 (ryan s)KAY R 120 6.00    
6  FIERCE WARRIOR Aug18 Apr22 Mar26 Mar19 Feb25 (harris keith )IORIO MELISSA 113 30.00 5% 19.00    
7  FERAL'S JOY Jul08 Jun17 May07 Apr15 Jul31 (duarte j)MARIN SAMUEL 115 10.00    
8  EL HERMANO Sep03 Aug02 Jul22 Jun24 Jun09 (ramire)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 10.00    
9  DIABLO DADDY Aug26 Aug02 Jul13 Jun11 May27 (foglia ant)RIVERA R 117 30.00    
10  ARTIE'S ANGEL Aug06 Jul07 Oct23 Sep24 Aug29 (breen j)RENDON JAIRO 120 4.50 22% 3.60    
11  SPEIGHT'SPERCOMETE Aug19 Jul22 Jul08 Jun16 May21 (breen j)JUAREZ NIK 120 8.00    
SCR  AGARRAMESIPUEDES Sep02 Jul08 Jun10 Mar30 Mar10 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 120 6.00    
 
MTH-10   09/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SONG SAVER Aug19 Jul28 Jul07 Feb01 Dec30 (crook-demasi k)RENDON JAIRO 124 3.00 13% 6.40    
2  KASHAN Aug25 Jul23 Jul01 Jun10 Apr01 (grullon riquel)TORRES JOMAR 122 4.00    
3  WISHES AND DREAMS Aug06 Apr17 Mar20 Mar07 Feb15 (martin f)LUZZI J 124 10.00    
4  RED PEPPER GRILL Jul22 Jun27 May24 Nov16 Nov08 (henry neville)BROWN DALTON 124 10.00    
5  AKEMI May08 Mar27 Mar11 Feb14 Jan17 (cole-davis ti)KAY R 124 15.00    
6  ARROW SHAPE Aug06 Jul16 Jun17 Jun10 May13 (delgado h)MARIN SAMUEL 124 3.50 44% 1.30    
7  BULLET ON TAP Aug19 Jul16 Jun24 Apr27 Mar22 (gomez pompeyo)FERRER C 124 6.00 7% 13.40    
SCR  SWEET SURPRISE Aug12 Jun23 Jan21 Dec16 Nov27 (hills tim)RODRIGUEZ A 124 4.50 7% 13.00    
9  PURE ELEGANCE Aug18 Jun04 Apr14 Mar19 Feb19 (torres)ROJAS EDUARDO 124 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.