Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Thursday - June 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(5/1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(5/1/2/6)-(2/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-2   WIN (5/1/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2/6)-(2/5/3)-(2/11/5/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-3   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(2/11/5/4)-(7/6/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-4   WIN (2/11/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/11/5/4)-(2/11/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/11/5/4)-(2/11/5/4)-(2/11/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/11/5/4)-(7/6/2/1)-(8/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-5   WIN (7/6/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/2/1)-(7/6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/2/1)-(7/6/2/1)-(7/6/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/2/1)-(8/4/1)-(1/7/9/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-6   WIN (8/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/1)-(8/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/4/1)-(8/4/1)-(8/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (8/4/1)-(1/7/9/8)-(9/4/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-7   WIN (1/7/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/9/8)-(1/7/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/9/8)-(1/7/9/8)-(1/7/9/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/9/8)-(9/4/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
BTP-8   WIN (9/4/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/5/2)-(9/4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/4/5/2)-(9/4/5/2)-(9/4/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   06/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY ANGELICA Jun03 May17 May05 Apr27 Jan21 (pinzon maria)MARCANO Y 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  SUPORB Jun03 May19 May05 Mar17 Jan21 (edwards willi)CANUTO THIAGO 121 3.50    
3  BANNED FROM MIDWAY Jun14 Jun07 May31 May03 Apr19 (caramori )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 125 8.00    
4  LUCKY US Jun14 May24 May13 Apr27 Mar17 (adams l)REYES R 121 2.50 17% 4.80    
5  KENYA SUN Jun03 Mar17 Feb12 Jan28 Jan11 (tsirigotis ja)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 3.00 58% 0.70    
6  LEA ME ALONE Jun03 Feb01 Jan15 Dec10 Jul16 (tsirigotis ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 121 4.00    
 
BTP-2   06/29/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAY DAY May26 May11 Feb21     (evans mic)CORREA L 119 4.00 13% 6.60    
  (by RACE DAY out of SHELTOWEE'S GAL by PAYNTER)
2  PALACE TEMPTATION Jan04 Dec03 Sep06     (chain pear)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PALACE out of TWICE TEMPTED by WILD AGAIN)
3  GRAND ZHOUL May29         (bennett c)MCKEE J 125 8.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of CHICKIE by SLEW CITY SLEW)
4  FACTUM'S STAR Jun14 May18 Aug25     (kerr n)CANUTO THIAGO 119 3.50    
  (by FACTUM out of APHRODISIAC by ARCH)
5  MR. BALI Jun19 Jun01 May18 May05 Feb21 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 2.00 59% 0.70    
  (by BAL A BALI out of PRETTY GRITTY by MERCER MILL)
6  NEW YORK MIRACLE Feb16 Jan26 Jan12 Dec29 Dec14 (fernandez e)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MAKE MUSIC FOR ME out of NEW YORK GEM by BLUEGRASS CAT)
SCR  SQUEAKY CLEAN May18 Dec12 Nov10 Oct07 Sep29 (morelos m)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 125 12.00    
  (by BOLD WARRIOR out of ESTHERS BALL by PARTY MANNERS)
8  SHOWTIME BOY May29 May11 Apr25 Apr13   (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 119 5.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of SHOWTIME GIRL by WEST ACRE)
 
BTP-3   06/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23.7K) 2 F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARTISTIC LANEY         (west m)LEAHEY HANNAH 114 6.00    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of ARTISTIC LICENSE by HEART OF THE STORM)
2  TWISTED JUSTICE Jun15         (smith larry)OUZTS W 119 2.00 53% 0.90    
  (by BIONDETTI out of TOUR FOR LOVE by EXPRESS TOUR)
3  PARLAY CHARLIE         (livers charl)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MR. Z out of LADY ZIEG by TOUCH GOLD)
4  MISS SPRINGSTEEN         (hamm timo)CORREA L 119 5.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of MELANIE MAY by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
5  FAREWELL KISS Jun15         (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 119 3.00 25% 3.00    
  (by TOURIST out of OCEAN PRINCESS by INDIAN OCEAN)
6  PRETTY PATTY         (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 3.50    
  (by BOLD WARRIOR out of SASSY APPEAL by MUNNINGS)
 
BTP-4   06/29/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DELANEY'S GRACE Jun08 May19 Apr21     (howard d)BUSH V 119 12.00    
2  MIDNIGHT FAVORITE May18 Apr23 Mar15 Feb09   (cowans william )ACHARD ALEX 119 2.50 47% 1.10    
3  BLUE TORNADO Jun10         (bindner wal)STERRITT KENDAL 125 15.00    
4  IN OPEN COURT Jun13         (kendall elise)HEARD TYLER 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  BIRD SET FREE Jun16 Jun01 Apr18 Mar09   (pitts c)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 30.00 5% 19.00    
6  IN A PEACH Jun08 Oct13 Sep14 Sep02   (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 20.00    
SCR  ARRANMORE Jun01 Dec14 Nov10     (ewing ann)OUZTS W 119 5.00    
8  GAMBI Jun07 May13 May05 Mar15 Feb15 (alessi james)CANUTO THIAGO 119 12.00    
9  STORY CHANNEL Jun08 May18 Mar18 Feb02 Jan18 (alvarez nery)CRUZ JUAN 119 12.00    
SCR  YOU DO YOU May17 Dec05       (caramori )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 125 12.00    
11  SAINT SISTA Jun08 May18 May11 May04 Oct20 (toye lin)REYES R 125 4.50 13% 6.90    
SCR  SWIGERT May17 Mar23 Feb11 Dec22 Dec01 (caramori edua)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 3.50 15% 5.80    
13  IZABELLABELLA Jun10 May13 Apr28     (netherwood )LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 10.00    
SCR  QUARANTINI Jun10         (nagle sarah)MONTERREY R 119 8.00    
SCR  POINT OF INFINITY Jun08 May26 May08 Mar23 Feb08 (bright derric)CANUTO THIAGO 125 6.00    
SCR  DOGWOODS BECCA Jun16 May26 May18 Apr27 Mar23 (scott ant)CORREA L 125 20.00    
 
BTP-5   06/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAZOKU         (butcher james)AYALA ISAIAS 125 10.00 6% 16.20    
2  SHADY DAISY Jun16 May22 May03 Apr12   (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 119 4.00 7% 12.80    
3  WANNAGOCAMPING Mar15         (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 12.00    
4  VIVI BRASS Jun16 May27 May08 Apr25 Mar30 (calderon enri)CANUTO THIAGO 119 20.00    
SCR  HAPPYSECRET Jun10 Jun01 May04 Feb09 Jan05 (alessi james)HESS SARA 114 4.50    
6  SHE'S A KEEPER Jun10 May11 Apr27 Mar23 Mar04 (esquivel jes)MARCANO Y 120 3.50 25% 3.00    
7  SLOAN STREET Nov25         (hiles a)MCKEE J 119 2.00 40% 1.50    
8  YOU'RE A DANDY Jun10 May27 May11 Apr27 Apr06 (ramos franci)TAPARA BRANDON 119 15.00    
 
BTP-6   06/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VOTARY Feb11 Jan21 Dec22     (peach chadwick )MOJICA JR 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of LA AFICIONADA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  KINGMAKING (GB) Jun10 May22 May06 Apr19 Nov05 (chavez manue)CRUZ JUAN 119 3.50    
  (by UNKNOWN out of LA DOROTEA by LOPE DE VEGA (IRE))
SCR  DOODLE DOO Jun02 May04       (obert danielle)STEVENS C 125 20.00    
  (by PALACE out of IMPADOODLE by SUAVE PROSPECT)
4  MAGIC PALACE Jun03 May05 Apr21 Mar08 Feb09 (forster grant )CASTANON L 125 2.50 33% 2.10    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of THATBOSSANOVASOUND by BLAME)
5  JOEZINE May18 Oct24 Sep24 Sep19 Aug12 (macias adolfo)CANUTO THIAGO 125 10.00    
  (by MR. Z out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  SWEET CHEEKS         (laureano gle)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 12.00    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of ROYAL SWEETPEA by FAVORITE TRICK)
SCR  PLEDGULATIONS Jun07         (rider m)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 12.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of PLEDGE MOM by WILD RUSH)
8  BRYLEE May29 Apr19 Feb15 Jan18 Nov18 (medina robert)REYES R 119 4.50 37% 1.70    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of BLUSTER by STORM CAT)
9  JACKIE'S LOVE Jun10 Mar23 Feb25 Nov17 Oct06 (butcher james)AYALA ISAIAS 125 8.00    
  (by JACK MILTON out of WHERE THERE'S LOVE by ALDEBARAN)
SCR  SAIDAR May19 Apr05       (waltz brian)ACHARD ALEX 125 15.00    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of AES SEDAI by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
BTP-7   06/29/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A LOT OF SPUNK Mar05 Jan26 Jan02 Nov05 Oct21 (foley greg)MCKEE J 118 5.00 47% 1.10    
2  MY HEAD HURTS Jun01 May19 Nov11 Oct11 Sep29 (alessi james)BUSH V 114 12.00    
SCR  SHUTUPANDSHAKEIT May28 May04 Mar28 Feb22 Jun01 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 119 2.50    
4  DISTINCTIVE FLOWER Jun01 Aug16 Jul15 Jun27 May17 (peach chadwick )MOJICA JR 122 6.00    
5  FOR THE BISCUIT Jun21 May31 May13 May02 Apr18 (hernandez r)PETERSON FERRIN 116 12.00    
SCR  COMMANDERS PALACE Feb16 Feb02 Jan05 Dec01 Sep21 (rider david )ARAGON ROLANDO 119 20.00    
7  BLEST LIFE Jun01 May12 Mar16 Mar09 Feb08 (smith larry)OUZTS W 122 4.50 16% 5.40    
8  TROUBLE MAKING May24 Sep05 Jul04 Jun22 Jun01 (meah m)HEARD TYLER 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  MS TEMPTATION Jun10 Apr01 Mar16 Jan25 Dec21 (brownfield cl)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 8.00 9% 10.60    
10  SIS BOOM BOB Jun14 May19 Mar13 Feb09 Feb01 (esquivel )CORREA L 113 20.00    
SCR  J L'S ROCKETTE Mar27 Feb28 Jan10 Nov07 Sep25 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 119 3.50    
 
BTP-8   06/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WHEREWEGOIN Jun01 Nov12 Oct25 Sep09 Jul13 (lauer michael)MOJICA JR 125 3.50    
2  CONGRATS THIS Jun09 May19       (rhoden carlton)HESS SARA 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PEERLESS COURT Mar01 Sep14 Aug18 Aug03 Jul15 (hiles a)MCKEE J 125 5.00    
4  LUCKYINKENTUCKY Jun17 May18 May04 Mar09 Feb22 (brafford mich)CANUTO THIAGO 125 4.50 26% 2.80    
5  FEELING IT May27 May05 Mar16 Jan18 Dec21 (sherman j)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 120 15.00 18% 4.70    
6  ELI Jun16 May19 Apr29 Mar23 Feb17 (macias adolfo)LEBRON VICTOR 125 8.00    
7  HONDO GUSTO Jun09 May25 Apr29 Apr14 Mar12 (roque elis)ZONETT KEYNER 125 20.00    
8  GOTSOMEMOJO Jun09 May24 May06 Apr10 Mar22 (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 15.00    
9  CACAHUETE Jun08 Apr25 Dec14 Nov08 Sep30 (coyle vernon )JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 2.00 34% 1.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.