Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Friday - June 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/6)-(5/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6)-(5/1/3)-(3/1/5/9/2) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
BTP-2   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(3/1/5/9/2)-(6/3/2) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
BTP-3   WIN (3/1/5/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/1/5/9/2)-(3/1/5/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/1/5/9/2)-(3/1/5/9/2)-(3/1/5/9/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5/9/2)-(6/3/2)-(1/4/2) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
BTP-4   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(1/4/2)-(6/2/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-5   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(6/2/3/4)-(3/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-6   WIN (6/2/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/3/4)-(6/2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/3/4)-(6/2/3/4)-(6/2/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3/4)-(3/4/6)-(7/8/10/2/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
BTP-7   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(7/8/10/2/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
BTP-8   WIN (7/8/10/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/8/10/2/1)-(7/8/10/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/8/10/2/1)-(7/8/10/2/1)-(7/8/10/2/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   06/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNAWAY BELLE Sep27 Sep09 Jul12 Jun22 Jun10 (greenhill jeff)OUZTS W 123 3.00 13% 6.60    
SWEETER THAN HONEY Jun07 May25 May06 Apr27 Feb01 (lopez carlos)MARCANO Y 118 6.00    
NANA ROZE Jun08 May25 May06 Apr27 Nov16 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 123 4.00    
ZACHS GOLDEN OLDIE May18 Sep27 Sep09 Aug24 Aug10 (hernandez d)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 10.00    
SHADY BABY Mar08 Feb13 Jan24 Jan04 Dec19 (skeens jeremy)COLON H 123 1.80 54% 0.90    
TREASURE WILBURNYA Sep09 Aug24 Aug10 Jul20 Jun09 (haehn terry )WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 5.00 8% 11.10    
 
BTP-2   06/23/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 2 ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUESS AGAIN         (hamm timo)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 119 3.00 19% 4.40    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of PANKHURST by ARTIE SCHILLER)
NUEVO AMANECER Jun06 May11       (bahena isma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 3.50    
  (by MASTERY out of MIDNIGHT SWINGER by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
ROYALLY FLUSHED         (short travis)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 8.00 9% 9.60    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of ROYALE HARBOR by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
MANSION PARTY Jun03 May15       (short thomas)CANUTO THIAGO 119 4.50    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of LAZULITE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SPELLCAST         (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 119 2.00 42% 1.40    
  (by TOURIST out of ORIENTATE TO LUV by ORIENTATE)
ONORE         (waltz brian)ACHARD ALEX 119 6.00    
  (by TONALIST out of ETHYL ETHER by SCAT DADDY)
 
BTP-3   06/23/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DELOVELY May24 Apr01 Feb01     (wojczynski )PETERSON FERRIN 119 6.00 30% 2.30    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of DELIGHTFUL by BERNARDINI)
BLOSSOM DIVA Jun01 May16       (galindo-torr)MARCANO Y 114 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of JERRY'SHONEYCAROL by BLUEGRASS CAT)
WEST COASTER Jun06 May19 May05 Apr19   (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 119 4.00 31% 2.30    
  (by WEST COAST out of TOCCO by SMART STRIKE)
HOP SNIP ANDA JUMP Mar15         (hale jr)CANUTO THIAGO 119 30.00    
  (by LEA out of HOP THE SIX by ARTIE SCHILLER)
VAGARIES (IRE) May18 Feb25 Jan28 Aug21 Jun25 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 125 3.50 13% 6.40    
  (by LOPE DE VEGA (IRE) out of STAR APPROVAL by HAWK WING)
SCR  LADY PELE Jun01 Mar23 Feb25 Dec08 Sep14 (blair jord)MICHEL MICKAELLE 125 4.50    
  (by TAPITURE out of SOTIQUE by HENNESSY)
AMERICAN ODALISQUE Jun08 Mar01 Feb10 Jan06 Oct14 (caramori caio)REYES R 119 15.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of MERRY ME IN SPRING by WEKIVA SPRINGS)
COZEE MAGIC May24 May06 Mar25     (ennis john)MCENTEE GRACE 119 15.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of COZZETTE by COZZENE)
MORE THAN ROSES May24         (enni)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of ZELDA ROSE by NIAGARA CAUSEWAY)
SCR  TAKE IT SOUTH May24 Feb11 Jan26 Jan05 Sep14 (hiles a)MCKEE J 119 2.50    
  (by TONALIST out of UPSTAGE by CURLIN)
11  LASERJET         (shirer a)ACHARD ALEX 119 8.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of AUNT DOT DOT by GULCH)
12  LADY BIRD KISSES Jun01         (royal madelyn)LEBRON VICTOR 119 30.00    
  (by GREY SWALLOW out of ENGLISH KISS by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
13  MY BLUE VALENTINE May14         (hill f)COLON H 125 30.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of MY BLUE SKY by SKY MESA)
SCR  RUE         (drury thomas )JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 8.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SPELLBOUND by LYPHARD'S WISH (FR))
SCR  MOONLIT MAGIC Feb22         (vaughan edwar)MCENTEE GRACE 119 15.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of TOY MOON by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  SEVENTEENSEVITYSIX Jun07 Mar30 Mar15 Feb15   (jarvis kathy)RAMOS D 119 15.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of PINOT by INTO MISCHIEF)
 
BTP-4   06/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BENITO Jun08 May27 May13 Nov21 Oct29 (dailey ronald)BUSH V 119 8.00    
TROY BOY Jun07 May06 Apr01     (coomer philip)CANUTO THIAGO 125 4.00 13% 6.90    
RAMBLIN CHROME Jun07 May20 May06 Mar17   (sherman alan)LEBRON VICTOR 119 4.50 28% 2.60    
KICKSANDGIGGLES Jun09 Feb02 Sep16 Aug06   (hiles a)MCKEE J 119 5.00    
JOHNNY'S MOMENT Jun08 May12 Apr15 Mar31 Mar17 (warpool shane)MOJICA JR 119 3.50    
GUS GUS Jun15 Jun07 May17 Mar16 Feb22 (helmbrech)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 125 1.80 32% 2.10    
 
BTP-5   06/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PANAMANIAC Jun01 May10 Oct05 Sep13 Aug29 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 121 3.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  CUE THE BAND May24 Apr24 Dec27 Nov17 Oct29 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 121 3.00    
WINDY LU WHO Jun07 May11 Apr05 Mar14 Feb06 (anderson susa)LEBRON VICTOR 121 2.00 18% 4.70    
MOBIL LADY May20 Apr27 Dec30 Nov28 Nov12 (meyers shane)ACHARD ALEX 121 8.00    
WILDCAT LADY Jun07 May12 Sep23 Aug04 Jun30 (drury jr)MCKEE J 123 3.50 28% 2.50    
TWERK Jun02 May10 Oct06 Sep21 Sep01 (londono j)TORREALBA JG 116 5.00    
BUCKEYE BLING Jan19 Dec15 Oct29 Sep29 Sep08 (greenhill jeff)OUZTS W 121 4.50    
 
BTP-6   06/23/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCE SIMBA Jun07 Mar31 Mar10 Feb03 Jan12 (howard d)GONZALEZ ALEX 117 6.00    
P K WOOD Jun07 May04 Mar15 Jan26 Dec30 (ennis john)ACHARD ALEX 123 3.50 18% 4.50    
EDEN PARADISE Jun09 May20 May12 Apr28 Mar24 (james gerald)REYES R 123 2.50 13% 6.60    
WEAPON Jun16 Apr29 Feb23 Dec07 Nov15 (alessi james)CANUTO THIAGO 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
FEUILLETON Jun07 Apr30       (chain pear)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 4.00    
KILLER BEE May27 May11 Apr13 Apr05 Mar17 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 6.00 40% 1.50    
KICK ROCKS KID Jun03 May06 Apr28 Apr16 Mar23 (adams nancy )MARCANO Y 118 5.00    
 
BTP-7   06/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LOOKS GOOD N A TUX Jun01 May18 May04 Apr10 Mar22 (donjuan sergi)CANUTO THIAGO 123 8.00    
TORNADO BOY Jun09 May24 May06 Apr29 Mar24 (melancon paul)BUSH V 123 5.00    
SOUTHERN WILL Mar13 Feb20 Dec06 Nov13 Oct03 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 123 2.50 42% 1.40    
GEMO RAIN Jun09 May20 May06 Apr22 Mar19 (adams nancy )MARCANO Y 118 4.50 22% 3.50    
TOPPING Jun09 May19 Apr27 Mar16 Feb17 (lauer micha)PETERSON FERRIN 123 3.50    
LOCK ON Jun09 Jun01 May05 Apr04 Mar20 (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 10.00 9% 10.20    
THIS ILL DEFEND Jun01 May18 Mar23 Mar16 Jan18 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 123 6.00    
 
BTP-8   06/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHERE'S LUCKY Jun07 Jun01 May11 Apr23 Apr06 (adams na)MARTINEZ LUIS 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
EXCLAIM May15 Mar10 Feb17 Jan27 Jan06 (rodak geraldi)LEBRON VICTOR 123 20.00 6% 16.50    
GIVE GOD PRAISE Jun07 May18 Apr28 Mar17 Aug27 (bush george)LAGUNES GABRIEL 117 6.00    
GREENSFELDER Jun07 May20 May06 Apr01 Feb22 (clark robert )CANUTO THIAGO 123 2.50    
SCR  THISPOINTINTIME Jun10 Jun03 May26 May18 Feb22 (morelos ma)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 10.00    
MAKBULE Jun07 May18 Mar24     (rider david )ARAGON ROLANDO 123 4.50    
BELL CURVE May27 Apr28 Feb15 Jan11   (bates l)BUSH V 119 6.00 46% 1.20    
MONEY PIT May27 Apr29 Feb11 Jan21 Jan06 (hill f)COLON H 123 3.50 19% 4.40    
LEMONADEATTHELATCH Jun16 Jun03 May18 May11 Apr26 (salcedo ramo)TAPARA BRANDON 123 6.00    
10  FRADY Jun03 May11 Mar16 Feb24 Feb15 (adams l)REYES R 117 5.00 6% 16.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.