Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Wednesday - May 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/5)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/5)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(2/1/4)-(2/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-2   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(2/4)-(4/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-3   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(4/6)-(1/6/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-4   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/6)-(4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(1/6/3)-(2/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-5   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(1/5/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-6   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(1/5/4)-(3/2/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-7   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4/7)-(1/5/4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(3/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BTP-8   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4/5)-(3/2/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   05/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($17.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JIM'S RIVER RUNNER Apr22 Aug09 Jul10     (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 3.50 ★    
2  SWING STATE Mar30 Mar02 Feb16 Jan19 Dec19 (gorham ro)CORREA L 117 2.50 57% 0.80    
3  WHISKEY HELPS Apr06 Mar22 Mar06 Feb15 Jan26 (salcedo ram)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 8.00    
4  TEQUILA FLATS May06 Mar20 Feb15 Jan17 Dec22 (ramos franci)TAPARA BRANDON 123 4.00    
5  MIXTER JENSEN Apr12 Mar29 Mar14 Feb27 Jan26 (haehn r)BUSH V 123 1.60 19% 4.30    
 
BTP-2   05/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP M/F PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER LUCY Apr28 Mar23 Feb25 Feb10 Mar18 (livers charli)CANUTO THIAGO 121 3.00 27% 2.60    
2  WINWARD FLO Mar04 Jan26 Dec30 Dec01 Apr15 (wong jonathan)REYES R 121 1.40 35% 1.90    
3  MY ANGELICA May05 Apr27 Jan21 Jan07 Dec29 (pinzon maria)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 3.50    
4  BELIEVING (IRE) May04 Apr10 Mar17 Mar09 Feb09 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 8.00 16% 5.10    
5  HIGH MEADOWS May05 Feb02 Jan13 Dec07 Nov17 (morelos mate)TAPARA BRANDON 121 4.50    
 
BTP-3   05/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JILL BABE Sep04 Aug09 Jul18 May06   (stephen anthony)REYES FRANK 121 4.50    
2  QUICKY DESIRE May04 Mar09 Aug23 Jul13 Jun28 (lobo h)MCKEE J 125 1.80 52% 0.90    
3  YOGURT Dec15 Nov30 Nov15 Oct04 Sep22 (short derrick)CANUTO THIAGO 121 3.50 ★    
4  DESTINY'S DARLING Jan28 Dec30 Dec02 Nov22 Nov12 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 121 3.00 22% 3.60    
5  SIRJUS DREAM Mar02 Feb09 Dec12 Nov30 Oct20 (stephen a)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 4.00    
 
BTP-4   05/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUT WORK'N May05 Feb18 Jan06 Dec30 Dec08 (alessi james)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 6.00    
2  SCAT SHACK Apr23 Apr06 Mar10 Jan25 Dec31 (ramos franci)TAPARA BRANDON 121 12.00 ★    
SCR  LUCK OF THE DRAW Apr30 Mar24 Feb25 Jan11 Dec22 (combs bentley)NAVAS YOEL 116 4.00    
4  COME SEE ABOUT IT Mar14 Feb23 Jan30 Dec05 Sep30 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 2.00 63% 0.60    
5  HAGLER Apr29 Mar31 Mar17 Feb05 Jan22 (cash l)HEARD TYLER 121 4.50    
6  HIGH HEATER Apr26 Apr12 Mar04 Jan29 Jan06 (hess b)MCKEE J 121 3.00 15% 5.80    
 
BTP-5   05/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TALK RADIO Apr13 Mar23 Feb16 Dec08 Nov01 (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 116 2.00 38% 1.60    
2  BELLE OF ST. JOHN Apr28 Mar11 Feb18 Dec29 Dec11 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 121 5.00    
3  SUM KINDA PRETTY Apr27 Mar30 Aug30 Aug19 Jul19 (ramos franci)TAPARA BRANDON 121 6.00 7% 12.90    
4  LIVE IT UP Apr28 Feb06 Jan13 Aug25 Jul13 (shifflett ch)MARCANO Y 116 8.00    
5  FORGLO May05 Apr19 Mar11 Feb03 Jan14 (esquivel )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 4.00    
6  HOT DAME May05 Apr13 Mar29 Feb15 Jan14 (hernandez javi)COLON H 121 3.00 33% 2.10    
 
BTP-6   05/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OHIO LADY May04 Apr12 Mar16 Mar08 Feb15 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 4.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of IMPATIENT LADY by PLEASANT TAP)
2  MIZZEN THE POINT Mar30         (maker mich)MICHEL MICKAELLE 125 1.80 33% 2.00    
  (by MIZZEN MAST out of KEWT TALE by TALE OF THE CAT)
3  SISSY'S MAY         (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 125 12.00 22% 3.60    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of MRS. BOYD by PROUD CITIZEN)
4  PRICELESS PICTURE Mar15 Jan01 Dec11 Oct10 Sep21 (anderson )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 119 10.00    
  (by KLIMT out of GOT BLING by LANGFUHR)
SCR  TWILIGHT BEAUTY May04 Apr10 Mar21     (salcedo ram)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 6.00    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of MIDNIGHT BEAUTY by PROSPECTOR'S BID)
6  PRONTO CHARLI May04 Mar30 Mar08 Feb20 Jan16 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 119 3.50 22% 3.50    
  (by PROTONICO out of INDIANISTA by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR  LIVIE ANNE Apr25 Apr10       (bennett c)MCKEE J 125 8.00    
  (by EVEN THE SCORE out of CELESTE by GOLDEN SOUVENIR)
 
BTP-7   05/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ERV'S WENCH Apr28 Apr11 Mar02 Jan20 Dec06 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 4.50 36% 1.80    
2  WHISKEY SIS Mar23 Feb25 Jan25 Dec02 Nov21 (nocero carmin)LEBRON VICTOR 121 12.00    
3  KAIYAS SONG Mar11 Dec28 Nov10 Oct11 Sep08 (faircloth av)CALLEJA ANDRES 116 15.00    
4  FUTURE FLAY Apr28 Feb25 Jan25 Dec30 Nov28 (esquivel )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 3.50 11% 8.40    
5  SEAWARD May05 Apr23 Apr13 Mar26 Feb15 (hernandez javi)COLON H 125 3.00 29% 2.50    
6  EIDA'S STORM May05 Apr27 Mar17 Mar02 Oct06 (aguirre juan )CANUTO THIAGO 121 10.00    
7  NANA'S GRAY Apr28 Apr11 Mar18 Mar04 Jan19 (baez sergio)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 2.00 ★    
 
BTP-8   05/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE PINK Z Apr29 Mar22 Mar02 Feb15 Jan17 (silva ferna)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 10.00    
2  SIMON SAYS Dec29 Nov29 Sep16 Aug04 Jul01 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 4.50 26% 2.90    
3  CHIEF BUCKEYE Jun03 May06       (drury jr)MCKEE J 121 2.00 48% 1.10    
4  OL' NED Nov10 Aug16 Jul06 Jun03 May02 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  STUNT MAN Apr26 Mar28 Sep06 Jun25 Jun08 (gorham m)FELIX E 121 5.00 ★    
SCR  WORTHY OPPONENT Nov28 Nov12 Oct24 Oct10 Sep15 (miller arizona)NAVAS YOEL 116 4.00    
7  SERENDIPITOUS Apr26 Apr06 Mar22 Mar02 Feb15 (hamm timo)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 8.00    
8  JUST TAPIT IN Apr29 Aug16 Aug05 Jun29 Jun02 (waltermire br)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.