Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Monday - May 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/1)-(7) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
FL-2   WIN (7) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (7)-(7/5/3/6) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (7)-(7/5/3/6)-(7/5/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (7)-(4/3)-(5/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
FL-3   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3/1/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3)-(4/3/1/8)-(4/3/1/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/3)-(5/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(5/3)-(3/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-4   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3)-(5/3/1/6)-(5/3/1/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (5/3)-(3/9/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FL-5   WIN (3/9/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/9/4)-(3/9/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/9/4)-(3/9/4/7)-(3/9/4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/9/4)-(8/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-6   WIN (8/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/7)-(8/6/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/6/7)-(8/6/7/5)-(8/6/7/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/6/7)-(7/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (8/6/7)-(7/9)-(4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-7   WIN (7/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/9)-(7/9/1/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/9)-(7/9/1/10)-(7/9/1/10) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/9)-(4/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
FL-8   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1/6/3/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/1)-(4/1/6/3/8)-(4/1/6/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   05/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3 ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DESTIN HOOFMAN Oct22 Sep22       (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 4.50 13% 6.80    
  (by DESTIN out of SADIE'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
2  CAPTAINOFMYHEART Nov16 Oct19 Oct04     (dixon k)ALVARADO R 122 8.00    
  (by HONORABLE DILLON out of FREUD IAN GIRL by FREUD)
3  THE CATILLAC KID Jan21 Dec11 Oct17     (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 122 8.00    
  (by REDESDALE out of BLUE CATILLAC by BLUEGRASS CAT)
4  WHO ME Apr24 Mar18 Feb25 Feb09 Jan28 (torelli stacy)FRET STEVEN 122 5.00 32% 2.20    
  (by LORD NELSON out of YOU GO TO MY HEAD by SUPER SAVER)
5  POP COYER Apr27 Apr07 Mar04 Feb09 Aug11 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 1.50    
  (by FORTY TALES out of LINDSAY'S TREASURE by MINESHAFT)
6  ZUCCARACE Apr24 Jan06 Dec11     (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 3.00 26% 2.80    
  (by RACE DAY out of ZUCCA by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
 
FL-2   05/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A HUGE CHECKPOINT Dec10 Nov22 Oct31 Oct09 Sep12 (breed ro)DAVIS A 122 6.00    
2  LUCKY MANNY Nov16 Nov01 Sep28 Sep07 Aug24 (acquilano jam)DAVILA A 122 8.00    
3  HEREBY Apr22 Apr02 Mar05 Feb15 Jan29 (tebbutt joh)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 3.00 ★    
4  ACH DU LIEBER Nov21 Oct25 Sep28 Sep14 Aug24 (breed jr)GOMEZ O 122 6.00    
5  GREY INVASION Nov15 Sep28 Sep15 Aug30 Aug16 (lec)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 4.00 ★    
6  MO DANCIN Nov14 Nov01 Oct12 Sep27 Sep13 (loaiza ilmar)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 10.00 ★    
7  N Y ANTHEM Nov21 Nov08 Oct17 Sep25 Sep03 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 2.50 76% 0.30    
 
FL-3   05/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($11K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SARATOGA RED Feb18         (breed jr)GOMEZ O 119 6.00 ★    
2  MARCH MADNEZ PARTY Nov22 Oct25 Oct17 Oct05 Sep13 (babcock edward)FRET STEVEN 120 8.00    
3  REMEMBER NORMANDY May02 Nov22 Nov09 Sep27 Sep13 (d'alessandro)HARKIE K 120 4.00 25% 2.90    
4  CENTRAL LOVE Mar11 Feb11 Nov17 Oct09 Sep22 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 119 2.50 47% 1.10    
5  RUBY ROAD Nov05 Oct28 Sep09 Aug25   (martin j)DAVIS A 124 8.00    
6  TIZA BROWN Mar30 Mar18 Mar05 Jan27 Jan21 (henry n)ALVARADO R 124 12.00    
7  FOOT TRAFFIC Nov15 Oct17 Oct04     (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 119 12.00    
8  VINNY TWO CENTS Oct06 Aug25 Jun02 May08 Apr29 (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 124 3.00 ★    
 
FL-4   05/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMORE FIRE Apr24 Jul17 Jul04 May30 Apr21 (acquilano james)PEREZ E 124 4.00 ★    
2  MISTY GALE Mar31 Feb15 Jan18 Jan01 Nov07 (falk jacqueli)DAVILA A 124 12.00    
3  MOTLEY SUE May02 Nov07 Oct10     (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 2.00 35% 1.80    
4  SUPER SLIDE Apr25 Mar24 Dec18 Nov19 Oct30 (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 4.50    
5  JACKSON AVENUE Apr24 Nov22 Nov07 Oct24   (breed ro)DAVIS A 124 3.00 38% 1.60    
6  KREESA LA WROTE         (dixon k)ALVARADO R 124 8.00 ★    
7  MO NIGHEAN DONN Nov21 Nov01 Oct10 Sep12 Aug22 (tasso mark)COA J 124 10.00    
 
FL-5   05/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STRONG ALPHA May02 Nov23 Oct25 Jun20 Jun01 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 3.50    
2  KEEN ON ME Jun20 May24 May02 Mar25 Mar11 (tasso mark)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 8.00    
3  WEATHER ADVISORY May02 Aug10 Jul26 Jul04 Jun21 (grusmark)DAVIS A 124 5.00 45% 1.20    
4  BETTYBOOM May02 Nov23 Nov08 Oct11 Sep20 (breed a)ROHENA JR 124 6.00 7% 13.70    
5  MISS CIRCULAR GAL Apr24 Nov23 Nov16 Nov01 Oct11 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 124 5.00    
6  TINA BURNER May02 Oct25 Sep27 Sep13 Aug23 (sells rachel)SONE Y 124 10.00    
7  ONE TICKED LADY Sep13 Aug30 Jul26 Jul18 Jun20 (breed a)DIAZ J 114 12.00 ★    
8  ONE JOURNEY Nov08 Oct25 Oct03 Sep14 Aug12 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 15.00    
9  RIDING ON A WINNER May02 Mar05 Feb11 Dec09 Nov22 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
 
FL-6   05/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  YOU'VE GOT MALE May02 Oct24 Oct12 Oct03 Sep19 (lopez arcadi)HARKIE K 122 20.00    
2  NO LIME Apr25 Oct26 Oct12 Sep19 Aug29 (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 122 8.00    
3  MOUNTAIN TREE May02 Nov22 Nov02 Oct17 Sep14 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 122 15.00    
4  BEACHSIDE Nov08 Oct24 Oct11 Oct05 Sep21 (ficarell)DAVIS A 122 6.00    
5  FUTILE Apr07 Mar23 Mar03 Feb08 Jan27 (sells rachel)PEREZ E 122 8.00 ★    
6  K. K. ICHIKAWA Oct13 Sep28 Sep06 Jul26 Jul05 (lecesse michae)COA J 122 4.00 24% 3.10    
7  I LOVE JAXSON Apr12 Jan25 Dec14 Oct19 Aug22 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 2.50 15% 5.80    
8  TOWN JAK Apr25 Feb23 Jan19 Jan04 Nov22 (tebbutt joh)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 3.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  FLAT BILL May02 Dec14 Nov09 Oct24 Oct12 (gutters)NAVARRO J 122 20.00    
 
FL-7   05/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NUTSIE Dec08 Sep06 Aug24 Aug02 Jul06 (loaiza )NAVARRO J 121 10.00    
1A  SAMAY (PER) Dec09 Nov22 Oct24 Oct03 Sep06 (loaiza ilmar)GOMEZ O 121 10.00 ★    
2  NO MORE TALK Apr28 Apr15 Mar26 Feb26 Feb05 (jac)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 3.50    
SCR  SYNTHESIS Apr29 Feb05 Jan28 Dec09 Nov26 (jacobso)NAVARRO J 121 3.50    
SCR  WINSTON'S CHANCE Jul25 Jun27 Jun13 May30 May02 (breed a)ALVARADO R 121 6.00    
SCR  HERO TIGER Apr06 Feb13 Jan19 Dec30 Dec03 (torelli stacy)FRET STEVEN 121 15.00    
SCR  HONOR AMONG MEN Jul13 Jun20 May16 May02 Mar13 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 121 4.00    
6  WRITER'S REGRET Apr24 Apr07 Mar12 Feb17 Feb05 (d'alessandro )DAVILA A 121 15.00    
7  DR BLARNEY Apr24 Nov25 Nov07 Aug24 Jul25 (grusmark)DAVIS A 121 3.00 48% 1.10    
SCR  ALMENDRO Apr24 Nov22 Nov07 Sep20 Aug24 (ubbink stephen)PEREZ E 121 15.00    
9  FLYING EMPEROR Sep20 Sep06 Aug24 Jul30 Jul04 (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 121 6.00 25% 3.10    
10  CAJUN CASANOVA Apr05 Mar17 Mar03 Feb01 Sep06 (ferraro anth)COA J 121 12.00 ★    
 
FL-8   05/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STEERAGE May02 Apr24 Mar18 Feb12 Jan01 (torelli st)DE EMANUEL 124 3.50 36% 1.80    
  (by ASTERN out of TWEET STREET by QUALITY ROAD)
2  JUNCTION POOL Nov02         (dixon k)ALVARADO R 120 15.00    
  (by CAMELOT KITTEN out of QUIXOTIC LASSIE by PRECISE END)
3  BANCO MEDICI Apr24 Nov25 Nov09 Oct26 Sep27 (sparling wayne )ROHENA JR 124 8.00 ★    
  (by CUPID out of ST. MARY'S CITI by CITIDANCER (IRE))
4  GO GET THE BAG Apr24 Mar30       (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 3.00 42% 1.40    
  (by TOURIST out of MISS BONNIE by OFFICER)
5  SUPPORT THE CAT Nov27 Nov09 Sep27 Sep13 Aug30 (sells r)NAVARRO J 124 4.00    
  (by COURAGEOUS CAT out of SUPPORTER by HOOK AND LADDER)
6  SAL'S BROTHER May02         (iorio jr)PEREZ E 124 12.00 ★    
  (by EMCEE out of MY MIND by FLOWER ALLEY)
7  NOAH'S DESTINY Apr24 Feb26 Feb12     (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 124 10.00    
  (by UNION JACKSON out of VICKI VALLENCOURT by REGAL CLASSIC)
8  CRYPTO CAUSEWAY Nov09 Oct17 Oct05 Sep12 Aug30 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 6.00 ★    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of I'M AUTHORIZED by CRYPTOCLEARANCE)
9  GOTTA CONNECT Mar04 Jan28       (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 120 10.00    
  (by CONNECT out of ARISIA by DECLARATION OF WAR)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.