Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Saturday - May 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (5/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/8)-(5/8/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/8)-(5/8/4/3)-(5/8/4/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MTH-2   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/5)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
MTH-3   WIN (5/4/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/3/6)-(5/4/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/3/6)-(5/4/3/6)-(5/4/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-4   WIN (9/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/5)-(9/5/4/11) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/5)-(9/5/4/11)-(9/5/4/11) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MTH-5   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3/6)-(1/4/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MTH-6   WIN (4/6/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/1/2)-(4/6/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/1/2)-(4/6/1/2)-(4/6/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-7   WIN (5/1/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/10)-(5/1/10/6/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/10)-(5/1/10/6/11)-(5/1/10/6/11) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MTH-8   WIN (7/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/5)-(7/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/5)-(7/1/5)-(7/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-9   WIN (6/3/10/5/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/3/10/5/11)-(6/3/10/5/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/3/10/5/11)-(6/3/10/5/11)-(6/3/10/5/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-10   WIN (6/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/1)-(6/7/1/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/7/1)-(6/7/1/8)-(6/7/1/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   05/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SNEAKINESS Apr19 Mar15 Feb28 Feb13 Jan30 (flores-co)VARGAS A 120 15.00    
2  FORTY STRIPES Apr08 Feb21 Feb02 Aug07 Jul09 (foglia )GONZALEZ LUIS 120 20.00    
3  LOHENGRIN TWO Apr22 Mar25 Feb25 Jan22 Jan12 (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 117 2.50 ★    
4  ROD TWO ROD Mar11 Jan20 Dec28 Sep03 Aug15 (delgado jorg)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 3.00 ★    
5  PRISONER Mar19 Feb26 Jan26 Jan01 Dec17 (baker ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.00 58% 0.70    
6  DEEP FAITH Dec21 Nov30 Oct26 Sep22 Sep04 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 120 10.00    
7  SPEARGUN Jan05 Nov11 Oct22 Sep09 Jun30 (alvarado diane)CEDENO CAROL 120 6.00    
8  CATCH THE SMOKE Jul16 Jul01 Jun19 May20 May08 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 4.00 14% 6.10    
 
MTH-2   05/13/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VEGAS PLAYBOY Apr07         (sacco gregory )LUZZI J 118 4.00 ★    
2  DAD'S ON A ROLL Apr23 Apr07 Mar08 Feb22 Jan27 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.50    
3  DUBROVNIK Apr17 Apr03 Feb27 Feb15 Jan17 (avila juan )PAREDES JHOVANY 113 4.50    
4  BULLWHIP SKINNY Sep04 Aug14       (steph)DOMINGUEZ G 118 15.00    
5  PERSPICACIOUS BOY         (ryan s)BATISTA A 118 8.00 27% 2.70    
6  EXCESS DEMAND Mar28         (brown c)OLVER MADISON 111 3.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  SETTE STELLE Apr14 Mar22 Mar08 Feb27 Jan31 (caraballo wil)RANGEL JOEZER 123 5.00    
SCR  BRANDON'S SMILE Mar29 Dec18       (avila ju)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
 
MTH-3   05/13/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGNIFICENT PEARL Oct07 Sep10 Jul31 Jul09 Mar13 (cibelli jane)RENDON JAIRO 121 2.50    
2  CUPIDS PAYDAY Apr08 Feb23 Feb08 Nov03 Oct01 (delgado jose)BATISTA A 117 8.00    
3  LINAHASPECSHOES Nov02 Oct21 Oct05 Aug26   (ashby lynn)ARROYO S 117 4.50 12% 7.20    
4  COAL MINE Apr07 Mar12 Feb19 Jan20 Jan13 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 117 4.00 15% 5.70    
5  HEART LIGHT May01 Apr17 Mar08 Feb03 Nov18 (flores-coba f)MILAN GERARDO 121 5.00 37% 1.70    
6  MY MAGGIE MOO Apr23 Mar29 Aug12 Jul23 Jul01 (mcburney )RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.00 8% 11.40    
7  SUPER DUPER FLY Apr12 Mar21 Feb19 Dec20 Nov22 (perez flores)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 6.00    
 
MTH-4   05/13/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. EINSTEIN Jan02 Dec13 Nov02 Oct10 Sep26 (linder j)RENDON JAIRO 120 15.00    
2  KITTEN STREET Apr12 Mar27 Mar06 Feb06 Nov09 (abrams ja)RODRIGUEZ A 120 6.00    
3  BIG RED ROCKS Mar26 Mar10 Feb19 Jan29 Dec10 (wilson tony)SOSA LAUREANO 113 8.00    
4  LAVERY Apr19 Apr04 Mar07 Feb13 Jan31 (farro patric)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 12.00 ★    
5  SMILE BRYAN Apr08 Mar10 Dec02 Nov07 Oct16 (ryan s)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 5.00 9% 10.00    
SCR  PASSAGE OF LINES Apr05 Mar08 Feb14 Jan24 Jan02 (ness jamie)CAMACHO SAMY 120 8.00    
7  DRAMATIZED Oct22 Aug24 Aug10 Jul22 Jul12 (boucha)GONZALEZ JR 120 15.00    
8  CANDY KINGDOM Jan05 Dec20 Dec03 Sep30 Sep18 (foglia )GONZALEZ LUIS 120 30.00    
9  BIRD'S EYE VIEW Apr08 Mar10 Feb11 Jan28 Jan04 (dini mike)CENTENO E 120 4.50 19% 4.30    
SCR  JUSTINTIMEFORWINE Apr08 Mar10 Feb26 Feb04 Jan21 (delgado jose)BATISTA A 120 2.50 49% 1.00    
11  EL HERMANO Apr29 Mar13 Feb22 Jan30 Jan17 (ramire)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 8.00 ★    
 
MTH-5   05/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXHALATION         (servis john )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.00 34% 1.90    
  (by STREET SENSE out of BELTERRA by UNBRIDLED)
2  TOUGH GAME Dec13 Nov30 Nov16 Nov04 Oct06 (ovando melvin )MARIN SAMUEL 118 30.00    
  (by MASTERY out of IN THE ROUGH by STORMY ATLANTIC)
3  SPOUTY'S GIRL Apr21 Sep17 Aug21 Jun17   (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 10% 9.20    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of COMPETE by EL PRADO (IRE))
4  SHE'S AWESOME Apr21 Mar16 Jan06 Dec14 Oct21 (klesaris steve)CEDENO CAROL 123 4.00 32% 2.20    
  (by FLATTER out of AWESOMEKAYLEE by AWESOME AGAIN)
5  SPUN SPECIAL Nov04 Oct14 Sep17 Aug21   (gyarmati leah)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.50    
  (by HARD SPUN out of SPECIAL THANKS by BROKEN VOW)
6  COOLCALM COLLECTED Mar17         (hills timothy )RENDON JAIRO 118 2.50 ★    
  (by COLLECTED out of GOOD NEWS TODAY by FLYING PASTER)
7  BINGO STAR Apr15         (delgado jose)BATISTA A 118 8.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of A P MAJETSTIC by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
SCR  RAW POWER Sep10 Aug21 Aug13 Jul16   (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 118 12.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of ROCK 'N WOLIN by NOT FOR LOVE)
 
MTH-6   05/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROUD MULE Mar25 Dec31 Oct28 Sep11 Aug12 (hollendorfer jer)JUAREZ NIK 115 6.00 11% 8.30    
2  SEA MAIDEN Sep11 Aug21 Jul22     (huston ro)RODRIGUEZ A 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ANOTHER SAUCY SIX May01 Apr11 Mar27 Mar08 Feb15 (farro patric)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 20.00    
4  GIRL TROUBLE Apr15 Mar06 Feb05 Jan03 Nov29 (reid robert )LOPEZ PASCACIO 115 1.00 37% 1.70    
5  AMAZING GRACES JOY Sep18 Aug28 Jul16 Jun26 Jun05 (mazza w)FERRER C 120 12.00    
6  SADIE BABY Sep10 Aug28       (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 120 5.00 24% 3.20    
7  EPIC QUEEN Jan25 Nov02 Aug06 Jul16 Jun26 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 120 12.00    
SCR  BUSTIN DOWN DOORS Sep11 Aug27 Aug12 Jul22 Jun24 (spina charles)LUZZI J 115 30.00    
9  LASSIE'S NOTION Feb21 Jan23 Nov28 Aug28 Jul30 (martin f)TORRES JOMAR 120 12.00    
10  POMTINI Aug28 Jul31 Jul16 Jun03 May14 (huston r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00    
 
MTH-7   05/13/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHAT'S GOOD Apr27 Mar19 Feb23 Jan27   (sweezey j)VARGAS A 118 8.00 25% 3.10    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of SHAARAAT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  CHERU Mar26 Feb17 Dec14     (avila carl)OLIVERO A 118 12.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of TENGGARA by SUPER SAVER)
3  KISS ME HARDY Apr19 Mar01 Feb08 Jan23   (servis c)RENDON JAIRO 118 15.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of MOON MEDAL by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
4  DIAMOND STATUS Apr15 Nov20 Oct15 Sep16 Aug19 (martin carlos )LUZZI J 123 12.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of STATUS by KRIS S.)
5  BIG BRASS BED Apr09         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.50 43% 1.30    
  (by NYQUIST out of PRECISION FARMING by SMART STRIKE)
6  LA PACHANGA Mar26 Jan29 Jan07     (mcgaughe)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 3.50 ★    
  (by WAR FRONT out of TOKYO TIME by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
7  BOLLINGER Apr08         (motion gra)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.50    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of LOVE TO DANCE (IRE) by SADLER'S WELLS)
8  KEEP IT SEXY Oct22 Sep23       (morle)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 15.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of OELECTRA by GULCH)
9  RAPID MISS TAPIT Sep02 Jul24 Jul01 Jun17   (mc jo)NUNEZ Y 118 30.00    
  (by TAPIT out of MAGICAL DREAM by DOUG'S MY DOC)
10  GIRLY THE BUTCHER Mar30 Mar03 Feb05 Jan07 Dec11 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 123 12.00 10% 9.40    
  (by CUPID out of WITH SUGAR by SIDNEY'S CANDY)
11  DUKE GIRLS         (brown c)JUAREZ NIK 118 8.00 ★    
  (by STREET SENSE out of GOLD MEDALIST by SLEW O' GOLD)
SCR  BOLT OF PARADISE         (crook-demasi kathl)BISONO J 118 12.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of PARADISE ALLEY by FLOWER ALLEY)
SCR  CUMBERLAND FALLS Mar23 Jan29 Dec11 Nov11   (sweezey j)VARGAS A 118 6.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of MOONBOW by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
MTH-8   05/13/2023 5490ft DIRT RC11 FAST Long Branch Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLIP MAHONEY Apr08 Mar04 Jan21 Dec17 Nov19 (cox b)DIAZ RAFAEL 115 2.50 29% 2.40    
  (by ARROGATE out of GOT LUCKY by A.P. INDY)
2  NO CONFESSION Mar06 Jan23 Jan03 Dec07 Sep30 (mc jo)NUNEZ Y 121 12.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of READY TO CONFESS by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  COFFEEWITHCHRIS Apr15 Mar18 Feb18 Jan21 Dec30 (salzman e)CENTENO E 121 4.50    
  (by RIDE ON CURLIN out of ANDIEMAC by OUTFLANKER)
4  HOWGREATISNATE Mar18 Mar04 Dec05 Nov05 Sep29 (dobles elizabe)RENDON JAIRO 115 6.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of BEE DEES BID by TAPIT)
5  DIDINGER Mar27 Nov04 Oct18 Sep24 Aug27 (reid robert )LOPEZ PASCACIO 115 8.00 10% 8.50    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of GWITHIAN by STREET SENSE)
6  OFFALY COOL Apr18 Feb17 Dec11 Oct05   (solis jacint)LAPRIDA JEREMY 115 15.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of ASSURED by SIGNAL TAP)
7  NINETYPRCENTMADDIE Apr15 Mar06 Feb11 Jan03 Nov29 (reid e)NO RIDER 121 3.50 36% 1.80    
  (by WEIGELIA out of AMBLIN EASY by PRIVATE INTERVIEW)
SCR  HAYES STRIKE Apr08 Mar18 Jan21 Dec26 Nov26 (mcpeek kenneth)MARIN SAMUEL 121 3.00    
  (by CONNECT out of PLAID by DEPUTY COMMANDER)
 
MTH-9   05/13/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($57.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KITTEN'S COLLUSION Sep23 Aug15 Jul09 Jun12 Apr13 (motio)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 15.00    
2  AWESOMENEWYEAR Nov07 Sep21 Sep14 Aug03 Jul11 (collazo da)RUIZ ELISEO 113 15.00    
3  COCONUT BEACH Jan25 Dec23 Nov05 Aug31 Aug13 (servis john )LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 3.00 18% 4.60    
4  ARROBLUE Apr19 Mar03 Jan14 Oct21 Sep10 (sweezey j)VARGAS A 124 10.00    
5  ROMANTIC FANTASY Apr19 Apr01 Mar04 Jan25   (dini mike)CENTENO E 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  KATIES A LADY Mar25 Feb25 Feb03 Jan21 Dec31 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 5.00 46% 1.20    
7  JUDGEMENT TIME Sep24 Sep17 Sep02 Aug15 Jul24 (thompson gle)SAMUEL L 120 30.00    
8  THISNAMEISOKAY Apr20 Nov19 Oct27 Oct01 Sep06 (cooper stev)NUNEZ Y 120 10.00    
9  ANGELAS PARTY GIRL Feb22 Feb01 Jan04 Sep26 Sep11 (duarte j)RENDON JAIRO 115 6.00    
10  Z FIRST Feb25 Jun26 Jun11 May01 Mar23 (klesaris steve)CEDENO CAROL 120 6.00 5% 18.50    
11  NOW YUS CANT LEAVE Mar15 May15 Mar12 Feb12 Jan15 (rubley kelly)ARROYO S 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  PEPPERMINT CLASS Mar10 Nov23       (alvarado diane)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00    
SCR  TRYINMYHEARTOUT Apr08 Mar04 Feb05 Jan07   (camejo j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 6.00    
SCR  GOLD RUSH KIZZIE Oct21 Sep30 Sep23 Aug22 Jul28 (hawthorne bo)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 8.00    
 
MTH-10   05/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEWS BOX Apr14 Mar30 Feb26 Jan07 Dec10 (schultz lind)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 2.50 13% 6.80    
2  MARVIN Apr15 Mar30 Mar11 Feb26 Jan22 (tessore b)RODRIGUEZ A 120 6.00    
3  VIKRAM Apr12 Mar27 Mar08 Feb22 Jan31 (ramirez silvin)RENDON JAIRO 120 15.00    
4  IMTAKINITTOTHEBANK Apr15 Mar15 Feb19 Feb08 Jan27 (torres r)MARIN SAMUEL 120 10.00    
5  JUPI'S LIGHTNING Apr04 Mar20 Mar01 Jun14 May14 (flores-co)VARGAS A 120 8.00    
6  KATE'S GOLDEN DUDE Apr26 Mar15 Mar02 Jan27 Jan02 (moore michae)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 3.00 42% 1.40    
7  HUSHION Apr25 Mar28 Feb13 Jan30 Jan03 (cole-davis ti)TREJOS JOSEPH 124 3.50 18% 4.50    
8  TRUMPENCE Apr14 Mar26 Feb20 Jan22 Jan06 (hollendorfer jer)JUAREZ NIK 122 4.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.