Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - April 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(6/4) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6)-(1/4/6) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (6)-(1/4/6)-(1/6/3) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
MVR-2   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(1/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(1/6/3)-(2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-3   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3/5)-(1/6/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3)-(2/5)-(5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MVR-4   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/5)-(5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(5)-(1/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
MVR-5   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (5)-(5/8/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (5)-(5/8/1)-(5/8/1) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (5)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (5)-(1/4)-(2/7/4/3) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
MVR-6   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/4)-(2/7/4/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(2/7/4/3)-(7/8/2/4) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
MVR-7   WIN (2/7/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/4/3)-(2/7/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/4/3)-(2/7/4/3)-(2/7/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/4/3)-(7/8/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MVR-8   WIN (7/8/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/2/4)-(7/8/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/2/4)-(7/8/2/4)-(7/8/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   04/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RESERVATION Mar23 Mar07 Jan12 Dec28 Dec14 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 126 4.50    
2  POSITRACTION Mar01 Jan25 Dec31 Dec10   (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 6.00    
3  SHEA D CAPTURE Feb16 Jan23 Jan04 Dec21 Nov29 (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 5.00    
4  DOMI Feb22 Jan29 Nov25 Oct30   (gorostieta ciri)REYES FRANK 119 2.50 ★    
SCR  BON DEUX Mar21 Mar06 Feb16 Feb01 Jan23 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 3.50 21% 3.80    
6  GOLDEN CHELLA Mar15 Feb22 Feb08     (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 126 3.00 45% 1.20    
 
MVR-2   04/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMUDGE THE CAT Jan02 Dec06 Nov23 Nov08 Oct27 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 1.60 30% 2.30    
2  PRETTY LOUD Mar15 Mar06 Feb16 Feb06 Jan23 (gomez alejan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00    
3  BAY DEFENSE Nov19 Nov02 Oct19 Oct11 Aug31 (diehl candace)DIAZ I 124 10.00    
4  CAJUN BAYOU Mar20 Feb09 Jan11 Dec07 Sep04 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 1.80 30% 2.40    
5  CATCHING MAGIC Mar06 Feb16 Dec09 Dec01 Nov12 (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00    
6  AWESOME BREAK Mar23 Mar15 Feb16 Jan23 Jan12 (bird)SALAZAR VICTOR 126 3.50 11% 7.80    
 
MVR-3   04/03/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEBDURITE Mar07 Feb21 Jan16 Jan03 Dec03 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 3.00 46% 1.20    
2  TAMANRASSETT Mar16 Feb21 Feb07 Dec29 Dec13 (radosevich ju)BARBARAN ERIK 126 3.50    
3  KRAMDEN Feb02 Jan10 Dec18 Dec02 Nov26 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 4.50 7% 12.90    
4  KLAATU Mar14 Feb21 Jan18 Jan03 Dec14 (sondej amy)TAPARA BRANDON 124 12.00    
5  HOLY TRUTH Nov22 Nov13 Sep20 Aug30 Aug02 (meeks karl)PAUCAR E 124 12.00 ★    
6  GILES Mar14 Mar02 Feb22 Feb02 Jan03 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 2.50 19% 4.30    
7  ROSAS WAY Mar16 Feb22 Feb01 Jan18 Dec27 (calderon iv)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 5.00    
 
MVR-4   04/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHANGHAI ROYALTY Mar16 Feb15 Jan26 Jan04 Dec21 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 126 8.00    
2  DANZA MAGIC Mar15 Feb23 Jan23 Jan10 Dec29 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.00 36% 1.70    
SCR  SEEKING THE MONEY Mar20 Feb16 Feb01 Jan18 Jan05 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 20% 3.90    
4  PENNIESANDDIMES Mar21 Nov12 Oct26 Oct12 Sep27 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 5.00    
5  PATTI LOU Mar08 Feb13 Jan23 Jan04 Dec19 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 2.50 13% 6.60    
6  BUSYBEING FABULOUS Mar08 Feb13 Jan24 Dec27 Aug25 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00    
 
MVR-5   04/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNIDENTIFIED MAN Mar17 Jan26 Jan06 Dec11 Nov18 (cordero-lopez )DIAZ I 126 5.00 ★    
SCR  READY TO MARCH Mar15 Feb07 Jan28 Dec28 Dec10 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 3.50    
SCR  ALFIE SOLOMONS Mar16 Feb02 Jan19 Dec27 Nov23 (fletcher kevi)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.00 21% 3.80    
4  VALEROSO Mar07 Feb21 Feb09 Dec15 Nov30 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 10.00    
5  HOLY SAINT Mar14 Feb27 Feb09 Nov16 Oct30 (clousto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 3.00 47% 1.10    
6  SAVAGE NATION Mar13 Jan26 Jan10 Dec07 Nov27 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 10.00    
7  YO BERBS Mar15 Feb09 Jan24 Jan05 Sep27 (brown t)RIVERA R 124 8.00    
8  QIAN B C Mar15 Mar02 Jan19 Jan02 Nov26 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 ★    
 
MVR-6   04/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JEBIP Feb28 Feb01 Jan05 Dec21 Dec06 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 3.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  LIL RICKYS JEWEL Mar21 Feb15 Dec14 Nov15 Jun01 (cline c)HOUGHTON D 124 2.00 21% 3.80    
3  TWINSPIREDJOEY Mar21 Feb27 Jan26 Jan12 Dec14 (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 124 6.00    
4  GIV'EM THE BIZ Jan05 Dec06 Nov07 Oct13 Aug25 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00 19% 4.30    
5  COWTOWN BOSS Mar06 Jan05 Dec06 Nov22 Nov07 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.80    
6  CATMAN JACK Dec14 Dec01 Nov22 Oct14 Oct03 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 12.00    
 
MVR-7   04/03/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING OF THE RING Feb21 Feb01 Jan18 Jan03 Dec15 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 8.00    
2  RAISON KARTER Mar14 Jan30 Jan18 Dec28 Dec03 (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 126 1.80 29% 2.50    
3  ENJOY BASEBALL Mar27 Mar13 Feb08 Jan16 Jan02 (vickers richar)HOUGHTON D 124 12.00 9% 10.30    
4  HARD N'SWEET Mar09 Feb22 Feb02 Dec29 Nov30 (vicker)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 10% 9.40    
5  ROYAL DRAGOON Mar09 Feb21 Jan30 Jan10 Dec27 (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 126 3.50    
6  JACK'S ADVANTAGE Mar09 Feb20 Jan26 Dec31 Nov19 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00    
7  BLOOD MOON Mar21 Mar14 Feb21 Feb07 Jan30 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 3.00 21% 3.80    
 
MVR-8   04/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATCHAFALLNSTAR Nov21 Oct31 Oct12 Sep08 Jun30 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 124 6.00    
2  CLASSIC TALE SAVER Nov02 Oct11       (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 4.00 7% 12.40    
3  BOLD AND BOSSY Mar16 Feb22 Sep13 Aug08 Jul05 (ewing an)AVILES YAN 124 5.00    
4  LANALIKESCHOOCHOOS Mar21 Mar08 Oct05 Sep14 Aug10 (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 119 3.00 7% 13.90    
5  LOVE'S TAVITO Mar13 Feb22 Feb07 Jan19 Jan05 (lopez jacin)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00    
6  DOMITIA LUCILLA Feb28 Feb15 Jan20 Dec16 Nov23 (estvank)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00    
7  HONEYBELL Feb18         (rodriquez regul)MOJICA JR 117 8.00 42% 1.40    
8  WICKED WONDER Feb04 Jan20 Jan05 Nov25 Oct29 (fadlovich meg)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.50 17% 4.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.