Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - April 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6)-(3/6/7/4)-(3/6/7/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/6)-(8/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/6)-(8/4/1)-(3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-2   WIN (8/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/1)-(8/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/4/1)-(8/4/1)-(8/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/4/1)-(3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (8/4/1)-(3/5)-(6/5/3/4/7) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
CT-3   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/5)-(6/5/3/4/7) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(6/5/3/4/7)-(2/7/6) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
CT-4   WIN (6/5/3/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/3/4/7)-(6/5/3/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/5/3/4/7)-(6/5/3/4/7)-(6/5/3/4/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/5/3/4/7)-(2/7/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3/4/7)-(2/7/6)-(3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
CT-5   WIN (2/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/6)-(2/7/6/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/7/6)-(2/7/6/8)-(2/7/6/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/7/6)-(3) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/7/6)-(3)-(6/9/3/10/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
CT-6   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (3)-(3/10/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (3)-(3/10/4)-(3/10/4) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (3)-(6/9/3/10/1) 5 $1.00 $5.00 
    PK3 (3)-(6/9/3/10/1)-(7/1/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-7   WIN (6/9/3/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/9/3/10/1)-(6/9/3/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/9/3/10/1)-(6/9/3/10/1)-(6/9/3/10/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/9/3/10/1)-(7/1/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/9/3/10/1)-(7/1/4/9)-(10/4/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-8   WIN (7/1/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/4/9)-(7/1/4/9/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/1/4/9)-(7/1/4/9/8)-(7/1/4/9/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/1/4/9)-(10/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-9   WIN (10/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/4/7)-(10/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (10/4/7)-(10/4/7)-(10/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   04/01/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MO MONEY MO BETTA Mar04 Oct30 Jul30     (rivera justi)LEWIS M 119 15.00    
  (by FIRST DUDE out of SHEISBOLDADVICE by WOODMAN)
2  MAJOR NELSON Mar17 Mar10 Feb25     (caison )NUNEZ MAURICIO 116 20.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of GREAT LOOKINBLONDE by ALBERT THE GREAT)
3  AWESOME STRIKE Feb25 Nov30 Oct02 Sep04 Jul23 (bailes rober)ARAUJO DENIS 126 1.40 46% 1.20    
  (by AWESOME AGAIN out of STRIKE RIGHT NOW by TIZNOW)
4  MALIBU ROCK STAR Mar17 Feb18 Feb08 Jan13 Sep17 (viands r)ACOSTA D 116 6.00 ★    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of VILAO by GRAVE DIGGER)
5  AFLEET AIRO Mar17 Feb25       (jones e)BAEZ M 109 30.00    
  (by AIROFORCE out of MAGGYS AFLEET by AFLEET ALEX)
6  MOSES WATER Mar11 Feb18 Feb10 Jan20 Dec09 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 1.60 27% 2.70    
  (by MOSLER out of UNION WATERS by DIXIE UNION)
7  FANEUIL HALL Mar11 Feb18 Feb02 Jan07 Nov25 (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 126 4.50 ★    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of WILD GRACE by FOREST WILDCAT)
 
CT-2   04/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NIGHT BOSS Dec14 Nov23 Nov02 Oct22 Sep09 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 3.00 10% 8.80    
SCR  MANHATTAN WEAVE Feb10 Jan20 Jan07 Dec16 Nov23 (joy j)BAEZ M 117 8.00 ★    
3  SANTO Mar09 Feb18 Jan07 Dec06 Nov03 (viands r)PELTROCHE F 124 12.00    
4  PYEONG CHANG Feb18 Nov17 Sep25 Sep02 Aug14 (runco c)LEWIS M 117 2.50 21% 3.90    
5  FEARNOUGHT Mar16 Feb18 Jan26 Jan07 Dec01 (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
6  BAAGY Mar16 Feb08 Dec13 Nov18 Oct27 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 4.00    
7  LIKE SEGAL Mar16 Jan19 Jan07 Dec17 Nov03 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00    
8  PRINCE OF FENTON Feb08 Jan26 Jan16 Dec19 Dec07 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 124 3.50 36% 1.80    
 
CT-3   04/01/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RIP THORN Oct22 Oct13 Sep27 Aug31 Jul10 (collins)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 8.00 ★    
SCR  BRIGHT DAWN Mar09 Feb01 Jan07 Dec17 Nov16 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 6.00 ★    
3  AUBURN MILL Mar11 Feb09 Jan12 Dec14 Nov19 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 1.00 46% 1.20    
4  STRINGFELLA Mar18 Mar03 Feb10 Jan20 Jan07 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00    
5  NEVER COMPROMISE Mar11 Feb24 Feb01 Jan05 Dec08 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 124 2.50 26% 2.80    
SCR  MISS WAVE Feb24 Feb01 Jan21 Jan07 Dec09 (hillegass ale)THORPE DARIUS 121 20.00    
7  GOLDEN APPEAL Mar01 Feb11 Jan18 Dec14 Nov24 (craig l)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00    
8  REY O REYES Feb25 Feb15 Feb02 Jan13 Jan05 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00    
 
CT-4   04/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAIR OF THE DOG Mar09 Feb02 Jan12 Nov05 Sep25 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00    
2  THE IRON BANK Mar09 Jan11 Dec08 Nov16 Oct26 (shanley)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 30.00    
3  AUTS REVOLUTION Mar17 Feb23 Feb01 Jan11 Nov12 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 10.00 19% 4.40    
4  HAPPY CHAMP Mar10 Feb18 Jan28 Jun16 May28 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 10.00 10% 9.10    
5  RIDICULOUS Mar10 Feb18 Feb01 Jan11 Oct08 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.50 19% 4.10    
6  BEYOND THE BEND Mar16 Mar03 Jan09 Oct18 Jul21 (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 122 4.00 22% 3.60    
7  CAYENNE CREEK Mar10 Feb18 Jan28 Dec14 Nov10 (davis russe)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 20.00 10% 9.10    
8  SHOULDA HAD IT Mar10 Mar03 Feb20 Feb12 Feb05 (serey jr)PELTROCHE F 124 4.50    
9  TOP HAT TREASON Mar17 Mar10 Jan27 Jan06 Dec02 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 124 15.00    
10  SOUTHERN SAVIOUR Mar10 Feb17 Dec28 Nov30 Oct21 (schottroffe edwar)CECIL Y 122 20.00    
 
CT-5   04/01/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IT'S A REAL HONOR Mar11 Mar01 Jul30 Jun30 Jun09 (perez ernesto)PELTROCHE F 124 10.00    
2  DREAMY SONDE Mar09         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.50 40% 1.50    
3  REAL APPEAL (GER) Mar18 Jan18 Dec01 Nov16 Sep22 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 10.00    
4  MICHEAUX Jan18 Dec16 Dec01 Nov09 Oct20 (clement rolan)THORPE DARIUS 122 12.00    
5  LUCKY BOP Mar11 Jan26 Jan13     (craig lewis)RAMGEET R 116 12.00    
6  LA MADDALENA Mar11 Mar04 Jan06 Dec17 Dec02 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 116 5.00 10% 9.10    
7  CHEROKEE CASTLE Mar11 Jan11 Jul02 Jun16 May25 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.00 23% 3.40    
8  STRYDA Mar04 Feb11 Jan06 Dec17   (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 116 2.50 ★    
 
CT-6   04/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAG HARBOR Mar11 Feb08 Dec14 Oct14 Sep23 (delong ben)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 10.00    
2  NOID Jan27 Jan06 Nov19 Oct14 Sep10 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 122 12.00    
3  MISSIONSNINETYNINE Mar11 Feb22 Feb09 Jan12 Dec14 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 124 2.50 27% 2.80    
4  SUBJECT TO CHANGE Mar11 Feb23 Feb01 Jan19 Jan11 (spriggs t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 6.00 ★    
5  GALLANT GOLD Mar11 Feb05 Jan27 Jan06 Dec18 (salzma)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 5.00    
SCR  BAR FOURTEEN Mar01 Jan27 Dec28 Dec10 Nov18 (sells rac)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 14% 6.20    
7  CHARLIE POTATOES Feb22 Jan11 Nov24 Nov03 Oct13 (walters da)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 8.00    
8  JAMMIN STILL Mar17 Feb24 Feb11 Jan28 Jan14 (caison )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00    
9  ONE TWO KID Feb25 Jan18 Jan14 Dec09 Nov14 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 122 20.00    
10  ROYAL THUNDER Mar11 Feb22 Feb01 Jan16 Dec04 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00 ★    
SCR  MUCHACHO MACHO Mar11 Feb10 Jan22 Jan08 Nov30 (perri gina)CRUZ ANGEL 122 12.00    
SCR  RAPID RESPONSE Mar03 Feb08 Jan18 Oct22 Sep16 (rathman e)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 5.00    
SCR  MR. PETE Mar23 Mar03 Jan20 Jan12 Dec09 (kreiser t)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 35% 1.90    
 
CT-7   04/01/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I ONCE STOOD ALONE Mar16 Jan08 Dec11 Nov18 Nov02 (brooks e)VEGA L 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  KNOCKDOWN KID Mar08 Feb23 Feb01 Jan20 Dec30 (salinas jose)LARROSA G 122 20.00    
3  TIMMY Feb25 Jan26 Dec08 Nov16 Oct19 (gazzier k)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 4.50 5% 18.00    
4  BARB'S PRIDE Mar12 Feb04 Jan14 Dec11 Nov20 (frock )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 15.00    
5  BALI'S SHADE Mar10 Feb10 Dec31 Dec02 Oct16 (murtaug)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 12.00    
6  PRIMETIME JET Mar10 Jan27 Dec16 Nov25 Nov04 (patterson kevi)ARAUJO DENIS 124 1.40 49% 1.00    
7  SPEIGHTS YOUR MIND Mar10 Feb15 Dec09     (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 118 20.00    
SCR  GOLQUIST Mar04 Jan28 Dec04 Oct20 Oct01 (comi ralph )MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00    
9  BIGZ'S CABANA BOY Feb15 Nov25 Nov20 Oct13 Sep17 (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 6.00 15% 5.80    
10  CAJUN FUN Mar11 Feb20 Feb10     (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-8   04/01/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  C R'S MANDATE Feb17 Jan27 Dec10 Nov12 Oct08 (schiano-dic)MENDEZ MARSHALL 126 4.00 20% 4.00    
2  BRISTOL CHANNEL Feb17 Feb01 Nov13 Oct13   (covello andrea )RODRIGUEZ V 116 30.00    
3  TARAASHOQ Mar16 Mar06 Feb09 Jan28 Jan07 (ramos m)ARAUJO DENIS 122 20.00    
4  JUBA'S NOTION Feb17 Jan07 Dec03 Nov19 Oct08 (petty kris)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 3.00 19% 4.40    
5  HUMPTY GRUMPTY Mar11 Feb17 Jan06 Nov19 Oct08 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 126 15.00    
6  STORMIN ROCKET Mar16 Jan26 Jan07 Dec09 Nov22 (craig l)NUNEZ MAURICIO 126 8.00    
7  HOT FUDGE SONDE Feb17 Jan27 Jan06 Dec16 Nov11 (johnson ja)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 126 2.50 31% 2.20    
8  OVERLY CRITICAL Mar01 May21 Apr09 Mar17 Feb23 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 6.00 ★    
9  RUN TO DAYLIGHT Jan27 Jan06 Nov19 Oct08 Aug26 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 8.00 10% 8.70    
10  HE ROLLS Feb19 Feb10 Jan27 Nov21 Nov05 (dove j)LEWIS M 115 20.00    
 
CT-9   04/01/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAKE THE WAY CLEAR Mar23 Mar02 Feb09 Jan26 Jan04 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 126 8.00    
2  MR. MOSLEY Feb19 Feb10 Jan21 Jan08 Dec18 (corrales jose)ARAUJO DENIS 124 8.00    
3  DEJOHN Mar03 Feb26 Feb05 Jan20 Dec29 (aguirre anth)LEWIS M 119 4.00    
4  DREAMERS REWARD Mar09 Feb23 Feb09 Jan20 Dec02 (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 122 3.50 14% 6.30    
SCR  STORMI CAT LADY Feb26 Jan22 Dec30 Dec18 Nov13 (libertini)HERNANDEZ F 119 20.00    
6  BOOK OF DELANCEY Mar25 Mar11 Mar04 Feb10 Jan25 (hillegass ale)THORPE DARIUS 124 15.00    
7  ITS OVER Mar11 Feb10 Jan20 Jan06 Dec02 (scott a)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 3.00 8% 11.40    
8  EARTHQUAKEDIRECTOR Jan21 Jan05 Dec02 Nov11 Oct21 (pyke joseph)ADAMS L 115 30.00    
9  UNDER FIRE Feb12 Jan27 Oct28 Oct15 Jun17 (eppler)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 10.00    
10  WE B SHACKIN Mar11 Feb04 Nov17     (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 124 5.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  SPUNTACULAR Mar11 Dec02 Nov03 Oct04 Sep14 (shanley timothy)BAEZ M 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STRONGER THAN DEX Mar05 Feb12 Jan20 Dec29 Dec10 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.