Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Friday - March 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4/3)-(6/5/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/5/4)-(6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4)-(6/5)-(6/9/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FG-2   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5/1/2/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/5)-(6/5/1/2/4)-(6/5/1/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5)-(6/9/4/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(6/9/4/5)-(6/13/9/7/4) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
FG-3   WIN (6/9/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/9/4/5)-(6/9/4/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/9/4/5)-(6/9/4/5/8)-(6/9/4/5/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/9/4/5)-(6/13/9/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/9/4/5)-(6/13/9/7/4)-(9/6/7/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-4   WIN (6/13/9/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/13/9/7/4)-(6/13/9/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/13/9/7/4)-(6/13/9/7/4)-(6/13/9/7/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/13/9/7/4)-(9/6/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/13/9/7/4)-(9/6/7/5)-(4/3/7/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-5   WIN (9/6/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/6/7/5)-(9/6/7/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/6/7/5)-(9/6/7/5/2)-(9/6/7/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/6/7/5)-(4/3/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/6/7/5)-(4/3/7/2)-(4/2/11/12/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-6   WIN (4/3/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/7/2)-(4/3/7/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/3/7/2)-(4/3/7/2/8)-(4/3/7/2/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/3/7/2)-(4/2/11/12/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7/2)-(4/2/11/12/8)-(6/9/13) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-7   WIN (4/2/11/12/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/2/11/12/8)-(4/2/11/12/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/2/11/12/8)-(4/2/11/12/8)-(4/2/11/12/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/2/11/12/8)-(6/9/13) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FG-8   WIN (6/9/13) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/9/13)-(6/9/13/4/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/9/13)-(6/9/13/4/12)-(6/9/13/4/12) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   03/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KITTENOFTHE COURT Feb11 Jan19 Dec08 Nov19 Sep19 (hargrave kenneth)RIQUELME J 121 8.00    
SCR  L G GIRL Feb17 Dec16 Nov22 Oct21 Aug26 (tracy greg)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 10.00 6% 16.90    
3  BEAUTIFUL ENDING Feb17 Feb03 Jan14 Dec22 Mar05 (breaux sa)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 ★    
4  ALLIACEOUS Jan22 Aug27 Aug06 Jul23 Jun10 (alonzo how)ALBERT S 116 3.50 13% 6.60    
5  ISOLATION Jan12 Dec11 Oct22 Aug13 Jun29 (bourgeois ke)BARRERA J 116 2.00 17% 4.80    
6  SPELLBINDING Feb20 Jan22 Dec11 Nov25 Sep10 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 3.00 44% 1.30    
7  AVERI EVER AFTER Feb17 Jan28 Dec08 Nov19 Aug21 (duke steve)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00    
 
FG-2   03/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWIRLING WINE Feb24 Nov18 Nov02 Oct20 Aug24 (silva miguel)CULP BRIANNE 122 8.00 ★    
2  RYAN'S GRACE Feb24 Feb01 Jan20 Dec21 Oct22 (flint steve)MCMAHON J 122 4.00 ★    
3  LUMBERJACK EMPIRE Feb09 Jan26 Jan12 Aug24 Jul30 (romero j)GRAHAM J 122 15.00    
4  HAPPY SAILS Feb24 Feb09 Jan19 Nov18 Oct21 (silva carlos)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 8.00 ★    
5  THE GREY BEAUTY Feb02 Dec22 Nov27 May12 Mar18 (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 3.00 27% 2.70    
6  BET ON BOURBON Feb24 Jan16 Jan05 Dec18 Nov26 (camejo m)GREEN AUBRIE 119 1.80 49% 1.10    
7  ALLSTAR MAGIC Feb24 Jan29 Jan05 Dec23 Dec04 (ladner chad)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00    
8  BRIGHTNMORNINGSTAR         (necaise larry)CHAVEZ ORIEL 122 20.00    
 
FG-3   03/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  J B GRAY Mar02 Feb05 Dec23 Dec01 Aug13 (mckeever andr)MORALES EDGAR 112 8.00    
2  THE THREE KS Feb21 Jan28 Dec08 Nov24 Jul16 (williams )PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 8.00    
3  NORTHERNREFLECTION Mar08 Feb24 Jan26 Aug03 May11 (faucheu)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 125 3.50    
4  CHEATIN CHARLIE Feb10 Dec27 Dec08 Nov17 Oct28 (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 6.00 8% 10.90    
5  CHROMPTON Mar05 Feb10 Jan27 Jan08 Dec15 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 125 5.00 7% 12.90    
6  BANKROLL Mar02 Feb17 Jan28 Jan07 Dec15 (courville ricky)MELANCON G 122 4.50 45% 1.20    
7  ONE TOUGH CHARLIE Oct15 Aug20 Jul26 Jun30   (ney john)BARANDELA SOFIA 115 10.00    
8  JUSTA BUSTER Feb23 Jan21 Dec27 Nov30 Nov17 (cormier houst)VARGAS P 122 15.00 ★    
9  CPRIORITY Feb25 Feb10 Jan11 Dec17 Nov30 (thomas lee)GRAHAM J 122 4.00 17% 4.90    
 
FG-4   03/17/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 Allowance Purse ($51K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO CREDO Feb28 Jan26 Dec11 Nov24 Nov04 (modica oscar)MCMAHON J 122 8.00    
2  GO BROTHER GO Feb24 Dec11 Nov24 Sep03   (mouton )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 125 6.00    
3  I DON'T VENMO Jan28 Jan12 Dec22 Nov19   (asmussen stev)MORALES EDGAR 114 2.50    
4  RANCH WATER Feb22 Feb04 Dec31 Dec10 Oct15 (landry allen)GEROUX FLORENT 114 4.50 7% 13.10    
5  PEANUT N IKE Feb18 Jan28 Nov25 Oct28 Sep17 (rosier charle)VARGAS P 122 20.00    
6  REGAL KINGDOM Feb23 Jan28 Dec04 Oct14   (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 3.50 23% 3.30    
7  THE BOSS SOSS Feb04 Jan14 Dec10 Dec01 Nov11 (landry ray)STOKES J 114 3.50 12% 7.00    
8  STIFF DRINK Feb25 Jan14 Dec31 Dec04 Nov19 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 114 10.00    
9  MANLY DEEDS Feb25 Jan27 Jan13     (chatters ben)BARRERA J 109 4.00 13% 6.50    
10  SALUTE NOW Feb28 Feb03 Dec08 Nov12 Sep26 (cascio andre)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 8.00    
11  FRENCHY DEPARTED Feb15 Jan27       (camejo m)LANERIE J 114 8.00    
12  WESTERN STAR Feb24 Dec16 Oct05 Sep17 Aug30 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 12.00    
13  KAJUN KARMA Feb22 Jan27 Jan13 Dec10 Nov19 (flint steve)MCMAHON J 114 4.50 18% 4.50    
 
FG-5   03/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUN ON ACES Feb24 Jan22 Jan05 Dec11 Oct28 (perron gerard)LANERIE J 125 12.00    
  (by HARD ACES out of RUNNING LADY by EL CORREDOR)
2  IRON N STEEL Feb24 Jan28 Jan05 Dec07 Nov12 (brinkman bre)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 6.00 ★    
  (by IRON FIST out of OH WISE ONE by DUNKIRK)
3  SEA OF LIGHT Feb17 Jan22       (alonzo how)ALBERT S 120 20.00    
  (by MIZZEN MAST out of DIVINE PROVIDENCE by LORD AT WAR (ARG))
4  BOSTON BLITZ Feb10 Jan20       (ney john)GEROUX FLORENT 117 8.00    
  (by POWER JAM out of GODDESS OF LOVE by LORD CARSON)
5  CAJUN CONNECTION Feb24 Jan28 Jan12 Dec22 Dec04 (flint steve)MCMAHON J 117 4.00 8% 11.30    
  (by CONNECT out of STINGRAY CITY by HARD SPUN)
6  PRINCE PERFECTA Jan22 Jan13 Jan05 Dec17 Nov23 (johnson b)POMPELL L 125 6.00 15% 5.70    
  (by AWESOME AGAIN out of PRINCESS PERFECT by CRAFTY FRIEND)
7  OUR HEATSEEKER Feb24 Jan22 Nov24     (david b)PARKER L 125 4.50 12% 7.10    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of HEATSEEKER SHARON by HEATSEEKER (IRE))
8  CREOLE REB Mar09         (leonard )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 125 20.00    
  (by OLE REBEL out of GAYLE'S CHANNEL by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
9  TRADER PRICE Feb24 Jan26 Dec11 Oct26 Apr29 (david sam )MURRILL MITCHELL 125 3.00 43% 1.30    
  (by MOTOVATO out of GIVE HER SPACE by DIVINE PARK)
10  IRON MOON Feb24 Feb02 Jan20 Dec26   (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 10.00    
  (by IRON FIST out of DIXIE SUE by DIXIELAND BAND)
 
FG-6   03/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($51K) 3 F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOMADIC PRIDE Feb24 Dec01 Oct30 Sep30   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00    
2  HUNTLEIGH Feb17 Jan21 Oct20 Sep16   (casse w)LANERIE J 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  BRU NA BOINNE Feb17 Jan28 Dec23 Nov26 Oct30 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 4.50 16% 5.30    
4  MERLAZZA Feb18 Jan21       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 1.80 52% 0.90    
5  SWEET ALYSSA Feb17 Jan21       (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 12.00    
6  MISS TAPPY TONE Feb23         (hartman )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 8.00    
7  STELLAR LADY Mar05 Feb04 Dec14 Nov11 Oct30 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 6% 15.10    
8  SAENZ Jan28 Dec19 Nov19 Oct13 Sep18 (wilson shane)PARKER L 119 15.00 ★    
9  PASTA SALAD RHONDA Jan22 Oct15       (robertson)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 12.00    
 
FG-7   03/17/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($52K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROOKERY Mar04 Dec17 Nov20 Sep24 Aug07 (catalano wa)BARANDELA SOFIA 115 15.00    
2  ROSE PALACE Feb23 Jan19 Dec22 Nov27   (faucheu)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 3.50 18% 4.60    
3  PERFECT HAPPINESS Feb21 Jan21 Dec03 Nov10 May29 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.00    
4  SALVAJE Apr22 Feb24 Jan06     (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 34% 1.90    
5  MARGIE'S KITCHEN Aug22 Jul19 Jun12 May14 Apr10 (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50    
6  TEXAS BLUEBONNET Dec22 Oct12 Aug30 Jul29 Jul05 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 15.00    
7  HIGH SPEED Feb04 Sep18 Aug23 Aug04 Jul07 (forster t)GRAHAM J 120 10.00    
8  LADY JEOPARDY Feb11 Jan12 Sep19 Aug30 Aug08 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  RUMPUS Nov25 Oct22 Oct12 Sep21 Sep02 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 120 12.00    
10  MISS G G Jan05 Dec15 Aug28 Jul28   (faucheux ron)GRAHAM J 117 20.00    
11  MISTY DAY Mar04 Feb11 Dec17 Nov16 Feb02 (bourgeois k)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.00 15% 5.90    
12  MERCY WARREN Feb25 Jan01 Nov27 Oct29 Jun26 (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 6% 15.90    
 
FG-8   03/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3 F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ORIGAMI GIRL Nov18         (devaux cherie)PARKER L 120 12.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SILVER LA BELLE by LANGFUHR)
2  BELLA PALOMA Feb16 Jan28 Jan14 Oct12 Sep14 (rubley kel)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 20.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of STRAWBERRY TEQUILA by DAAHER)
3  SWEET CHABLIS Feb18 Nov26 Oct27     (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.50    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of CELSIUS by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
4  SUPER LUXE Jan21         (asmussen ste)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 8.00 ★    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of CHASE MOTTO by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
5  NEW BEAT Feb18         (casse norm)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 15.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of NADADORA by CARSON CITY)
6  MYSTICAL FIRE Feb18 Jul01       (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 4.00 43% 1.30    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of ON FIRE BABY by SMOKE GLACKEN)
7  GRACEFUL UNION Feb04 Dec31 Sep18     (devaux ch)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of CHAUSIE by BLUEGRASS CAT)
8  PERSIMMON HILL Feb18         (mcpeek kenneth )COHEN DAVID 120 15.00    
  (by CONNECT out of ROSE RUN by WILL'S WAY)
9  DIALHERUP Feb23         (stidham mich)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.50 30% 2.30    
  (by DIALED IN out of SHYSHEISNOT by TRIBAL RULE)
10  DARE TO WISH Feb18         (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 120 20.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of GRAND WISH by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
11  FREEDOM FOR ALL         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of MARVELOUS SPOT by ARCHARCHARCH)
12  CORSINI Feb18         (walsh p)LANERIE J 120 8.00 ★    
  (by HARD SPUN out of MARIETTA by MACHIAVELLIAN)
13  RAGGITY SAND Jan21         (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00 6% 14.90    
  (by UNION RAGS out of ISLAND SAND by TABASCO CAT)
14  LADY SAMARITAN         (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 8.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of KYLBRYLIE by PULPIT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.