Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Tuesday - November 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   11/29/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ESTA CHUCK Oct19 Sep02 Aug12 Jul06 Jun10 (jacavone j)LLOYD W 119 20.00    
2  PEACEARELLA Oct19 Sep14 Jul28 Jun15 Apr21 (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 119 8.00 7% 12.70    
3  OH SO JAZZY Nov02 Sep21 Sep14 Aug26 Aug05 (nunley rand)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00    
4  DOUBLE DOT Nov18 Nov02 Sep28 Sep14 Aug17 (boyer jr)CORA D 120 20.00    
5  SCHOOL OF THOUGHT Nov05 Oct19 Sep02 Aug20 Aug06 (lucas bon)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 20% 4.00    
6  WENDY'S FINE WINE Oct19 Oct11 Sep07 Aug12 Jun21 (velazquez da)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 3.00 ★    
7  ALONG THE WAY Nov05 Oct07 Sep02 Aug26 Aug05 (gonzalez c)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 2.00 44% 1.30    
8  GINGERONMYMIND Nov02 Oct19 Aug26 Jul28 Jul01 (hayes kirsten)WHITNEY G 120 12.00 5% 17.80    
 
PEN-2   11/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEEKING THE DREAM Oct21 Sep15 Aug25 Apr12 Mar09 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 39% 1.60    
2  CUTEFACECHUBYWAIST Jul20 Jun22 May25 Apr21 Apr13 (kulp l)WHITNEY G 120 4.00 20% 3.90    
3  HAY NINETEEN Nov04 Sep14 Aug30 Jul09 Jun06 (ferreira fe)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 12.00 ★    
4  FOLK HERO Nov16 Oct26 Sep23 Aug14 Jul23 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 123 8.00    
5  KASHAN Sep17 Aug06 Jun25 Mar19 Feb19 (perkins jr)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 ★    
6  SHESASUPERFREAK Oct26 Sep27 Aug29 Jul26 Jun14 (maymo alejandr)ADORNO ABNER 120 3.00    
7  POSITIVE FORCE Oct14 Sep21 Sep01 Aug10 Jul21 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 120 8.00 17% 5.00    
 
PEN-3   11/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JEANETTEO Apr29 Apr07 Mar11     (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 119 4.00 29% 2.40    
2  ALWAYS MIA Nov12 May05 Apr14 Mar05 Feb17 (gonzalez c)MENDOZA JHONATAN 119 3.00 36% 1.80    
3  HELLO GRACIE Nov08 Oct29 Oct09 Aug16 Jul28 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 12.00    
4  TURBIE Oct26 Sep03 Aug01 Jul09 Jun14 (simoff andrew)CEDENO CAROL 121 15.00    
5  NO EASY ANSWER Nov08 Oct12 Sep16 Sep01 Aug03 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 119 5.00 ★    
6  BOWTOTHEQUEEN Nov02 Oct12 Sep27     (stites w)AGUILAR M 119 6.00 10% 9.00    
7  PHANCY PHILLY Oct26 Oct12 Sep07 Aug02 Jul12 (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 6.00    
8  DWELLER Nov02 Oct12 Sep08 Aug05 Apr27 (kulp l)WHITNEY G 119 6.00 ★    
9  LUSCIOUS LOLA Oct26 Oct05 Sep21 Sep02 Aug05 (albright amy)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 15.00    
10  ECLIPTICALS SARAH Sep16 Jul28 Jul07     (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 20.00    
SCR  HEAVENLY PRAISE Nov02 Sep28 Aug24 Jul20 Jun14 (trombetta mi)BARBOSA JEIRON 114 8.00    
 
PEN-4   11/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOUBLE TIME BAY Nov02 Oct04 Sep21 Aug18 Jul13 (kulp l)WHITNEY G 121 5.00 28% 2.50    
2  SCYNTZ Nov02 Oct19 Sep02 Aug17 Jul27 (martinez jo)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 15.00    
SCR  YANKEE EMPIRE Oct04 Sep07 Aug12 Jul21 Jun23 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 122 1.60 43% 1.40    
4  WOW RUN Nov14 Oct26 Sep10 Aug21 Jul24 (brown ho)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 10.00 ★    
5  MR DUBAI Nov02 Oct14 Sep09 Aug05 Jul13 (martinez a)AGUILAR M 122 10.00    
6  KNOCKDOWN KID Nov16 Oct18 Oct04 Aug26 Jul27 (salinas jose)CORA D 121 15.00 ★    
7  AGGRANDIZE Nov18 Nov02 Oct19 Sep30 Sep08 (hendriks )RODRIGUEZ R 121 1.80 ★    
8  COMMUNICATION FAIL Nov16 Oct18 Sep21 Sep02 Aug17 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 20.00    
 
PEN-5   11/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPIKES SHIRL Nov04 Oct14 Sep15 Aug11 Jul21 (ferreira fernando)CORA D 120 4.50 ★    
2  VOUCH Oct14 Sep08 Aug18 Jul22 Jun23 (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 120 4.00 53% 0.90    
3  BAILEY Nov19 Nov05 Oct26 Oct14 Oct01 (simone michael)CEDENO CAROL 122 6.00    
4  STAR LUCK Nov03 Oct17 Jun14 Jun06 May03 (volpe john)RIVERA D 120 10.00 8% 12.20    
5  SIR ROCKPORT Nov04 Oct14 Sep22 Sep01 Aug11 (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 124 6.00    
6  NICK THE CARDSHARK Nov23 Oct26 Oct14 Oct05 Sep05 (simone v)ROSE J 122 2.50 ★    
7  WAHOOWA WAHOOWA Nov04 Oct14 Aug31 Jul27 Jun30 (beattie cody)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 3.50 10% 8.70    
 
PEN-6   11/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FORMAL ORDER Nov14 Oct24 Aug24 Jul20 Jul07 (lake scot)RODRIGUEZ R 119 10.00    
2  OUCH OUCH OUCH Nov15 Jun01 May03 Apr19 Mar07 (maymo alejand)PEREZ M 120 15.00 ★    
3  COWBOY MALICE Oct26 Oct07 Sep01 Aug03 Jul14 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 119 2.50    
4  STUD PUPPY Nov14 Oct26 Oct10 Sep01 Jul24 (iorio jr)CORA D 120 15.00    
5  PENSAMIENTO Nov01 Oct07 Aug26 Jul08 Apr22 (mcmahon deme)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 3.50 49% 1.00    
6  SPARTAK Nov14 Nov01 Oct11 Oct04 Jun11 (diaz jorge)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 12.00    
7  PRIME TIME PLAYER Nov01 Oct07 Jun16 Jun02 May06 (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00 20% 4.00    
8  INNUENDO (IRE) Nov16 Oct10 Sep27 Aug29 Aug16 (mileni nick)CHIAPPE R 121 4.50 ★    
9  SACHMO Oct11 Sep20 Aug25 Aug05 Jul08 (salvaggio micha)WHITNEY G 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-7   11/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAKE NAKURU Nov09 Oct04 Sep21 Sep06 Aug30 (ferreira fernan)WHITNEY G 120 12.00 6% 16.50    
2  CAPTAIN CARDO Nov05 Oct21 Oct02 Aug21 Aug03 (volpe john)RIVERA D 120 10.00    
3  CLOSER LOOK Oct21 Sep30 Aug27 Aug06 Jul04 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 ★    
4  MOTI Nov12 Oct25 Oct06 Sep14 Aug19 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 1.80 9% 10.20    
5  LADDIE LIAM Oct22 Sep16 Aug26 Jul01 Jun01 (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 53% 0.90    
6  KRACHENWAGEN Oct28 Oct09 Sep23 Jul31 Jun19 (mcmahon deme)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 2.00 ★    
 
PEN-8   11/29/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EQUAL JUSTICE Nov04 Oct18 Sep23 Sep08 Jul29 (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 122 8.00    
2  ROLLING PALISADES Nov08 Oct19 Aug25 Jul13 Jun01 (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 122 10.00    
3  CORT'N ASONG Nov04 Oct21 Aug05 Jul22 Jul01 (johnston rob)CORA D 124 6.00 14% 6.40    
4  MOROCCO Nov05 Sep29 Sep08 Aug27 Jul13 (iannotti i)CHIAPPE R 122 3.00 47% 1.10    
5  GALLINIPPER Oct28 Oct07 Sep02 Jul29 Jul01 (mcmahon deme)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  AULD LANGE SYNE Oct28 Oct13 Sep20 Sep10 Jul28 (diaz jorge)ROLDAN FELISHA 112 12.00    
7  COMPOUND IT Nov08 Oct28 Oct03 Sep20 Sep02 (moreno-barb)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 5.00 ★    
8  MASTER OF WAR Nov09 Oct20 Oct11 Sep20 Sep14 (castillo san)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 30.00    
9  THE ROBERT Nov16 Oct07 Sep09 Aug11 Jul27 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 4.00 13% 6.50    
10  POLITICAL Sep27 Sep19 Aug29 Aug23 Aug10 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.