Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - November 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   11/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUSTANG WILLIE Oct29 Oct12 Sep26 Aug24 Aug13 (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 1.20 50% 1.00    
1A  SERVE REVENGE COLD Oct24 Oct12 Sep22 Jul15 Jun03 (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 124 1.20    
2  PLATE IT UP Nov03 Oct10 Sep22 Sep07 Aug23 (gonzalez do)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00    
3  THIS MAN CAN Nov03 Oct12 Sep27 Sep12 Sep01 (gonzalez don)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 6.00 ★    
4  MOBIL AT LAST Nov03 Oct12 Sep22 Aug08 Jun20 (diehl )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 ★    
5  MA MOO POWER Nov10 Oct31 Oct10 Sep29 Sep15 (inirio carlos)STANLEY O 124 4.00 ★    
6  FU ROO Oct31 Oct04 Sep14 Aug29 Aug10 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
 
MVR-2   11/22/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALIANT SPARK Nov08 Oct22 Oct13 Oct06 Sep21 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 122 6.00 ★    
2  AWESOME WONDER Nov08 Oct26 Oct13 Sep26 Sep06 (dacosta ja)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 10.00    
3  SABELLE Nov08 Oct26 Sep26 Sep13 Aug31 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 2.00 25% 3.00    
4  MOANA'S TALE Nov08 Aug29 Aug09 Jul28 Jul18 (dodge alber)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 5.00 ★    
5  SHE MAKES ME TIZZY Nov07 Oct03 Sep12 Aug04 Jul21 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
6  GRAN MAMIBELLA Nov08 Oct22 Oct06 Sep21 Jul28 (radosevich jake )BAEZ M 119 3.50 ★    
 
MVR-3   11/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TALE OF LACEY Oct14 Sep29 May30 Apr26 Apr02 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 3.50 50% 1.00    
1A  THE PINK Z Nov12 Oct26 Oct14 Sep21 Aug30 (cline c)HOUGHTON D 122 3.50    
2  RAISE THE PURSES Nov14 Nov01 Oct10 Sep13 Aug31 (salcedo ramon)BRACHO A 124 4.00 ★    
3  DEXQUIRE Nov12 Oct26 Sep23 Aug23 Aug12 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 122 2.50 ★    
4  COUNTRY RUCKUS Nov12 Jun25 Jun15 Jun02 May17 (maddox rachael)DIAZ R 124 15.00    
5  TURNING PAGES Oct26 Aug30 Jul28 Jul11 May23 (trevino ste)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 3.00 16% 5.30    
6  IMA BELIEVER Nov12 Oct26 Oct14 Sep29 Aug30 (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 119 10.00    
7  IT'SGOODTOBESEEN Nov07         (bennett robe)HALDAR J 124 5.00 ★    
 
MVR-4   11/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANDIAMA Nov01 Jun07 May23 May02 Apr02 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 124 3.50 ★    
2  SILVER STICK STAIR Nov15 Oct17 Oct03 Sep04 Aug25 (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 2.00 12% 7.00    
3  SHEISTHEHERO Nov01 Oct26 Oct12 Sep22 Sep14 (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 126 3.00 43% 1.30    
4  QUARANTINA Oct17 Sep20 Sep08 Aug30 Aug14 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 ★    
5  LITTLE BIRD FLASH Jun22 Jun02 May11 Apr23 Apr03 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 124 6.00 10% 9.00    
6  CEVICHE Nov01 Oct11 Sep20 Sep08 Aug30 (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 124 8.00    
 
MVR-5   11/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS MARPLE Nov10 Sep27 Sep09 Aug25 Aug04 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 122 2.50 21% 3.70    
2  DONTLOSETHATNUMBER Nov08 Sep27 Sep06 Aug10 Jul27 (erwin andrew)DIAZ I 124 10.00 7% 12.50    
3  CALL TONY Nov08 Oct11 Sep12 Aug23 Aug03 (hamm timothy)AVILES YAN 117 12.00    
4  NOT SHY Nov01 Oct25 Oct09 Sep28 Aug24 (herrington cally)CCAMAQUE M 124 12.00 8% 10.80    
5  SPEEDY FIRE Oct24 Oct03 Sep27 Sep06 Aug09 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 32% 2.20    
SCR  ARTUME Nov08 Oct05 Aug08 Jul14 Jun06 (brinsfi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 8.00    
7  KNOT WILD Sep29 Sep16 Aug17 Jul29 Jun30 (sandy stephen)BRACHO A 122 3.50 ★    
8  WHAT'S SO FUNNY Oct06 Sep21 Sep06 Aug22 Aug01 (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 122 5.00    
 
MVR-6   11/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOHNNY U Oct24 Sep20 Aug22 Aug03 Jun11 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 2.00    
1A  MR. TRIPLEDOUBLE Nov02 Oct06 Sep20 Sep12 Aug18 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 2.00 57% 0.70    
2  AUGER Nov02 Oct19 Sep26 Aug22 Aug08 (vickers)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 ★    
3  AMERICAN UNION Oct22 Sep14 Aug24 Aug06 Jul10 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 2.50 11% 8.50    
4  KHALFANI Nov02 Oct24 Oct10 Sep22 Sep12 (pattah shahab )HOUGHTON D 124 8.00 6% 14.60    
5  SUMMER RETREAT Oct24 Oct04 Sep12 Aug22 Jul26 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 ★    
6  CLAW Nov10 Oct26 Oct12 Sep27 Sep14 (barnes a)STANLEY O 124 12.00    
7  PRETTY STORMY Nov14 Nov02 Oct25 Oct17 Oct06 (murillo rodr)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 6.00    
 
MVR-7   11/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHISELED JUSTICE Sep21 Aug30 Jun03 May06 Apr04 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 10.00    
2  MOESTER Oct14 Oct03 Sep14 Aug12 Jun23 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 122 4.50 16% 5.40    
3  HONKY TONK MUSIC Oct26 Sep20 Sep07 Aug10 Aug03 (smith larry)FELICIANO R 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  BABA LOOEY Oct14 Oct03 Sep14 Aug08 Jul20 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 122 3.50 46% 1.20    
5  CATMAN JACK Oct14 Oct03 Sep14 Jun25 May26 (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 122 8.00    
6  VICTORY DIVISION Oct14 Oct03 Sep22 Aug23 Jun02 (gorham m)STANLEY O 124 12.00    
SCR  NEBULOSA Oct24 Sep28 Sep01 Aug12 Aug03 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 122 8.00 ★    
8  COWTOWN BOSS Nov07 Oct03 Sep12 Aug24 Aug08 (meyers shane)GONZALEZ A 124 2.50 12% 7.40    
9  CHOCOLATE RABBIT Oct14 Sep14 Aug24 Aug12 Jul12 (cline c)PAUCAR E 122 10.00    
 
MVR-8   11/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PACIFIC COAST Oct22 Oct05 Aug25 Jul28 Jun29 (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 8.00 ★    
2  LADY PREACH Oct13 Oct03 Sep12 Aug26 Jul21 (wilson j)GONZALEZ A 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
3  LOADED ONCE MORE Nov09 Oct30 Oct03 Sep19 Sep13 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 ★    
4  BOX STEP Oct29 Oct06 Sep07 Aug17 Jul28 (yoder d)AVILES YAN 119 6.00    
SCR  VICTOR STORY Apr28 Mar14       (bayley ra)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 20.00    
6  CAUSE OF LOVE Jun30 Jun13 May30 May11 Apr27 (haehn terry )KEISER CHELSEY 124 20.00    
7  SAVE THE FLAG Oct22 Sep23 Aug29 Aug20 Aug08 (zook w)CEDILLO MAURO 117 15.00    
8  DESTINY'S DARLING Nov12 Nov02 Oct22 Oct12 Sep12 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 124 3.50 5% 19.00    
9  BEAV'S BOO Oct11 Sep16 Apr01 Mar14 Feb19 (fadlovich meg)BRACHO A 124 12.00    
10  GONNABEGOOD Oct05 Jun22 May30 May12 Apr27 (rone mike)RIVERA R 124 4.50 51% 1.00    
11  HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE Nov03 Oct05 Sep13 Aug09 Jul25 (hu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.