Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Saratoga
Thursday - July 24, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SAR-1   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/5/2)-(3/6/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/6/2)-(7/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(7/6/5)-(5/4/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
SAR-2   WIN (7/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/5)-(7/6/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/6/5)-(7/6/4/5)-(7/6/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/6/5)-(5/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/6/5)-(5/4/1)-(3/4/6/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SAR-3   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/7/1)-(5/4/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(3/4/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(3/4/6/1)-(1/7/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SAR-4   WIN (3/4/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/6/1)-(3/4/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/6/1)-(3/4/6/1)-(3/4/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/6/1)-(1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6/1)-(1/7/3)-(1/4/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SAR-5   WIN (1/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/3)-(1/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/3)-(1/7/3)-(1/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/3)-(1/4/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/7/3)-(1/4/8)-(2/8/9/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SAR-6   WIN (1/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/8)-(1/4/2/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/4/8)-(1/4/2/8)-(1/4/2/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/4/8)-(2/8/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/8)-(2/8/9/4)-(5/7/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SAR-7   WIN (2/8/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/9/4)-(2/8/9/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/8/9/4)-(2/8/9/4/1)-(2/8/9/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/8/9/4)-(5/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/8/9/4)-(5/7/3)-(3/1/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SAR-8   WIN (5/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/3)-(5/7/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/7/3)-(5/7/2/3)-(5/7/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/7/3)-(3/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3)-(3/1/7)-(7/13/6/2/12) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
SAR-9   WIN (3/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/7)-(3/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/7)-(3/1/7)-(3/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/7)-(7/13/6/2/12) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
SAR-10   WIN (7/13/6/2/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/13/6/2/12)-(7/13/6/2/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/13/6/2/12)-(7/13/6/2/12)-(7/13/6/2/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SAR-1   07/24/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPARKLING MAMA         (schettino domi)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50    
  (by VEKOMA out of SITA by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SALT PRINCESS Jul03         (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SALT LAKE out of TRADING PAINT by INDIAN CHARLIE)
COOLA BOOLA         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.00 37% 1.70    
  (by LEXITONIAN out of KNOW IT ALL ANNA by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
MIA SOPHIA         (delauro edward)ROSARIO JOEL 119 15.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of TRUE CHARM by LANGFUHR)
SPITFIRE Jun20         (mcpeek kenneth )CARMOUCHE K 119 4.00    
  (by ARTIE SCHILLER out of DONTGETINMYWAY by MACHIAVELLIAN)
BIRCH RUN Jul03 Jun13       (sano antoni)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 2.50 20% 4.10    
  (by SILVER CHARM out of MISS RUNNING VANY by RUNAWAY GROOM)
FONZI ANGEL         (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of DURGA DEVI by GALILEO)
 
SAR-2   07/24/2025 6270ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELMONT UNION Jul13 Jun14 May26 Apr19 Apr05 (chatt)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 50.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of LONE TIGRESS by TALE OF THE CAT)
ORGONITE Jul04 Jun06 Apr25     (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of HESSONITE by FREUD)
ROYAL'S PRIDE (GB) Jun20 May18 Mar14     (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.50    
  (by DUBAWI out of DELTA'S ROYALTY by GALILEO)
A BOURBON FOR TOBY Jun20 May18 Apr13 Mar01 Jan03 (morley thomas)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of KITTEN'S GIRL by KITTEN'S JOY)
SPUN Jun20 Jun06 May04     (ribaudo robe)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of PROMOTIONAL by ARTIE SCHILLER)
NOBLE CONFESSOR Jun07 May04 Nov01 Sep28 Aug29 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 20% 3.90    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of SWEETER THAN WINE by NOBLE MISSION (GB))
VINTAGE VINO Jul04 Oct20 Aug29 Jul20 Jun22 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 3.00 55% 0.80    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of MOLLY O'SHEA by CAPE BLANCO (IRE))
SCR  STURDY Jul13 May03 Apr19 Feb27 Mar09 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.00    
  (by MITOLE out of HOLIDAYS SARATOGA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
SAR-3   07/24/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANTONINO         (sano antonio)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of ANABELLA QUEEN by WILDCAT HEIR)
WAITIN'ONASUNNYDAY         (kimmel j)SANTANA JR 119 5.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of SUNNYRIDGE BRIDE by SAINT ANDDAN)
MR. J         (moquett ronald)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of RAINBOW'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
IMAGINE JOHN Jul05 Jun08       (antonucci je)CASTELLANO J 119 2.50 18% 4.70    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of LADY AZALEA by MINESHAFT)
BOBROVSKY Jun22         (romans dale)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 58% 0.70    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of HAY FLO by CAIRO PRINCE)
KINNICK         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of CLEO by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
HOOSICK FALLS         (paragallo jen)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.50    
  (by PRECISE END out of AARON'S TERMS by PRIVATE TERMS)
 
SAR-4   07/24/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAY THE BILLS (FR) Jun05 Apr23 Dec01 Oct24 Aug02 (metiv)HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
1A  ADDRESSABLE MARKET (IRE) May18 Nov14 Oct19 Sep20 Jul21 (metivier richar)DAVIS KATIE 124 30.00    
PARAIBA BLUE Jun21 May02 Feb09 Dec13 Oct06 (pregman john )PANAIJO JORGE 118 50.00    
NEW ATTITUDE (IRE) Jun05         (clement migue)FRANCO MANUEL 118 0.60 33% 2.00    
MCKINZIE'S GLORY Nov29 Oct27 Sep01 Jul28   (mcpeek kenneth )CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00 30% 2.40    
CLASSIC CARA Jun21 May18 Apr23 Jun23 May02 (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.50    
DAY AWAY Jul13 May18 Aug23 Jun27 May05 (pringle ed)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 117 12.00 7% 13.20    
LOTUS PETAL Jun19 May10 Nov23 Oct27 Sep27 (antonucc)SANTANA JR 118 6.00    
BOSSY DISH Jul13 Aug07 Jun14     (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
SCR  YANKEE DOODLE Jul13 May09       (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00    
SCR  THE TACO LADY Dec01 Oct31 Aug18 Aug08 Jul17 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 0.80    
 
SAR-5   07/24/2025 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SET Jun22 Sep01 Jul14 May31 May04 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 122 1.40 29% 2.40    
POWER ATTACK Jun22 May22 Mar22 Jan29 Dec26 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00    
SEAVER Jun22 May04 Mar19 Feb23 Jan25 (brown br)SANTANA JR 122 12.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  YARROW Jun22 Nov10 Oct05 Sep01 Jul12 (clement migue)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00    
TEN CENT TOWN Jun08 May10 Apr12 Mar14 May17 (dutrow richard)ORTIZ L 122 10.00    
VACATION DANCE Jun22 Oct05 Aug24 Jun15 Mar01 (cox h)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00    
RUSSI Nov10 Oct05 Sep01 Jul14 May25 (bond harold )CASTELLANO J 122 6.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  MY MAN MATTY Jun08 Dec01 Feb25 Feb05 Jan12 (levine b)SANTANA JR 122 3.50    
SCR  WHAT'S UP BRO Apr23 Mar16 Feb15 Jul05 Mar29 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 1.20    
 
SAR-6   07/24/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GEOPOLITICS Jun06 Nov22 Oct17 Aug24 Aug02 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.00 42% 1.40    
IRISH JACKSON Jun21 May16 May01 Mar28 Dec12 (falcone)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 124 6.00    
COLLECT THE DATA Jan18 Dec17 Oct22     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00    
NINA KAY Feb01 Jan17 Nov17 Sep28   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.50 32% 2.10    
TOWER TWENTY TWO Jul06 Jun15 Jun07 May18 Apr09 (ramirez silvino)ESPINOZA V 120 5.00    
SCR  CHA CHA WREN Nov24 Oct17 Aug21     (shivmangal l)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00    
MOONLIT WEEKEND May25 May01 Apr03 Mar01 Jan12 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 124 12.00    
LIKA ROLLING STONE Jun29 Jun19 Jun04 May15 May01 (arriag)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-7   07/24/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($35K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZAKAT Jun27         (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 119 8.00    
1A  AERATE Jul17 Jun27 May18 May08 Apr13 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
SENOR PONCHO Jun26 Mar28 Feb22 Jan11   (summers chad)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 31% 2.20    
HENRY'S HOPE Jul08 Jun07 May15 Apr24 Apr05 (jones ed)VILLA FAVINHO 119 30.00    
STANLEY CAT Jul11 Jun05 May18 Apr06 Mar14 (contessa ga)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 12.00 9% 10.60    
ARAUCANO Jun22         (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50    
MY MAN MAGOO Jun22 May26 Mar01 Jan25 Nov15 (rodriguez rudy)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00    
CYBERBEAST Jun20 Aug05       (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
GREY ACE Jun26 Dec28 Nov29 Oct26   (friedman mitch)LUZZI J 119 5.00 19% 4.30    
GOOD AS HE GETS Jul04 Jun22 Apr19 Feb27 Jan26 (abreu fe)SANTANA JR 124 3.50 16% 5.10    
 
SAR-8   07/24/2025 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($115K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MALLEYMOO Sep08 Aug16 Jun20 May17 Oct15 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.50    
MO FOX GIVIN Jun21 May26 Apr25 Mar15 Jan25 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 123 5.00    
GOATS ON A TREE Apr06 Feb12 Aug08 Jul06 May26 (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
SHE'S FIRE Jul02 Jun10 May21 Mar20 Mar09 (rice kevin)LEZCANO JOSE 123 15.00    
TAX IMPLICATIONS (GB) May03 Mar01 Dec01 Oct05 Aug16 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 1.60 60% 0.70    
LIUZZA Jun27 May15 Feb02 Jan12 Oct26 (amoss thom)HERNANDEZ J 125 20.00    
PROCTOR STREET Jun21 Sep13 Jul18 May27   (walsh brendan)ORTIZ JR 123 2.00 9% 10.00    
SCR  AMANDA'S FOLLY Jun04 Nov03 Oct27 Jul11 Jun21 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 2.50    
SCR  KHALI MAGIC Jun26 May01 Apr06 Feb27 Jan05 (abreu fernando)RIDER TBA 125 1.40    
SCR  OUR LIBERTY BELLE Jul10 May26 May02 Apr18 Mar29 (potts wayne)ORTIZ JR 123 3.00    
 
SAR-9   07/24/2025 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Curlin Purse ($135K) 3 ALL PT- 5:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHANCER MCPATRICK Jun07 Apr08 Mar08 Nov01 Oct05 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 4.50 24% 3.10    
  (by MCKINZIE out of BERNADREAMY by BERNARDINI)
FOUNTAIN LAKE Jun28 Jun01 May03 Apr08 Feb14 (ortiz alexan)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of DORITZA by MINESHAFT)
STRATEGIC FOCUS Jun06 Apr19       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.20 43% 1.40    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of CURLIN'S MISTRESS by CURLIN)
HYPNUS Jun01 May03 Apr12 Mar22 Feb23 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of DREAM TREE by UNCLE MO)
SCR  JUST A FAIR SHAKE Jun14 May17 Apr19 Mar23 Sep28 (mckenzie daniel)CARMOUCHE K 120 30.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of LADYMIDTOWN by MIDSHIPMAN)
CRUDO Jun07 May17 Apr19 Feb08   (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of BLOSSOMED by DEPUTY MINISTER)
SO SANDY Jun28 May15 Jan20 Nov24 Sep14 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of SO FANCY by TAPIT)
SCR  UNCAGED Jun07 May10 Apr06 Mar02 Aug03 (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00    
  (by CURLIN out of DARK NILE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
 
SAR-10   07/24/2025 5940ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MR. MENDELSSOHN Jun28 Jun15 May03 Feb22 Jan25 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 125 15.00    
SCR  SENEGAL Jun26 May19 Apr19 Mar08 Feb15 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 125 15.00    
VIA DELLA SPIGA Jun28 Apr10 May25 Feb12   (rice linda)ORTIZ L 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ADVENTURIST Jul13 May18 Feb23 Jan26   (rice linda)RIDER TBA 120 8.00    
ROHAN Jun28 May25 Jan03 Dec08 Nov16 (friedman mitch)LEZCANO JOSE 125 10.00    
SCR  MAGNI Jun29 May25 Apr17 Mar23 Feb22 (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00    
SCR  FINDANAME Jul15 Jun30 Jun17 Mar22 Feb28 (areche thalia)DIAZ J 125 50.00    
UNION EXPRESS Jun28 May25 Mar15 Feb02 Dec14 (charler)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 125 10.00    
DOOMED Jun28 Apr23 Aug25     (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
RIGHT TO WIN (IRE) May26 Mar22 Feb23 Jul01 May07 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 125 3.00 42% 1.40    
KID KREESA Jun28 May17 Nov16 Oct18 Aug30 (dixon k)DAVIS KATIE 125 8.00    
HAMILTON'S WAY Jun22 Apr24 Mar22 Nov03 Sep29 (handal raymon)ORTIZ JR 125 3.50    
SCR  DANCINGINTHEPARK Jun27 May25 Apr23 Feb15 Jun22 (morley t)SANTANA JR 125 30.00    
11  LANDAUER Jun28 May18 Apr19 Apr04 Feb15 (sciacca gary)DAVIS DYLAN 125 20.00    
12  DAKOTA COUNTRY May25 Jul25 Jun14 May03 Mar23 (gargan danny)ROSARIO JOEL 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
13  MR. COLOSSAL Jul09 Jun17 Jun10 May20 Apr25 (rice adam)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 32% 2.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.