Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - May 08, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-1   WIN (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/1)-(4/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/1)-(4/7/1)-(4/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/1)-(6/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1)-(6/4/2)-(6/5/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/2)-(6/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2)-(6/5/1)-(1/2/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/1)-(1/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1)-(1/2/4)-(8/6/3/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4/3)-(1/2/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(8/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4)-(8/6/3/4)-(3/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (8/6/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/3/4)-(8/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/3/4)-(8/6/3/4)-(8/6/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/3/4)-(3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/6/3/4)-(3/6/2)-(5/4/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/2)-(5/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(5/4/6)-(1/6/9/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(1/6/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (1/6/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/9/3)-(1/6/9/3/13) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/6/9/3)-(1/6/9/3/13)-(1/6/9/3/13) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   05/08/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NATURAL HUNK         (johnston rob)HARKIE K 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HENRY'S HOPE Apr24 Apr05 Mar07 Dec28 Nov22 (jones edua)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 108 12.00    
SCR  PARTY WITH SMARTY Apr10 Mar23 Jan01 Nov08 Oct18 (gutierrez j)GONZALEZ MELVIS 119 6.00    
4  LEAN MUSIC MACHINE Apr13 Mar19 Feb16 Feb07 Jan10 (d'angelo jose)ORTIZ JR 124 2.00 50% 1.00    
5  MIDNIGHT MUSUME         (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 20.00    
6  AERATE Apr13 Mar12 Feb01 Dec28 Nov23 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.00    
7  RANGER BATTALION Mar26 Feb08 Jan25 Jul20   (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 1.60 25% 2.90    
 
BAQ-2   05/08/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUTSOURCE Apr11 Mar02 Feb01 Jan04 Nov23 (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00    
2  FIRST TRUMPET Apr10 Mar29 Feb28 Jan30 Jan17 (delauro edward)ROSARIO JOEL 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  UNBROKEN CHAIN Mar01 Feb08       (martin )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 10.00    
4  GAMETIME GLADIATOR Aug26 Aug05 Jul05 Jun15 May01 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 124 4.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  KING PHOENIX Mar23 Feb23 Jan17 Nov23   (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00    
6  MACAW (IRE) Apr03 Aug17 Jun23 Jun12 May11 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 126 5.00 52% 0.90    
SCR  FLAT ON Apr12 Oct10 Sep25 Aug17 Jun23 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 1.60    
 
BAQ-3   05/08/2025 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  CONCORDE SPIRIT Apr12 Mar22 Mar09 Feb22 Feb02 (delauro edward )CANCEL ERIC 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  QUIET WISDOM Apr05 Jan16 Nov30 Apr21 Mar14 (delauro edward)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00    
2  BRAMITO Apr05 Mar07 Jan24 Dec06 Nov24 (abreu fernando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50    
SCR  HE'SMYHONEYBADGER Apr10 Mar09 Feb09 Aug01 Jun29 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00    
4  DOT'S DOLLAR Mar29 Feb21 Jan30 Jan05 Nov01 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 4.00    
5  SPUN AND WON Apr17 Mar09 Feb21 Jan18 Jul21 (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 3.50 20% 4.00    
6  GRAYWING Mar29 Mar14 Mar02 Jan30 Jan11 (barrera oscar)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 48% 1.10    
7  BAD LARRY Apr10 Mar29 Mar15 Mar08 Feb02 (jones edua)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 108 30.00    
 
BAQ-4   05/08/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAVE YOU HEARD Jan16 Nov30 Oct19 Aug17 Jul27 (maker mi)SANTANA JR 124 4.50 25% 3.10    
2  GLINT Apr13 Mar15 Jan16 Nov29 Nov08 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 126 2.50 21% 3.70    
3  LOU Apr10 Mar16 Feb01 Nov30 Nov09 (green j)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00 ★    
4  CLEVER FOREVER Feb27 May24 Apr26 Mar22 Feb29 (baker charl)GONZALEZ MELVIS 119 20.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  TORPEDO RUN Apr10 Mar12 Nov21 Oct17 Sep14 (catalano l)DAVIS DYLAN 126 10.00    
6  NARCISO DALI Apr06 Feb27 Jan31 Apr04 Mar10 (englehart chri)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.50    
7  ARCADIAN Apr19 Mar15 Feb14 Jan17 Jan10 (sacco gregory)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
8  BLAME IT ON DADDY Apr26 Apr04 Mar15 Jan24 Jan03 (englehart chr)ORTIZ JR 126 6.00    
 
BAQ-5   05/08/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DYNAMITENDIAMONDS Mar19 Mar03 Feb01 Dec13 Nov22 (sanchez-pin)GONZALEZ MELVIS 113 15.00    
2  SILENT SANDY Nov21 Oct06 Sep13     (sacco gregory)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
3  SUNSET PARK Apr13 Mar23 Jan24 Oct15   (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 124 3.50 11% 8.00    
4  MALIBU'S DYNAMITE Apr06 Sep02 Aug18 Aug01 Jul04 (keithan )VILLA FAVINHO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  OBSERVER Apr13 Feb13 Jan05 Dec07   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.00    
6  SOUNDS OF SUMMER Apr06 Mar02       (baker charlton)DAVIS KATIE 124 4.00 19% 4.20    
7  GRACIE GIRL Mar29 Mar08       (levine bruce)LUZZI J 118 10.00    
8  OUR LIL SURFERGIRL         (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 118 5.00 41% 1.50    
 
BAQ-6   05/08/2025 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($92K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWENTY FOUR MAMBA Apr05 Mar09 Feb09 Dec28 Nov29 (morley t)SANTANA JR 120 2.50    
2  RIDGEWOOD RUNNER Apr12 Mar01 Feb08 Jan18 Dec29 (martin )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  ROTKNEE Apr12 Oct27 Sep23 Aug08 Jun08 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00 37% 1.70    
4  OCTANE (BRZ) Jan13 Jan01 Dec09 Nov30 Oct19 (green j)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.00    
5  NELSON AVENUE Apr04 Mar07 Feb01 Dec31 Dec07 (potts wayne)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00    
6  NOVA RAGS May26 Mar07 Feb09 Jan12 Dec15 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 4.00 25% 2.90    
 
BAQ-7   05/08/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($92K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DONEGAL MOMENTUM Apr05 Mar06 Nov30 Oct03 Aug24 (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 120 2.00    
SCR  RUSE Mar29 Mar05 Jan31 Dec28 Oct27 (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00    
SCR  WONDERFUL JUSTICE (GB) Apr08 Mar06 Jan25 Dec14 Nov09 (sharp joe)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00    
4  HUSH OF A STORM Mar22 Feb15 Dec14 Oct27 Sep27 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 26% 2.90    
5  BIG EVEREST (GB) Nov02 Aug16 Jun23 May17 Mar30 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 1.80 35% 1.90    
6  SHERLOCK'S JEWEL Mar29 Jul26 Jun15 Mar09 Jan20 (mcgaughey clau)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  SON OF A BIRCH Mar19 Dec21 Nov09 Oct05 Jul04 (morley thomas)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00    
SCR  UNBRIDLED BOMBER Feb13 Nov15 Sep26 Aug23 May09 (barrera s)RIDER TBA 118 10.00    
SCR  MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT Apr17 Mar14 Mar07 Jan24 Dec13 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50    
 
BAQ-8   05/08/2025 3960ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ORIE Oct31 Aug30 Jul07     (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.50 34% 1.90    
2  RAGTIME PRANKSTER Mar28 Mar01 Jan11 Oct27 Sep29 (hennig)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00    
3  PANDEMIC HERO Apr19 Apr10 Sep14 Jul24   (jimenez jose)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00 7% 12.70    
SCR  PREMIER CRU Mar21 Feb23 Dec27 Nov30 Nov22 (sanchez-pin)GONZALEZ MELVIS 113 30.00    
SCR  PERFECT SHEPHARD Mar22         (bond kevin)DAVIS KATIE 118 30.00    
6  COUSIN ED Mar09 Jan12 Dec14 Oct17 Sep13 (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 21% 3.80    
7  JOEVIA'S FIRST Aug25         (giglio gina)LUZZI J 118 30.00    
SCR  JOKER ON FIRE Mar21 Jan11 Dec08 Nov17 Oct26 (levine b)SANTANA JR 118 8.00    
9  ARMY PROUD Oct27 Sep29 Aug16 Jul24   (sharp joe)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50 16% 5.30    
10  OAT COUTOUR Mar01         (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00    
SCR  WIND DANCER Jan24 Jan02 Dec12 Nov22 Nov07 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 8.00    
SCR  UNITY DREAMS         (giddings melani)DAVIS KATIE 118 15.00    
13  HARD PAR Feb21 Feb02 Dec27 Nov07 Aug30 (handal raymond)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 5.00 ★    
SCR  ALZERO Mar29 Feb21       (bond ha)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 8.00    
SCR  MAGNI Apr17 Mar23 Feb22 Jan04 Nov17 (friedman mitc)SILVERA RUBEN 118 5.00    
SCR  OMAHA PISTOL Apr24 Mar14 Jan25 Sep02   (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 118 1.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.