Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Turf Paradise
Monday - January 13, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $12.20 $6.20 103%
TUP-4   WIN (1/8/9/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00  8 $16.20 $6.20 62%
    DD (3/6/4)-(1/8/9/6/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00  3-8 $48.00 $33.00 220%
TUP-5   DD (1/8/9/6/2)-(3/6/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00  8-3 $23.60 $3.60 18%
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(1/8/9/6/2)-(3/6/5/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00  3-8-1/3 $54.10 $24.10 80%
TUP-6   WIN (10/2/8/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00  10 $17.80 $7.80 78%
    EXA (10/2/8/6/5)-(10/2/8/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00  10-2 $33.40 $13.40 67%
    DD (3/6/5/4)-(10/2/8/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00  3-10 $27.50 $7.50 38%
    PK3 (1/8/9/6/2)-(3/6/5/4)-(10/2/8/6/5) 100 $0.50 $50.00  8-1/3-10 $61.35 $11.35 23%
TUP-8   EXA (8/11/10/4/12)-(8/11/10/4/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00  10-8 $25.60 $5.60 28%
    TRI (8/11/10/4/12)-(8/11/10/4/12)-(8/11/10/4/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00  10-8-4 $48.70 $18.70 62%
    SFT (8/11/10/4/12)-(8/11/10/4/12)-(8/11/10/4/12)-(8/11/10/4/12) 120 $0.10 $12.00  10-8-4-11 $21.52 $9.52 79%
Simulator Race results
 
TUP-3   01/13/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:22 :443       :503   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  POVERTY BAY 3 7 53½     42½ 1½ (toye joe)CRUZ M 124 4.00 35% 1.90 5.10 W
5  GOOD BYE CHARLIE 5 2 2nk     1nk 2½ (valerio raymon)REYES R 124 4.50 3.70  
1  COMPANY'S DREAM 1 3 42     2nk 31½ (gibson f)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 6.40  
6  ANNIE'S BOY 6 1 1nk     31 42½ (barraza ra)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 3.50 21% 3.70 0.70  
4  D K'S CROWN 4 5 68½     67½ 55½ (garcia)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 10.00 10% 8.60 75.30  
7  CAPITAL EXPENSE 7 4 31     55 66¼ (baze robert)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 3.00 ★ 6.80  
2  BANGO FOR BUCKS 2 6 713½     79 77 (barraza rafael )CORBETT W 124 5.00 32.10  
 
TUP-4   01/13/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:222 :462 1:11 1:23   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  ORTH 8 3 11½ 12½ 13 12½ 11 (diodoro robe)HUGHES RASHEED 122 4.00 22% 3.50 7.10 W
1  ECHO CANYON 1 2 53½ 43 34½ 22½ 21 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 122 3.00 24% 3.10 0.70 P
5  WITHOUT EQUAL 5 6 64 32½ 23 34½ 33¼ (lund valorie)NEGRON LUIS 124 6.00 28.20  
9  STREET HUMOR 9 5 32 53¼ 45 44½ 43½ (tubbs scot)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 5.00 20% 4.00 4.50  
4  SWAMPDRAINER 4 4 43 84½ 66 66¼ 54¼ (silva a)LOPEZ KARLO 122 12.00 15.50  
7  BIG STICK 7 7 910 96½ 88 56 64¾ (rosales)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 6.00 4.60  
2  A LOT OF VERVE 2 9 75 74¼ 76½ 77¾ 76¼ (toye joe)CRUZ M 122 8.00 5% 19.00 22.90  
6  OUR BOY ROY 6 8 85 64¼ 56 812¾ 815¼ (pe)DA FAUSTO 122 5.00 6% 15.00 17.00  
3  YEAH TAKE THAT 3 1 21½ 22½ 99½ 915¾ 922¾ (denny travi)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 20.00 60.70  
SCR  ANYOTHERQUESTIONS               (stevens s)IRONEYES R 122 20.00    
 
TUP-5   01/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:221 :443 :563     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MINISTER OF SOUL 2 4 31 31½   2½ 11¾ (evans j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 46% 1.20 1.20 W
7  RHODESIA 6 5 41½ 21½   32 21¾ (lucarelli frank)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 7.30  
8  FORT NECESSITY 7 2 1½ 11½   1½ 32 (rosales jo)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 6.00 6.50  
6  STRENGTH OF AUTISM 5 3 51½ 53½   45½ 44 (silva )ASENCIO MARIANO 124 4.00 11% 7.90 2.40  
5  DEFENSE WINS 4 6 72¾ 65½   56 55 (van debbie)MONTALVO C 124 15.00 10% 8.70 5.70  
2  READY TO STORM 1 7 62½ 77   67 68 (birdwell )VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 12.80  
4  STONE CARVER 3 1 2½ 42   78½ 711 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 124 10.00 5% 19.00 18.20  
SCR  ULTIMATE               (si)DA FAUSTO 124 2.50    
 
TUP-6   01/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:56
See original race card.
:221 :452 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  OCTANE (BRZ) 9 2 62½ 63   62 12 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 124 5.00 37% 1.70 7.90 W
2  DISTINCTIVE DEB 2 7 52 52   2nk 22 (crowe shell)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 3.00 33% 2.00 1.90 P
11  UNIFIED A. P. 10 1 41 3½   3½ 34½ (barraza ra)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 6.00 2.00  
9  DANSMETOTHENDOFLOV 8 8 84½ 85   82¾ 45½ (ferguson curt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00 15.80  
5  MISCHIEVOUS EMMA 4 6 73½ 74   92¾ 56 (woolley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 20.00 5% 19.00 28.70  
6  SQUARE FUN 5 3 2½ 2nk   1nk 66¼ (bean robe)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00 5% 19.00 7.60  
7  MO CONNELLY 6 9 107½ 105¾   105¾ 78½ (johnston kimbe)REYES R 124 20.00 28.30  
1  MISS ACCELERATE 1 10 95 95½   72½ 88¾ (betts nancy)MAWING A 124 12.00 25.50  
8  SPRINKLES 7 5 31 1nk   41 912 (matt l)MONTALVO C 124 4.00 7% 14.20 7.30  
4  HEY BARMAID 3 4 1½ 41½   51½ 1012¼ (toye joe)MOJICA O 124 6.00 10.20  
SCR  MAMALONA               (so)DA FAUSTO 124 20.00    
 
TUP-7   01/13/2025 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:27
See original race card.
:222 :462 1:103 1:231   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SUMMER SHANDEE 5 10 99 86¼ 66 51¾ 1¼ (perez hilario)KRIGGER K 124 6.00 3.00  
1  LESLIE CHOW 1 6 65½ 53¼ 55 41¾ 2¼ (silva pabl)CRUZ M 124 10.00 5% 19.00 3.20 P
4  NORTHCUT 4 2 43 41¾ 31½ 31½ 3½ (silva )ASENCIO MARIANO 124 10.00 9.50  
7  EL ALTO HOMBRE 7 1 11 1nk 2nk 1nk 4¾ (kowalski liz)MAWING A 124 3.00 14% 6.00 3.00  
10  COASTAL WATERS 10 7 76 75¼ 76¼ 62¾ 51½ (homer jaso)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 4.00 53% 0.90 7.00  
2  REGULATION DAZED 2 9 87½ 97¼ 96½ 73¼ 63 (nunnally jenni)REYES R 124 12.00 41.90  
8  LIL MIRACLE MAN 8 3 21 2nk 1nk 2nk 74 (fuentes ruben)MOJICA O 124 10.00 5% 19.00 5.40  
9  THIRTY SECONDS OUT 9 4 32½ 31½ 42 84¾ 85¼ (ferguson )VALENZUELA A 124 8.00 27.70  
6  SURPRISE FASHION 6 8 109 107¾ 107 95¾ 96 (rosales)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 10% 8.70 13.00  
3  SCOOTER'S BOY 3 5 54½ 64¼ 86¼ 106¾ 108 (ga)DA FAUSTO 124 8.00 41.40  
SCR  THE GOLDEN EGG               (lavanway d)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 5.00    
 
TUP-8   01/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:221 :444 :564     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  STAR ENTRY 9 5 61¼ 31½   22 11¼ (silva g)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 19% 4.20 3.00 W
8  ALMANERA (IRE) 7 3 1nk 11½   12 21¼ (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 34% 2.00 3.80 P
4  SHIP IT RED 3 6 4¾ 43½   43½ 33 (lund v)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 5.00 6% 15.30 7.40 S
11  MISTER MCLEAN 10 1 2nk 21½   33 44 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00 20% 4.00 1.10  
7  FED GRANT 6 7 71½ 65¼   67½ 56¼ (garcia serj)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 10.00 15.60  
6  CUT ACROSS SHORTY 5 10 83 86¾   78 66¾ (baze t)CORBETT W 124 8.00 14.20  
1  CONNECTER 1 11 107 97¾   56½ 77 (gibson f)MOJICA O 124 20.00 33.60  
9  WESTPHAL 8 9 117 1110½   910½ 88¾ (toye joe)BARNES JOSE 124 20.00 30.40  
2  RELAXED ARTIST (IRE) 2 8 94½ 108   88½ 910¼ (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00 49.60  
12  SIMONSITO 11 2 5¾ 76¾   1012½ 1012¾ (crowe s)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00 5% 19.00 ######  
5  SMOOTH PAPA 4 4 3.2 55   1112½ 1117½ (fearon johnathon)HARVEY B 124 20.00 69.00  
SCR  SPERANZAS WILL               (silva pabl)CRUZ M 124 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.