Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Monday - January 13, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4/7)-(3/6/4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(1/8/9/6/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(1/8/9/6/2)-(3/6/5/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-4   WIN (1/8/9/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/9/6/2)-(1/8/9/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/9/6/2)-(1/8/9/6/2)-(1/8/9/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/8/9/6/2)-(3/6/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/8/9/6/2)-(3/6/5/4)-(10/2/8/6/5) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-5   WIN (3/6/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/5/4)-(3/6/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/5/4)-(3/6/5/4)-(3/6/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/5/4)-(10/2/8/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5/4)-(10/2/8/6/5)-(10/7/6/8/1) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-6   WIN (10/2/8/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/2/8/6/5)-(10/2/8/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/2/8/6/5)-(10/2/8/6/5)-(10/2/8/6/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/2/8/6/5)-(10/7/6/8/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (10/2/8/6/5)-(10/7/6/8/1)-(8/11/10/4/12) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
TUP-7   WIN (10/7/6/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/7/6/8/1)-(10/7/6/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/7/6/8/1)-(10/7/6/8/1)-(10/7/6/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/7/6/8/1)-(8/11/10/4/12) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TUP-8   WIN (8/11/10/4/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/11/10/4/12)-(8/11/10/4/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/11/10/4/12)-(8/11/10/4/12)-(8/11/10/4/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   01/13/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMPANY'S DREAM Jul14 Jun23 May18 Aug27 Jul30 (gibson f)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00    
2  BANGO FOR BUCKS Apr17 Jan30 Dec21 Apr21 Mar30 (barraza rafael )CORBETT W 124 5.00    
3  POVERTY BAY Dec23 Sep07 Aug17 Jul14 Jun23 (toye joe)CRUZ M 124 4.00 35% 1.90    
4  D K'S CROWN Dec17 Dec03 Nov12 Sep08 Jul21 (garcia)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 10.00 10% 8.60    
5  GOOD BYE CHARLIE Jan03 Dec02 Nov19 May19 Apr30 (valerio raymon)REYES R 124 4.50    
6  ANNIE'S BOY Dec30 Nov19 Apr22 Apr03 Feb25 (barraza ra)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 3.50 21% 3.70    
7  CAPITAL EXPENSE Dec02 Jun07 Feb01 Oct08 Jun11 (baze robert)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 3.00 ★    
 
TUP-4   01/13/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ECHO CANYON Dec30 Dec12 Dec02 Nov18 Mar11 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 122 3.00 24% 3.10    
2  A LOT OF VERVE Dec17 Dec05 Nov21 Sep08 Aug24 (toye joe)CRUZ M 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  YEAH TAKE THAT Dec26 Sep25 Aug19 Jul31 Jul24 (denny travi)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 20.00    
4  SWAMPDRAINER Dec30 Dec17 Nov27 Nov18 Sep25 (silva a)LOPEZ KARLO 122 12.00    
5  WITHOUT EQUAL Dec19 Nov26 Sep28 Sep12 Aug22 (lund valorie)NEGRON LUIS 124 6.00    
6  OUR BOY ROY Dec26 Dec05 Nov18 Aug17 Jun30 (pe)DA FAUSTO 122 5.00 6% 15.00    
7  BIG STICK Jan02 Nov26 Nov09 Oct05 Aug24 (rosales)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 6.00    
8  ORTH Dec30 Dec05 Sep25 Apr29 Apr03 (diodoro robe)HUGHES RASHEED 122 4.00 22% 3.50    
9  STREET HUMOR Dec26 Dec05 Nov26 Sep14 May04 (tubbs scot)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 5.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  ANYOTHERQUESTIONS Dec23 Nov18 Jul06 Jan21 Mar15 (stevens s)IRONEYES R 122 20.00    
 
TUP-5   01/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ULTIMATE Dec30 Dec17 Sep06 Jul21 Jun07 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 2.50    
2  READY TO STORM Dec30 Dec04 Nov12 Oct11 Sep25 (birdwell )VALENZUELA A 124 6.00    
3  MINISTER OF SOUL Dec30 Dec17 Nov18 Sep02 Aug08 (evans j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 46% 1.20    
4  STONE CARVER Dec17 Oct27 Oct13 Sep21 Jul24 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  DEFENSE WINS Dec18 Nov16 Oct13 Sep30 Sep07 (van debbie)MONTALVO C 124 15.00 10% 8.70    
6  STRENGTH OF AUTISM Dec30 Dec04 Nov26 Oct11 Aug11 (silva )ASENCIO MARIANO 124 4.00 11% 7.90    
7  RHODESIA Dec26 Dec05 Sep06 Aug11 Jul26 (lucarelli frank)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00    
8  FORT NECESSITY Dec26 Dec09 Oct24 Oct03 Sep13 (rosales jo)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 6.00    
 
TUP-6   01/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS ACCELERATE Dec09 Nov21 Oct12 Sep29 Sep15 (betts nancy)MAWING A 124 12.00    
2  DISTINCTIVE DEB Jan01 Dec09 Nov27 Oct14 Sep30 (crowe shell)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 3.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  MAMALONA Dec27 Dec02 May01 Apr23 Apr10 (so)DA FAUSTO 124 20.00    
4  HEY BARMAID Jan01 Nov21 Sep01 Aug25 Aug09 (toye joe)MOJICA O 124 6.00    
5  MISCHIEVOUS EMMA Jan01 Dec17 Feb05 Oct21 Sep30 (woolley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  SQUARE FUN Dec27 Dec09 Nov25 Nov12 Oct14 (bean robe)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  MO CONNELLY Dec27 Dec09 Nov25 Nov11 Sep15 (johnston kimbe)REYES R 124 20.00    
8  SPRINKLES Jan01 Nov21 Nov12 Jul21 Jun30 (matt l)MONTALVO C 124 4.00 7% 14.20    
9  DANSMETOTHENDOFLOV Jan01 Dec11 Nov21 Nov11 Sep13 (ferguson curt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00    
10  OCTANE (BRZ) Jan01 Dec09 Nov30 Oct19 Aug04 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 124 5.00 37% 1.70    
11  UNIFIED A. P. Nov29 Nov14 Oct12 Sep15 Sep08 (barraza ra)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 6.00    
 
TUP-7   01/13/2025 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LESLIE CHOW Dec31 Dec09 Nov13 Nov03 Oct24 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  REGULATION DAZED Dec05 Sep13 Sep01 Aug23 Aug10 (nunnally jenni)REYES R 124 12.00    
3  SCOOTER'S BOY Dec09 Nov01 Oct18 Oct04 Sep20 (ga)DA FAUSTO 124 8.00    
4  NORTHCUT Jul08 Jun25 Apr08 Jan29 Nov21 (silva )ASENCIO MARIANO 124 10.00    
5  SUMMER SHANDEE Dec19 Dec11 Nov30 Nov14 Oct14 (perez hilario)KRIGGER K 124 6.00    
6  SURPRISE FASHION Dec12 Nov30 Nov14 Oct14 Sep29 (rosales)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 10% 8.70    
7  EL ALTO HOMBRE Dec11 Nov26 Oct14 Sep23 Aug31 (kowalski liz)MAWING A 124 3.00 14% 6.00    
8  LIL MIRACLE MAN Dec31 Nov30 Nov12 Sep13 Jun30 (fuentes ruben)MOJICA O 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  THIRTY SECONDS OUT Dec28 Nov26 Nov12 Sep01 Jan26 (ferguson )VALENZUELA A 124 8.00    
10  COASTAL WATERS Dec28 Dec09 Nov26 Nov12 Sep12 (homer jaso)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 4.00 53% 0.90    
SCR  THE GOLDEN EGG Dec19 Nov27 Nov11 Sep07 Aug31 (lavanway d)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 5.00    
 
TUP-8   01/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONNECTER Dec27 Dec04 Nov20 Oct13 Oct06 (gibson f)MOJICA O 124 20.00    
2  RELAXED ARTIST (IRE) Nov30 Nov20 Nov12 Sep15 Aug04 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00    
SCR  SPERANZAS WILL Dec31 Nov13 Nov05 Oct21 Oct15 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 124 10.00    
4  SHIP IT RED Dec27 Dec17 Nov30 Jun30 May25 (lund v)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 5.00 6% 15.30    
5  SMOOTH PAPA Dec26 Nov30 Nov13 Sep13 Aug30 (fearon johnathon)HARVEY B 124 20.00    
6  CUT ACROSS SHORTY Dec15 Dec01 Oct20 Oct05 Sep13 (baze t)CORBETT W 124 8.00    
7  FED GRANT Dec27 Oct13 Sep21 Sep07 Aug23 (garcia serj)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 10.00    
8  ALMANERA (IRE) Nov17 Oct20 Sep29 Sep13 Aug16 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 34% 2.00    
9  WESTPHAL Dec27 Dec19 Dec10 Nov20 Sep07 (toye joe)BARNES JOSE 124 20.00    
10  STAR ENTRY Dec18 Nov30 Nov13 Sep29 Jul20 (silva g)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 19% 4.20    
11  MISTER MCLEAN Dec26 Dec04 Sep03 Jul10 Jun05 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00 20% 4.00    
12  SIMONSITO Dec31 Nov30 Nov14 Oct14 Sep16 (crowe s)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.