Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Emerald Downs
Friday - September 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
EMD-1   09/13/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT-10:00
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:12 1:374   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SENSIBLE LUTE 2 1 12 1½ 13 14 15 (hernandez mi)MARTIN A 125 1.80 49% 1.10 1.76 W
MY MOTORHOME 1 3 22 2½ 23 24 25 (nunnally je)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 2.50 7.97  
KOOL KADILLAC 4 2 4 3 3 39 311¼ (cryderman cand)REYES R 121 3.50 2.31  
SEAL THE DAY 3 4 32 4 4 413 416 (salinas li)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 3.00 28% 2.60 2.27  
LINCHPIN'S LOCKET 5 5 54 53 511½ 517 521¼ (bozell alan)CRUZ M 125 6.00 5% 19.00 8.09  
 
EMD-2   09/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:27
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:12 1:244   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WARREN'S MEMORABLE 4 4 22 2½ 1 11 1¼ (tubbs scott)REYES R 125 4.00 6.60  
DANSMETOTHENDOFLOV 3 2 43 52 2 21 2¼ (silva-martinez )LOPEZ KARLO 125 1.80 23% 3.40 2.98 P
RED PANTY NIGHT 1 1 12 1½ 43 46 3 (hernandez mi)MARTIN A 125 8.00 6.52  
SHES GOT THE POWER 2 6 5 42 54 58 4 (crowe shel)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 4.50 4.15  
LUCY L 5 5 33 3 3 36 5 (velasquez rigob)CRUZ M 125 2.00 53% 0.90 1.19  
METAROSE 6 3 6 63 69 614 617 (nunnally je)MORALES ALLYSSA 125 12.00 5% 19.00 39.18  
 
EMD-3   09/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT-10:54
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:102 1:232   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WESTERBERG 6 5 68 6 5 4¾ 1¼ (evans justin)KRIGGER K 122 4.00 4.82  
SURPRISE FASHION 2 6 57 3 31 2nk 2¼ (rosales jo)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 3.00 20% 4.00 2.43 P
REGULATION DAZED 4 3 46 5 43 5¾ 3¾ (nunnally jenni)REYES R 122 6.00 5% 19.00 8.87 S
PROUD LION 1 2 2½ 2½ 2nk 1nk 41 (belvoir howard)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 14.56  
CAJUN TREASURE 5 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 3.2 5 (hernandez mi)MARTIN A 122 3.50 3.23  
ATOMIC CANDY 3 4 34 4 65 6 6 (silva-martinez )CRUZ M 122 2.00 51% 1.00 2.06  
 
EMD-4   09/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT-11:21
See original race card.
:221 :443 :563     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEROCIOUSLY 4 4 2 1nk   1 11 (evans justin)REYES R 122 3.00 38% 1.70 1.33 W
QUAGMIRE MAGIC 2 5 5 5   4 21 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 125 1.80 23% 3.30 1.58 P
PRAYFOROURCOUNTRY 5 1 1 2nk   2 32 (garcia v)AMADOR RUIZ 125 8.00 3.64  
RIMROCK LAKE 3 2 3 32   3 4 (navarro jose)ZUNINO L 118 6.00 14% 5.90 7.88  
NORTHERN BLEND 1 3 4 43   5 5 (dronen sam)CRUZ M 125 15.00 20.10  
SCR  SPORT COAT               (gabriel luciano)LOPEZ KARLO 125 4.00    
SCR  WIREWYRE               ( )TBA null      
 
EMD-5   09/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:48
See original race card.
:22 :441 1:082     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIE AND DENY 1 5 2½ 1½   2nk 1hd (evans justin)KRIGGER K 125 4.50 21% 3.80 2.87 W
DENNARD 3 10 97 8   3 2hd (baze robert)REYES R 122 5.00 7.02  
ROLL DEM BONES 4 1 43 3½   1nk 3.15 (toye joe)GUTIERREZ M 125 3.50 26% 2.80 2.11 S
NAPOLETANO 2 6 6 5   4 4¾ (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 125 8.00 9.34  
BEAU MISCHIEF 8 7 7 7   5 5 (madrigal)AMADOR RUIZ 122 12.00 5% 19.00 15.96  
AIN'T NO SISSY 6 3 5 6   6 67 (essex charles)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00 21.57  
HANDR'SDREAM 5 2 1½ 2½   7 711¾ (birdwell ten)OROZCO E 122 8.00 17% 5.00 29.37  
MR. FIREBALL 9 4 3 4   8 812½ (carlson a)MATIAS J 122 6.00 12% 7.40 6.11  
MIRROR IMAGE 7 9 10 911¾   9 912¾ (garcia valentin )MONTALVO C 122 8.00 10.91  
10  PEDAL TO THE METAL 10 8 87 1013¼   1014¾ 1018¾ (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 15.00 32.66  
 
EMD-6   09/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
See original race card.
:214 :44 1:09     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NATION OF FAITH 1 6 69 69   22 1 (essex char)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 6.00 4.37  
UNCLE LEON 2 2 1½ 1½   12 2 (wright blai)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 3.00 45% 1.20 2.05 P
LIL MIRACLE MAN 4 5 55 45   3 3 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 122 8.00 5% 19.00 15.11 S
TAINO HOUSE 5 4 3 3   46 410 (essex charles)REYES R 122 10.00 9.24  
SMOOTH PAPA 6 1 44 57   69 512¼ (fearon j)AMADOR RUIZ 122 20.00 24.40  
PARTY FOUL 3 3 2½ 2½   56 621½ (evans justin)KRIGGER K 125 1.80 27% 2.70 1.09  
SCR  TRIBAL IMPACT               (wisdom anne)LOPEZ KARLO 125 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.