Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Friday - September 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-1   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(5/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(5/3/6)-(3/2/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-2   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(3/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(3/2/4)-(5/3/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-3   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(5/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(5/3/4)-(4/1/5/9/8) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
EMD-4   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(4/1/5/9/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(4/1/5/9/8)-(2/4/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
EMD-5   WIN (4/1/5/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/5/9/8)-(4/1/5/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/1/5/9/8)-(4/1/5/9/8)-(4/1/5/9/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/1/5/9/8)-(2/4/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
EMD-6   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-1   09/13/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT-10:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY MOTORHOME Aug10 Jul13 Jun29 Jun14 May18 (nunnally je)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 2.50    
2  SENSIBLE LUTE Aug17 Aug03 Jul21 Jul03 Jun14 (hernandez mi)MARTIN A 125 1.80 49% 1.10    
3  SEAL THE DAY Sep01 May19 Apr17     (salinas li)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 3.00 28% 2.60    
4  KOOL KADILLAC Aug31 Aug03 Jul20 Jul07 Jun09 (cryderman cand)REYES R 121 3.50    
5  LINCHPIN'S LOCKET Aug31 Aug18 Jul26 Jul12   (bozell alan)CRUZ M 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
EMD-2   09/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED PANTY NIGHT Aug30 Aug10 Jul28 Jun28 Jun07 (hernandez mi)MARTIN A 125 8.00    
2  SHES GOT THE POWER Aug23 Aug10 Jul28 Jul13 Jun23 (crowe shel)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 4.50    
3  DANSMETOTHENDOFLOV Aug30 Aug23 Aug10 Jul13 Jun23 (silva-martinez )LOPEZ KARLO 125 1.80 23% 3.40    
4  WARREN'S MEMORABLE Aug30 Aug23 Aug10 Jul13 Jun30 (tubbs scott)REYES R 125 4.00    
5  LUCY L Aug30 Aug16 Jul13 Jun23 Jun07 (velasquez rigob)CRUZ M 125 2.00 53% 0.90    
6  METAROSE Aug25 Aug10 Jul20 May25 Apr29 (nunnally je)MORALES ALLYSSA 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
EMD-3   09/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT-10:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROUD LION Aug16 Aug03 Jul26 Jun23 Jun09 (belvoir howard)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00    
2  SURPRISE FASHION Aug30 Aug23 Aug04 Jul20 Jul06 (rosales jo)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 3.00 20% 4.00    
3  ATOMIC CANDY Sep01 Jul28 Jul21 Jul07 Jun29 (silva-martinez )CRUZ M 122 2.00 51% 1.00    
4  REGULATION DAZED Sep01 Aug23 Aug10 Jul27 Jun29 (nunnally jenni)REYES R 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  CAJUN TREASURE Aug25 Aug17 Jul21 Jul12 Jun30 (hernandez mi)MARTIN A 122 3.50    
6  WESTERBERG Aug23 Aug04 Jul03 May31 Apr29 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 122 4.00    
 
EMD-4   09/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT-11:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORTHERN BLEND Aug18 Jul19 Jun28 Jun16 Jun02 (dronen sam)CRUZ M 125 15.00    
3  QUAGMIRE MAGIC Aug11 Aug03 Jul14 Jun21 May18 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 125 1.80 23% 3.30    
4  RIMROCK LAKE Aug30 Aug03 Jul12 Jun07 May11 (navarro jose)ZUNINO L 118 6.00 14% 5.90    
5  FEROCIOUSLY Jul06 Jun22 Jun08 Apr27 Apr05 (evans justin)REYES R 122 3.00 38% 1.70    
SCR  SPORT COAT Aug04 Jul27 Jul07 Jun28 May25 (gabriel luciano)LOPEZ KARLO 125 4.00    
7  PRAYFOROURCOUNTRY Aug25 Jul26 Jun21 May31 Sep09 (garcia v)AMADOR RUIZ 125 8.00    
SCR  WIREWYRE Sep07 Aug23 Aug11 Jul14 Jun28 ( )TBA null      
 
EMD-5   09/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIE AND DENY Aug25 Jul03 Jun14 May12 Apr03 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 125 4.50 21% 3.80    
2  NAPOLETANO Sep01 Aug11 Jul20 Jul06 Jun16 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 125 8.00    
3  DENNARD Aug30 Aug17 Aug04 Jul27 Jul13 (baze robert)REYES R 122 5.00    
4  ROLL DEM BONES Aug24 Aug03 Jul20 Jun30 Jun21 (toye joe)GUTIERREZ M 125 3.50 26% 2.80    
5  HANDR'SDREAM Aug25 Jul03 Jun23 Jun14 May26 (birdwell ten)OROZCO E 122 8.00 17% 5.00    
6  AIN'T NO SISSY Sep06 Aug03 Jul19 Jun16 Jun01 (essex charles)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00    
7  MIRROR IMAGE Aug24 Aug03 Jul20 Jun21 Jun01 (garcia valentin )MONTALVO C 122 8.00    
8  BEAU MISCHIEF Sep01 Aug10 Jul27 Jul07 Jun22 (madrigal)AMADOR RUIZ 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  MR. FIREBALL Aug24 Aug03 Jul20 Jun30 Jun15 (carlson a)MATIAS J 122 6.00 12% 7.40    
10  PEDAL TO THE METAL Aug10 Jul28 Jun16 Sep17 Sep03 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 15.00    
 
EMD-6   09/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NATION OF FAITH Sep07 Aug24 Aug11 Aug03 Jul12 (essex char)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 6.00    
2  UNCLE LEON Aug24 Aug03 Jul20 Jul12 Jun16 (wright blai)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 3.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  TRIBAL IMPACT Aug30 Aug17 Aug04 Jul19 Jun30 (wisdom anne)LOPEZ KARLO 125 4.50    
4  PARTY FOUL Sep01 Aug24 Aug03 Jul20 Jun21 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 125 1.80 27% 2.70    
5  LIL MIRACLE MAN Jun30 Jun15 Apr11 Mar18 Jan28 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  TAINO HOUSE Aug24 Aug03 Jul20 Jul13 Jun29 (essex charles)REYES R 122 10.00    
7  SMOOTH PAPA Aug30 Aug17 Jul13 Jun30 Jun22 (fearon j)AMADOR RUIZ 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.