Handicappers' Race Results

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Emerald Downs
Saturday - August 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

EMD-1   Win (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.76 $4.76  
EMD-2   Win (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $15.16 $15.16 9.16
EMD-3   Win (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $13.32  
EMD-4   Win (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $6.76 $6.76 0.76
EMD-5   Win (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $13.42 $13.42 7.42
EMD-6   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $12.48  
EMD-7   Win (6/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $7.72 $7.72  

Simulator Race results

 
EMD-1   08/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:214 :443 1:10     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DENNARD 1 6 5 4   2nk 13 (hernandez miguel)REYES R 122 1.80 20% 4.00 1.38 W
TRIBAL IMPACT 3 5 32 2nk   1nk 23 (wisdom anne)LOPEZ KARLO 125 5.00 7.32  
HADLEES HONOR 5 3 6 64   5 36 (crowe shelly)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 6.00 10.45  
CAJUN TREASURE 2 4 46 53   4 4 (hernandez migu)MARTIN A 125 10.00 5% 19.00 18.82  
SMOKEN SHADOW 6 2 2nk 1nk   32 511½ (peery debbie)KRIGGER K 125 3.50 2.88  
PRIME EXAMPLE 4 1 1nk 31   6 629 (toye joe)CRUZ M 125 2.50 51% 1.00 2.90  
 
EMD-2   08/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:221 :45 :571     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KHAIKY'S COMMAND 1 5 3 2   2½ 1¾ (cruz pearm)CRUZ M 122 3.00 30% 2.30 6.58 W
NEW EVERY MORNING 4 4 1 1   1½ 2¾ (cryderman candic)REYES R 125 2.50 2.87  
CLAYTON DELANEY 2 6 6 56   34 3 (crowe shelly)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 3.50 0.74  
RHODIUM RUNNER 3 1 2 3   44 4 (christian shawna)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.00 36% 1.80 5.81  
SMOOTH PAPA 5 2 4 45   55 5 (fearon johnat)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 8.00 16.83  
WITHEE 6 3 5 66   610 614½ (abrahamson mar)MARTIN A 122 12.00 5% 19.00 39.27  
 
EMD-3   08/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
See original race card.
:22 :444 :57     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPINNIN PISTOLS 2 4 53 54   3 1¼ (wright blaine)KRIGGER K 121 4.50 5.66  
BLUEGRASS GO GO 6 2 1½ 1   1 2¼ (wright blaine)REYES R 125 6.00 4.32  
POVERTY BAY 4 3 3 2   2 3¼ (toye joe)CRUZ M 122 4.00 28% 2.60 6.11 S
SON OF THUNDER 5 6 6 6   5 4¾ (toye joe)MONTALVO C 125 1.80 40% 1.50 3.13  
TABLE BAY 1 5 4 4   6 51 (martinez b)LOPEZ KARLO 125 2.50 2.26  
OUR BOY ROY 3 1 2½ 3   4 6 (peery debb)AMADOR RUIZ 122 8.00 5% 19.00 5.11  
 
EMD-4   08/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:25
See original race card.
:223 :444 1:09     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRISCO FRILLS 3 1 1 14   1 1 (hernandez mig)MORALES ALLYSSA 125 3.50 45% 1.20 2.38 W
MS FLASHY HARBOR 6 3 5 46   4 2 (bullock steve)KRIGGER K 122 3.50 4.65  
CHARMANT E 4 2 2 34   2 3 (mccartney jac)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 3.00 23% 3.40 3.99 S
ZIPPIN SEVENZ 2 4 3 24   3 47 (bozell alan)CRUZ M 122 6.00 2.40  
OREO'S DREAM 5 5 4 69   6 5 (wisdom anne)GUTIERREZ M 122 5.00 4.97  
IN THE VAULT 1 6 6 58   5 6 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 119 10.00 10% 8.60 16.60  
SCR  NATION'S BELLE               (cooper kay)OROZCO E 125 4.50    
 
EMD-5   08/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($25.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
See original race card.
:221 :441 1:084     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXECUTIVE CHEF 3 3 2nk 2nk   2nk 1¼ (wright blaine)GUTIERREZ M 122 6.00 5% 19.00 5.71 W
JIN TONG 5 4 4 3   3½ 2¼ (toye joe)MONTALVO C 122 3.50 10.11  
PRISONER 4 2 1nk 1nk   1nk 3¾ (evans justin)KRIGGER K 122 1.60 61% 0.60 1.31 S
YOU'RE THE CAUSE 6 6 6 6   44 4 (van debbie)MATIAS J 122 10.00 25.01  
MONGOLIAN MEMORY 1 1 5 5   5 511 (tubbs scott)MAWING A 122 5.00 8% 12.00 7.05  
PEACEFUL WATERS 2 5 3.2 4   6 612½ (evans justin)CRUZ M 122 4.00 1.80  
 
EMD-6   08/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:40
See original race card.
:22 :441 :554     1:082   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUNNIN FOR GOLD 1 4 11 1   14 1 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 125 3.50 5.24  
EL BROMISTA 2 5 32 2   24 2 (wright blaine)LOPEZ KARLO 125 2.50 40% 1.50 2.77 P
IT'S TURBO 4 1 42 3   37 3 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 122 1.80 26% 2.80 0.79 S
A SKIP IN THE PARK 5 6 6 69   48 4 (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 125 6.00 5% 19.00 13.87  
KNIGHTLINE 6 2 5 59   613 514 (gibson howard )OROZCO E 121 4.50 13.21  
LOUIE THE FIRST 3 3 21 46   513 614¾ (wright blaine)MONTALVO C 121 10.00 13.02  
 
EMD-7   08/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:10
See original race card.
:22 :451 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUMPING RIVER 1 5 2nk 1   13 1 (navarro jose)MAWING A 125 4.00 12% 7.10 2.86 W
COASTAL GIRL 6 2 4 44   23 2 (bullock steve)KRIGGER K 121 2.50 44% 1.30 2.45 P
GALESVILLE 5 3 6 710   57 38 (wright blaine)CRUZ M 121 3.50 21% 3.80 2.69 S
TREASURE THE TIME 3 7 3.2 32   35 4 (freeman scott)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 8.00 5% 19.00 12.84  
SHEZA HIGH CLIMBER 4 6 7 69   47 5 (essex charles)LOPEZ KARLO 121 5.00 10.06  
PRANCING MATILDA 2 4 5 56   6 610 (toye joe)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 10.00 10.48  
SENSIBLE LUTE 7 1 1nk 2   711¼ 723 (hernandez miguel)REYES R 125 6.00 7.17  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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