Handicappers' Racing Form

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Emerald Downs
Saturday - August 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

EMD-1   Win (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EMD-2   Win (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EMD-3   Win (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EMD-4   Win (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EMD-5   Win (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EMD-6   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EMD-7   Win (6/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
EMD-1   08/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DENNARD Aug04 Jul27 Jul13 Jun15 Jun01 (hernandez miguel)REYES R 122 1.80 20% 4.00    
CAJUN TREASURE Jul21 Jul12 Jun30 Jun02 May18 (hernandez migu)MARTIN A 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
TRIBAL IMPACT Aug04 Jul19 Jun30 Jun23 May25 (wisdom anne)LOPEZ KARLO 125 5.00    
PRIME EXAMPLE Jul19 Jun21 Apr09 Sep02 Aug13 (toye joe)CRUZ M 125 2.50 51% 1.00    
HADLEES HONOR Jul28 Jul07 Jun16 Jun08 May19 (crowe shelly)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 6.00    
SMOKEN SHADOW Jul21 Jun21 Jun01 May18 Sep09 (peery debbie)KRIGGER K 125 3.50    
 
EMD-2   08/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KHAIKY'S COMMAND Jul13 Jun22 Apr29 Feb28 Feb06 (cruz pearm)CRUZ M 122 3.00 30% 2.30    
CLAYTON DELANEY Aug10 Jul27 Jul13 Jun22 Jun01 (crowe shelly)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 3.50    
RHODIUM RUNNER Aug09 Jul13 Jun02 May19 Apr30 (christian shawna)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.00 36% 1.80    
NEW EVERY MORNING Aug04 Jul13 Jun30 Jun01 May12 (cryderman candic)REYES R 125 2.50    
SMOOTH PAPA Jul13 Jun30 Jun22 Jun02 May25 (fearon johnat)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 8.00    
WITHEE Jul28 Jul12 Sep16 Sep02 Aug13 (abrahamson mar)MARTIN A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
EMD-3   08/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TABLE BAY Jul21 Jun28 Sep02 Jul15 Jun18 (martinez b)LOPEZ KARLO 125 2.50    
SPINNIN PISTOLS Jul28 Jul03 Jun09 May18 Mar01 (wright blaine)KRIGGER K 121 4.50    
OUR BOY ROY Jun30 Jun08 Feb13 Jan18 Jan05 (peery debb)AMADOR RUIZ 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
POVERTY BAY Jul14 Jun23 Apr30 Jul30 Jul02 (toye joe)CRUZ M 122 4.00 28% 2.60    
SON OF THUNDER Aug04 Jul27 Jun23 Jun08 Apr25 (toye joe)MONTALVO C 125 1.80 40% 1.50    
BLUEGRASS GO GO Jul27 Jul06 May27 Apr29 Mar27 (wright blaine)REYES R 125 6.00    
 
EMD-4   08/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IN THE VAULT Jul06 Jun07 May19 Oct08 Sep17 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 119 10.00 10% 8.60    
ZIPPIN SEVENZ Jul21 Jul07 Jun09 Sep17 Aug26 (bozell alan)CRUZ M 122 6.00    
FRISCO FRILLS Jul21 Jul07 Jun28 Jun16 Jun08 (hernandez mig)MORALES ALLYSSA 125 3.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  NATION'S BELLE Aug04 Jul03 Jun16 May26 May04 (cooper kay)OROZCO E 125 4.50    
CHARMANT E Aug03 Jun30 Jun01 May19 Apr29 (mccartney jac)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 3.00 23% 3.40    
OREO'S DREAM Jul21 Jun28 May25 Aug26 Jul03 (wisdom anne)GUTIERREZ M 122 5.00    
MS FLASHY HARBOR Jul21 Jul06 Jun16 May25 May11 (bullock steve)KRIGGER K 122 3.50    
 
EMD-5   08/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($25.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONGOLIAN MEMORY Jul21 Jun23 May18 Apr11 Feb17 (tubbs scott)MAWING A 122 5.00 8% 12.00    
PEACEFUL WATERS Jun07 Mar23 Jan29 Dec30 Nov25 (evans justin)CRUZ M 122 4.00    
EXECUTIVE CHEF Jul28 Jun30 Jun07 Sep09 Aug18 (wright blaine)GUTIERREZ M 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
PRISONER Jun23 Jun02 May19 Apr11 Feb19 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 122 1.60 61% 0.60    
JIN TONG Jul27 Jul03 Jun16 Jun01 Apr16 (toye joe)MONTALVO C 122 3.50    
YOU'RE THE CAUSE Jul27 Jun29 Jun01 Oct09 Sep03 (van debbie)MATIAS J 122 10.00    
 
EMD-6   08/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUNNIN FOR GOLD Jul27 Jul07 Jun07 May11 Jan08 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 125 3.50    
EL BROMISTA Jul07 Jun08 May11 Feb25 Feb04 (wright blaine)LOPEZ KARLO 125 2.50 40% 1.50    
LOUIE THE FIRST Jun29 Sep03       (wright blaine)MONTALVO C 121 10.00    
IT'S TURBO Jul21 Jun23 Jun08 May11 Apr15 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 122 1.80 26% 2.80    
A SKIP IN THE PARK Jul21 Jul07 Jun23 Jun01 May12 (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
KNIGHTLINE Jul28 Jul13 Jun29 Jun01 May11 (gibson howard )OROZCO E 121 4.50    
 
EMD-7   08/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUMPING RIVER Aug03 Jul07 Jun22 Jun08 May18 (navarro jose)MAWING A 125 4.00 12% 7.10    
PRANCING MATILDA Aug03 Jul20       (toye joe)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 10.00    
TREASURE THE TIME         (freeman scott)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SHEZA HIGH CLIMBER         (essex charles)LOPEZ KARLO 121 5.00    
GALESVILLE         (wright blaine)CRUZ M 121 3.50 21% 3.80    
COASTAL GIRL Jul20 Jul07 Jun22 Jun09 May11 (bullock steve)KRIGGER K 121 2.50 44% 1.30    
SENSIBLE LUTE Aug03 Jul21 Jul03 Jun14 May26 (hernandez miguel)REYES R 125 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.