Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Century Downs Tb
Sunday - October 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CTD-5   EXA (1/5/6/3)-(1/5/6/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  6-3 $98.60 $74.60 311%
CTD-8   WIN (7/2/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $16.80 $8.80 110%
    EXA (7/2/8/4)-(7/2/8/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00  2-7 $63.40 $39.40 164%
    DD (6/1/2/5)-(7/2/8/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00  1-2 $33.90 $1.90 6%

Simulator Race results

 
CTD-2   10/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:222 :462 1:114     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEDGE POND 2 1 2nk 2nk   1 1 (brown r)HUGHES RASHEED 125 1.00 42% 1.40 1.35 W
BON PRIX 6 5 1nk 1nk   2 2 (wyness james)NELSON DANE 125 4.00 29% 2.40 1.90 P
NORTHERN JEWEL 1 2 3 3   3 3 (reid colton)BRYAN D 125 3.00 5.65  
MOUNT ASGARD 5 6 54 6   4 4 (kingston )ZENTENO JR 125 12.00 13.35  
DERZKII 3 3 4 45   5 58 (oberholtzer ke)CHOW CHAVION 125 15.00 7.85  
MUCHO MAGIC 4 4 6 5   616½ 618 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 10.00 5% 19.00 11.35  
 
CTD-3   10/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:001     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BABS DELIGHT 4 2 3 4   2nk 1¾ (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 1.60 26% 2.80 2.10 W
WHEELSUPINTHIRTY 2 4 2nk 2nk   3.2 2¾ (biggs seymour)CHOW CHAVION 125 20.00 80.15  
HENRY'S GAMBLE 3 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 3¾ (coney jason)BRYAN D 125 3.50 19% 4.20 5.65 S
SASSY CINDERELLA 1 5 5 5   4 4 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 10.00 8.15  
GO MAMA 7 7 7 7   6 5 (grieves r)ZENTENO JR 125 8.00 5% 19.00 5.70  
NIGHT FLYER 5 3 4 3   5 6 (brown r)HUGHES RASHEED 125 1.80 26% 2.90 1.65  
LITTLE HARPER 6 6 6 6   7 7 (rycroft tim)NELSON DANE 125 15.00 16.15  
 
CTD-4   10/13/2024 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:233 :483 1:15 1:403   1:542   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKTILLYOUDROP 1 2 2nk 1½ 2nk 14 1 (ward anders)BECKLES JARELLE 125 4.50 2.75  
AMEER 2 6 41 3 4 24 2 (biggs seymour)CHOW CHAVION 125 20.00 66.85  
LIFESBEENGOODSOFAR 4 5 6 6 63 46 3 (petrow)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.00 38% 1.70 3.60 S
UPO 7 7 7 7 7 57 4 (hawkes da)ZENTENO JR 125 8.00 5% 19.00 6.20  
DON'T STOP DREAMIN 6 3 3½ 4 1nk 35 5 (zielke mad)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 1.60 31% 2.20 1.25  
A LATE ONE 3 4 5 52 5 610 616¾ (ward anderson)BRYAN D 125 12.00 5% 17.80 11.85  
BEAUGATTI 5 1 1nk 2½ 31 712 718¼ (tingle ken)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 15.00 52.05  
SCR  OMEGASSHOOTINGSTAR               (hawkes darc)BECKLES JARELLE 125 20.00    
 
CTD-5   10/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:001     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABOVE AND BEYOND 6 6 2 21   1½ 1¼ ( )GRIFFITH DELANE 125 10.00 8% 11.40 2.50 W
BIG IRISH 3 3 1 11   2½ 2¼ (mead colten)LUNAN RICHARD 125 30.00 7% 14.30 20.05 P
SNAP COUNT 7 7 32 31   3 3½ (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 123 3.00 3.80  
KISS ME HELLO 2 2 4 45   43 4 (kingston robert)NELSON DANE 125 3.50 9.00  
TRAPEZE 8 8 76 6   55 5 (rycroft tim)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 4.50 12.20  
H K MELODY 5 5 8 8   7 65 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 6.00 26% 2.90 3.35  
MY BOY CHRISTIAN 4 4 6 5   6 7 (ward anders)BECKLES JARELLE 123 20.00 21.90  
LAST OF WAR 1 1 5 7   88 8 (heggie rod)HUGHES RASHEED 125 2.50 33% 2.00 4.25  
 
CTD-6   10/13/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:234 :484 1:141 1:401   1:543   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KYSTONE 2 5 21 21 2½ 1nk 1 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 123 3.50 2.85  
ARISTOCRACY 1 4 11 11 1½ 2nk 2 (brown r)NELSON DANE 125 12.00 8.65  
ATTENZIONE 8 7 8 78 56 33 3 (anderson gon)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 10.00 8.90  
HANDSOME HENRY 5 3 54 55 4 5 4 (grieves ron)NATERA KEIHTON 123 15.00 5% 19.00 21.30  
DON'T LET ME DOWN 3 6 32 32 33 4 5 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 125 2.50 44% 1.30 2.75  
POINT TO THE STARS 4 8 64 67 6 6 6 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 4.50 13% 6.80 2.75  
LONESOME CAT 6 2 7 8 8 7 7 (ward ander)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 30.00 21.20  
H K RAPPER 7 1 4 4 7 813¾ 819 (coney j)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 123 3.00 13% 7.00 9.95  
 
CTD-7   10/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:231 :464 :592     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FASTESTGIRLINTOWN 1 1 11 1½   12 1 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 125 3.50 14% 6.20 2.80 W
ISABELLE ANNE 3 3 21 2½   22 2 (kettleson a)BECKLES JARELLE 122 15.00 40.25  
JELLI 5 7 5 58   46 3 (nicholson)ZENTENO JR 125 2.50 43% 1.30 1.45 S
WISH ON A STAR 2 2 6 711   57 4 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 10.00 13% 6.80 7.05  
BLUE TANGO (GB) 6 5 4 4   36 59 (gardipy j)PARRIS SACHIN 112 20.00 34.80  
BROKEN PROMISES 7 6 76 6   69 6 (kingston k)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 122 4.50 5.20  
WEST COAST HARBOR 4 4 3 3   713 718 (smith rob)NELSON DANE 122 3.00 4.85  
SCR  VIOLENT VIOLET               (zielke mad)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CTD-8   10/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:221 :46 :591     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRODY'S STREAK 2 7 56 4   2½ 1½ (gardipy j)PARRIS SACHIN 115 3.50 27% 2.70 7.40 W
DR. DAVE 7 3 4 5   3 2½ (smith craig )HUGHES RASHEED 122 1.60 33% 2.10 1.10 P
ALL RUN 5 5 68 6   42 3 (brown r)MUIR SHAMAREE 125 10.00 25.70  
STONE CARVER 1 1 11 1   1½ 4 (anderson gonza)CHOW CHAVION 125 6.00 9.50  
TAYLOR FIELD 3 8 812 8   65 53 (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 122 5.00 14.60  
LINCHPIN STORM 4 6 710½ 7   76 6 (rumsey cory)LUNAN RICHARD 123 20.00 5% 19.00 28.45  
READYTOTAPNSING 6 4 3 2   5 7 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 125 8.00 3.40  
FIRECRACKER STAND 8 2 21 3   823 830¼ (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 8.00 16% 5.20 7.15  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.