Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Thursday - December 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-2   Win (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $14.00  
TUP-3   Win (4/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $6.60 $6.60 0.60
TUP-4   Win (2/6/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $7.00  
TUP-5   Win (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.60 $5.60  
TUP-6   Win (2/10/9/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 0 $8.00  
TUP-7   Win (2/10/6/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $49.80 $49.80 39.80
TUP-8   Win (10/5/11/7/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $5.20 $5.20  

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-2   12/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
See original race card.
:222 :454 :581     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY BURGLAR 2 3 2½ 2nk   1nk 1 (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 4.00 6.00  
ROCKBAR 3 5 4 3½   3 2 (owens kory)CORBETT W 121 2.00 46% 1.20 1.10 P
AWESOME WILDCAT 4 1 1½ 1nk   2nk 3 (diodoro robert)HUGHES RASHEED 121 2.50 15% 5.60 2.70 S
LOTSA STEEL 1 4 5 5   45 43 (kemper kasey)GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 10.00 5% 19.00 4.30  
UNARMED 5 2 31 4   5 514 (campo stacy)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 3.00 4.00  
 
TUP-3   12/19/2024 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:38
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:112 1:233   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGENS BAY 1 2 2 3 2nk 1 11 (rarick wade)MOJICA O 121 3.50 20% 4.00 2.30 W
MATTERS 5 6 5 4 4 32 21 (evans jus)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 15.00 2.00  
MOCKTAILS ANYONE 3 1 1 1 1nk 2 3 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 121 6.00 50% 1.00 8.60 S
SHE'S MUY MUY 6 4 3 2 31 55 4 (chambers mike)MONTALVO C 124 8.00 5% 19.00 4.20  
NELLIE THURSDAY 2 5 6 54 5 45 58 (schnell don)REYES R 121 5.00 2.50  
KOOL KADILLAC 4 3 43 6 6 67 613 (lucarelli fr)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 12.00 17.90  
SCR  CAPE BLOSSOM               (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 6.00    
SCR  HIGHLY DESIRABLE (IRE)               (evans justin)CRUZ M 124 2.00    
 
TUP-4   12/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:07
See original race card.
:223 :461 1:113 1:25   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WITHOUT EQUAL 3 2 36 33 1 15 1 (lund valorie)NEGRON LUIS 121 6.00 2.50  
LET ME LOVE YOU 5 4 5 56 43 25 2 (rosales jorge)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 4.00 6.10  
UNAUDITED 2 1 25 2 3 3 312½ (eikleberry k)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 2.00 27% 2.70 1.50 S
EARTHLY TIGER 6 6 69 612 610½ 611 414¾ (tubbs scott)REYES R 124 8.00 13% 6.80 3.90  
BENNY BUCKETS 4 5 47 46 5 5 515¾ (silva-martinez alexi)MOJICA O 121 15.00 5% 19.00 13.00  
WAR ON THE WEST 1 3 15 1 2 47 616 (barrio sergio)CRUZ M 121 6.00 5.00  
SCR  DAVID'S FAITH               (lund valori)ULLOA JOAN 121 12.00    
SCR  STAYIN' OUT LATE               (leon alexis)IRONEYES R 124 20.00    
SCR  WEEKEND FLAME               (lawrence )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 5.00 17% 4.70    
 
TUP-5   12/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:36
See original race card.
:22 :45 :573     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S RESILIENT 1 4 42 31   2 1¼ (alvarez sergio)MOJICA O 122 3.00 69% 0.50 1.80 W
HOLY TUTTA BELLA 7 2 31 1nk   1 2¼ (evans justin)CORBETT W 122 4.00 2.70 P
FLYIN BY 4 3 11 2nk   33 31 (johnston kim)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 15.00 5% 19.00 4.10 S
TROUBLE N PARADISE 5 5 5 5   4 4 (trela rosemar)KHELAWAN KERRON 124 6.00 3.60  
LADY ATHENA 6 1 21 42   56 5 (williams de)IRONEYES R 119 8.00 12.10  
BEA MISCHIEF 3 7 7 7   7 610¾ (bean a)CRUZ M 122 10.00 5.90  
HAYNESPUN 2 6 6 6   69 711½ (warren kayl)VALENZUELA A 122 20.00 5% 19.00 60.10  
SCR  FRISCO FRILLS               (hernandez mig)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 4.50    
SCR  HEY BARMAID               (toye joe)MONTALVO C 122 20.00    
SCR  REIGN OF FIRE               (velasquez rigobe)ENRIQUEZ D 122 5.00    
 
TUP-6   12/19/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:222 :454       :52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAITINGATTHEBAR 1 1 12     1 1 (nunnally jen)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 3.00 3.00  
CLASSY ROSSO 2 8 7     5 2 (schnell don)TOHILL S 121 4.00 44% 1.30 4.30 P
RAIDER NATION 8 3 32     2 3 (simpson shannon)REYES R 121 8.00 5% 19.00 3.30 S
STREETLIGHT PEOPLE 3 4 4     34 4 (silva jos)BRAVO MISAEL 119 10.00 2.50  
ROCKSIE HARTBRAKER 5 5 6     7 5 (mccartney jac)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 8.00 5% 19.00 5.40  
AUTISM MIND 7 7 5     6 66 (torres-casa)VALENZUELA A 121 20.00 27.70  
CHILEAN MOON 4 2 22     44 711 (gleason m)MONTALVO C 124 6.00 11.00  
R D STIMULUS 6 6 810¼     815¼ 815¼ (baze robert)CRUZ M 124 20.00 5% 19.00 25.30  
SCR  EKATI'S ZOOM ZOOM               (silva juan )ULLOA JOAN 121 10.00    
SCR  PAISLEES PROMISE               (bean robert)JENSEN P 121 8.00    
SCR  PANDEMIO               (ortega monica)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 20.00    
SCR  R. A. E.'S DREAM               (ferguson ch)ULLOA JOAN 121 5.00 30% 2.30    
 
TUP-7   12/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:35
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:132 1:261   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SOCAL RED 10 6 6 31 3 2nk 1hd (gibson f)REYES R 124 12.00 15% 5.90 23.90 W
THE GOLDEN EGG 5 1 1½ 2½ 11 1nk 2hd (essex charle)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 10.00 9.10 DQ↓4
MONTANA 3 7 8 8 54 4 3½ (chambers mike)BARNES JOSE 124 6.00 7.00  
ELUSIVE LOVE 9 5 5 5 21 3.2 4 (ortiz manuel )KHELAWAN KERRON 124 4.00 7.20  
SUMMER SHANDEE 6 9 9 9 9 7 5 (perez hilario)KRIGGER K 124 8.00 13% 6.90 3.30  
HADLEES HONOR 7 4 2½ 1½ 8 8 6 (crowe shell)VALENZUELA A 124 20.00 50.80  
WESTPHAL 1 8 7 7 7 6 7 (toye joe)CRUZ M 124 10.00 7% 12.70 2.70  
ATOMIC CANDY 8 3 42 41 43 5 8 (silva-martinez alexi)MOJICA O 124 3.00 6.30  
CHELSEA DAGGER 4 2 32 63 65 9 9 (silva jua)BRAVO MISAEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00 6.50  
PANZER PRIDE 2 10 10 10 10 107 1011 (rarick wade)TOHILL S 124 3.50 33% 2.00 9.50  
SCR  ALMANERA (IRE)               (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 10.00    
 
TUP-8   12/19/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:05
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:11     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANNIE FOX 6 3 31 1½   1 1 (gleason m)MONTALVO C 121 8.00 5% 19.00 1.60 W
LADY YELLOWSTONE 7 4 42 32   3 2 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 121 5.00 2.80  
11  MAYA D 10 1 8 55   46 37 (martinez a)VERGARA P 121 8.00 8% 11.40 15.80 S
UPTOWN RHAPSODY 8 10 10 1010¼   7 49 (perkins fra)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00 70.10  
PRINCESS K 5 2 11 2½   2 59 (belvoir vann)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 4.00 18.20  
10  C C'S HEART 9 6 7 7   5 6 (brinson clay)TOHILL S 121 4.50 56% 0.80 4.20  
TIA SUZI 3 9 9 87   8 710¼ (kemper kasey)REYES R 121 20.00 55.50  
STARRY BEACH 4 8 5 65   6 813½ (silva-martinez alexi)MOJICA O 124 3.00 11% 8.30 6.20  
BANGO'S HEAT 1 5 21 43   918¾ 925¾ (fuentes ruben)CORBETT W 124 8.00 5% 19.00 6.20  
LEGAL MISCHIEF 2 7 63 910   1024¼ 1034½ (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00 57.70  
SCR  TREASURE OF JEWELS               (stevens sat)VALENZUELA A 124 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.