Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Thursday - December 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-2   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(4/2/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(4/2/8)-(2/6/9/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-3   WIN (4/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/8)-(4/2/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/8)-(4/2/8)-(4/2/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/8)-(2/6/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/8)-(2/6/9/5)-(3/6/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-4   WIN (2/6/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/9/5)-(2/6/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/9/5)-(2/6/9/5)-(2/6/9/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/9/5)-(3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/9/5)-(3/6/4)-(2/10/9/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-5   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/9/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/9/6/4)-(3/9/6/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(2/10/9/5/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(2/10/9/5/6)-(2/10/6/1/4) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
TUP-6   WIN (2/10/9/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/10/9/5/6)-(2/10/9/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/10/9/5/6)-(2/10/9/5/6)-(2/10/9/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/10/9/5/6)-(2/10/6/1/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/10/9/5/6)-(2/10/6/1/4)-(10/5/11/7/2) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
TUP-7   WIN (2/10/6/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/10/6/1/4)-(2/10/6/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/10/6/1/4)-(2/10/6/1/4)-(2/10/6/1/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/10/6/1/4)-(10/5/11/7/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TUP-8   WIN (10/5/11/7/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/5/11/7/2)-(10/5/11/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/5/11/7/2)-(10/5/11/7/2)-(10/5/11/7/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-2   12/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOTSA STEEL Dec03 Nov13 Oct13 Sep28 Aug31 (kemper kas)GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of SPINNING STEEL by HARD SPUN)
2  LUCKY BURGLAR         (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 4.00    
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of IRISH LUCK by LEMON DROP KID)
3  ROCKBAR         (owens kory)CORBETT W 121 2.00 46% 1.20    
  (by MOONSHINE MULLIN out of BAR SCENE by ROCKY BAR)
4  AWESOME WILDCAT         (diodoro robe)HUGHES RASHEED 121 2.50 15% 5.60    
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of SMARTY B by SMARTY JONES)
5  UNARMED         (campo stac)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 3.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of JUDOBABY by ARTIE SCHILLER)
 
TUP-3   12/19/2024 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CAPE BLOSSOM Sep01 Aug11 Jul27 Jun09   (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 6.00    
2  MAGENS BAY Nov29 Nov02 Oct09 Sep11 Aug22 (rarick wade)MOJICA O 121 3.50 20% 4.00    
3  NELLIE THURSDAY Nov29 Nov20 Aug31 Aug11 Jul28 (schnell don)REYES R 121 5.00    
4  MOCKTAILS ANYONE Nov29 Sep01 Jul07 Jun09 May19 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 6.00 50% 1.00    
SCR  HIGHLY DESIRABLE (IRE) Nov29 Jun16 May05     (evans justin)CRUZ M 124 2.00    
6  KOOL KADILLAC Nov29 Sep13 Aug31 Aug03 Jul20 (lucarelli )AMERICANO MANUEL 116 12.00    
7  MATTERS Nov29 Oct18 Sep05 Aug08 Apr13 (evans j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 15.00    
8  SHE'S MUY MUY Nov29 Sep22 Aug09 May18 Mar04 (chambers mike)MONTALVO C 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-4   12/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAR ON THE WEST Dec03 Nov14 Oct05 Sep06 Aug04 (barrio sergio)CRUZ M 121 6.00    
2  UNAUDITED Dec05 Sep15 Aug31 Aug05 Jul03 (eikleberry)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 2.00 27% 2.70    
3  WITHOUT EQUAL Nov26 Sep28 Sep12 Aug22 Aug11 (lund valorie)NEGRON LUIS 121 6.00    
SCR  STAYIN' OUT LATE Oct27 Oct11 Sep22 Sep01 Aug17 (leon alex)IRONEYES R 124 20.00    
5  BENNY BUCKETS Dec05 Nov14 Sep08 Aug31 Aug16 (silva-martinez ale)MOJICA O 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WEEKEND FLAME Dec05 Nov05 Oct09 Sep24 Aug14 (lawrenc)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 5.00 17% 4.70    
SCR  DAVID'S FAITH Dec03 Nov14 Sep25 Jul11 Jun23 (lund valo)ULLOA JOAN 121 12.00    
8  LET ME LOVE YOU Nov09 Oct25 Sep21 Aug24 Jun12 (rosales jor)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 4.00    
9  EARTHLY TIGER Nov19 Aug31 Aug24 Jul26 Jul12 (tubbs scott)REYES R 124 8.00 13% 6.80    
 
TUP-5   12/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  REIGN OF FIRE Nov27 Oct07 Sep22 Sep06 Aug04 (velasquez rigo)ENRIQUEZ D 122 5.00    
SCR  HEY BARMAID Nov21 Sep01 Aug25 Aug09 Jul27 (toye joe)MONTALVO C 122 20.00    
3  SHE'S RESILIENT Nov10 Sep22 Jun30 Jun01 May11 (alvarez sergio)MOJICA O 122 3.00 69% 0.50    
4  HAYNESPUN Jul27 Jul21 Jul13 Jun23 Jun08 (warren ka)VALENZUELA A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  BEA MISCHIEF May12 Apr10 Mar20 Mar04 Feb15 (bean a)CRUZ M 122 10.00    
6  FLYIN BY Nov27 Sep08 Jun30 Jun01 May11 (johnston k)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  TROUBLE N PARADISE Dec04 Nov12 Sep21 Jul06 Jun23 (trela rosem)KHELAWAN KERRON 124 6.00    
8  LADY ATHENA Dec04 Oct26 Oct13 Sep29 Sep06 (williams )IRONEYES R 119 8.00    
9  HOLY TUTTA BELLA Nov21 Sep08 Aug23 Jul19 Jul06 (evans justin)CORBETT W 122 4.00 ★    
SCR  FRISCO FRILLS Nov13 Sep14 Aug30 Aug17 Jul21 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 4.50    
 
TUP-6   12/19/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAITINGATTHEBAR Nov18 Sep14 Sep07 Aug24 Jul12 (nunnally j)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 3.00    
2  CLASSY ROSSO         (schnell don)TOHILL S 121 4.00 44% 1.30    
3  STREETLIGHT PEOPLE Nov29 Oct07 Sep24 Mar04 Feb19 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 119 10.00    
4  CHILEAN MOON Nov18 Oct18 Oct02     (gleason m)MONTALVO C 124 6.00    
5  ROCKSIE HARTBRAKER Apr30 Mar26 Mar06 Feb21 Apr22 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  R D STIMULUS Sep23 Sep06       (baze robert)CRUZ M 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PAISLEES PROMISE Nov14 Oct12 Sep22 Aug04 Jul07 (bean robe)JENSEN P 121 8.00    
8  AUTISM MIND Dec03 Nov09 Oct04 Sep22 Aug16 (torres-ca)VALENZUELA A 121 20.00    
9  RAIDER NATION Oct06 Sep15 Aug03 Jul20 Mar28 (simpson shanno)REYES R 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  R. A. E.'S DREAM         (ferguson )ULLOA JOAN 121 5.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  EKATI'S ZOOM ZOOM Dec03 Nov18       (silva jua)ULLOA JOAN 121 10.00    
SCR  PANDEMIO May18         (ortega monic)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 20.00    
 
TUP-7   12/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WESTPHAL Dec10 Nov20 Sep07 Aug25 Aug11 (toye joe)CRUZ M 124 10.00 7% 12.70    
2  PANZER PRIDE Oct31 Sep27 Aug11 Jul04 Apr25 (rarick wade)TOHILL S 124 3.50 33% 2.00    
3  MONTANA Oct19 Sep27 Sep08 Jul26 Jun16 (chambers mike)BARNES JOSE 124 6.00    
4  CHELSEA DAGGER Nov27 Nov17 Nov06 Oct17 Sep18 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  THE GOLDEN EGG Nov27 Nov11 Sep07 Aug31 Aug16 (essex char)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 10.00    
6  SUMMER SHANDEE Dec11 Nov30 Nov14 Oct14 Oct06 (perez hilario)KRIGGER K 124 8.00 13% 6.90    
7  HADLEES HONOR Dec12 Nov20 Oct14 Sep29 Sep16 (crowe she)VALENZUELA A 124 20.00    
8  ATOMIC CANDY Nov20 Nov11 Sep13 Sep01 Jul28 (silva-martinez ale)MOJICA O 124 3.00    
9  ELUSIVE LOVE Nov20 Apr30 Apr22 Apr03 Mar19 (ortiz manue)KHELAWAN KERRON 124 4.00    
10  SOCAL RED Nov30 Oct13 Sep30 Sep16 Sep09 (gibson howard )REYES R 124 12.00 15% 5.90    
SCR  ALMANERA (IRE) Nov17 Oct20 Sep29 Sep13 Aug16 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 10.00    
 
TUP-8   12/19/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TREASURE OF JEWELS Nov21 Oct19 Sep29     (stevens s)VALENZUELA A 124 20.00    
2  BANGO'S HEAT Nov12 Sep21 Aug24 Aug15 Jul27 (fuentes ruben)CORBETT W 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  LEGAL MISCHIEF May02 Apr16 Mar26 Apr22 Feb25 (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00    
4  TIA SUZI Nov12 Oct12 Sep15 Aug18 Aug03 (kemper kasey)REYES R 121 20.00    
5  STARRY BEACH Dec04 Nov19 Oct11 Sep09 Aug05 (silva-martinez ale)MOJICA O 124 3.00 11% 8.30    
6  PRINCESS K Apr10 Mar25 Mar05 Jan05 Dec09 (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 4.00    
7  ANNIE FOX Nov19 Oct12 Oct04 Sep13 Aug30 (gleason m)MONTALVO C 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  LADY YELLOWSTONE Dec09 Nov09 Oct19 Oct12 Aug29 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 121 5.00    
9  UPTOWN RHAPSODY May04 Apr10 Mar25 Feb28 Feb15 (perkins f)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00    
10  C C'S HEART Nov26 Sep25 Aug17 Jul14 Jun30 (brinson clay)TOHILL S 121 4.50 56% 0.80    
11  MAYA D Nov17 Oct19 Sep27 Aug04 Jun23 (martinez a)VERGARA P 121 8.00 8% 11.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.