Handicappers' Race Results
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Arapahoe Park
Friday - October 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ARP-2   Win (5/3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $5.40  
ARP-3   Win (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $3.20  
ARP-4   Win (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
ARP-5   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 1.00
ARP-6   Win (9/7/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $5.00  
ARP-7   Win (1/5/3/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $14.60 $14.60 4.60
Simulator Race results
 
ARP-2   10/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:221 :453 :583     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  EURO TRACKING 4 4 43 32   1nk 11¾ (vicchrilli r)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.50 1.70  
1  BLUE SKYE JADE 1 3 33 42½   42¼ 21¾ (williams de)IRONEYES R 119 6.00 20% 4.00 3.50 P
2  TAP THE BRAKES 2 5 55 54½   54¼ 36¼ (arceo salva)MEDINA ANGEL 124 10.00 5% 19.00 10.50 S
5  ITS A DEAL 5 2 21 1nk   2nk 46¼ (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 2.50 30% 2.30 3.00  
3  JUSTIN SPEIGHT 3 1 11 2nk   32 512¼ (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50 28% 2.50 3.30  
7  MUSKET POWDER 7 6 65½ 67½   69¼ 615½ (scudder jr)ARANA MINOR 124 6.00 27.90  
6  OUR CLOVER GAL 6 7 76 79½   712¼ 719½ (ibanez albert)VORRATH VALENTE 121 8.00 16.80  
 
ARP-3   10/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:142     1:271   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  STREET BEHAVIOR 2 1 1½ 21½   1nk 11 (mitchell r)ARANA MINOR 124 2.50 0.60  
1  ROCHESTER'S FINEST 1 2 2½ 31½   2nk 21 (kemper kerry)RAMOS B 124 3.00 44% 1.30 3.00 P
5  FLY NIGHTLY 5 3 31 11½   3.2 33½ (ramaekers e)MEDINA ANGEL 124 4.50 13.60  
4  MAJESTIC LIAISON 4 4 42½ 42   41¾ 410 (mckinney kyndr)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 3.50 31% 2.20 2.90  
3  ETHAN 3 5 53½ 56   56¾ 511¾ (lavanway da)IRONEYES R 119 5.00 5% 19.00 20.10  
 
ARP-4   10/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:244 :481 1:143 1:283   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ARMAVIR 5 2 43½ 48 32½ 1½ 1½ (thompson gr)IRONEYES R 119 2.00 43% 1.30 1.30 W
2  NORTHWIND 2 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 2½ 2½ (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.50 23% 3.40 0.60 P
4  COPPER SKY 4 5 55½ 510 57½ 34½ 39¼ (rushton temp)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 3.50 28.00  
1  SASSY B KEEN 1 3 33½ 37½ 43½ 55½ 414½ (ramaekers e)MEDINA ANGEL 124 6.00 11.60  
3  STAYIN' OUT LATE 3 4 2½ 2½ 2½ 45½ 515½ (mitchell r)ARANA MINOR 124 8.00 13% 6.70 9.00  
 
ARP-5   10/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:222 :454 :58     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIFFANY'S FERRARI 1 1 12 12   14 15 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 122 2.50 42% 1.40 2.50 W
2  JILL'S LEMON DROP 2 2 22 22   24 25 (dieter dalt)MEDINA ANGEL 124 4.50 19% 4.20 9.30 P
4  KONA KINLEY 4 5 512 58   511 310¼ (rushton temple)RAMOS B 122 3.50 6.30  
5  CREAM PUFF REAPER 5 3 33½ 32   37 410¼ (hibdon n)HAAR NATHAN 122 2.00 0.60  
3  COLLIER 3 4 45 43   410 512¼ (rushton temp)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 6.00 6% 15.10 6.60  
 
ARP-6   10/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:221 :46 :59     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCKIN MARIE 1 2 11 12   12 14 (long vaughn)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 3.50 1.50  
9  HEAR ME ROAR 7 1 53½ 44   22 24 (rust terri)RAMOS B 124 2.00 32% 2.10 5.40 P
3  DOLLY DIMPLE 2 6 65 65½   34 35¾ (thompson gr)IRONEYES R 119 8.00 4.40  
5  LOW DOSE 4 4 42½ 54½   45½ 411 (mitchell chris)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 12.00 14% 6.00 8.80  
7  ALWAYS A TIZ 6 5 31 22   57½ 515¾ (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 19% 4.40 3.00  
6  JUST REMEMBER 5 3 21 32½   69½ 618½ (hall monk)BACHICHA ELIJAH 121 8.00 5% 19.00 12.10  
4  FLATTER ME ZEN 3 7 79 78½   712 719 (childs russell)CARILLO DANIEL 124 10.00 11.20  
SCR  MIRAGE CODE               (childs russell)GONZALEZ PEDRO 122 6.00    
SCR  TRIP TO FREEDOM               (dieter dalt)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.00    
 
ARP-7   10/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:221 :461 :583     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  HOWBEIT 8 4 46 42   1½ 11 (kemper kerr)IRONEYES R 119 6.00 5% 19.00 6.30 W
1  WHEELER DEALER 1 1 22 21   2½ 21 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 121 1.00 34% 2.00 1.60 P
5  THUNDERSHOOK 5 8 912 88½   74 34½ (dieter dalt)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50 26% 2.90 8.30 S
7  COWBOY DON 7 3 89 65½   53 46½ (mcdonald j)RAMOS B 124 2.50 14.30  
3  THIRTYMINUTEMASS 3 7 56½ 77   85 56¾ (martinez a)CARDOSO DAVID 124 8.00 16% 5.50 7.20  
9  CREDIT RATING 9 5 67½ 54   32½ 67½ (rushton stet)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 3.00 4.00  
4  JUST PLAIN ORNERY 4 9 78½ 99   97 715½ (rushton stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 4.00 45.10  
2  DIVINE TASK 2 6 12 11   42½ 816¼ (hall monk)CARILLO DANIEL 121 12.00 5% 19.00 75.80  
6  NOOGE 6 2 34 32   63½ 919¾ (mckinney kyndr)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 10.00 4.20  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.