Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Wednesday - November 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-3   Win (5/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $27.40  
TUP-4   Win (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $16.40  
TUP-5   Win (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $2.80 $2.80  
TUP-6   Win (6/7/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
TUP-7   Win (3/5/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $10.60  
TUP-8   Win (6/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $9.80 $9.80 3.80

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-3   11/27/2024 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:221 :451 1:084     1:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MCCLUSKY 3 4 43 4   3 1¼ (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 119 5.00 12.70  
LEGALLY REDDY 1 6 5 5   4 2¼ (silva jr)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 4.00 12% 7.50 2.50 P
SAN ANDRES 4 2 2 21   2nk 3 (perkinson cc)KRIGGER K 122 6.00 5.70  
CANDY'S CHROME 5 7 75 7   5 42 (barraza s)MONTALVO C 124 3.00 53% 0.90 1.20  
LUCKY CODE 2 1 1 11   1nk 52 (freeman scot)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 5.00 6.40  
WHO IS PAVEL 6 5 6 6   6 68 (bean a)TOHILL S 121 8.00 21.60  
BLUEGRASS GO GO 7 3 32 31   7 7 (lucarelli frank)REYES R 122 4.50 7% 13.20 6.40  
 
TUP-4   11/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:214 :443 :564     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUSTIN'S LADY 1 6 5 22   23 1¼ (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 122 3.50 7.20  
RESERVOIR 2 3 1 12   13 2¼ (nunnally jen)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 3.00 2.60  
FLYIN BY 5 5 6 6   5 3 (johnston kimberley)MONTALVO C 122 6.00 5% 19.00 3.70 S
CAPITAL HEAT 3 4 4 54   35 4 (belvoir vann)CORBETT W 122 4.50 10.20  
REIGN OF FIRE 6 2 2 3   4 5 (velasquez r)VALENZUELA A 122 2.50 75% 0.30 1.50  
DISTINCTIVE DEB 4 1 3 44   6 65 (crowe shelly)REYES R 122 5.00 4.60  
 
TUP-5   11/27/2024 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:221 :451 1:092     1:273   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOPY 2 1 12 1   1 11 (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 4.00 27% 2.70 0.40 W
MADEIRA WINE 3 3 22 2   2 21 (kenney ryan)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 5.00 2.60  
ZIPPIN SEVENZ 4 4 3 34   3 3 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 122 4.50 39% 1.50 4.10 S
RUSSIAN TOTHE WIRE 1 2 44 4   4 419 (lund valorie)REYES R 122 6.00 7.50  
SCR  DIRT FLIRT               (silva jos)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.00    
SCR  SKY MAKER               (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50    
 
TUP-6   11/27/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:502         :502   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOHEMIAN JIGGLES 7 2 5     4¾ 1¾ (silva jos)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 3.50 22% 3.60 1.00 W
FAST TRACK 3 1 22     3½ 2¾ (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 6.30  
KAMIKAZE BLUE 2 4 12     1½ 3 (marin martin)REYES R 122 10.00 5% 19.00 17.60 S
CHROME'S BEST COPY 4 6 4     2½ 42 (birdwell tena)MOJICA O 122 3.00 2.30  
BIKINI NATION 6 5 6     6 53 (gibson howar)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 4.00 24% 3.30 22.50  
CAN'T WANT THAT 1 3 3     5¾ 6 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 119 2.50 3.50  
CHEDOODLE RYLEE 5 7 7     7 7 (lawrence heath)CRUZ M 122 12.00 15% 5.50 68.90  
 
TUP-7   11/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:103 1:232   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE GOLDEN EGG 1 1 2nk 4 1½ 12 1 (essex charle)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 5.00 4.30  
PICAHOUSE 8 8 713 6 4 22 2 (villamar candelario)MOJICA O 119 8.00 4.70  
HICKORY WIND 3 3 1nk 1nk 3 3 37 (velasquez rigober)CORBETT W 122 5.00 68% 0.50 2.20 S
OUTOFQUEMADO 7 2 54 5 5 46 4 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 124 3.00 2.60  
BEER BEGONE 5 4 31 2nk 2½ 56 510¼ (silva-mar)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 40.50  
DIXON TUFF 2 5 43 3 6 6 611¼ (matt wendell)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 10.00 5% 19.00 6.00  
REIGN OVER ME 4 6 612 7 7 710 711½ (torre)VALENZUELA RAUL 122 4.00 5% 19.00 6.70  
SMOKEN HOUDINI 6 7 822 823¾ 826¾ 835 842¼ (rojero luis)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 15.00 42.90  
SCR  ANYOTHERQUESTIONS               (stevens sat)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00    
 
TUP-8   11/27/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:10
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:10 1:224   1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CROSS THE CAUSEWAY 6 5 4 4 31 1nk 11 (martinez esteban)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 73% 0.40 3.90 W
ATHENS MOON 1 2 65 7 6 4 21 (barraza s)VERGARA P 122 5.00 0.50 P
SWAMPDRAINER 2 1 3 31 21 3.2 31 (silva gabrie)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 6.00 18.70  
THREEBROTHERS 4 4 1 1½ 11 2nk 4 (silva pablo)CRUZ M 122 2.00 2.40  
BLUES RAPPER 7 7 7 6 73 5 53 (hernandez mig)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 8.00 5% 19.00 56.20  
SOLDATNA 8 6 2 2½ 5 6 6 (baze robert)TOHILL S 122 10.00 5% 19.00 25.10  
BARON'S SONG 3 3 54 5 4 7 7 (zimmerman j)IRONEYES R 122 10.00 41.60  
GRIFTER 5 8 810½ 8 8 8 811¾ (rojero c)REYES R 122 10.00 85.20  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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