Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Wednesday - November 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (5/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/7)-(5/1/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/1/7)-(5/1/7/2)-(5/1/7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/1/7)-(6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1/7)-(6/5)-(6/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TUP-4   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/4/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/5)-(6/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(6/4)-(6/7/5/2) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
TUP-5   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/4)-(6/7/5/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(6/7/5/2)-(3/5/6/2) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
TUP-6   WIN (6/7/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/5/2)-(6/7/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/5/2)-(6/7/5/2)-(6/7/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/5/2)-(3/5/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/5/2)-(3/5/6/2)-(6/7/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-7   WIN (3/5/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/6/2)-(3/5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/6/2)-(3/5/6/2)-(3/5/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/6/2)-(6/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TUP-8   WIN (6/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/8)-(6/1/7/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/7/8)-(6/1/7/8)-(6/1/7/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   11/27/2024 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEGALLY REDDY Sep25 Sep01 Aug10 Jul11 Jun01 (silva jose )MORALES ALLYSSA 122 4.00 12% 7.50    
2  LUCKY CODE Sep06 Aug25 Aug11 Jul26 Jun23 (freeman sc)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 5.00 ★    
3  MCCLUSKY Sep15 Sep01       (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 119 5.00    
4  SAN ANDRES Oct18 Sep28 Sep14 Aug17 Jul27 (perkinson cc)KRIGGER K 122 6.00    
5  CANDY'S CHROME Nov11 Oct02 Sep13     (barraza s)MONTALVO C 124 3.00 53% 0.90    
6  WHO IS PAVEL Nov14 Oct04 Sep22 Aug25 Jun30 (bean a)TOHILL S 121 8.00    
7  BLUEGRASS GO GO Oct19 Oct11 Aug17 Jul27 Jul06 (lucarelli fran)REYES R 122 4.50 7% 13.20    
 
TUP-4   11/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUSTIN'S LADY Nov11 Sep01 Aug16 Aug03 Jul13 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 122 3.50    
2  RESERVOIR Nov11 Oct04 Aug24 Aug03 Jul20 (nunnally j)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 3.00    
3  CAPITAL HEAT Sep08 Aug25 May04 Feb07   (belvoir vann)CORBETT W 122 4.50    
4  DISTINCTIVE DEB Oct14 Sep30 Sep16 Aug25 Aug03 (crowe shelly)REYES R 122 5.00 ★    
5  FLYIN BY Sep08 Jun30 Jun01 May11 Sep10 (johnston kimberl)MONTALVO C 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  REIGN OF FIRE Oct07 Sep22 Sep06 Aug04 Jul21 (velasquez)VALENZUELA A 122 2.50 75% 0.30    
 
TUP-5   11/27/2024 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUSSIAN TOTHE WIRE Sep09 Jul27 Jun23 May25 Apr17 (lund valorie)REYES R 122 6.00    
SCR  SKY MAKER Sep05 Aug23 Jul26 Jun07 May25 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50    
SCR  DIRT FLIRT Aug11 Aug04 Jul25 Jun29 Jun09 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.00    
4  LOOPY Nov18 Aug17 Jul05 Jun16 Mar06 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 4.00 27% 2.70    
5  MADEIRA WINE Oct05 Aug09 Dec10 Oct28 Sep16 (kenney rya)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 5.00    
6  ZIPPIN SEVENZ Sep15 Aug30 Aug17 Jul21 Jul07 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 4.50 39% 1.50    
 
TUP-6   11/27/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAN'T WANT THAT Sep20 Aug18 Aug03 Jun16 May17 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 119 2.50    
2  KAMIKAZE BLUE Aug17 Jul14 Jun28 Jun08 May27 (marin martin)REYES R 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  FAST TRACK Nov12 Oct04 Sep08 Jul09 Jun28 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00    
4  CHROME'S BEST COPY Nov12 Sep15 Sep08 Aug18 Jul27 (birdwell tena)MOJICA O 122 3.00    
5  CHEDOODLE RYLEE Sep08 Aug31 Aug07 Jun07 May25 (lawrence heath)CRUZ M 122 12.00 15% 5.50    
6  BIKINI NATION Oct07 Sep29 Sep22 Sep08 Aug30 (gibson how)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 4.00 24% 3.30    
7  BOHEMIAN JIGGLES Nov12 Sep19 Sep01 Aug11 Aug03 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 3.50 22% 3.60    
 
TUP-7   11/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE GOLDEN EGG Nov11 Sep07 Aug31 Aug16 Jul26 (essex char)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 5.00    
2  DIXON TUFF Nov11 Jul21 Jun30 Jun08 Jan30 (matt wende)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  HICKORY WIND Nov11 Oct14 Sep22 Sep08 Aug11 (velasquez rigob)CORBETT W 122 5.00 68% 0.50    
SCR  ANYOTHERQUESTIONS Nov18 Jul06 Jan21 Mar15 Jan01 (stevens s)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00    
5  REIGN OVER ME Nov11 Oct25 Sep29 Jul26 Jun09 (tor)VALENZUELA RAUL 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
6  BEER BEGONE Nov11 Oct13 Sep16 Sep09 Jul28 (silva-m)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  SMOKEN HOUDINI Nov11 Sep29 Sep18 Sep07 Jun09 (rojero lu)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 15.00    
8  OUTOFQUEMADO Nov14 Aug31 Aug04 Jul14 Jun28 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 124 3.00    
9  PICAHOUSE Nov11 Oct05 Sep21 Sep08 Aug23 (villamar candelari)MOJICA O 119 8.00    
 
TUP-8   11/27/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATHENS MOON Nov17 Oct18 Sep29 Sep13 Aug14 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 122 5.00 ★    
2  SWAMPDRAINER Nov18 Sep25 Sep05 Aug11 Aug01 (silva gabr)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 6.00    
3  BARON'S SONG Nov11 Aug11 Jul13 Jun09 Mar18 (zimmerman)IRONEYES R 122 10.00    
4  THREEBROTHERS Oct06 Apr27 Mar30 Mar09 Feb02 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 122 2.00    
5  GRIFTER Nov11 Sep29 Sep18 Sep07 Aug23 (rojero c)REYES R 122 10.00    
6  CROSS THE CAUSEWAY Nov19 Sep25 Sep12 Aug22 Jun18 (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 73% 0.40    
7  BLUES RAPPER Nov18 Nov11 Sep08 Aug30 Aug11 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  SOLDATNA Nov18 Oct13 Oct06 Sep30 Sep08 (baze robert)TOHILL S 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.